achow a day ago | next |

Israel's Mossad spy agency planted a small amount (3 gm) of explosives inside 5,000 pagers made by Gold Apollo (a Taiwanese company). "The Mossad injected a board inside of the device that has explosive material that receives a code." 3,000 of the pagers exploded when a coded message was sent to them.

Gold Apollo founder Hsu Ching-Kuang said the pagers used in the explosion were made by a company in Europe that had the right to use the Taipei-based firm's brand, "The product was not ours. It was only that it had our brand on it"

Hezbollah fighters have been using pagers as a low-tech means of communication in an attempt to evade Israeli location-tracking,

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/3-grams-of-explosives-per-pa...

limit499karma 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

> Gold Apollo founder Hsu Ching-Kuang said the pagers used in the explosion were made by a company in Europe that had the right to use the Taipei-based firm's brand, "The product was not ours. It was only that it had our brand on it"

He also said it was strange he got paid from "Middle East". That statement of his also indicates this was not a long standing "licensing" agreement. Someone likely called up from "Europe" and asked for the license for that specific device.

Conclusion: the company in Europe is a paper fiction. The devices were made in "Israel" and the only time they may have been in Europe was to get them from Middle East to so a "European" company can ship them back.

This also means Hezbollah has an asset in its upper ranks. We can assume this since they announced before "We're gonna use pagers from now on folks" and thus prior to this Shin Bet had no reason to run a cutout in "Europe" making pagers. The entire production chain was then a fiction setup likely recently, certainly post "headsup everyone, pagers" announcement by the targeted organization.

So the chain of events is clear:

- "Did all you hear we are going to use pagers?"

- Shin Bet sets up the phony production Taiwan -> EU.

- Devices made in "Israel".

- Asset recommends make / model / seller.

- boom.

MichaelZuo 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

I think from now on future OEMs will be very careful indicating whether a product was in fact made by them, under their supervision, or was license made by some third party.

talldayo 18 hours ago | root | parent |

You'd think that. Here in America, the NSA has been intercepting and bugging servers for decades, and manufacturers have been suspiciously quiet about the whole affair.

Suffice to say, when enough pressure can be exerted by a government agency, OEMs are happy to keep their mouth shut.

cyberpunk 18 hours ago | root | parent |

Has anyone actually found and documented one of these bugs?

ExoticPearTree 18 hours ago | root | parent | next |

How they looked and what they did was presented in some of the Snowden files.

I have doubts those servers and other devices with implants made it into the wild since they were specifically targeted for high value target customers of those companies.

SenorKimchi a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> planted a small amount (3 gm)

The abbreviation for gram is simply "g". I was a bit confused but at least the link cleared things up.

vocram a day ago | root | parent | prev |

g is the correct SI unit symbol, not only an abbreviation

SenorKimchi a day ago | root | parent |

Thanks. I am usually not super pedantic but I've noticed some people using "mt" for meters recently. I immediately fall into confusion when the wrong symbols are used. Then go down the rabbit hole of trying to figure out if it is a cultural or regional thing.

delta_p_delta_x a day ago | root | parent |

People have used all sorts of abbreviations for the SI prefixes and SI units for as long as I can remember. I want to ask—are people not taught this in school? I had multiple introductions and revisions of the SI units and SI prefixes in secondary school, pre-university, and university, and every time, a wrong prefix or a wrong symbol was penalised by half a mark per question. I had classmates who mixed them up regularly and lost something like seven marks each time. They learnt very quickly not to, as those seven marks could make one or two grades' difference.

As someone who champions sole use of the SI units, this annoys me to no end.

I've seen things like 'kgs', 'gm', 'gms', 'mtr', 'mt', 'K' instead of 'k' (note capitals) for 'kilo-', mixing 'm' and 'M' (which are supposed to mean 'milli-' and 'mega-' respectively), usage of 'u' instead of 'μ' for 'micro-' (the one exception I will concede is 'mc' in the medical field, because people apparently confused 'μ' and 'm' which results in a 1000× over/underdose), and don't bother with the degree symbol (Alt+numpad 0176 on Windows, Option-Shift-8 on macOS) for °C, or use °K for kelvins (there is no degree, as it is an absolute scale and not relative to anything else, unlike the Celsius/centigrade and Fahrenheit scales), and so many other typographical errors.

delta_p_delta_x 18 hours ago | root | parent |

I love this, thanks so much for writing it! I'm writing a blog post on metrication and this will be a super-useful resource for the sort of pedantry I intend to engage in.

hilbert42 15 hours ago | root | parent |

Then see my point about the UK/metric/Imperial. ;-)

Incidentally, in that link there's a very common example of bad usage namely the volt/voltage. 120V is shown as bad usage and 120 V good. One sees the former usage on machines, appliances, in printed material etc. so often that it's almost a de facto standard.

I'm inconsistent in my use too, one time I'll include the space at other times not.

alexthehurst 10 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> are people not taught this in school?

I agree about standardization, but I think this framing comes off as lacking empathy. Plenty of folks either

- Avoided the topic in school or put all their effort into other subjects

- Didn’t learn this in school—there are a wide variety of education systems across all the decades and distances that folks on this site may have grown up in

- Learned this in school, but a lifetime ago, and haven’t had a reason to revisit it. At a certain distance, your life experience and work experience massively overshadow what you learned in school.

Forgive the inference, but based on your recall of specific grading policies I would guess that your time in school is still near to you, or at least very important. It’s not that way for everyone.

(I am of course doggedly accurate with my unit abbreviations.)

[edit: list formatting]

hilbert42 17 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

"People have used all sorts of abbreviations for the SI prefixes and SI units for as long as I can remember."

In the US that is, not in metric counties that use SI by default.

For those in the US (and to a lesser extent the UK) there are multiple metric systems. The other notable system that's still in use is the cgs (centimetre–gram–second) system.

'cgs units' are still used in some areas notably physics as they can make calculations easier, there they're called Gaussian-cgs units.

Incidentally, often, as here, 'cgs' is in lowercase to reflect the case of the units' abbreviations. That said, the uppercase abbreviation is also often used. For instance, as I typed this my browser kept correcting the lowercase to 'CGS'.

delta_p_delta_x 17 hours ago | root | parent |

> In the US that is, not in metric counties that use the SI system by default.

India which metricated in the late 1950s is still a big (ab)user of poor SI symbolism. A lot of the 'cms', 'gms', 'cc', 'kgs', etc come from Indian writers and Indian publications (case in point: the article in this thread).

> The other notable system that's still in use is the cgs (centimetre–gram–second) system.

> 'cgs units' are still used in some areas notably physics as they can make calculations easier, there they're called Gaussian-cgs units.

I'm not sure they're used all that much—I was under the impression most CGS units fell out of favour as MKS and eventually SI took over. I was an RA at my physics department for a while and we used SI as much as we could. Some specialisations use a certain form of natural units (like geometrised units in general relativity), but by and large SI dominated.

hilbert42 16 hours ago | root | parent |

Right, there are offenders everywhere but the chief offender is the US by far (many don't have a clue about SI let alone metric, ask an American what 20°C is in Fahrenheit and they've no idea).

The UK is also troublesome in that whilst supposedly a metric country Imperial is still commonplace. For example, there's widespread use of antiquated units like the 'stone' (14 pounds)†, even BBC medical programs still regularly use the term.

Re Gaussian/cgs, in physics it's still widely used especially in field theory/Maxwell, SR (Special Relatively), etc. because in charge calculations and such involving permeability, permittivity, speed of light certain terms can be restated as 1 instead of their actual SI values.

Personally, I understand why this is done but from my perspective it's confusing if not misleading for reasons well outside this discussion (but who am I to argue with those more learned than me?). This Wiki provides justification of sorts (see Unit of charge): https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_units.

† In Australia where I am, only people of my generation who've been around for decades would even know what a 'stone' was. Anyone born after say the mid 1970s would likely think you're talking about a rock. Trouble is, we see BBC/UK programs here. Fact is the UK is oblivious to the problem or it'd first correct its exports.

spauldo 11 hours ago | root | parent |

Why would your average American need to know what 20°C is in Fahrenheit? Very few people use Celsius here. All our appliances use Fahrenheit, weather reports use Fahrenheit, our recipes use Fahrenheit, and for science and physics we use Kelvin.

umanwizard 17 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Honorable mention for "cc", which stands for "cubic centimeter" which is exactly equal to 1 ml. I can't find any logic to explain why cc is used in some contexts and ml in others.

delta_p_delta_x 17 hours ago | root | parent |

And the SI for that is... cm³.

hilbert42 14 hours ago | root | parent |

The problem is old habits die hard and to be (or appear) to be consistent then an official designation can be unwieldy, as here.

I simply cannot remember when I last saw cm³ but cc and ml are everywhere including on commercial chemical reagent bottles etc.

The same nomenclature problem is all over chemistry too, the preferred IUPAC name for say isopropyl alcohol is propan-2-ol, and the preferred name for acetone is propan-2-one (systematic 2-Propanone). I can't say I've ever heard anyone ask me to pass them the bottle of propan-2-one, it's just not done (not in my world anyway).

If there's a choice between an awkward or simpler term then the simpler one wins out every time.

pvaldes a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I wouldn't wish to be in the PR damage control team of Gold Apollo right now.

This was a direct attack to their survival as company. Will they sue Israeli government for turning their product into a bomb used to mutilate and kill people? Seems not probable.

Will they sue the Hungarian company making the bombs? That would be a more realistic target. Now Hezbollah has an excuse to attack Hungary interests in the EU and the conflict could escalate. That company should be crushed and closed for good by the Hungarian law system IMO. Either you are a military grade company or you aren't.

If Gold Apollo wants to keep selling pagers, better they start making all the carcasses on their products transparent from now on. With a big photo in the boxes showing how the correct product must look.

oytis a day ago | root | parent | next |

> That company should be crushed and closed for good by the Hungarian law system IMO. Either you are a military grade company or you aren't.

Were the pagers military grade? Hungarian company providing military equipment to Hezbollah would be a scandal on its own.

pvaldes a day ago | root | parent | next |

I assume that you, as a company, need a special permit to manufacture lethal weapons or military products on EU. Either you have it, or you don't. And if you don't have and still do it, I understand that you are breaking a dozen of EU laws.

The EU now needs to do something about it, and do it fast. Or to pretend that nothing happened, surrender to Israel, create a dangerous legal precedent "for the cause" and send a clear message that EU manufacture laws are a joke: "All those security filters painfully raised around EU products worth zero and can be easily jumped over". This is a really bad message for all the EU makers.

A franchise of your brand also signed a contract to make your product. I assume that changing the functionality or specifications of your registered product is strictly forbidden in that contract. I bet that this move violated some laws on Taiwan also.

If I was the CEO of Gold Apollo I would be fuming and furious at this moment.

Israel not only pushed them into the middle of a war that is not their war, without their consent or knowledge; also destroyed the brand image and painted a target in the backs of each employee and reseller of Gold Apollo.

At this moment, nothing suggests that the Taiwan based company were part of this. They should apologize, clear things, and detach themselves from this PR mess as soon as possible.

I understand that from the Mossad point of view this can be a big success, but from the point of view of the companies that try to sell their legit products, this is an direct attack.

ExoticPearTree 2 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Well, pagers are not military products. And second, except for ordnance, you don't need any license to manufacture any product.

For products that can have dual-use capabilities, you need an export license that is given per customer (at least in the EU) where some due diligence is performed. If the company is a reseller in Lebanon and there are no export bans for that country, they can be sold/bought without an issue.

The fact that somewhere in transit they were modified, the manufacturer or seller cannot be held liable for it.

prepend a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Israel not only pushed them into the middle of a war that is not their war, without their consent or knowledge;

Weren’t they already selling pagers to Hezbollah? It seems like they were already in the war as a supplier of goods to a terrorist organization.

I wonder if this is why Israel made this move because the manufacturer was already breaking international sanction by supplying Hezbollah so they have little recourse.

If I was the CEO of Gold Apollo, I’d be investigating why my franchisee was selling stuff to Hezbollah in the first place.

But it’s beepers and only 5,000. How expensive is this at the end of the day? It’s probably the last time a company lends then brand name for a small amount.

pvaldes a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Weren’t [Gold Apollo] already selling pagers to Hezbollah?

Selling pagers to Lebanon citizens is legal if I'm not wrong.

Not necessarily. At this moment, all suggests that somebody (Ehem, Mossad) was impersonating a reseller of the brand [1]. How do they knew that the buyers were from Hezbollah?. Did the buyers wear a t-shirt?. What if somebody was buying it to resell it later and bank some profit?. This stuff could ended being sold to innocent people, or distributed by all the schools of Lebanon.

[1] New facts can change this picture and I may be wrong about this.

> If I was the CEO of Gold Apollo, I’d be investigating why my franchisee was selling stuff to Hezbollah in the first place.

Agree. Definitely, the maker should make a move about that, just to be sure. And to be very transparent about that investigation.

prepend a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Selling pagers to Lebanon citizens is legal if I'm not wrong.

This is true. But only the thousands of Hezbollah pagers blew up, right? There are a lot of details needed to see if they knowingly supplied Hezbollah or just sold a big batch to a random customer. I assumed, perhaps falsely, that a 5000 pager order for Lebanon is pretty specific and does anyone really use pagers any more? My thinking was that this is a specific tech used by Hezbollah. Although it is a consumer tech, maybe pagers are super popular in Lebanon. But 3000 people were injured so I thought that the vast majority of these pagers were used exclusively by Hezbollah.

My point is their stuff was already in a war. Israel making them explode doesn’t seem to change that.

FerretFred 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

> only the thousands of Hezbollah pagers blew up, right?

Hopefully! Just out of curiosity I had a look for that brand of pager on eBay, but didn't see any. I'd hate to think that there were a few rogue units out there that had potential to cause harm!

analog31 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

It may be legal but with little or no civilian demand due to preference for cell phones. The only person I know with a pager is an on call doctor.

dqv 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Weren’t they already selling pagers to Hezbollah?

Apollo pagers are everywhere and sold through resellers through out the world, even in the US. Let’s not do Hasbara-style speculation

mihaic a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Weren’t they already selling pagers to Hezbollah?

I don't have info about those specific models, but this is pagers and not rockets. If someone makes an order for 5000 units I can't image you'd have an expectation to do a background check with references.

It's basically like ordering 5000 units of Raspberry Pi, would you consider that a military export?

PepperdineG a day ago | root | parent | next |

Raspberry Pis ending up in Russian weapons used in Ukraine is currently an issue actually, which it's illegal to export them to Russia.

prepend a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

For the US, at least, I am forced to confirm that those 5000 raspberry pis aren’t going to a terrorist organization. Isn’t the EU the same way? So it’s not that it’s a military export, but that it’s a sanctioned organization (Iran and Hezbollah).

mihaic a day ago | root | parent |

How are you realistically able to do this though? It's not like they can't order batches to some neutral-country intermediary and then ship them from there.

dqv a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This stunt is great for Boycott/Divestment/Sanctions folks though. Here in the US, many states require fealty to Israel in the form of promising you won’t boycott them if you want to do business with that state’s government. Now there’s an easy out: no one is boycotting Israel, they’re just avoiding the liability of Mossad intercepting and tampering with a shipment.

nebula8804 16 hours ago | root | parent |

Would that even hold up in court? Would be amazing at counteracting these unconstitutional laws. The biggest problem is that these laws are much easier to get passed then to get repealed. Because each repeal requires a long winded lawsuit that can sometime only get the law slightly altered.

steventhedev a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Doesn't matter. Hezbollah are subject to sanctions by the EU as a designated terrorist organization. Presumably, that applies to all companies operating within the EU.

Sanctions violations are very much a "do not pass go" style crime, and this looks like it was an entire batch that was delivered directly to Hezbollah.

RHSeeger a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Were the pagers military grade

I don't mean to be "that guy", but "military grade" means nothing nowadays. It can mean anything from "made to exactly standards" to "made by the lowest bidder, and likely to fail the minute it's used".

stef25 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Just normal pagers with 20g of high explosive inserted in to them. They found a way of remotely getting the battery to overheat with would make the thing go boom.

onemoresoop 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> If Gold Apollo wants to keep selling pagers, better they start making all the carcasses on their products transparent from now on. With a big photo in the boxes showing how the correct product must look.

I don't think that would make a difference at all, explosives could be disguised in any electronic components, being transparent wouldn't help very much. The Taiwanese company's brand is now irreparably tarnished, I think that is the cost of lending the brand name to an untrustworthy partner.

adityaathalyo 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> This was a direct attack to their survival as company. Will they sue Israeli government for turning their product into a bomb used to mutilate and kill people? Seems not probable.

Would Toyota or any other car manufacturer sue Arabs et al. for turning their pickups into rolling suicide bombs?

pvaldes 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Toyota will definitely sue to death somebody --selling-- thousands of new Toyotas modified in mass to kill their drivers. If not, they would be sued massively instead, so is not something that they could just let pass.

If the owner wants later to trow their Toyota over a cliff is a different problem and not Toyota's business.

chx a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

As it can be expected the situation is extremely murky. Hungarian press is abuzz with this, I will translate a few hard facts and leave speculation to others. I will also use English sources as appropriate. Hungarian sources are below the list, you can run them through automated translation to fact check me.

* There's a small consulting company called BAC after the initials of the founder Bársony-Arcidiacono Cristiana. One of their services is https://archive.fo/kwTKA "We develop international technology cooperation among countries for the sale of telecommunication products. This cooperation entails scaling up a business from Asia to new markets e.g. developing countries". Their home page https://archive.fo/dXtMx lists these: Strategic Advisor for major International Organizations including Financial companies (Venture Capitals, IAEA, UNESCO, CNRS, EC, etc.). Business Developer and Savvy Analyst for Innovative/ Solutions in diverse fields (Sustainable Development (SDGs), Water, Energy, Resilience-Mitigation-Adaptation, Capacity Building, Complex Emergencies, Digitalization (AI, Blockchain, ICT) within Humanistic Economy.

* The official place of business is just a business "placeholder". The woman who answered the doorbell for journalists said no one ever from BAC is there, maybe once a month a mail comes which she receives.

* This house is also the registered address for a number of companies. Two companies have Russian owners. One of them is an oil wholesaler.

* BAC revenue in 2023 was 210 million forints and 13 million profit. What's remarkable is how person-related expenses (payroll etc) was a mere 0.5 million forints for the entire year. Hungarian monthly minimum wage was a bit over 0.25M HUF. One million HUF is about 2820 USD.

* NBC talked to the founder. According to her "I don’t make the pagers. I am just the intermediate. I think you got it wrong". https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/taiwan-firm-denies-making...

* The founder's linkedin is still up https://www.linkedin.com/in/cristiana-b%C3%A0rsony-arcidiaco... Her PhD from 2006 is at https://ucl.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/discovery/fulldisplay?do... so it seems real.

https://hvg.hu/kkv/20240918_hezbollah-bac-consulting

https://archive.is/QWlXw

https://telex.hu/belfold/2024/09/18/mit-lehet-tudni-a-magyar...

In conclusion, if I needed to speculate based on the LinkedIn page and the archived consulting page, what gives me pause: if this woman indeed exists she is one of the most talented people in all of Hungary. Seven languages, degrees in diverse fields and a PhD in physics. At the same time, I have indeed found a PhD from 2006 and her grants and scholarships from even earlier are probably not hard to verify either. I do not know what to think.

weweersdfsd a day ago | root | parent | next |

To me the content archived consulting page looks very much like something a large language model would generate. Impressive, but doesn't make any sense considering the size of this company. Probably good enough to fool Hezbollah anyway.

chx 15 hours ago | root | parent |

She purportedly got a PhD in London, UK. Now I do not speak English that well but to me this sentence "This cooperation entails scaling up a business from Asia to new markets e.g. developing countries" does not look correct. Is it...?

Reubend 10 hours ago | root | parent |

It's grammatically correct, but it's very awkward. Most people would say "We partner with technology companies to introduce their products to new markets in developing countries".

As it's written, it only mentions "a business" (singular) when it likely means multiple businesses. It also uses the word cooperation, which has different connotations than a partnership. Typically, business will say that they "cooperate" with governments, standards bodies, or trade restrictions. For friendly and mutually profitable agreements, they'll use the word "partner" to indicate that both parties benefit.

anonu 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

https://web.archive.org/web/20240401000000*/www.bacconsultin...

The timeline of web archive snapshots is strange. No real change or activity for years - then a flurry of changes in 2024.

bloopernova 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

And now there's a second set of explosions, this time using handheld radios.

I'm hopeful that this won't escalate, but I'm very anxious that it will.

FridayoLeary a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I doubt the company exists anymore or that there's anyone left in hungary who can be held responsible. Here's what i imagine took place:

step one: mossad sets up some sham manufacturing facility in Hungary or buys an existing one.

Step 2: reach out to gold apollo and make a deal to produce their pagers under license. Money no object they probably offered them very good terms. Gold apollo is so pleased by the money being offered they fail to investigate the company properly. Step 3: mossad agents start production introducing lethal batteries into the design, produce several thousand units then vanish leaving apollo executives bewildered but they have the money already so they don't ask too many questions.

Step 4: sell all the pagers at a great price to some hezbolla arms dealer, go home, buy some popcorn and turn on the tv.

In short everyone involved have probably disappeared months ago.

Also a really clever part is that they could have turned a profit on the sale meaning the operation was at least partly subsidised by hezbolla themselves.

d1sxeyes a day ago | root | parent |

There are lots of companies with questionable practices in Hungary. One scam I am aware of is companies that are registered in the names of homeless people whose sole function is to churn out receipts that other companies buy at fractions of their face value in order to run “clean” expenses through their books and effectively launder money.

Would not surprise me if this turned out to be something like that.

FridayoLeary 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Its not just Hungary. There's a famous high street in London with a series of sweet shops (about 2 dozen) that are a very obvious front for a money laundering scheme. Allegedly the taliban or some other afghan crime ring).

I don't know why the authorities are ignoring them but it's probably such a big can of worms that everyones afraid to open it.

d1sxeyes 20 hours ago | root | parent |

Gummy worms?

In all seriousness though, those “sweet shops” and “Thai massage parlours” and the like are clearly fronts for money laundering. I doubt they’re being ignored, but as you say, there’s probably some reason no one’s dealt with them yet.

refurb 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Can a company sue you because you modified their product? Even if that modification caused harm?

remram 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Am intermediary can be sued just for damaging products through insufficient, they can certainly be sued for adding defects on purpose. Especially lethal defects.

echoangle 18 hours ago | root | parent |

But can the manufacturer sue? Isn’t the normal way that the customer sues, because their stuff was damaged? Can the manufacturer sue me if I buy their stuff, modify it to be deadly, and sell it again?

(I don’t mean “can the sue me” but “do they have any chance of winning” of course)

pvaldes 17 hours ago | root | parent | next |

> But can the manufacturer sue? do they have any chance of winning?

For Gold Apollo the dilemma here is either to sue the Israel Government (and try to survive the experience as company), or to take the piss and be sued for the families of the people mutilated by "their" product. They are in a difficult position.

It depends on how deep are their pockets and what they think will do less damage to the brand. Also if it has Taiwanese government support or not (unlikely as they probably depend on Israel technology for defense); and if Taiwan companies team with them or not. If the "made in Taiwan" sector want to keep selling radios and pagers to the rest of the planet they need to assure that this can't happen again.

I assume that the consequences for Israel will be indirect, limited and approved by USA, or none.

pvaldes 16 hours ago | root | parent |

Update: Gold Apollo is a small company with about 30 employees. The CEO said that this was humiliating, the products were made by a distributor in Hungary and that they were ruined for that. Small chances that they could sue anybody.

remram 16 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

If you pretend it's legit, I'd say you're breaking trademark law, even if it isn't explosive. The same way you can't put old laptops in Macbook cases and open an online shop.

In this case there would also be a contract with specific terms for the reseller/manufacturer that certainly includes language such as "purposefully produce devices that would damage the brand".

Of course I think the customers have a more serious case to bring on (particularly ones that weren't terrorists). As well as war crime considerations.

TiredOfLife a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

fodkodrasz a day ago | root | parent | next |

You are right in tha aspect that terrorism doesn't care about excuses (at least externally, it needs to justify its actions to its "follower base" though).

I have an intuition that the grandparent tried to express someting like:

Now Hezbollah has a motivation to attack Hungarian interest in the EU.

Which I'd simplify as something more concerning for me, as a Hungarian: Now Hazbollah has motivation to attack Hungarians.

aenopix 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Israel is the terrorist here

trallnag 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Please keep the conversation somewhat technology related. Seething about Israel making a dunk on Hisbollah is more suited for Reddit or similar.

greentxt 20 hours ago | root | parent |

Good reminder about avoiding low quality posting but also we aren't supposed to compare hn posts to reddit. I've done that too, and been reminded not to.

FridayoLeary 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Its called war. Traditionally militaries have always despised spies but the results speak for themselves. No standard operation could ever have been so discriminatory or so effectively minimised the risk of collateral damage. Nor could they have disabled so many enemy soldiers so cheaply and most importantly of all, without putting a single troop at risk.

So nasty but effective. I think Israel should at least get some credit for minimising the risk of innocent bystanders getting injured. They could have made a bigger bomb.

skyyler 20 hours ago | root | parent |

Didn't a child die in these explosions?

FridayoLeary 19 hours ago | root | parent |

That doesn't invalidate any of my points. A 10:1 ratio of militant to civilian deaths would be impossible to acheive using any conventional method. Unless you are arguing the acceptable number of civilian deaths in war is zero i'm not sure of the point you are trying to make.

desdenova a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The terrorists didn't need an excuse to put bombs in pagers. The person you were responding was talking about the Hezbollah, though.

dijit a day ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

gghhzzgghhzz 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

"EU and the Arab League"

EU does not classify Hezbollah as a terror organisation, only its military wing.

dijit 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Who was attacked?

My understanding was that it was exclusively military leaders and that the pagers were handed out specifically to combat Israeli surveillance.

umanwizard a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> Hezbollah are classified as a terror organisation by the UN

That is not true. Lots of countries and organizations consider them a terrorist organization, but the UN isn’t one of them.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

Ah, quite right, I mean the EU, apologies.

> As of October 2020, Hezbollah or its military wing are considered terrorist organizations by at least 26 countries, as well as by the European Union and since 2017 by most member states of the Arab League, with the exception of Iraq and Lebanon, where Hezbollah is the most powerful political party.[374]

> The countries that have designated Hezbollah a terrorist organization include: the Gulf Cooperation Council,[375] and their members Saudi Arabia,[376] Bahrain,[377] United Arab Emirates,[376] as well as Argentina,[378] Canada,[379] Colombia,[380] Estonia,[381] Germany,[382] Honduras,[383] Israel,[384] Kosovo,[385] Lithuania,[386] Malaysia,[387] Paraguay,[388] Serbia,[381] Slovenia,[389] United Kingdom,[390] United States,[391] and Guatemala.[392]

umanwizard a day ago | root | parent |

The EU doesn’t consider Hezbollah a terrorist organization either — only its military wing. Much like people who considered the Provisional IRA to be terrorists but not Sinn Féin.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

It's a shame that Hezbollah do not wear uniforms, a war crime[0]; because then it would be clear that these are military officers, and thus terrorists by that definition.

Or is your statement that the people targeted were not military? Or... what's your point with this comment?

[0]: https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule65

umanwizard 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

I didn't have any point other than pointing out that your claims were incorrect.

Separately, I do think it's funny when people try to justify Israel's actions by reference to international laws or norms, as if Israel cares. They would still have done this even if they were the only country in the world that considered Hezbollah a terrorist organization.

Just like they're (practically) the only country in the world that considers the Golan Heights or East Jerusalem to be legitimately part of their territory, their occupation of the West Bank to be legal, their permanent air and sea blockade of the Gaza Strip to be legal, and so on. They don't appear to care about international norms at all.

dijit 21 hours ago | root | parent |

It's harder to hold them to account when their combatants aren't held to similar standards.

It's a very solid defense to say "well, if we're being attacked by a non-military force that breaks the rules, then what choice do we have".

If they were being attacked by a military force that followed the Geneva conventions it would be easier to drum up anti-Israel support internationally for an intervention.

So, sorry to say it; but it's a fair criticism to say that one side is even more flagrant of the rules: why should Israel even bother trying to abide them?

umanwizard 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Remind me, what actions by their enemy combatants force Israel to allow civilian Jewish-only settlements in the West Bank?

dijit 20 hours ago | root | parent |

None, that's an easy condemn act.

Here I am to condemn it, I have even written to my MEP regarding that topic.

umanwizard 19 hours ago | root | parent |

I wasn't asking you to condemn it, I was using it as an example of my claim that Israel doesn't care about international law or norms, even in cases where you can't possibly use "but our enemy violates them too" as a justification.

dijit 19 hours ago | root | parent |

It doesn't matter if they care or not truthfully, because international relations are supposed to hold them to account.

Thats why we sanction Russia and Iran.

Israel needs to be friendly with the west because it is surrounded by hostile nations. But those nations are making things harder for the rest of the world to intervene.

c0nducktr a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Pretty bold to cry about war crimes while defending the actions of Israel.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

Pretty easy though, when Israel is clearly being held to a standard that their combatants aren't.

I'll tell you now: I'm becoming more radicalised the more I see the absolute state of discourse here; it's not only polarised: it's completely asymmetric.

It seems that it's not even possible for people to consider that the Islamic side has a part to play in what is happening, and to condemn both parties for the actions that they take, understanding that it's not equivalent in all areas.

justin66 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

> Israel is clearly being held to a standard that their combatants aren't.

This statement doesn't make a lot of sense. Israel is an ally we supply with munitions and the other side is acknowledged to be a terrorist militia and therefore we support their destruction. Of course we expect Israel to adhere to a much higher standard than Hezbollah, right?

I think (hope) you'd be hard pressed to find anyone who believes Hezbollah members shouldn't be held accountable for violations of the law of armed conflict. It's just that nobody believes the problem of Hezbollah is going to be solved in a court or with diplomacy at this stage.

> the Islamic side

If you feel the need to worry about the religious angle you really ought to differentiate between Sunni and Shia when talking about Lebanon in particular, given the unique characteristics of their demography and politics. Although I don't know where you're going with that.

> I'm becoming more radicalised

Fantastic.

close04 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Pretty easy though, when Israel is clearly being held to a standard that their combatants aren't.

If you look at it binary then both sides committed atrocities, war crimes, and generally acts of terror. If you look at the magnitude though one stands out.

> the Islamic side has a part to play in what is happening

Attempts to defend either are weak, nether is defensible really. But defending the side that took it orders of magnitude further with explanations like well the other side "had a part" are absolutely gross and reminiscent of explanations for certain atrocities a certain European country committed 80 years ago because "they" knew what they did to deserve it right? "They" also had a part to play.

dijit 21 hours ago | root | parent |

I agree with this sentiment, actually; it's not binary, there's no "both sides", we have to take each atrocity in the context in which it's presented and dispassionately dole out justice. Ideally based on an even field of understanding about what the rules are and without taking personal preferences into account.

But I think we disagree on a core tenet: that magnitude is a precursor to understanding who belligerents are.

If that was the case then during all history, the winning side would always have to be the bad guy, no matter who initiated hostilities or how warfare was conducted.

AtlasBarfed a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Hezbollah and Hamas need the inherent anti Israel bias of Europe. It's the only international group with money and influence that sides with them. If they attack anything in Israel then it is a massive Israeli win.

Europe only care for geopolitical games in the Mediterranean and petroleum. The Gaza conflict has shown that oil is on its way out as a top level geopolitical influence.

Lol military grade. This is a guerilla fighting group getting leftover oil money from Iran. They were using pagers.

Israel has been fighting for 100 years with its hands tied. With the unofficial and largely official sunni/saudi Israel alliance, only Iran cares about the freedom fighters of Gaza and Lebanon, and you can put a ten year clock on that funding once EVs start taking real chunks of transport

repelsteeltje a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Gold Apollo claims the devices were assembled in Hungary by a company named BAC.

stef25 a day ago | root | parent | next |

My guess that entire company was just a Mossad front.

* They seem to have little or no actual presence at their Hungarian address * CEO has a profile that seems to have very little to do with the manufacturing of telecom devices * Gold owner says their payments were strange and came through the middle east. * Orban is very pro Israel

hackeraccount 19 hours ago | root | parent |

A front yes. A front for who though? Was it a front for Hezbollah that got infiltrated or a front setup by Israel fit for purpose.

I have no sympathy for Hezbollah but empathy a plenty - I've been on that side of a security breech and step one involves tearing things apart; things that are the problem and invariably unless you've got ice water in your veins you'll tear apart things that are not the problem as well.

niutech a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> "The product was not ours. It was only that it had our brand on it"

That's whitewashing. If they license the brand, they should control every aspect of manufacturing. Otherwise they are irresponsible. If I was their client, I wouldn't trust them any longer and return all pagers.

I am curious about the technical details - where were the explosives packed, how were they connected and triggered? Did any pager survive and didn't blow up?

shmatt a day ago | root | parent | next |

Unfortunately I’ve been trying to tell this to friends and family for almost a decade in regards to clothing and home goods.

People are stuck in the 80s and 90s that a logo defines how something was made, which isn’t true at all these days. Calvin Klein is a great example where most of their income comes from licensing, not selling their own clothes. They might review designs but have no say on if the resulting garment can be sold with their logo. As long as they get get the licensing fee. Unfortunately I know people who will spend more on their items than the same garment made by the same manufacturer but with a different license on jt

Same for Toshiba TVs and many others

underlipton 12 hours ago | root | parent |

Working at an electronics retailer a few years ago, this was well-known (though news to me, when I started). They hid the fact that the company no longer manufactured their products, and/or that multiple companies were selling similar or even the same product (produced in the same factory, even).

It is trouble, though, since the entire point of a "brand" is to signal provenance in manufacturing, quality, etc. It's supposed to be a way to know something about the product (if nothing else, who to hold accountable when something goes wrong). If it doesn't, what's the point?

lucianbr a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

These declarations sound so stupid to me. What's the point of having your brand on a product, if you're going to claim you have nothing to do with it? What is the point of the concept of a brand even?

PepperdineG a day ago | root | parent | next |

To make money, like with all the merchandising that happens with a popular movie. Any number of things are licensed with the owner of the IP having very limited involvement in it, like turning down certain types of licenses as bad for the brand but not getting into the weeds of manufacturing. It's not like if there was some branded Disney cell phone that Disney is going to inspect all the board-level components. I can't speak about this pager company other than to think they're glad for any business they could get, so would license the brand.

lucianbr 18 hours ago | root | parent |

There must be some other ostensible purpose for a brand than "to make money". People who would buy the hypothetical Disney phone would have other reasons than "to give Disney money". Nobody has that as a goal when buying stuff.

staticman2 16 hours ago | root | parent | next |

People form subconscious connections to a brand. You are more likely to buy a Disney phone for your kid if it gives you a warm feeling because you remember how much fun it was to watch Lion King with your kid. That might not be the deciding factor, but if it's functionally identical to the other other phones it might make the difference.

echoangle 17 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

The goal of the brand owners is to make money, for the customer the value should be a certain reputation of quality. But as long as customers don’t notice or punish it, it’s advantageous to sell out your brand to make more money (from the perspective of the brand owner)

hi-v-rocknroll a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

To prepare for lawsuits from families of the injured in what appears to be a supply chain attack maybe without the knowledge of their licensee in Budapest (BAC Consulting), and likely without their (Gold Apollo) knowledge. Deny and distance.

goldfeld a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Possibly the pagers had to have a popular brand to "work as designed", and this brand was up for sale, but declares it won't admit this to the real customers.

lucioperca a day ago | root | parent |

I guess with QR-Code Menus, Smartphones replacing their tech almost everywhere, Starlink etc. they where happy to take any revenue.

AtlasBarfed a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Brands died as anything reliable from the consumer perspective when the Chinese bought all the dying brands in the 2000s.

The only cheap goods with maintained brands are things like McDonald's which have recurring relationship with consumers.

llmfan a day ago | root | parent | prev |

You can judge them to be not a generally super-trustworthy brand.

But I would grant them that their responsibility for the deaths of these people is limited.

kijin a day ago | root | parent | next |

Few civilian brands would survive the scrutiny if every product they put their stickers on were required to be Mossad-proof.

prepend a day ago | root | parent |

I feel like it’s reasonable to expect a brand to be aware if some organization, even Mossad, placed explosives in 5000 of their items.

It means this company is incompetent and should not be trusted. It’s one thing to have malware injected into software (pretty bad) and another to have physical explosives put into your product.

flakeoil 19 hours ago | root | parent | next |

So if someone steals a box of iphones, adds a few grams of explosives inside each phone, and then resells them or gives them away, then Apple is at fault?

lucianbr 18 hours ago | root | parent | next |

If you buy the boxes from an Apple store, or from an approved distributor, Apple is at fault. What's the meaning of "approved"?

If you buy them from the back of a truck, then no, Apple has no fault of course.

But there's a declaration saying "we had nothing to do with the pagers even though they have our brand". That's different from saying "they were booby-trapped after they left our hands". Not even the company itself is claiming the defense you're using.

echoangle 17 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

The problem is that the company which did the rigging seems to have had an official license. If apple gave away licenses to build things branded apple and they contained explosives, I would blame apple, too.

baobabKoodaa 18 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Every brand in the world is now expected to have the ability to detect and thwart intelligence operations run by Mossad? Like, a yoghurt company needs to have a counter intelligence division?

prepend 12 hours ago | root | parent |

I think they should have some control over their manufacturing. It’s not so much that the yogurt company has a counter intelligence division, it’s that the yogurt company didn’t detect someone putting poison into a few hundred truckloads.

I expect brands to have quality control procedures in place.

kijin 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Aware, of course, they're aware of it now.

But the best that they can realistically do, once they've found out about the shenanigans, is to cancel the licensing deal with the Hungarian manufacturer. Which they probably will. Maybe sue them in a Hungarian court, if there's anybody left to sue.

XorNot a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Selling your own parts to be restamped as another brand is common though. Selling your brand to be stamped on someone else's parts is basically only useful to do this exact thing though.

FridayoLeary a day ago | root | parent |

Why would you say that? Many everyday products are produced under license or franchise with the brand having minimal involvement in the entire process. Even if apollo had done qc in the factory it would be easy to trick them.

hi-v-rocknroll a day ago | root | parent | next |

Manufacturers for certain categories of products are homogenized, often regionally, whereas the brands maybe many.

Plus, clandestine supply chain attacks fall into 2 categories:

- A. With manufacturer/reseller complicity. (Not many manufacturers choose this because it would harm their business.)

- B. Without manufacturer/reseller complicity, but with logistics interception for sw/hw implants or complete substitution. (This is the method NSA TAO used to load implants into Cisco gear.)

delichon 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If such a supply chain attack was in progress on a larger scale against the US, do we have mechanisms in place to detect it? Would shipments of these same devices pass through US customs?

bbarnett a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

You know, as this is a tech forum, I'll reply via a tech business, re: branding angle.

Yes Gold Apollo, they were yours. That's because you licensed your name, and your name is your business.

(EG your mark(name) of trade)

I've seen this in everything from hotels to frying pans. License that name! We made 1% more this quarter. Yeehaw!

Holiday in has corporate owned hotels, franchised hotels, and of course licensed hotels. Franchised ones have more control from corporate, licensed far less. And it shows.

Same as t-fal, which in Canada is just the cheapest junk you can get, with Canadian Tire owning and manufacturing under the name:

https://www.canadiantire.ca/en/pdp/t-fal-viva-aluminum-fryin...

Anyone buyong t-fal pans there will think t-fal is the cheapest junk ever. Because it is.

This worked well pre-Internet, but now people see reviews for Canadian Tire t-fal when researching pans in Europe. Way to trash your local name.

Licensing your name doesn't work the same in 2024 as 1994. Don't do it.

ericjmorey a day ago | root | parent | next |

More concisely, why should anyone who, due to these explosions, does not trust devices branded as Gold Apollo care about a distinction between a product using a licensed trademark vs a product that has been contracted out for production of products using the brand name they own?

account42 a day ago | root | parent |

Or to really drive the point home, the only reason we give companies exclusive control over certain names (trademarks) is so that they can build a reputation. If companies are going to just license out the names to whoever gives them money anyway then we might as well get rid of trademarks entirely and let anybody produce crap knock off products without having to pay a trademark owner.

belorn a day ago | root | parent | next |

I suspect from a company perspective, it is all just different degree of relying on a supply chain. Any company that outsource production that goes directly to customers are relying on reputation and contracts, and the assumption that they can apologize to customers and change supplier when/if something goes wrong. I seem to hear that a common practice is to do random sampling in order to do quality control, but in terms of supply chain attacks it wouldn't do much good if the attacker is a state actor with the ability to create non-tampered version.

isubkhankulov a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I think thats already happening in major ways due to online shopping where reviews mean more than brand for some imported goods. Brand names for consumer goods on my Amazon search results are often completely made up and often temporary.

Y_Y a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

TIL Canadians call Tefal t-fal

account42 a day ago | root | parent | next |

Ironically this appears to be because another company wanted to protect its trademark.

> In the United States, Tefal is marketed as T-fal. This is to comply with DuPont's objection that the name "Tefal" was too close to DuPont's trademark "Teflon". The T-fal brand is also used in Canada and Japan.

cryptonector a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It's difficult enough to secure the supply chain towards the OEM as it is. It's nigh impossible for a vendor/OEM to secure the supply chain towards retail and distribution, not relative to nation-state attackers of great sophistication and with huge budgets. This sort of thing could happen with any smartphone, any feature phone, laptops, etc. Though it was a lot easier to mount this attack given an order for thousands of units from one company.

msh a day ago | root | parent |

> This sort of thing could happen with any smartphone

The amount of intelligence services that could pull this off if you ordered iphones directly from apple is very very low.

pvaldes 21 hours ago | root | parent |

A man in the middle redirecting to a fake web page could be enough to create an opportunity. I assume that in some countries hacking the internet could be still possible.

Or a terrorist could sell phones on the street for months, use them as sleeping devices, and wait until a big holiday or the super-bowl to spread chaos massively with minimum risk for him/her. So now we everybody need a way to be able to scan our devices and detect that risk ASAP. The Mossad still don't understand the mess that had created for every westerner by opening this door.

echoangle 17 hours ago | root | parent |

How would you man in the middle a website or “hack the internet”? Every modern browser uses TLS.

pvaldes 16 hours ago | root | parent | next |

I wouldn't, but I assume that somebody with knowledge and motivation could. Phishing is still a problem. Do every country use modern browsers?

(UPDATED: I really wrote Fishing? LOL)

xattt a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It’s okay. CTC bought Paderno, a Prince Edward Island perennial, to juice out more brand value after they’re done sucking T-Fal dry.

I don’t think they’ve started including explosives in their product yet.

bbarnett a day ago | root | parent |

CTC bought Paderno, a Prince Edward Island perennial, to juice out more brand value after they’re done sucking T-Fal dry.

It's worse than that.

Panerno, a high quality manufacturer of stainless steel cookware, using North American steel, was indeed bought by Canadian Tire.

Immediately after purchase, the factory was sold to a Chinese firm, who wanted to import crappy Chinese steel, but still label cookware "Made in Canada".

It is their ingress into the North American market.

And as Paderno's plant is gone, it means that Paderno of Canadian Tire is now made with Chinese steel, not North American steel, and built to lowest quality standards.

But of course it still says "Made in Canada".

Canadian Tire has boasted in earning reports that more than 60% of its profits now come from its own brands. Often like this, quality brands bought and turned into junk.

This is one pf the reasons why many jurisdictions in Canada have warranty laws that say the retailer is liable too.

glitchc a day ago | root | parent |

Just one quibble: Made in China doesn't automatically mean junk. Case in point: The iPhone. When it comes to Chinese manufacturing, they cater to all price points in the marketplace.

bbarnett a day ago | root | parent |

Apple's size and scope, along with direct control of production to force a high quality product helps.

Including knowledge transfer, tooling assistance, trade secrets at the start.

But the truth is, even if you can find a rare product such as this, which is really Chinese assembly with US know how, direct control, and methods, 99.999% if the stuff you buy when Made ib China will be... junk.

The exception to the rule is not relevant. Made in China means "junk".

glitchc 19 hours ago | root | parent | next |

It's not just Apple. You can buy a forged spanner (and other tools) from China that can beat the pants off of any domestically made version. It's all about what the distributor/brand will pay for.

vbezhenar a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This is just wrong. You can buy junk in China and you can buy very quality products in China. They launch rovers to the literal Moon. They produce 7nm chips. This is not junk, this is state of art.

bbarnett a day ago | root | parent |

This is just wrong. You can buy junk in China and you can buy very quality products in China

Even if true, irrelevant, because for the rest of the wotld, my statements stand true.

Put another way, let's say I put all Made in China products I can buy in Canada, into a room. Millions of them, surely.

Now I am to pick a product at random. Will it be junk? Yes. Out of those millions and millions of products, maybe 10 or 20 wouldn't be junk.

Everyone knows this, because it's true. It doesn't matter why, for what reason, all that matters is that it's true.

vbezhenar 9 hours ago | root | parent |

That's your own personal experience. I don't buy junk and if I would repeat that experiment, it's very likely that I'd pick up, e.g. Fluke multimeter or some old iPhone I'm keeping around.

bbarnett 4 hours ago | root | parent |

My example has nothing to do with what you personally buy, and instead with "what is Made in China" in a local market. I am referring to both reality, and perception.

If you have millions upon millions of products, and only a tiny, tiny, tiny number are of OK quality, then it's entirely fair to say "Made in China" is junk. That's how it works. Exceptions to the rule are simply that, and not relevant.

If a company makes fridges, and 1 model out of 100 are OK, the other 99 crap that breaks in 2 to 3 years, everyone would say "That company makes junk!". Referencing "But they made one good fridge once!" is not something anyone need care about, and is the exception to the rule.

Yet with Made in China, we're talking about a million junky, sub-par products, compared to 1 that may be acceptable. And even then, quality control is still an issue.

Made in China is junk, an entirely fair, reasonable, logical statement, predicated upon the reality of the situation for most people.

chmod775 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

If I could maintain a worldview that simple my life would be so much easier.

xattt a day ago | root | parent |

Manufacturing in the PRC defaults to “cheap-as-possible” mode if the specs aren’t explicitly laid out. Think stinky black plastic and sharp metal edges.

Most of the time, the default is compatible with what the free-market MBA crowd wants.

rafale a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It's unreasonable to expect a small companies to have rogue nation states in their threat model. Apple, Microsoft, ... yeah but not a smaller business.

account42 a day ago | root | parent |

Correct, but the country hosting those companies should. Of course since this is Israel, I doubt the EU is going to demand an answer.

light_hue_1 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Oh wow!

I never understood why I felt that t-fal was garbage in Canada but mediocre in the US. Now it makes sense: they're totally different products.

4gotunameagain a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Where is the line between war and terrorism ?

This attack is quite indiscriminate. There are already videos circulating of random people being collateral damage.

Israel is losing the support of people more and more, and all that due to the crusade of Netanyahu to stay in power and to not be imprisoned for his former crimes.

Despicable. So much human suffering and for what ?

SenorKimchi a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Where is the line between war and terrorism ?

Easy. When it is you or your allies committing an act, it is war and collateral damage. When it is someone else, it is terrorism.

It is often a difficult topic to discuss because both sides tend to be in the wrong. It ends up being asymmetrical warfare. The stronger side accuses the weaker of hiding behind civilians while the weaker side accuses the stronger of human rights violations.

As sad as this case is, I find it pretty interesting since it is clearly an extrajudicial act of violence carried out in a foreign land. The west will likely celebrate this, but I personally find this much worse than the Indian assassination that took place in Canada "recently" and didn't have significant collateral damage, yet the west was up in arms about.

funnybeam a day ago | root | parent | next |

Terrorism is attacking civilian targets in order to create political pressure from fear.

War is attacking military targets to reduce the enemy’s capability to wage war against you.

Civilian target = terrorism

Military target = war

There absolutely are grey areas and overlap between the two but not nearly as much as people like to make out.

SenorKimchi a day ago | root | parent | next |

Is the target the relevant piece or is it actual impact? If you have a single military target who is known to use X brand phone, is it war to kill 5,000 people to get this one target? Is it not instilling terror on the people who use those devices?

It is this rationalization that enables powers to bomb civilians and ethnic groups under the guise of targeting military targets who stand no chance if they segregate themselves from the populace due to the power dynamics. And then the cycle only continues as each side adds fuel to the fire.

belorn 20 hours ago | root | parent | next |

The actually impact of every war since (a very long time) are that more civilians are killed and harmed than military personal. Looking at the statistics produced by the US military on the iraq war, civilian deaths was 3x of enemy combatants. UN has estimated that globally, modern wars has an 10:1 ration of civilian deaths to military combatants.

Looking at it from that perspective there is no line between war and terrorism. All wars are terrorism.

ilbeeper 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

> targeting military targets who stand no chance if they segregate themselves from the populace due to the power dynamics

This is flawed rational. If you can't find any parking lot you keep driving, it doesn't allow you to double park and block someone else's car. If you are too weak to maintain your posture at war you shouldn't fight it on the backs of civilians. Your inability to execute your wishes legitimately doesn't provide you with any right to act illegitimately and inflict the cost and pain on others.

beedeebeedee 20 hours ago | root | parent |

> If you can't find any parking lot you keep driving, it doesn't allow you to double park and block someone else's car. If you are too weak to maintain your posture at war you should't fight it on the backs of civilians.

That cuts both ways. Just like hamas should not hide amongst civilians, if Israel is too weak to go into Gaza to arrest hamas, it has no excuse to act illegitimately and bomb civilians.

beltsazar 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

But if they hide amongst civilians and Israel is too weak, what do you suggest Israel should do instead?

beedeebeedee 18 hours ago | root | parent |

Try a different approach than engaging in war/apartheid. The practice of the IDF "mowing the grass" by harming civilians has been long established and commented on. Certain Israeli politicians also empowered Hamas, in order to divide and discredit the Palestinians, so that they would not be in a suitable position to negotiate an end to the conflict. Practices like that do not produce peace. I suggest Israel do its best to look at its role in this conflict (and not just Hamas's) and then act in good faith to bring about peace, so that there are no more terrorist attacks like Oct. 7.

beltsazar 18 hours ago | root | parent |

Oct 7 happened and you're suggesting a different approach than a war, i.e. diplomatic solutions? That's too naive—not even the most pacifist country would do that.

And let's not pretend that no diplomatic solutions have been proposed, all of which were rejected. They will only accept it if they own every inch of the land and Israel is obliterated (their own word).

beedeebeedee 18 hours ago | root | parent |

> Oct 7 happened and you're suggesting a different approach than a war, i.e. diplomatic solutions? That's too naive

The actions that led up to Oct. 7 long predate it. The seeds of this have been sown every year that the IDF "mowed the grass" and every time they tried to disrupt the PLO from negotiating a peace. Remember, an Israeli prime minister was assassinated for seeking and negotiating peace- not by the Palestinians but by a radical Israeli, whose politics are aligned with the current prime minister. This current prime minister has used his long time in office to disrupt and prevent any peace from occurring.

exodust 2 hours ago | root | parent |

> The seeds of this have been sown...

The disappointing logic there is the idea that historical conflict of any kind, anywhere on Earth, could possibly "seed" an atrocity like Oct 7. The sheer ferocity, scale and cruelty of 3,000 terrorists storming across the border to gleefully slaughter and capture civilians young and old, is somehow reduced to "oh well, they had it coming"... "oh well, the seeds were sown"?

In my view, that is a very dark and troubling position. I will never in my lifetime form the view that Oct 7 was anything other than crossing all lines. It was end-game stuff. Standing alone in measures of evil, it therefore needs dealing with on those terms. Civilised humanity should be uniting against that senseless barbarism including renewed focus on the deeper causes and future remedies for fanatical violent groups.

This may be why many of are divided: Those who believe Oct7 crossed all lines; and those who believe Oct7 was horrific but within "resistance" seed-sowing territory. We all want peace, but it amazes me the latter has any traction at all.

km3r 18 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

beedeebeedee 17 hours ago | root | parent |

This is not a war between sovereign states.

km3r 17 hours ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

beedeebeedee 16 hours ago | root | parent |

That was not a conflict within a state. No one expected the US military to attack ISIS members within the US- that is clearly a police and judicial matter (and was thankfully treated as such).

km3r 15 hours ago | root | parent |

Sorry but the failure of the state to contain the terrorist organization within it does not mean Israel should be expected to sit there and be attacked. Any country, when its citizens are attacked, have a right and a duty to respond.

Or maybe you are confused and think some how Israel has security control within Lebanon? Which is clearly not true.

troyvit 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I mostly agree with you, but I also agree with a parent comment that part of that gray area depends on who's side you're on. For instance:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Beirut_barracks_bombings

That was a Marine barracks that was part of a "military peacekeeping operation". Granted, 128 non-military Americans were injured, but all of the dead people were military. The U.S. politicians labelled it terrorism.

echoangle 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Doesn’t matter for the point but the article says 6 civilians were killed, it doesn’t seem like all of the dead people were military.

harimau777 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Overall I agree. However, the difficulty that I see is when someone attacks a, sometimes nominally, military target in a situation or method where it will unreasonably injure or kill civilians. Or even when the military target is mostly an excuse to target civilians.

I think it can also get less clear when the target is an enemy's infrastructure, industry, or political infrastructure.

ilbeeper 21 hours ago | root | parent |

If an army unreasonably kills or injure civilians it will most probably be considered a war crime. Committing war crime is not necessarily better than being a terrorist, but it's different.

lazide a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Who decides what is a civilian vs military target?

Fire bombing Dresden or Tokyo - terrorism, or war?

Nighttime Bombing a factory that produces ball bearings - terrorism, or war?

underlipton 11 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Fort Hood?

>On November 5, 2009, a mass shooting took place at Fort Hood (now Fort Cavazos), near Killeen, Texas.[1] Nidal Hasan, a U.S. Army major and psychiatrist, fatally shot 13 people and injured more than 30 others.[2][3] It was the deadliest mass shooting on an American military base and the deadliest terrorist attack in the United States since the September 11 attacks until it was surpassed by the San Bernardino attack in 2015.[4]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Fort_Hood_shooting

ada1981 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Exactly this >Easy. When it is you or your allies committing an act, it is war and collateral damage. When it is someone else, it is terrorism. <

Terrorism is a statecraft term of art used as part of a propaganda campaign. Outside of that is a meaningless term.

soferio a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This military response was the opposite of indiscriminate. It was proportionate and targeted. It focussed as best as anyone ever could on the precise set of people who (hiding among their own civilians) have been launching hundreds of inaccurate rockets to kill Israeli civilians - for months.

ignoramous a day ago | root | parent | next |

> It focused as best as anyone ever could

It isn't the "best ever" as there was no guarantee the pagers were worn only by combatants. As of now, of the 9 dead, 1/3rd are definitely not: 2 children & 1 woman.

> set of people who (hiding among their own civilians)

These people should always wear military uniform and live in a separate neighborhood even when they're not on duty? What do you propose?

> have been launching hundreds of inaccurate rockets

Guess what else is also reckless and killed civilians? https://www.stephensemler.com/p/israel-has-fired-over-11k-mu...

ibejoeb a day ago | root | parent |

>These people should always wear military uniform and live in a separate neighborhood

That is on the table, yes. Otherwise, while they mingle with civilians, it's clear that the civilians are in danger. If I'm one of them, and I'm intent on persuing this action, moving to military quarters is going to come to mind.

Imagine one of those pagers, hip height, at a shop queue or bus stop. Or you're on a bike in traffic next to one of them.

Everything about this sucks. It absolutely is indiscriminate. It's different than droning a guy at his house and accepting his wife as collateral damange. This is 3,000+ maiming explosive devices scattered all about with no way of mitigating the collateral damange.

harimau777 a day ago | root | parent |

I definitely agree that it's a problem that fighters are dispersed among the civilian population. However, requiring them to wear uniforms and live on a base seems like it would make it impossible for a smaller force or an insurgency to stand up to a more powerful enemy that is able to wipe out any obvious military target at will.

What's the alternative that doesn't give powerful nations more or less absolute power to push around weaker nations or people?

ibejoeb a day ago | root | parent | next |

I don't think anyone, especially civilians, love the idea of militants hiding among the population. I don't know why they must in order to stand up to a more powerful adversary. Regardless, this isn't some kind of rule. It's more of a consideration for that individual, like "should I be hanging out at home with my family while I'm engaged in a dirty war with an adversary that is willing to strike my family to get me?"

1. It's really rather common for active duty military to segregate themselves in combat zones. One of the reasons is that there is mutual benefit in reducing the exposure of civilians.

2. There is no alternative to a powerful entity getting its way. We have the word power simply to describe that capability. It's not an annointed status.

harimau777 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Guerrilla warfare has been a reliable way for a less powerful entity to resist a more powerful one. However, it often requires the less powerful entity to hide within the general population; which results in the problem that we are seeing here.

echoangle 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Being reliable doesn’t mean it isn’t a war crime. If you hide among the general population, you might be committing war crimes, even when it works.

harimau777 8 hours ago | root | parent | next |

That could very well be. However, you aren't really engaging with the point I'm making. If weaker powers aren't supposed to do guerrilla warfare, then what are they supposed to do? Just letting other groups roll over them isn't a viable option.

underlipton 11 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Likewise, if you target enemy personnel knowing that civilians are going to be the primary victims, you might be committing war crimes, even when it works.

readams a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Using civilians as human shields is a war crime. You are advocating for war crimes.

ignoramous 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

"By the same token, it's totally fine for Hezbollah to raze Tel Aviv, because the IDF is based there, thus using civilians as human shields. And almost all Israelis become soldiers at age 18."

https://x.com/Frances_Coppola/status/1836331295770632514 / https://ghostarchive.org/archive/QWVJ0

HDThoreaun 16 hours ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

HDThoreaun 11 hours ago | root | parent |

I agree, both sides act with extreme disregard for the other side. Blaming Israel ignores that Hamas and Hezbollah and Iran are constantly provoking them, blaming Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran ignores that Israel is constantly provoking them. Going back and forth with "theyre terrorists" only leads to more terrorism.

harimau777 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

I'm not advocating for anything. I'm just saying that it's unrealistic to expect people to just roll over for an enemy with greater conventional warfare capability.

Hiding among the civilian population is bad, but so is a situation where powerful states can oppress others without any check.

Personally, I'm not sure what a better alternative is. Which is why I asked my question.

oneeyedpigeon a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Do we know approximately how many terrorists were killed and how many civilians were killed? Do we know what steps Israel took—if any—to prevent the target pagers from falling into civilian hands?

H8crilA a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Dropping kilotons of aviation bombs on a populated city is indiscriminate. This is nothing in comparison to that. Frankly I would even call this surgical.

abalone a day ago | root | parent | next |

There is no question that an enemy setting off thousands of small bombs in American supermarkets and homes, maiming unknown numbers of bystanders and killing children, would be designated an act of mass terrorism.

Anyone who claimed such mass terrorism is acceptable because it is not as bad as obliterating cities would be condemned as an apologist for terrorism.

light_hue_1 a day ago | root | parent |

They didn't indiscriminately set off thousands of bombs in supermarkets and homes. That's not at all an accurate description of what happened. That would be terrorism.

They gave a terrorist organization the ability to give its most important operatives a bomb to wear. And then they detonated that bomb. That's not terrorism. It's about as targeted of an attack as you can imagine. Blowing up terrorists is objectively a good thing.

abalone a day ago | root | parent | next |

They detonated the bombs in supermarkets and homes. It is 100% an accurate description of what happened.

If an enemy targeted members of American political parties that have sponsored terrorism and brutal dictatorships, detonating thousands of bombs in supermarkets and homes maiming nearby civilians and killing children, would you also call this “objectively a good thing?”

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

The bombs didn't even have enough force to kill 99.6% of people who had them attached physically to their waists. Semantically, that's a pretty big difference.

ignoramous a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Ah, that magic word terrorist to justify any heinous crime. Funny how it always is folks in the Middle East who are.

oytis a day ago | root | parent |

Not always. There was IRA, there was RAF, there was ETA. It's just in Middle East this problem is much bigger today, to the point where terrorist organisations can have whole countries under their control.

lupusreal a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The non-euphemistic term for that kind of bombing is "terror bombing". It is called "strategic bombing" by those who wish to sanitize it.

Anyway, these are both terror tactics, you're setting up a false dichotomy.

JumpCrisscross a day ago | root | parent |

> these are both terror tactics, you're setting up a false dichotomy

Eh, there is utility to this attack beyond terror. Israel just simultaneously took out Hezbollah’s communications and definitively outed its senior members. Also, strategic bombing à la WWII wasn’t psychological—it was intended to wipe out the civilian population that worked in the war factories.

States engage in what you call terror tactics all the time, for legitimate military and illegitimate reasons. The clusterfuck with the Middle East is the sheer number of non-state actors. In Gaza, that’s complicated. But in Lebanon, it’s not—-the Lebanese state is widely recognised. Hezbollah is not a state, but it’s also not purely a political party.

lupusreal a day ago | root | parent |

> Eh, there is utility to this attack beyond terror

As there was in bombing civilian cities, which housed factory workers making war machines. You have put up another false dichotomy. Terror attacks do not need to be devoid of all non-terror utility to be considered terror attacks.

If, during America's war in Afghanistan, the Taliban had blown up pagers carried by American officers going about their lives in America it would be called terrorism. The nearby civilians injured in the blasts would be a key focus, not swept under the rug.

JumpCrisscross a day ago | root | parent |

> If, during America's war in Afghanistan, the Taliban had blown up pagers carried by American officers going about their lives in America it would be called terrorism. The nearby civilians injured in the blasts would be a key focus, not swept under the rug.

Because they’re a non-state actor. (Hezbollah doesn’t follow and isn’t bound by the Geneva Conventions, either.) Even if it only hit American military personnel, we’d call it terrorism.

You’re labelling usual acts of war as terrorism. That punts us from the uncomfortable discussion of the human cost of war to the much more palatable one of semantics. This is war. War resembles terrorism because they’re both violent and brutal and largely indiscriminate. If this is terrorism, then we’re essentially saying any warfare is terrorism. If that is the case, then states have a legitimate right to terrorism. Not sure that’s where we want to end up.

chii a day ago | root | parent | next |

> If this is terrorism, then we’re essentially saying any warfare is terrorism.

terrorism is primarily violence targeted at civilians, while legitimate acts of war targets military personnel (but could have civilians as collateral).

In this particular case, the pagers are targeted at non-civilian personnel, but has some civilian casualties.

Hezbollah rocket attacks, on the other hand, seems to be targeting civilians first, and military personels second (if they are accurate enough for such).

JumpCrisscross a day ago | root | parent |

> terrorism is primarily violence targeted at civilians, while legitimate acts of war targets military personnel

States targeting civilians are a war crime. Not terrorism. The hijacking of Flight 77 was still terrorism despite targeting the Pentagon.

> the pagers are targeted at non-civilian personnel, but has some civilian casualties

That is war. That is collateral damage. Marking every military action with civilian casualties terrorism simply normalises terrorism as a legitimate war tactic.

I want to note that you are not wrong. There are many definitions of terrorism [1]. I’m just pushing back on this usage because it looks like the first step to normalising terrorism as something every power that has ever gone to war has done.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Definition_of_terrorism

lupusreal 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

The Taliban was/is not a "non-state actor", they are and were the government of Afghanistan. And whether or not they were that has no bearing on whether or not a tactic is terrorism.

4gotunameagain a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There is no way to control where the pagers will end up. No way to control who will be near them, even if they are owned by a target.

You do know that carpet bombing is a war crime by Geneva Conventions ?

EmptyCoffeeCup 20 hours ago | root | parent | next |

What do you mean? You fire out the "detonate" command on the frequency used by Hezbollah - only pagers connected to that network blow.

It's statistically probable you'll overwhelmingly damage terrorists. Sadly collateral damage is inevitable in war, and this is far more precise than even a laser guided bomb.

ilbeeper 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Carpet bombing is a large area bombardment done in a progressive manner to inflict damage in every part of a selected area of land. (From Wikipedia).

In what way does the pagers attack resemble covering an entire area with a carpet of bombs?

beeboobaa3 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

You're shopping for groceries. someone is standing next to you. Their pager explodes and you are severely injured. You never had anything to do with this war.

Still think it's surgical? By that definition 9/11 was surgical as well, after all they only targeted two towers and just a few people who happened to be there got hurt.

babkayaga a day ago | root | parent | next |

surely more surgical than what these guys were doing, which is repeatedly shoot missiles at densely populated areas, for months.

beeboobaa3 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Two wrongs don't make a right.

The US could just drop nukes on any country they have a trade dispute with. They don't, because that is insane and disproportionate and they have the capability to do better than that.

What Israel did here is something you would expect from a terrorist organization.

H8crilA a day ago | root | parent | prev |

In comparison to bombing to smithereens the entire block, and having hundreds/thousands of people die under the rubble, some of them over the course of days - yes.

Do you know that 100 is more than 1? Some people get confused by simple arithmetic.

yes52721 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Exactly this. It's interesting how I haven't been able to find any single media portraying this as a possible act of terror while they have been quite critical of conduct in Gaza. I hope this changes as there really needs to be a reckoning with the idea of bombs randomly triggered anywhere, maybe hospitals, schools, theaters.

lm28469 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It's so weird that this super mild take is downvoted on HN... I got the same yesterday.

Everything has to be binary, good vs evil, once you pick your side you have to ignore everything that compromises your idyllic vision.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

It's downvoted because it's the definition of proportional.

3g of explosives personally handed to the most senior leadership of your enemy and with enough explosive force that 98% of people who had them attached to their person survived is the very definition of restrained and targeted. Certainly not "indiscriminate".

cultureswitch a day ago | root | parent | next |

Stuffing explosives into civilian appliances is the definition of indiscriminate.

If doing this isn't already banned by the Geneva Conventions, it is only because it wasn't practical to do. But then again, very little that has happened in this region during the last 80 years has been following any international law.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

hardly, pagers might be accessible by the population, but hand delivered pagers distributed by a terror organisation are not exactly the same.

Panasonic Toughbooks are technically available to the civilian population, but booby trapping a shipment of them that would be delivered to the US military would be a pretty sophisticated military strike. Hardly indiscriminite even if people took them home.

lm28469 a day ago | root | parent |

> hardly, pagers might be accessible by the population, but hand delivered pagers distributed by a terror organisation are not exactly the same.

Over god knows how many months you don't think they would spread ?

You don't think a dad would gift a pager to his kids or wife to stay in touch ?

dijit a day ago | root | parent | next |

No, I don't.

If the US military gives you a laptop, you don't give it to your kids for schoolwork.

scbrg 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Not all organizations work as the US military. Or even as a US company.

I know nothing about Hezbollah, but there's a widespread opinion on HN that any equipment you get from "work" can absolutely only be used by yourself in said work environment. That's really not the case in all cultures, everywhere.

At my previous job, management clearly told us that we could use computers & printers for any personal activity, including paid side jobs, as long as we didn't compete with the company and didn't go completely overboard with the printers (personal judgement).

Not every organization is hostile to its employees/members.

I'm guessing Hezbollah is not comparable to the US military in many respects, and assumptions that hold true for the US military may not hold true for any other military or paramilitary group.

That said, I don't have particularly strong opinions about this attack, and I certainly do not support Hezbollah in any way. But this "it works like this here, therefore it works like this everywhere" mentality is a hindrance to understanding the situation - any situation.

dijit 21 hours ago | root | parent |

If you're giving your personal communication devices away, given that it's used to summon you personally...

... honestly?

I have no words, that's fucking stupid.

It's not like it's a toy, or it can play games, or that it can be used reach out to a parent/guardian if a child is lost.

It's a pager, a receive only communication tool. An outmoded one by far, and given to you by your terrorist organisation to intentionally evade Israeli detection.

If you're giving it to your children, not only are you basically being negligent in your duties, you're also giving away something that has less utility than the device you used to use and likely have on standby.

scbrg 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Perhaps. Still, in any pool of 3000 people it's fairly reasonable to assume that one or two (or ~2950) are "fucking stupid". Because people, as a rule, are.

If I'd let my prejudice run loose, I'd even argue that militant religious groups have an above average quota of "fucking stupid" people, so odds are indeed fairly good that some of these devices would make it into the hands of someone other than the original owner.

Some would argue that "being related to someone who is fucking stupid" is not a capital offence.

dijit 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Alright, let's take this in the context in which it's been given to us then.

-> Your task is to, with as much accuracy as possible and with the minimum loss of civilian lives as possible, target a hostile force that lives within the population and does not identify themselves. They live outside of your borders.

-> If even a single non-combatant is lost, you are a monster.

-> In the mean time, every month that passes, hundreds of rockets rain down indiscriminate destruction upon your country, an action that has cost the lives of 12 children already.

How do?

scbrg 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Why are you asking me? I'm not even arguing that the attack was wrong.

I just challenged your - IMO incorrect - suggestion that it's reasonable to assume that no devices would spread to anyone other than the original owner.

If there's such a thing as acceptable collateral damage, the attack may still be reasonable. I'm even leaning towards the opinion that it is.

It's possible to consider the downsides of something without being opposed to it.

lm28469 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

> If the US military gives you a laptop, you don't give it to your kids for schoolwork.

And how does the US army relate to the hezbollah ?

ilbeeper 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Are you seriously suggesting that you would give away a pager, handed to you by your operator so that he can send you messages, a one-way legacy communication device selected as as an alternative for standard common cellphone specifically to avoid the risk of you being tracked by an enemy?

lm28469 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> It's downvoted because it's the definition of proportional.

Two wrongs don't make a right... are we really at that level of brain activity on HN of all places ? this is schoolyard level

You can have proportional terrorism, proportional war crimes, proportional crimes against humanity. Proportionality doesn't tell you much, it certainly doesn't tell you anything about it being indiscriminate or not

> Certainly not "indiscriminate".

Cool, go tell that to the two kids who died: https://www.rte.ie/news/2024/0918/1470609-hezbollah-israel/

Also feel free to read the actual texts defining these things, detonating explosives in supermarkets is indiscriminate by nature, there is just no way around it if you're in good faith : https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule12

Both sides are clearly operating out of the boundaries we defined for conventional wars, is it really that hard to accept ? They're not even trying to hide it really... such a strange allergic reaction to these basic facts

nahumfarchi a day ago | root | parent |

Proportionality is at the center of defining a war crime.

"The principle of proportionality (Article 51(5) (b) API) states that even if there is a clear military target it is not possible to attack it if the expected harm to civilians, or civilian property, is excessive in relation to the expected military advantage."

https://www.diakonia.se/ihl/resources/international-humanita...

So, the case that Israel has to make here is that the expected millitary advantage from the operation exceeds the collateral damage. The fact that civilians died doesn't automatically make it a war crime from an international law point of view.

mempko 21 hours ago | root | parent |

I don't believe those children who died care about definitions. In fact they don't care much about anything anymore since they are dead.

dijit 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Appeal to emotion is harder to take seriously when Hezbollah rockets killed 12 children this year alone.

beedeebeedee 20 hours ago | root | parent |

Appeal to not be emotional is even harder to take seriously when Hezbollah rockets killed 12 children and Israel has killed 10,000 children this year alone.

dijit 20 hours ago | root | parent |

You’ve put me in a bad position, because by telling you you’re wrong you will interpret it as if its reasonable.

First, we’re talking about Lebanon and its population, lets not muddy the waters further by suggesting that Hamas and Gaza are part of that conflict right now. But if we did, as far as I can make out, for the entire duration of the war since 10/7 there has been a total of 7,500 children identified as being killed. Sadly that number is not backed up by any independent source and unfortunately Hamas has been known to inflate these numbers.

Nonetheless, it is a tragedy.

An entirely unrelated tragedy to the 12:1 child murder ratio of Hezbollah vs IDF this year, and under entirely different circumstances.

I would prefer more interventions in Gaza to mirror this one in its precision and lack of civilian casualties.

I’m certain that you would prefer no intervention happen at all, which is where we will have to fundamentally disagree and part ways.

beedeebeedee 20 hours ago | root | parent |

> as far as I can make out ... there has been a total of 7,500 children killed

I said 10,000 for this year, which is lower than the amount coming from Gaza. You low balled it much further. Hamas might be accused for inflating numbers, but Israeli apologists are actively deflating that number. Regardless, the numbers are staggering.

> I'm certain that you would prefer no intervention ...

Firstly, you don't know me but have immediately filled in who you believe I am based on your expectations. You should reflect on that (and how much you are creating your own world), because those prejudices are exactly what motivate the hate that drives these conflicts.

I would like to see intervention in Gaza. Number one, would be to stop the indiscriminate bombing of children. Number two, would be to provide relief to all of the people who have lost their homes and livelihood, who have been maimed and are starving. Number three, would be to resolve the displacement of the Palestinians in a just manner. Number four, would be judicial proceedings against anyone (Palestinian or Israeli) who committed war crimes.

Israel cannot be bombing civilians. It is a war crime. Gaza is not a sovereign state, but a displaced people living in Israel. If Israel is too weak to go in and arrest criminals who commit heinous crimes, then it needs to contend with the problem and take a different approach to how it deals with the Palestinian people.

dijit 19 hours ago | root | parent |

I can find literally no source for 10.000+ outside of the UN "estimating" it, the nearest I could find was 7.500 and that's not verified (and old). I'm not trying to downplay anything and I resent the implicaiton.

I'm perfectly content holding Israel to account for their numerous crimes, but that becomes extremely difficult to do when you have literal terrorists doing everything they can to make things as bloody and cantankerous as humanly possible to cast shadows at Israel.

Bombing civilians is not technically a war crime in of itself, people like to use the word war crime without actually fucking reading what are war crimes, such as not identifying yourself as military, hiding in the population, using medical buildings as cover and so forth.

Israeli's settling the west-bank and blockading aid under the guise of "the more material they have, the more they will use against us" is condemdable; but when 5,000 rockets suddenly launch from Gaza and a ground force invasion kills over a thousand people -- people reasonably start to think that Israel has a point, and all my criticisms against Israel suddenly start to look very impotent.

Where I get annoyed is that people have decided that terrorists are good, actually, despite clearly throwing gay people off of roofs and engaging in what are actual war crimes.

In fact, the number I go from my source was also just Gaza's health ministry telling the UN; it's never been independently verified as far as I can tell; https://www.npr.org/2024/05/15/1251265727/un-gaza-death-toll...

beedeebeedee 19 hours ago | root | parent |

> I can find literally no source for 10.000+ outside of the UN "estimating" it, the nearest I could find was 7.500 and that's not verified (and old). I'm not trying to downplay anything and I resent the implication.

16,500 children (Updated Sept 17. 2024) https://www.aljazeera.com/news/longform/2023/10/9/israel-ham...

You resent the implication, but you also did not appear to do any research to support your view.

> Bombing civilians is not technically a war crime in of itself, people like to use the word war crime without actually fucking reading what are war crimes, such as not identifying yourself as military, hiding in the population, using medical buildings as cover and so forth.

"Laws of war likely ‘consistently violated’ in Israeli strikes on Gaza: UN rights office" https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/06/1151196

Not distinguishing between combatants and civilians, causing indiscriminate death and suffering, collective punishment, etc, are all war crimes.

Once again, you have strong beliefs but have not done your research to back them up. Here is the website for the the Geneva Conventions, so that you can question your self: https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/geneva-conven...

> Israeli's settling the west-bank and blockading aid under the guise of "the more material they have, the more they will use against us" is condemdable

The settlement of the West Bank is in direct violation of international law (article 49 of the Geneva Convention) and is a war crime in itself.

> Where I get annoyed is that people have decided that terrorists are good, actually, despite clearly throwing gay people off of roofs and engaging in what are actual war crimes.

I don't know who thinks "terrorists are good". To me, that sounds like a strawman to avoid the realization that what Israel is doing is deeply wrong.

Even Israeli scholars on genocide like Omer Bartov (a former IDF officer) state "it was no longer possible to deny that Israel was engaged in systematic war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocidal actions."

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/13/israel...

Israel is engaged in war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide. That is painful to acknowledge, but in some ways is not surprising. The victim becoming the victimizer is a human story older than the Bible. The Jewish refugees from WWII underwent terrible horrors and were deeply traumatized. It is not surprising that many of them became radicalized and deeply angry. We have seen the same thing happening to the Palestinians, as well as any other people that is traumatized.

nahumfarchi 18 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Their death is tragic, but such is war unfortunately... Lebanon is participating in this one whether they like to or not.

That aside, these definitions were written for a reason, even if they have no appeal to the current victims.

ibejoeb a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Am I misinformed, or was 3,000? They are the most senior 3,000? When you send out 3,000 explosive into the general population, how do you mitigate the collateral damage? I truly don't know the answers here. I'm under the impression that they all detonated simultaneously, so I'm keen to infer that there was very little thought given to civilians unlucky enough to be in the vicinity.

Man. Blasting off fingers and genitals is really something...

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

Were they not hand-delivered to Hezbollah?

All the information I have seen indicates that they were handed to Hezbollah and distributed by Hezbollah for the intent purpose of avoiding Israeli intelligence services.

ibejoeb a day ago | root | parent |

I'm not disputing that. But that's not where stuff happened. They detonated wherever the recipient happened to be.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

And materially it's different than assassinating them with a pistol because?

lm28469 a day ago | root | parent |

You're arguing in such bad faith...

With your analogy it would be like emptying the mag in the general direction of the car of the target, praying the target actually is in the car and praying there is no one else anywhere close to him.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

Please help me understand then, because from what I can understand about the facts here:

1) It was delivered into the pockets of Senior Leadership of Hezbollah, with an incentive for those pagers not to be distributed elsewhere.

2) The explosive yield was very small, of an estimated 3000 pagers; 12 fatalities were recorded, making the death rate about 0.4%. One of which was a child, a relative of a Hezbollah leader. (this is an unjustifiable tragedy, but the only recorded civilian fatality).

3) There has never been, in the history of all warfare, such a surgically precise attack with such a low casualty rate of the civilian population - considering the attack happened at a singular time where it was not possible to get all of the members away from the civilian population at all.

I'm not sure I understand your reasoning, it's not indiscriminate if it's very targeted and very localised.

lawlessone 20 hours ago | root | parent |

>3) There has never been, in the history of all warfare, such a surgically precise attack with such a low casualty rate of the civilian population

How do you know this ?

That sounds like a canned talking point. Up there with "Most moral army ever".

dijit 20 hours ago | root | parent |

Well, I'm in awe to be perfectly honest with you.

It's like something in a James Bond movie, or a cheesy riff on the genre like Kingsman.

You might not want to acknowledge it, but this is definitely a new era of warfare, and one that hopefully has benefits for everyone - reducing the reliance on global supply chains that harm the environment because labour is cheaper elsewhere. (it's a very thin silver lining, let me have it).

lawlessone 19 hours ago | root | parent |

>Well, I'm in awe to be perfectly honest with you.

Why? They killed 12 people including a child.

If it was bank robbery and the police shot through a child but killed 11 robbers there would be a lot of heads rolling at that police department.

dijit 19 hours ago | root | parent |

No there wouldn't.

Don't be silly, 11 criminals dead and one bystander is well within limits of even a civilian police force, military ones are considered much more broad.

NATO sets the acceptable loss threshold at 4:1; for every 4 combatants killed, 1 civilian is considered acceptable.

It's very fluid, but you'll be hard pressed to find something more conservative than this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilian_casualty_ratio

Yes, this is callous, and cold, and awful, but emotion has no place here, we're talking about people on both sides who feel like they are fighting for their right to exist. This is quite literally war, and there will be casualties.

Truth be told, while I'm not giddy and children dying, I'm glad we're talking about so few civilian casualties despite causing so much damage to Hezbollah operatives and operations.

aguaviva 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Don't be silly, 11 criminals dead and one bystander

You aren't even getting the military-civilian ratio for the first wave right. According to the Lebanese Health Ministry we have at least 6 civilians killed (including 4 healthcare workers and 2 children), so that's at most a 1:1 ratio, far less than the 4:1 rate that you cite as "acceptable". And this doesn't even touch on the vastly larger number of wounded (2,750 just for the first wave).

By all indications these devices were intended to maim even more so to kill -- and to do so a great scale. From Wikipedia:

  At least 12 people were killed after the first wave of attacks,[73][1][74] and more than 2,750 were wounded.[6][7] Civilians were also killed,[11][14][15] including four healthcare workers[75] and two children.[76]  It is not clear if only Hezbollah members were carrying the pagers.[20] Lebanese Health Minister Firass Abiad said the vast majority of those being treated in emergency rooms were in civilian clothing and their Hezbollah affiliation was unclear.[77] He added the casualties included elderly people as well as young children.

dijit 16 hours ago | root | parent |

Interesting, at least 8 were confirmed as hezbollah by hezbollah earlier today[0]. The maths don’t work if they are telling the truth.

50% of 11 is a lot lower than 8.

I suspect that news outlets are picking and choosing “facts” based on their desired narrative already.

[0]: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd7xnelvpepo

aguaviva 12 hours ago | root | parent |

Interesting, it seems there's a conflict between what the Lebanese Health Ministry said, and what Hezbollah said (as of yesterday) -- and you're choosing to go with Hezbollah's numbers.

It does seem that the reports are still coming in, and are in the process of being evaluated and fact-checked. I chose to go by WP because in most cases at least attempts to reconcile between different sources, though it's far from 100 percent accurate about anything.

Hopefully we'll have better numbers within the coming week or so.

einszwei 2 days ago | prev | next |

From Israel's perspective, this supply chain attack was undoubtedly a clever move, but I can't help but wonder about its long-term consequences.

Although it was aimed at harming Israel's adversaries, third-party countries may now hesitate to involve Israel in their supply chains. There's also the risk that other major producers could replicate this tactic, potentially leading to further escalation in the region or beyond.

In the short term, it's a smart strategy for Israel, but they've likely opened Pandora's box in the process.

tomp 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Do you think Hezbollah was buying stuff from Israel, or otherwise using Israeli supply chains?

I think it's far more likely that Mossad has infiltrated whatever foreign (non-Israeli) supply chain they were using.

So this can happen regardless of whether you're using Israeli supply chains or not.

anigbrowl 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I think the point is that if you're not Hezbollah or any kind of political actor, but just a customer for Israeli technology (public or private), would you really want to keep buying it? Leave aside boycotts over Israeli policy, you might be opening yourself to becoming an Israeli attack vector and either find your own interests compromised or become a target of Israel's enemies if they thought you were complicit.

tomp 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

What are you gonna buy? Chinese tech? Iranian tech? Russian tech?

Who do you want to be able to spy on you and compromise your hardware?

Unless you can spin up your own fab (hint: you can't) you're dependent on a hegemon. US/EU/Israel isn't perfect, but pretty much as good as it gets.

frmersdog 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I know that this is rhetorical, but I'm sure an analysis of which country is least likely to leave you exposed to the issues mentioned above could be done. I suppose it also depends on who "you" are, and the threat of communications compromise vs drawing the ire of whoever Israel decides to attack through you. I'm sure there are plenty of countries that would rather be bugged by the Chinese or Iranians than be complicit in a way that opens them to actual armed conflict.

This is another danger of letting Israel swing its sword around without any sort of real condemnation from the US/West: the rationale for geopolitical multi-polarity increases in legitimacy. Pax Americana ends because allying with us doesn't save you from being used as a tool for ends like this. If speculation is correct that Taiwan is involved... Woof.

seydor 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Who do you want to be able to spy on you

I buy chinese IP cameras. China cannot block my bank account / employment / communications.

dijit 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Agreed.

All this fearmongering about telegram and tiktok is weird.

China can decide what it wants from me- I have no plans to visit or engage with regime; however my life is dependent on the US not thinking of me as interesting.

So, the less I give to US companies, the better.

Especially as, being a non-US citizen I have no right to privacy afforded to me in the constitution, and US companies can be forced to comply with the government in secret- much in the same way we consider that China does it to even part-owned China based companies.

ruraljuror a day ago | root | parent | next |

The concern over tiktok is not that Xi’s autocratic regime is surveilling you, but manipulating the algorithms in its large social media market share to foment anti-American (& anti-Israeli) sentiment.

tracerbulletx a day ago | root | parent | next |

Russia seems totally capable of doing that just by paying people and using bots.

Sabinus a day ago | root | parent | next |

Indeed, but that doesn't mean you should expose the youth more to belligerent foreign controlled agitprop information channels.

roenxi a day ago | root | parent |

What is the real risk here? The only thing they can really do is make the case that if China invades Taiwan then the US shouldn't get involved. There problem is they might well be right; if I compare Hong Kong and Ukraine, I'd expect Taiwan would be better off going with the HK model of an "invasion" rather than fighting an actual war with the world's #2 or arguably #1 economy. So I'm not sure what the case is for quelling the message; there are some important issues there to debate.

Even if we start with the questionable idea that the US has the moral and physical might to be deciding where the borders are drawn in Asia; it isn't obvious that TikTok would be influential enough to matter. The military-industrial complex lobbyists in the US have a lot of actual power in pushing for war and experience in getting messages to the public.

ruraljuror a day ago | root | parent | next |

I’m exaggerating a little (but not much): the risk with tiktok is that it is brainwashing Americans—particularly young ones—with anti-American sentiment. Not only does that suck for the individual, but diminishes the civil-service talent pool and weakens US institutions.

It’s like the CCP looked at what social media was doing to mental health and cable news to our political discourse and said “I can do something with that, I’ll take the extra large.”

_djo_ a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They may well be right that the people of Taiwan, a country with a democratically elected government, should just lie down and accept a complete and undemocratic Chinese takeover of their country?

All because China is saying: "Either you submit to us completely voluntarily, or you submit by force, but you will submit"?

That's imperialism.

roenxi a day ago | root | parent | next |

> That's imperialism.

Yep. Just because we don't like something doesn't mean that there are good alternatives. If I were in Tawian, Option A is status quo. Option B is to put the best and brightest into diplomatic posts. And they probably have a stack of other options they're thinking about. But all else failing Option Imperial-Subject is a much better one than Option Taipei-Becomes-A-Pancake-And-Then-Imperial-Subject. If there is going to be war it'd better be war with a credible good outcome to it.

The US could step in and police this back when it was 8x, 4x, 2x the size of China. I'd be surprised if it can now. China is pretty powerful.

_djo_ 21 hours ago | root | parent |

The good alternative is China not wanting to take over a sovereign country, and for the world to gradually normalise Taiwan as a legitimate country.

China has no urgent or pressing self defence need to attack Taiwan. It also does not have a strong legal case to justify taking it over. In any rational sense the strongest case is for China to leave it alone.

Allowing the status quo to continue is better for the people of China, for the people of Taiwan, and for the rest of us around the world.

It's pure imperialist nonsense and we shouldn't seek to legitimise it just because China is powerful.

matwood 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

> What is the real risk here?

You're thinking too literal about what to influence. The more internal divide that foreign powers can amplify, the more likely that US will not/can not intervene in other places around the world.

There's also general propaganda to make people more empathetic towards China/Russia prior to any events occurring.

kelnos a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Sure, there are many avenues to spread this sort of propaganda, but a state-run social media platform can certainly be a lot more effective than someone flooding someone else's social media platform with propaganda.

Assuming the Chinese government is using TikTok for influence campaigns (they'd be foolish not to), they only way to stop it is to outright ban it in your country (which the US seems to be trying to do, with possibly-disastrous effects), or find a way to get your citizens to dislike it (good luck with that).

While Russia is doing pretty well at their influence campaigns on other platforms, those platforms can choose, if they so desire, to step up their detection and banning efforts. It's a constant cat-and-mouse game, of course, but it's at least possible to stamp out most of that crap if you're willing to spend the resources to do so.

ekianjo a day ago | root | parent | prev |

really? any proof?

Brybry a day ago | root | parent | next |

Over the years I have personally found multiple accounts on Twitter/X that appeared to be Russian propaganda trolls (or someone with resources looking to appear that way).

They would pretend to be Americans and pushing certain narratives by retweeting/following/commenting/etc.

I found one that claimed to be a single mother living in the midwest USA. It was using a cropped photo from the personal blog of an Australian woman (who had multiple kids and a husband). If you went far enough back in the history you could find accidental Russian language usage. The timestamp trends in the posting behavior were clearly not American. It followed, and was followed by, other similar troll accounts.

Most recently I found one that claimed to be a 26 year old woman from the US. No reverse image search hits on the English web. But reverse image search with yandex you'd get hits for a couple of vk profile picture databases. From there it was possible to find the actual vk account, which was a Russian woman who clearly was not the same person.

I could link you some of the accounts but the ones I've reported have been banned or deleted by now. I'm sure the US government is wrong on some stuff but there's too much evidence for stuff like the Internet Research Agency to be fake [1]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_Research_Agency

immibis a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Isn't Israel doing enough to foment anti-Israeli sentiment anyway?

Cthulhu_ a day ago | root | parent |

It feels like they're spending more on pro-israel sentiments, and have for decades. A biblical quote about a beam in one's eye comes to mind whenever people go "but china!".

lupusreal a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

My concern with tiktok is that it rots your brain like television, but far more effectively because it's rapid fire content constantly tuned to the individual user to keep them hooked on it. It's an instant gratification machine, effectively a drug, that fries people's attention spans. It has people spending hours a day consuming vapid short-form nonsense, and alters their psyche to make them less effective in other endeavors even when they aren't distracted by the app (particularly school, since it hits children particularly hard.)

The medium is the message.

Woshiwuja a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

voltaireodactyl a day ago | root | parent |

Arguable in general, but certainly not if you’re the American government, which is what is being discussed here.

rakoo a day ago | root | parent | next |

I'm not sure the American pov is really the topic here. This story can have consequences for everyone. The USian government is not the center of the world

olalonde a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I'm not sure why influence should be illegal. What about books and movies? Or even schools and universities? American schools are probably the greatest source of anti-American / anti-Israel sentiment in the country. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXm-NYyWEAA1jNs?format=jpg&name=...

If you believe in freedom of speech, you should also accept that people, including foreign people, may try to influence you. China doesn't believe in freedom of speech so they censor foreign sources of influence. Does America really want to go down that path?

lukan a day ago | root | parent | next |

Books are quite static.

But dynamic algorithms, targeting exactly you, knowing what mood you have in that moment (by analyzing what you have looked at, liked, disliked), what opinions you have etc. opens up a whole different world of influence possibilities amd I think those possibilities are just starting to get explored with AI. The data is already there.

talldayo 15 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

> American schools are probably the greatest source of anti-American / anti-Israel sentiment in the country.

Damn the education system, and it's penchant for teaching the history of colonialism instead of a revisionist policy. What's next, after Mandatory Palestine we'll teach our children about the Civil War and slavery too? What an anti-America sentiment, clearly we need our conservative lawmakers to... I dunno, rewrite history for both countries? Teach feel-good cookie recipes instead of international politics?

As long as America has anti-BDS laws there won't be any freedom of speech in the first place. Our first amendment rights are currently being suspended by international lobbyists that can't handle their share of due criticism. A shame, considering the US does so well to educate others on it's own embarrassing history, but is threatened with a lawsuit when anyone tries to meaningfully criticize Israel.

dghlsakjg a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The constitution does not exclusively apply to US citizens is the good news.

The bad news is that there is no explicit and broad right to privacy in the constitution. You are protected by the fourth amendment requiring a warrant for searches and seizures, but the court has ruled that, citizen or not, if a third party like Meta willingly hands over your info, it’s fair game. L

cryptonector a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

"You have no privacy, get used to it!" -Scott McNealy

Scott was not saying "you should have no privacy"; he was making a statement of fact. That was nearly two decades ago, and he was prescient and right.

PaulDavisThe1st a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> So, the less I give to US companies, the better.

and all of a sudden, you're interesting.

talldayo a day ago | root | parent |

You shouldn't be downvoted, the whole industry ought to know by now that Palantir aggregates multiple international sources of data for sale to American defense agencies. If you're legitimately afraid of America, the internet has few places of refuge.

JumpCrisscross a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> China can decide what it wants from me- I have no plans to visit or engage with regime; however my life is dependent on the US not thinking of me as interesting

If you have something of interest to Beijing and you’re doing something shameful or illegal in America, and they have evidence, they have leverage. This is human asset development 101.

Most people don’t have skills or information relevant to a foreign state. But some do, and for them being mindful about not giving a foreign adversary blackmail leverage is prudent.

nindalf a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> my life is dependent on the US not thinking of me as interesting

Why do people engage in this sort of larping, like they're secret agents or intellectuals that may be hunted at any moment by the grey suits in western governments?

We know it's not true for this person in particular because one click on their HN profile tells you their real name. I stopped there, but I'm sure there is plenty of additional info available with 3-4 more clicks. If they were really so afraid of government reprisal like this larping suggests, maybe they'd attempt to be at least a little pseudo-anonymous.

The actual fact is that 99.9999999999% of us are boring and will remain boring no matter what kind of comments we write on HN. It wouldn't hurt to touch grass once in a while.

babkayaga a day ago | root | parent | prev |

cleber. but china can blackmail you into working for them. you will have no recourse if it does.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

Blackmail me how? By giving information to the people who would have had it otherwise?

Hardly a defensible position to blackmail someone from.

pvaldes 15 hours ago | root | parent |

Anybody that has lots of videos from you could train a deep fake realistic model and create a fake video depicting you committing a major crime. Sadly blackmail is the easier part.

dijit 14 hours ago | root | parent |

I am failing to understand why I would prefer the US to have the ability to do this over China though.

troad a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> US/EU/Israel

A bit of a false bundle there.

The two groups are more like US+Europe+China on one hand and 'misc' on the other. Most people get by without depending on the technology from the 'misc' group at all.

This kind of incident will hurt the Israeli tech sector individually, not some imagined US/EU/Israel tech grouping.

whatnotests2 a day ago | root | parent | next |

Until you look at the cybersecurity industry players. Many big players are based in Tel Aviv

troad a day ago | root | parent | next |

Many more aren't than are.

Just because Slovakia is good at manufacturing cars doesn't mean that car manufacturing is dependent on Slovakia.

flyinglizard a day ago | root | parent |

Many of those that aren't based in Tel Aviv probably have R&D offices in Tel Aviv, as do many of the tech behemoths which you use every day.

sam1r a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

>> Unless you can spin up your own fab (hint: you can't) you're dependent on a hegemon. US/EU/Israel isn't perfect, but pretty much as good as it gets.

It's much easier to spin up your fab tech more so now -- than ever before.

lukan a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

"US/EU/Israel isn't perfect, but pretty much as good as it gets."

I really hope you are wrong about the conclusion.

lukan 20 hours ago | root | parent |

To clarify, obviously I rather live in the EU than in china, but if this system is as good as it gets, then I am quite sceptical for humanities long term survival.

thiagoharry a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I am not aware of chinese or iranian devices exploding and killing people. Spying is not worse than spying and killing. I do not get how do you get the conclusion that US/EU/Israel is as good as it gets if you are a random citizen not from any of these mentioned countries.

gizajob a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Yeah but if you’re dealing with hardware with any kind of Israeli involvement, do you really want to open every single customer unit to make sure one of the capacitors hasn’t been swapped for C4? I think that’s what the poster was indicating. At first I thought yesterday’s action was deviously impressive. Now I’m starting to think it’s actually shortsighted and bizarre. It’s a declaration of war on Lebanon, and obviously a declaration of a war they think they can win, but no good can come of this action.

charbroiled a day ago | root | parent | next |

Israel and Hezbollah have been at war since October 8, when Hezbollah started firing guided rockets at Israel.

Cthulhu_ a day ago | root | parent |

They have been at war since they were founded in 1982, when Israel invaded Lebanon: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1982_Lebanon_War

shwouchk a day ago | root | parent | next |

If you want to run with this argument, they have been at war since 1948, when all of Israel's neighbors including Lebanon invaded Israel following the UN vote to grant Israel statehood and Israel's declaration of independence.

shykes a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> It’s a declaration of war on Lebanon

A few observations:

1. This is an attack against Hezbollah, not Lebanon. The two entities are tightly coupled, but they are not the same.

2. Israel and Hezbollah are already at war. 60,000 Israelis have been displaced because of Hezbollah ongoing rocket and missile attacks. Israel has retaliated in various ways.

TLDR: you can argue that this is an act of war against Hezbollah. But it is not a declaration of war, and it is not against Lebanon.

gizajob a day ago | root | parent |

In Britain, if the mobile phones of 3000 members of the non-governing Conservative Party exploded in their pockets caused by the armed forces of a different state, one could be reasonably assured you just declared open war on Britain.

shykes a day ago | root | parent | next |

For a more accurate analogy, imagine if Conservative Party were a terrorist organization with its own military, took direct orders from Iran, had claimed for itself all of Wales, and had been firing thousands of missiles into France without cooperating in any way with either the British government or army.

Then imagine that France predictably shoots back, and takes great care to specifically target members of that terrorist group.

In this more accurate analogy, would you still say that France declared open war on Britain? I would say no - that the terrorist group is the one that declared war; and that France is clearly engaging in acts of war against that terrorist group, which happens to be embedded in a host country, like a parasite.

pyrale a day ago | root | parent | next |

For a more accurate anology involving Britain, imagine that British secret services decided to detonate pagers belonging to Sinn Fein party members in the territory of the Republic of Ireland.

gizajob a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Yeah I agree with you. It’s also that the situation in the region around Israel is so complex and long-running that there aren’t really appropriate analogies. The two countries are at a state of war that’s fairly obvious regardless of the parties involved. I’m fairly confident Israel given its history in these matters knows what it’s doing and takes actions that will move it toward security and victory, and any potential responses from Hezbolah have been considered and accounted for. One thing that came up for me was if Hezbolah had de-escalated, what would Israel have done with the pagers? It’s clearly a kind of “sleeper” munition, I wonder what the circumstances would have been for them to never use it.

colinb a day ago | root | parent | prev |

What if the pockets of IRA members had exploded (yes, I know. Say 40 years ago when they were doing their share of bombing)? Does anyone seriously dispute that Hezbollah is a proxy army for Iran?

I think your comparison stops holding wage as,soon as you mention the Conservative Party. They just aren’t the same thing as Hezbollah.

nradov a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Exactly. Our concept of sovereign states has become outdated by advances in technology. Up until maybe 1990 even second-tier countries could make just about anything indigenously. It might be a little worse and a little more expensive, but still good enough. Today only China and the USA are fully sovereign in terms of having the capability to build the full spectrum of electronic, communications, and military equipment. (We might outsource some of that to save money but the latent capability and capital reserves are there.) Even with nuclear weapons, India, Russia, UK, and France are only partially sovereign. Other countries can barely even pretend anymore, and their freedom of action will continue to evaporate barring some drastic realignment of the geopolitical order.

implements a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Today only China and the USA are fully sovereign in terms of having the capability to build the full spectrum of electronic, communications, and military equipment.

Not arguing, but I think China still relies on Russia for jet engines - though it’s making great efforts to become self-sufficient there.

(Edit: high performance / high technology jet engines)

account42 a day ago | root | parent | next |

Are those jet engines the only option for China or are they just the best option. Because if you require state of the art tech then everyone still relies on Taiwan (TSMC).

nradov a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Yes, China has struggled with the metallurgy necessary for advanced turbine engines. They seem to have made significant progress recently.

https://www.twz.com/air/our-best-look-yet-at-chinas-j-20a-fi...

Russia is no longer a reliable supplier. They need all the engines they can make for domestic use, including replacing war losses and building airliners to service domestic routes. Production is down because all the foreign technical experts left.

Sabinus a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Because of this, the geopolitical bloc groupings will get stronger. Friend-shoring supply chains will bring allies together and exclude belligerents.

foobarian a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Unless you can spin up your own fab

Huh, which fabs does Israel have?

toast0 a day ago | root | parent |

Intel's fabs 28, 28a, and 38 are in Israel. They also do some assembly in Israel.

Tower Semiconductor is based in Israel and runs two fabs there as well.

RantyDave a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There's a big difference between spinning up your own fab and unscrewing the back of the pager to see if there's a bomb in it.

darby_nine 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> US/EU/Israel isn't perfect, but pretty much as good as it gets.

I imagine China is just as good in pretty much every way.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

How does a Bay Area tech site, when Bay Area tech has sooo many individuals who originally came to the USA as students but then couldn't go home due to tiananmen, have this kind of 'enlightened thought' on China, day in and day out?

darby_nine a day ago | root | parent | next |

Too much interaction with falun gong.

Regardless, I'm talking about competency. I don't endorse any particular state, culture, or ideology.

pyrale a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I believe the point GP makes is not that China is a good place. More like that we are oblivious to all the points that make our own place pretty bad too.

On one hand, you can claim that it's a well-known propaganda technique (e.g. the soviets using "...And you are lynching negroes" as a rebuttal to anything). But on the other hand, the most satisfying way to avoid that form of propaganda would probably be to fix our own flaws rather than calling whataboutism.

_DeadFred_ 16 hours ago | root | parent |

I mean American's seem like about the most 'bring our flaws out into public and deal with them' society I have ever interacted with. Daterape is no longer acceptable. The entire way men treat women has changed in my lifetime. How we respond to domestic violence has completely changed (we don't just ignore it). LGBT+ rights have greatly changed. Race relations have completely changed (they may need work but they are so much better than the 80s where people rampantantly used the N word at work, in social situations).

The average American is much more aware of our issues, not China's. Our own place isn't pretty bad just because we have past history nor ongoing problems. It's a matter of 'what are we doing to change and improve', and are we willing/free to bring up problems that need changing, and does our societies structure allow change? Or does society pound down those nails that dare stick out? Every society is a flawed human constructed stumbled into not intelligently/humanely designed. The American systems is the most dynamic/flexible of all the ones I have been exposed to. There are more liberal ones, but less dynamic and flexible (no free speech laws in the UK which might cause the lack of reflection that you lament). There are more conservative ones that are again less dynamic/flexible.

bushbaba a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It’s called propaganda of which HN isn’t immune to

talldayo a day ago | root | parent |

Look - I agree. But at the same time, I've seen what the Bay Area puts out, and their product designers are more concerned with designing the next cigarette than improving anyone's life or ensuring domestic security. The US is currently relying on contractors that are asleep at the wheel.

Plainly speaking, China already took our iPhone manufacturing and our electric car business. They've got the chops, the supply chain and the export network to keep doing that for everything from the JSOW to the Harpoon missile. Unless the US makes a serious effort to invest in domestic R&D, our Bay Area vanguards are going to spend more time jerking off than participating in a healthy defense business.

miles a day ago | root | parent | next |

> China already took our iPhone manufacturing

It may well be coming back over time; from 4 hours ago:

Apple Mobile Processors Are Now Made in America. By TSMC. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41574844

KeplerBoy a day ago | root | parent | next |

The processors were never made in China. At least not in that China.

SllX a day ago | root | parent |

Additionally, iPhones were never assembled in America. Enough manufacturing had been offshored to the PRC it just wasn’t even a consideration of any sort until late last decade, and the response from Apple has been to reshore some assembly elsewhere, not bring it into the States.

talldayo 18 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

"over time" is right - if TSMC's roadmap isn't getting the US onto 3nm before 2026, then Apple could buy cheaper/denser silicon from fucking Samsung if they wanted. You know, the fab Apple has avoided for density issues and concerns that they aren't competitive. Taiwan still has the golden goose, and unless Apple's products stop relying on node upgrades (they won't) then we're not going to manufacture the majority of Apple chips in America. We'll be lucky if American fabs yield high enough to make memory controllers, let alone entire SOCs.

darby_nine a day ago | root | parent | prev |

"Our" it ain't ours, that's the whole point of not being communist. So who cares where the products come from

talldayo 18 hours ago | root | parent |

It's very easy to say that during peacetime. But you can't depend on adversaries for cheap labor, period. The US federal government, communist or not, just spent billions ensuring that those manufacturing jobs aren't forfeited by our multi-trillion multinationals. Our strict adherence to capitalism is just about pushing us to USSR-collapse levels of market abuse. Our consumers are completely braindead; our manufacturers aren't being given reason to stay by the government; even US agencies like NASA and DARPA are getting outdone by Chinese state-run agencies.

Regardless of how you feel about it, the CHIPS act is a line in the sand the US has just crossed. We are heading back to cold-war style economics, because this is an economic cold war.

nozzlegear a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Can you expand? What makes you think that?

bbqfog a day ago | root | parent |

Has China ever blown up thousands of pagers in someone else's country?

sbarre a day ago | root | parent | next |

No but they run "re-education" internment camps for their own people (estimated up to 1.8M people) in their own country:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xinjiang_internment_camps

antimemetics a day ago | root | parent | next |

While I don’t agree with GP, this is a weak argument

> The United States leads the world in total number of people incarcerated, with more than 2 million prisoners nationwide

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incarceration_in_the_United_...

nozzlegear a day ago | root | parent |

It's disingenuous to compare prisons with internment camps.

immibis a day ago | root | parent |

Why?

kortilla a day ago | root | parent |

Because you go to prison for breaking the law

account42 a day ago | root | parent | next |

This doesn't really mean much when those laws include "you're not allowed to expose crimes by government" not to mention drug laws and copyright. At the end it's not any less arbitrary than whatever excuses the chinese government uses to intern those they don't like.

kortilla 20 hours ago | root | parent |

The laws are known a priori.

There are also no laws against exposing crimes by the government. You’re just not allowed to break other laws just because you’re doing so.

People very frequently successfully expose corruption and abuse by governments in the US. It just doesn’t make significant news unless it’s a major national politician, and that happens multiple times a year.

Prbeek a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Fun fact. There are more people in US prisons than there ever were in Soviet gulags

nozzlegear 21 hours ago | root | parent |

An interesting fact, though perhaps completely irrelevant since people were sent to the gulags for completely different reasons.

Fun fact. There are more people in the US education system than there ever were in Soviet gulags.

Just as irrelevant.

immibis a day ago | root | parent | prev |

You also go to internment camps for breaking the law. So I repeat: how are they different?

kortilla 19 hours ago | root | parent | next |

No, you get sent to internment camps because you’re a prisoner of war or because of some basic property of your being.

The comparison would be the Japanese internment camps the US had in WW2.

There is nothing like that today where citizens are being locked up without breaking any laws.

ilbeeper 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

One is a failure of social order, product of greed, evil and stupidity. The other is the largest-scale arbitrary detention of ethnic and religious minorities since World War II.

longone a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

No. But does China have a horrible record on human rights and abuses? Yes. Have they been ethnically cleansing the Uyghur population for years now? Yes. Not to mention bullying and threatening all neighbors across the region. Just read about the recent worries over ZMPC cranes. The CCP will and has infiltrated private companies as a vector to spy on other countries. Maybe they haven't blown up pagers like this, but they've done other things that should make anyone skeptical of buying sensitive equipment from them.

Sawamara a day ago | root | parent |

Oh wow, a country BULLYING its neighbors. Imagine a country doing that. Luckily, the US never does something like that. Or imposes sanctions on a country half a world away, sanctions which the entire world has to adhere to unless they want to lose US trading all together.

Some of these talking points fall apart upon typing them, let alone posting.

ummonk a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

China is the one major power that doesn't seem to engage in extraterritorial assassinations, so by default I'm more inclined to at least trust that the Chinese state won't ever decide to activate a kill switch against me.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

Isn't China the one country that actively sets up their own police forces all over the world? Aren't there numerous Canadians of chinese origin that China has abducted? I see news articles of Canadians being arrested for assisting China in these abductions fairly often lately.

stanleykm a day ago | root | parent | next |

i think you need to be a little more critical of the media you consume

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent |

Critical of actual court cases filed by the Canadian government? Are you saying the Canadian court system is pushing an anti-China narrative?

maxglute a day ago | root | parent |

Of course FVEY/CSIS would push anti PRC narrative. PRC's espionage behavior basically translates to "using words", it's so mild vs what others majors are doing that it needs to be characterized as "over seas police stations" to make it seem extra threatening, when it's bottom barrel espionage activity. MSS handlers using words to leverages / intimidate, to convince people to return to PRC on their own accord, i.e they're not abducting anyone let alone extrajudicial assassinate. Like the solution to countering these activities is to say... naw I'm good.

paganel a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Isn't China the one country that actively sets up their own police forces all over the world?

The US does the same thing and worse, just look for the very long arm of their FBI and Secret Service when it comes to what they allege to be “cyber-crime”. A decade or so ago I was visiting my company’s ISP one morning when I manage to stumble just as some US federal agents were doing their thing among the server racks. I live in Bucharest, Romania.

olalonde a day ago | root | parent | prev |

AFAICT, that's mostly propaganda. What makes them "police" centers exactly? They do not have police men in them, don't have jails, no one has been convicted of a crime in relation to them, etc. Not sure what you mean by "abductions" but if you are referring to the Canadians who was arrested on Chinese soil, one of them admitted to espionage and is even suing the Canadian government for involving him against his will.

philistine a day ago | root | parent |

They are called secret police centres in Canada because of the actions they pose, and the threats they make. They'll threaten to kidnap you and extrajudicially extradite you to China, they'll threaten your relatives in China, they'll force you to stop behaviours considered inappropriate by the CCP, they'll try to recruit you as a spy.

To the Chinese Communist Party, the Han ethnic group belongs to the Chinese State, and everything anyone of this ethnic background does is their business.

olalonde a day ago | root | parent |

Some of the actions you mention would definitely be illegal and yet, no one has been prosecuted nor found guilty. In fact, the concerned centers in Canada are suing the RCMP for defamation. So you are either speculating or spreading propaganda.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

But people have been charged by the Canadian government over people that have been taken to China. Referring to actual Canadian court cases that are in regards to actual people taken to China is propaganda because?

Edit: Why am I blocked from replying to the below comment?

olalonde a day ago | root | parent |

I previously asked what you were referring to because I genuinely don't know what you are talking about. Of course I don't believe actual criminal convictions are propaganda, but there have been none in relation to the so-called "police centers".

ddeck a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I mean, it's not like it would be out of character. Calling such accusations propaganda is a bit much.

China forcibly returned nearly 10,000 in overseas crackdown: report

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220119-china-forcibl...

The Disappeared - China’s global kidnapping campaign has gone on for years. It may now be reaching inside U.S. borders.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/03/29/the-disappeared-china-r...

Thousands of Chinese overseas forced home involuntarily: report

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Thousands-of-Chinese-overse...

40 Officers of China’s National Police Charged in Transnational Repression Schemes Targeting U.S. Residents

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/40-officers-china-s-national-...

China’s abductions of foreign nationals should carry costs and consequences

https://www.politico.eu/article/chinese-abductions-of-foreig...

sam345 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Not accurate: https://www.state.gov/reports/2022-country-reports-on-human-...

Examples of Extraterritorial killings and abuses listed (edited for more relevant source)

ummonk 11 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Could you clarify? I see some reports of extraterritorial assaults, as well as harassment (particularly including threats against relatives within Chinese territory), but couldn't find examples of extraterritorial killings, at least with my best attempt at ctrl-f.

plorg a day ago | root | parent | prev |

That article pretty clearly says they were assassinations within China of people who no one disputes were actual CIA spies or handlers. So at bare minimum it wasn't extraterritorial, which I understand to be the key differentiation made by GP.

stanislavb a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I'm sorry, but this is definitely not true. Have you heard about Chinese police overseas or China prosecuting "their" citizens outside of China?

ummonk 11 hours ago | root | parent |

I have. I just haven't heard of them resorting to assassinations. Happy to be proven wrong, but I'll need to see at least one actual example assassination.

mensetmanusman a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Wait til you learn about this place called Tibet.

Sawamara a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Right afterwards, you can learn about the place called Haiti. Or Cuba. Or Venezuela. Or heck, Mexico. Oh, Vietnam. North-Korea. China. Japan. Wait until you learn about Chile. And do not forget to look up the meaning of 'Jakarta is coming'

BTW, before someone screams whataboutism: adjusting your worldview according to facts and applying your moral standards to all countries is not whataboutism. Its a prerequisite to being able to morally condemn any action.

computerex 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> US/EU/Israel isn't perfect, but pretty much as good as it gets.

EU maybe, but US/Israel are as good as it gets? PRISM? Literally China/Russia are more trustworthy.

kelnos a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Literally China/Russia are more trustworthy.

Only in the sense that, as a US citizen who has no desire to travel to China or Russia, I don't feel all that worried that either country is going to do anything bad to me directly.

But if I lived in either one of those places... whooooa boy. I'd have to be a different person to not get in trouble. And I wouldn't call myself much of an activist or pot-stirrer, really. I feel bad for people who want to show public dissent of their government in China or Russia but can't (or do, and end up in jail), and for people in marginalized groups that the government doesn't like.

dlenski a day ago | root | parent | next |

> > Literally China/Russia are more trustworthy. > > Only in the sense that, as a US citizen who has no desire to travel to China or Russia, I don't feel all that worried that either country is going to do anything bad to me directly.

I sort of get this PoV, but on the other hand…

If China had any information about you that was valuable for any purpose whatsoever (trade an intelligence tip to a corrupt businessman in a mafia state?) its government could do so with no legal or political safeguards.

The US government has legal safeguards against this, and would face _massive_ potential political risk for doing so against one of its own citizens.

shiroiushi a day ago | root | parent | next |

>The US government has legal safeguards against this, and would face _massive_ potential political risk for doing so against one of its own citizens.

The US government literally steals cash money from its citizens and faces no repercussions whatsoever. If you carry cash with you in the US, you're in absolute danger of having it confiscated by the police as "drug money" and never seeing it again. You can claim the US has "legal safeguards", but until they're actually tested, it's just a supposition.

seanmcdirmid a day ago | root | parent | next |

Local governments do that. I think the US federal government has to follow a different set of more stringent rules.

shiroiushi a day ago | root | parent |

The federal government has done nothing about these actions by the local governments, so this is a distinction without a difference.

seanmcdirmid a day ago | root | parent | next |

They actually have. The Supreme Court had a recent ruling, congress has passed laws to try and restrict it (to the best that federal rules can affect local state ones). The distinction definitely is important, but if you have an ideological bone to pick, it’s better to ignore it.

khafra a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The US has a very large voting bloc composed of people who want their state and municipality to be free from restrictions imposed by the federal government. In practice, this leads to many places with a significantly larger amount of actually-experienced tyranny than you get in more uniformly governed countries. Ideally, this is coupled with freedom of movement, so that it's easy to get a job and housing in a state or city with more liberal governance.

nradov a day ago | root | parent | prev |

If you actually believe that then you are amazingly ignorant about the legal structure of the USA and its dual sovereignty system. You should ask your civics teacher for a refund.

TheCoelacanth 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

You think China and Russia don't do a hundred times worse to their citizens? The US is far from perfect, but it is drastically better than China and Russia.

shiroiushi 11 hours ago | root | parent |

Whataboutism. I never claimed they were better (and you're right, they're much worse). But the US is the one that claims to be the world leader in defending freedom and individual liberty. China never made any such claim that I know of.

pyrale a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> If China had any information about you that was valuable for any purpose whatsoever (trade an intelligence tip to a corrupt businessman in a mafia state?) its government could do so with no legal or political safeguards.

You should look up how Israel actively fishes LGBT palestinian people using fake dating site accounts, and threatens to out them in order to force them to contribute intelligence.

The US is clearly not that compromised. But they're not exactly clean either, considering some of the stuff that happened in central America.

threeseed a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Literally China/Russia are more trustworthy

They have no free elections unlike US.

They have no free press unlike US.

They have no independent judiciary unlike US.

They both rank poorly on the corruption index unlike US.

account42 a day ago | root | parent | next |

> They have no free elections unlike US.

The US is a two party system with many hereditary politicians. How free do you think your elections really are?

> They have no free press unlike US.

How did the US news report on Snownden, Assange and others the US government does not like? The US press is an oligopoly that does barely any real reporting. Theoretical freeness does little here.

> They have no independent judiciary unlike US.

Which is more than happy to shield the executive from any consequences. Qualified immunity makes this separation meaningless.

> They both rank poorly on the corruption index unlike US.

According to western definitions of corruption that conveniently do not include corporate lobbying, revolving door relationsships between politics and industry, backdoor laws via trade deals and all the other shadyness that has effectively taken over so-called democracies. But sure, pat yourself on the back for being less likely to get out of a speeding ticket by slipping the officer some cash.

xvector 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The EU? Anyone remember Crypto AG? Switzerland, I guess, but Schengen Area regardless.

snovv_crash a day ago | root | parent | next |

Thy was what, 40 years ago? China has their great firewall set up today, never mind their social credit systems, automated CCTV citizen tracking systems, etc. Russia has people accidentally falling out of hospital windows or drinking polonium tea. I don't think this is at all comparable.

_tik_ a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I checked Wikipedia to learn about the Social Credit System, and according to the article, no such system exists as described. Most assumptions about it seem to be based on misinformation from Western media. Could you clarify what you mean?

joe_the_user 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Do you think Hezbollah was buying stuff from Israel, or otherwise using Israeli supply chains?

The modern supply chain is vastly deep. Iran can buy something from (IDK) India which might use software or hardware from Israel. As a further example, unless there's viable phone OS I don't know about, even Hezbollah will be using Android or iOS (and so buying from the US). etc.

I think it's far more likely that Mossad has infiltrated whatever foreign (non-Israeli)

Maybe that is more likely. But I don't think my or your guesses matter so much as public perception. IE, it would change the situation that a given customer may look skeptically at an Israeli software or hardware product. Or they may not given that price and features trumps security and quality for nearly everything these days.

ignoramous 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> So this can happen regardless of whether you're using Israeli supply chains or not.

The point is, would allies trust if it were China that pulled this off? Huawei/TikTok were thrown under the bus for way less.

tivert 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> I think it's far more likely that Mossad has infiltrated whatever foreign (non-Israeli) supply chain they were using.

Yeah. Wasn't there something in the Snowden leaks about the CIA intercepting servers in-transit to install implants on them? I'm sure Israel is doing something similar.

ikmckenz 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Photos of an NSA “upgrade” factory show Cisco router getting implant https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2014/05/photos-of-an-nsa...

g8oz 2 days ago | root | parent |

No wonder the U.S is so worried about Huawei.

dijit 2 days ago | root | parent |

Guilty parties often cast the first accusation.

jalk a day ago | root | parent |

"Thief believes everybody steals"

tivert 20 hours ago | root | parent |

> "Thief believes everybody steals"

The correct analogy for espionage isn't crime. But even taking that framing, if everyone actually does steal, it doesn't do you any good to be naive and deny reality.

jalk 7 hours ago | root | parent |

It's a proverb, not an analogy (hence the quotes). Read it like "Just because you do X, doesn't mean that everybody else does X too"

willvarfar 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

During the cold war, Russia intercepted typewriters and teleprinters going to the US and other embassies and inserted implants in them. https://www.cryptomuseum.com/covert/bugs/selectric/

KeplerBoy a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

meh, the most probable explanation is that israel infiltrated hezbollah and whoever was in charge of ordering and distributing those devices knowingly distributed the tampered devices.

That guy got a deal and was evacuated with his family before events unfolded. Seems way easier than alternative plans.

XorNot a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It was pointed out to me that you shouldn't overthink it: the most likely thing which happened is Israel had someone inside Hezbollah procurement and used them to take delivery (I'd put much lower odds on this guy being in on the plan, it's doubtful he even knew he was working for Israel directly).

You've got to remember that as internet people, we want everything to have a clever storyline to it. Intelligence services exploit that exact expectation though: the first thing you attack is trust within the organization itself, since it gives you more access, more easily and once people have talked themselves into "supply chain threat" there's a real danger they've ignored "actually the guy signing off on the paperwork is taking a payoff to ignore some delivery irregularities".

respondo2134 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I don't see this as a smart move (let alone strategy) in any time frame. As a third-party observer greatly removed from the conflict I used to view Israel as an island under attack from terrorists. Now I'm struggling to see the differences between their activities and blowing up airplanes or launching rockets from schools and hospitals. You can say I'm naive, and why would Israel care about how I feel, but as a country and a people they only exist as long as we're their benefactor, and I don't think I'm alone in how I feel.

BjoernKW a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Now I'm struggling to see the differences between their activities and blowing up airplanes or launching rockets from schools and hospitals.

Well, the obvious difference is that blowing up airplanes or launching rockets at residential areas intentionally targets civilians in order to spread a maximum amount of terror among the civilian population while blowing up pagers that were used for coordinating attacks against Israel very specifically targets operatives involved in such activities.

Some of the initial footage shows such a device going off while innocent bystanders remain unharmed. You can't get any more targeted than that.

Yes, such a pager might have ended up in the hands of a non-involved person, but given the facts known so far that's very unlikely, because there's a reason those people were carrying these devices on them: They were afraid of being tracked down by Mossad in the first place.

zer0x4d a day ago | root | parent | next |

Many people fail to see this. You can't compare a terrorist attack that intentionally targets civilians with no apparent military target to a legitimate attack on a defined military target that unfortunately results in some collateral damage.

oneeyedpigeon a day ago | root | parent | next |

There are many points on this grey line, and we often fail to recognise those in the middle. For example, between your two points is a very significant type of action that this one may well fall under: an attack on a military target that you are fully aware will result in significant collateral damage.

chii a day ago | root | parent |

> you are fully aware will result in significant collateral damage.

and the terrorists deliberately place themselves in a position where attacks on them results in massive collateral - aka, they want a human shield.

abalone a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Many people fail to see this because they have an intact moral core. Conducting a military operation that has a fully predictable rate of civilian casualties is morally equivalent to targeting those civilians.

Israel has utilized a rate of expected civilian to militant casualties in Gaza at the rate of 100:1 [1].

[1] https://www.972mag.com/lavender-ai-israeli-army-gaza/

Terr_ a day ago | root | parent |

> Conducting a military operation that has a fully predictable rate of civilian casualties is morally equivalent to targeting those civilians.

By that logic only the absolute number of (expected) civilian deaths matters... which can't be right.

If it were true, then exploding a city bus (1 soldier, 10 civilians) would be more moral than striking a military base (1,000 soldiers, 11 civilians.)

It would also suggest a kind of blame-shifting if one side decides to install their missile launchers in the playgrounds of elementary schools or whatever.

abalone a day ago | root | parent |

You are simply incorrect. “Rate” is a ratio, not an absolute number.

But to your point, Israel’s ratio in Gaza was as high as 100 civilians to 1 soldier in the shopping mall (or more accurately, refugee family shelters).

Terr_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

> “Rate” is a ratio, not an absolute number.

No, you've cut off the crucial second half of the sentence, which says a military operation with known risks of civilian deaths "is morally equivalent to targeting those civilians."

The phrase "those civilians" refers to a countable quantity of them.

Perhaps you meant to write "morally equivalent to targeting that proportion of civilians"?

beedeebeedee 20 hours ago | root | parent |

This isn't pedantry, but what are you arguing?

Terr_ 18 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Assuming that's a plural "you", I would paraphrase the subthread like this:

_________

(1) zer0x4d: "Many people fail to see that morality depends on intent, there is a qualitative difference between deliberate and incidental collateral damage."

(2) abalone: "No, only people suffering from broken moral cores think there's a difference. An attack when they knew a predictable rate of collateral damage is morally the same as deliberately targeting those civilians who died."

(3) Terr_: "It's based on the number of civilians who die? That doesn't make sense. Consider these scenarios, where even though fewer civilians die, the intent/planning of the act makes us judge it as morally worse."

(4) abalone: "Incorrect, I said it was about comparing the two rates of death."

(5) Terr_: "Well, that's not quite what you wrote earlier, is this other version closer to what you meant to convey?"

(6) beedeebeedee: "What is being argued?"

(7) Terr_: [Error: Recursion depth exceeded]

beedeebeedee 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Hi Terr, the "you" was singular (and in reference to you, in particular). You paraphrase the subthread well enough, but your first comment within it misinterpreted what Abalone said.

> > Conducting a military operation that has a fully predictable rate of civilian casualties is morally equivalent to targeting those civilians.

>By that logic only the absolute number of (expected) civilian deaths matters... which can't be right.

Abalone (as well as myself, many others, including the signers of the Geneva Convention) is concerned about the use of force against a civilian population where it is predictable that there will be a high rate of civilian death. Abalone says that is morally equivalent to targeting those civilians and Abalone is correct (it is, in fact, a war crime). It is not necessarily about absolute number of civilian deaths, so your counterexample does not succeed.

stahtops a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The act of modifying and/or deploying the devices was targeted. That’s it.

Carrying out an explosives attack across a large geographic area that includes public spaces, with no specific intelligence on the location of the devices, or who is within the blast range, is the exact opposite of targeted.

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | next |

What on earth would be more targeted than compromising pagers that only Hezbollah military is using?

At some point the criticism really gets absurd. There probably was collateral damage, yes. This is what you have to account for if you start wars against another nation. Repeatedly.

Opposite of targeted are the missiles that hit northern Israel.

anon291 a day ago | root | parent |

For these people, there will never be an attack good enough, targeted enough, or proper enough

It's because they're not motivated by fairness but a pre existing idea of who is good or bad

abalone a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Some of the initial footage shows such a device going off while innocent bystanders remain unharmed.

This is anecdotal and misleading. There are reports of civilians maimed including the murder of a child. This is entirely plausible due to the indiscriminate nature of these bombs with respect to immediate bystanders.

If an enemy had set off thousands of small bombs in American supermarkets and homes, maiming thousands of whoever was nearby and killing children, we would undoubtedly call it a mass terrorist attack.

nindalf a day ago | root | parent |

2000+ bombs hurting 2000 fighters and one child? I'd argue that almost no war is without collateral damage, but this one action might be uniquely low in the amount of collateral damage done.

> This is anecdotal and misleading

I saw 5 videos and in every case only the person carrying the pager was hurt. Even people less than a foot away weren't harmed. Look at the video on the front page of nytimes.com right now to see what it's like. Highly targeted at Hizbullah soldiers, no bystanders hurt. The exact opposite of "indiscriminate".

You're working yourself up into some righteous anger about this, which is fine, that's your choice. But at least recognise that that's what you're doing. You need a certain narrative to be true so you're twisting facts to suit that.

abalone a day ago | root | parent |

> no bystanders hurt

This is incorrect. There are reports of maimed civilians and a murdered child.

There is no comprehensive information yet on the ratio of civilians to militants maimed by this attack, and any claims otherwise are propaganda.

dlubarov 16 hours ago | root | parent |

Sure, there has been at least one civilian death, and others might be reported later. While we don't have numbers yet, the evidence so far suggests a low ratio of civilian casualties, probably much lower than what's possible using convention warfare against an enemy embedded in a civilian population.

remram a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Eight killed and 2,750 wounded

Such a pager did end up hurting non-involved people, in great quantity.

Sabinus a day ago | root | parent | next |

Incredible, Israel can use tiny bombs in the personal possession of terrorists and they'll still be accused of warcrimes.

remram a day ago | root | parent | next |

Whatever words you're reading when you look at mine might be incredible, what I wrote is almost 3000 wounded in the crossfire, including children.

You're ignoring that and pretending they're accused of something else. Why?

whacko_quacko a day ago | root | parent | next |

Almost 3000 wounded are not a problem if they're Hezbollah, no? The child is tragic of course, but one dead child when targeting enemy soldiers is more ethical than the dead children in deliberate attacks on civilians, which is what Hezbollah is doing.

Why are you pretending otherwise? Is it the bigotry of low expectations? Arabs/Muslims can act very reasonable and humane too, so there's no reason to measure them with a different yard stick

remram 21 hours ago | root | parent |

> Almost 3000 wounded are not a problem if they're Hezbollah, no

They are a problem in both cases. Stop the whataboutism.

snovv_crash a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Why are you assuming those 2700 people weren't Hezbollah? Who else was carrying the pagers to avoid Israel location tracking?

easyThrowaway a day ago | root | parent | next |

Anyone who got resold / loaned those devices, those who were next to blast radius of those devices while going with their lives, any relatives who were unfortunate enough of having an hezbollah member in their family.

This is basically just one step above a chemical attack, and can only be excused as "the end justifies the means" by the interested parties.

whacko_quacko a day ago | root | parent | next |

Why would you use 80s technology that allows you to circumvent Israeli tracking, and get that from Hezbollah if you're not in cahoots with them? People in Lebanon can afford smart phones.

With the people next to the blast radius you have a point, but when targeting guerilla fighters that blend in with civillian populace it's hard to not inadvertantly target innocents too. But a small explosive device that is used by enemy soldiers and kept close to their bodies is the best way to avoid innocent casualties.

Also, Hezbollah hiding between innocents doesn't mean Israel shouldn't defend themselves. If you hide behind civillians you're the one to blame for casualties, not the party that defends against you

34679 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

The NSA fights terrorism. Terrorists use encryption to evade the NSA. That does not mean that everyone who uses encryption is a terrorist.

dlubarov 16 hours ago | root | parent |

This isn't about pagers generally, this is about a particular batch of 5,000 pagers ordered by Hezbollah. They weren't distributed to random Lebanese citizens.

alickz a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> Anyone who got resold / loaned those devices

Aren't the pagers specifically for transmitting Hezbollah instructions / orders?

Why would a Hezbollah member sell/loan such a device to a non-Hezbollah member?

easyThrowaway a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Beacuse it's a pager, and they're rather common in most of Egypt, Turkey and middle east countries for medical support and first-time responders.

I mean, the reason Hezbollah switched to those devices was also because they're readily available in the country.

I'd be extremely, extremely surprised if this was a "targeted" shipment rather than a generic batch that was expected to a certain degree to be bought by hezbollah members.

meepmorp a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> I'd be extremely, extremely surprised if this was a "targeted" shipment rather than a generic batch that was expected to a certain degree to be bought by hezbollah members.

Why?

easyThrowaway 20 hours ago | root | parent |

Because they're not S.P.E.C.T.R.E. It's a separatist group whose more extreme members resort to terrorism, not much differently than IRA, Basque Nationalists or Bosnian Indipendentists.

Their supply channel is the same as the civilian population, they're not shopping for vibranium from Hydra.

It would be interesting if we could trace the local distributor for those devices and see where they were available at retail, it would probably match the areas in Lebanon where members of hezbollah are commonly located.

remram 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Yes I'm assuming not every Lebanese is a terrorist, which seems to be problematic to some. In particular 8-year-old children are probably not.

mupuff1234 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I'm confused, how do you know the 99% of those wounded aren't Hezbollah operatives?

How many innocents would get harmed during a more conventional military strike against the same group of operatives?

I would be fairly surprised if Hezbollah opsec guidelines didn't say that you must have the pager at you at all times, and make sure it can't be accessed by others.

thret a day ago | root | parent |

This is likely the most precise large scale military strike of all time. You can't control for everything - some pagers might have been in the hands of innocent people - but it sure seems like an ideal attack vector.

temporalparts a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I know there is a documented case of a non-involved person getting injured, but do you have evidence that this attack was not 99% effective? The attack vector was the device specifically used only by involved people.

snypher a day ago | root | parent |

A 9 year old child was killed, proving this attack wasn't as targeted as you think. However Israel is happy to accept any amount of collateral damage as long as it doesn't happen to them.

rougka a day ago | root | parent |

Any child death is tragic, but this is really one of the most targeted strikes in the history of warfare. It is safe to believe that everyone that was given a pager for secret communication by a terrorist group, is associated with such group, probably in a military capacity. Furthermore, videos show that extremely close bystanders are left unhurt.

I think this only goes out to show that criticism towards Israel waging warfare is not really about the way that warfare is fought, but really on the right of Israel to fight at all. As no one in history has achieved a more precise attack in urban setting towards a non-uniformed organization ever.

abalone a day ago | root | parent | next |

There is no comprehensive information yet on the ratio of civilians to militants maimed by this attack, and any claims otherwise are propaganda.

If an enemy had exploded small remote controlled bombs in American supermarkets and homes targeting members of the American political parties, the sponsors of terrorism and oppressive dictatorships in many foreign countries, there is no question we would characterize it as a terrorist attack.

rougka a day ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

abalone a day ago | root | parent |

Yes. If China detonated several thousand bombs in Idaho civilian locations on the premise they were targeting militias, some of whom fought in Syria and/or against Chinese oppression of the Uyghurs, this would absolutely be an act of mass terrorism.

remram a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

charbroiled a day ago | root | parent |

Thousands were injured, yes. How many of the thousands injured belonged to Hezbollah? It’s a safe bet that the majority of injuries were sustained by owners of these Hezbollah-supplied pagers.

International law allows, to some extent, collateral damage during war (and Israel and Hezbollah are certainly at war). What percentage of collateral damage would you say is acceptable here? 50%? 20%? None?

pvaldes 20 hours ago | root | parent | next |

> Thousands were injured / wounded

Just as footnote, I think that mutilated is the correct word here. Having in mind that 2000 people lost fingers, or noses or a chunk of their hips.

remram 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Hezbollah are also terrorists. You might think it is ok to fight terror with terror, all I am trying to point out is that this is indeed a response in kind.

talldayo a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> but this is really one of the most targeted strikes in the history of warfare.

You are making that up and quoting yourself. There was not a single fire-control system onboard these pagers; there was no visual designation of the target, and no confirmation that it was being carried by it's owners. The target was broadly designated and not even discriminated on a case-by-case basis. A button was pressed, and consequences including the death of a child are now in play.

Israel has the capability to field targeted strikes on their own using domestic Litening and SPICE munitions (not to say they don't end up targeting civilians anyways). The unforunate bottom line is that this was an indiscriminate and presumptive attack that generally relies on a complete disregard for collateral damage. Innocent bystanders died, ones that would not be targeted by any morally accountable soldier in the command-and-control loop. That means an error was made, in civilized armies.

gizajob a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Your terrorist group is their legitimate government. In Lebanon today their legitimate government was attacked by a terrorist group.

charbroiled a day ago | root | parent |

Hamas may be the “legitimate” government of Gaza (or at least the most recently elected one), but Hezbollah is not the legitimate government of Lebanon; it’s a minority party with outsized influence in parts of Lebanon due to its militia and intelligence services.

Taniwha a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They were lucky someone wasn't carrying one on a plane

belorn a day ago | root | parent | next |

I wonder if it would endanger the plane. A 20g explosive sitting in the pocket of a person will clearly cause serious injury, but I am unsure if it has penetration power to actually go through the plane body. I am reminded of mythbusters experiments with small amount of explosives to block up doors, but I don't recall how much they needed in the end.

WalterBright a day ago | root | parent | next |

Poking holes in the fuselage of a jetliner isn't going to take down a plane. Consider the cases of a turbine fan blade taking out a window, the case where the MAX door panel blew off, the cases where the cargo door came off, and the 737 "convertible" case. You'd have to take out a large part of the structure to bring it down.

Take a look at all the photos of B-17s taking severe combat damage yet returning home. Jetliners are a lot more redundant today than the B-17s were.

However, if the hole took out the flight controls, or set a fire, then the airplane has a big problem.

komali2 a day ago | root | parent | next |

In some of the cases you mentioned, there were passenger deaths due to being ejected from the aircraft. I'm on mobile or I'd link exactly which incidents but I remember at least two cases from when I was bored in a lecture and read through most of Wikipedia's "list of deaths in aircraft incidents" list or whatever it's called

shiroiushi a day ago | root | parent | prev |

>Poking holes in the fuselage of a jetliner isn't going to take down a plane. Consider the cases of

These are all fake news. According to Hollywood, a single bullet from a gun will cause an airplane to break apart in mid-air. You can't honestly expect me to believe Hollywood movies get physics wrong.

Similarly, as soon as a car's wheels leave the ground, it bursts into a fireball according to many TV shows I've seen.

/s

Sindisil a day ago | root | parent | prev |

What about the person sitting next to the target?

belorn a day ago | root | parent |

Naturally the close quarters will results in multiple people being harmed. The question is more about the physics and if the explosives has enough penetrating power to go through the walls of the plane.

The bigger risk to the plane (and passengers) would likely be if the person carrying the explosive was working in the airport and the explosion occurred during a critical moment, like when a pilot is taxiing.

mattmaroon a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Most of the flight would be out of range and I’m not even sure that explosion would take out a plane. Plus it would probably be powered off because Hezbollah is serious about flight safety.

hypeatei a day ago | root | parent |

> I’m not even sure that explosion would take out a plane

I take it you would have no problem being on a plane with one (or even multiple) of these pagers going off then? What kind of argument is this?

mattmaroon a day ago | root | parent |

I wouldn’t want to be near it anywhere so what’s the difference between a plane and a grocery store?

The comment implied Israel was risking blowing up an entire plane when we were discussing whether it was targeted or not.

Go play in the other room, the grownups are talking.

knight_47 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I was thinking about this, but then it probably wouldn't even get past a security xray scan. Which makes me think, in the 5 or so months these were reported to being in the wild, one never boarded a plane?

agapon a day ago | root | parent |

Hamas terrorists boarding commercial airplanes? With their secret pagers on them?

Somehow I don't think so.

alphan0n a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

A pager wouldn’t have been able to connect to any networks at altitude.

Terr_ 11 hours ago | root | parent | next |

From what I can find, the targeted pager-model can receive UHF messages in the 450~470MHz range. That could reach passenger jet cruise altitudes if the transmitter is strong enough.

I think it's safest to assume Hezbollah are using strong transmitters, because they'll want to be able to broadcast across rather large areas and in a way that resists potential jamming.

On the flip side, I'm having a hard time imagining these as threats to an entire airplane, given the tight constraints on how much explosive power can be secretly snuck into a functioning pager.

blantonl a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Pagers don’t “connect” to networks.

alphan0n a day ago | root | parent | next |

What do they do, then? Are you implying that connections can only exist as a two way relationship? Are rivers not connected to streams, tributaries, etc?

Receiving data from a network is a connection, no matter how you want to define it.

Taniwha a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The towers resend the message for a while so that they get through - some guy might be in a plane on approach to Beirut right now his pager coming into range as they land ....

jarsin a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Do we know whether or not they embedded gps tracking into the bombs?

I would think they would have that ability, not just to avoid a horrible accident like blowing up a plane, but also to gather valuable tracking intel on a terrorist organization.

satori99 a day ago | root | parent |

My understanding is that pagers are typically radio Rx-only, and that it is not possible to track their location like a cellular device -- which is likely why Hezbollah chose to use them.

Though it would be possible to add this ability when the hardware was intercepted, a transmitting device is also easy to detect.

jasonwatkinspdx a day ago | root | parent |

Two way pagers have been a thing since the 90s. You're limited to replying with a very short alphanumeric message.

That said, pagers don't continuously ping the tower like cell phones do. They can stay receive only until the moment you chose to send a message.

rakoo a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> blowing up airplanes or launching rockets at residential areas intentionally targets civilians in order to spread a maximum amount of terror among the civilian population

Which is exactly what Israel has been doing for decades by

installing an apaitheid regime https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_apartheid

colonizing palestinian land https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli-occupied_territories

kicking hundreds of thousands of people off of their homes https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nakba

putting guns on their head day in day out https://www.msf.org/palestinians-face-harassment-and-violenc...

running on them with tanks while their families must watch https://euromedmonitor.org/en/article/6385?s=35

destroy the graves in an attempt to dehumanize even more https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_razing_of_cemeteries...

and on and on and on since a time when none of us was even born. Let's not pretend Israel is the good guy here. There are no good guys, and while I don't accept the acts of Hezbollah, what is a colonized people being genocided to do when the world doesn't care about them being denied human rights ?

WillowBullock a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Israel also do bad things. Maybe it flies under the radar of being called terrorism by the west - but look at west banks settlements, jailing kids forever for throwing stones, turning Gaza into something that makes Mad Max look like a dream in the name of self-defence, appartheid conditions in Israel and the occupied territories. Offensives on Gaza before Oct 7 - 2023 was particularly bad, and the general embargo aroudn Gaza that made life pretty rotten before the current war - etc.

Israel do enough operations that ticks the "look we killed soldiers guys!" box and they really like to get media attention on that. Otherwise it is "Hamas was hiding there". Hard to verify - they may be right sometimes, but I bet not all the time based on the the number of deaths and the amount of destruction in Gaza.

km3r 17 hours ago | root | parent |

> jailing kids forever for throwing stones

This isn't happening. Kids are being jailed for throwing stones, yes. Just like you or I would be jailed if we threw a rock at a cop. But it is not "forever".

ardfard a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

1over137 a day ago | root | parent | next |

>This is an indiscriminate attack.

It’s the opposite. They discriminated carefully.

Perhaps you mean to say innocent bystanders also were collateral damage, which certainly seems true also.

stahtops a day ago | root | parent |

They may have discriminated carefully on which devices were modified, but any care or intelligence ends there.

When they triggered the bombs, they can’t have known who or what was in the blast radius. Video shows one going off in a produce market. The fact that those variables are uncontrolled make it indiscriminate, by definition.

BjoernKW a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> This is false. Many innocents are killed including children

That article - just like all other sources - mentions one 8-year-old girl, not "many innocents" and not several children either. Hence, this is deliberate misinformation.

> You can't determine where the device is when the bomb is activated.

You absolutely can. It's highly likely to be in the targeted person's pocket. Where else would it be?

After all, people usually don't hand their phones to random strangers or leave them lying around - and those pagers aren't even mere personal devices used for private purposes. Why would any of those devices end up anywhere else but the pocket of the person using it?

> This is an indiscriminate attack.

Launching rockets at civilians is. Blowing up pagers explicitly used for terrorist activities isn't.

Ichthypresbyter a day ago | root | parent | next |

>After all, people usually don't hand their phones to random strangers or leave them lying around - and those pagers aren't even mere personal devices used for private purposes

And even compared to a phone, the limited functionality of a pager means the owner isn't going to hand it to a friend to show them a funny video or sports highlight, or to a kid to let them play games on it.

necovek a day ago | root | parent |

TBH, toddlers and younger kids would find pagers extremely fun: if you are at home, I wouldn't think that too far fetched.

However, since children causalties are "good anti-propaganda", any more would have certainly been reported, so I doubt there are more. Still, how successful targeting was is anyone's guess.

wholinator2 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> You absolutely can. It's highly likely to be in the targeted person's pocket.

This seems intentionally avoiding the point. Duh, it's a pager. The real question is can the person donating the explosive tell if the pocket is completely isolated from innocents or if it's standing in a crowded line sitting very near to a childs head.

I do believe that Israel _tried_ to discriminate but its an explosive, you can only aim those to a point. Israel wasn't deliberately trying to kill children/harm innocents, Isreal did knowingly engage in a set of actions where it was possible outcome.

I want to be clear i am not trying to choose a side. These are actions of war in the 21st century.

ardfard a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> After all, people usually don't hand their phones to random strangers or leave them lying around - and those pagers aren't even mere personal devices used for private purposes. Why would any of those devices end up anywhere else but the pocket of the person using it?

I leave my phone all the time, my kids are actually playing games on it. Also, I can be on public transportation, I can be driving, near a flammable object, or boarding a plane. As demonstrated an 8-year-old girl died, it's enough proof that an innocent died.

hackerknew a day ago | root | parent | next |

I think the part you are missing is that this was not an ordinary cellphone. These were pagers handed out by Hezbollah to the militants in their organization so they could communicate, specifically because they did not want to use ordinary cellphones out of fear of being tracked.

The only person who would be likely to have such a pager is a Hezbollah militant who is deemed responsible for secret Hezbollah information (i.e. mid-to-high ranking members). While it is technically possible that such a pager would get into the wrong hands, that would be the fault of the person who left his pager on the table or let his family play with it.

ardfard a day ago | root | parent | next |

> While it is technically possible that such a pager would get into the wrong hands, that would be the fault of the person who left his pager on the table or let his family play with it.

What the hell? Why isn't it the fault of the one who detonates the bomb? This sets a dangerous precedent for attacking unsuspecting army personnel, even when they're off-duty. I don't think people's stance would be the same if this were done to off-duty IDF or US Army personnel and when they just doing ordinary things in public, for example. Moreover, Hezbollah is also a political party, and it's not just their military wing that's being targeted.

jdietrich a day ago | root | parent | next |

>This sets a dangerous precedent for attacking unsuspecting army personnel

Israel and Hezbollah are at a state of war. Hezbollah is a paramilitary organisation that does not meaningfully distinguish between military and civilian staff. There is already a very clear legal precedent - being an unsuspecting or off-duty combatant offers you no protection under international humanitarian law. Unless you're hors de combat, you're a legitimate target at all times. Sabotage of this type is an entirely legitimate ruse of war.

murderfs a day ago | root | parent |

By that logic, aren't the vast majority of Israeli adults legitimate military targets due to mandatory conscription and reserve service?

hackerknew a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Given that the pagers are for secret messages to be sent between militants, it would be highly unlikely for them to end up in the wrong hands unless the militant is being irresponsible.

Certainly you would not expect somebody in the military to leave a loaded gun around the house. But, also it should be obvious that they would not leave their radio device for transmitting top-secret information either due to the implications of having such information and how that would affect the safety of family members.

It is likely that nobody could have expected their pager to literally explode. But, military or merely involved in the "political" side, anybody who lets their family play with such a radio/pager is putting their family at risk.

xupybd a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I think the struggle here is that the combatants aren't on a battlefield in these modern wars. They're walking around a city full of civilians. Observing this it's hard not to feel like it wasn't a military target, however it clearly was.

hackerknew a day ago | root | parent |

Not only that, but from reports, it sounds like they deliberately sent an alert several seconds before detonation to ensure that the user of the pager would be the direct target. Or perhaps that was just the time it took for the fuse to detonate the explosive? Either way, some of the videos out there show the incredible precision that the owner of the pager was taken down and people in the vicinity were unscathed.

esjeon a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> You can't get any more targeted than that.

We can nuke a dictator. It's going to blow up everything within miles, evaporating millions of people, but it can't get any more targeted than that. Deal with it.

Seriously, tho, it's infuriating that a government literally triggered explosion among general public, right in front of innocent eyes. This is an act of terrorism, harming the lives of innocent people who've been largely unrelated to the conflict.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There are 100,000+ northern Israeli's who are refugees inside Israel because Hezbollah is firing hundred of rockets indiscriminately daily at civilian targets, but Israel doing something specifically targeted at higher level Hezbollah operatives makes you feel like Israel is doing exactly the same thing? All while you don't even yet know the reason for the Israeli op (was it to stop an imminent Hezbollah action? Seems odd that this also impacted so many operative in Syria, doesn't it? Why aren't people mentioning that this was larger than Lebanon?)

r00fus a day ago | root | parent | next |

Why? Why is Hezbollah firing rockets into Israel?

You don't mention Gaza or Palestinians, yet it's right there (and been there for 75+ years).

WorkerBee28474 a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Why is Hezbollah firing rockets into Israel?

Hezbollah states that their aims include destroying Israel, instilling a Muslim government in the land, and converting the people to Islam.

They have explicitly said that they will never coexist peacefully.

Cthulhu_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

Yeah but what pissed them off so much? (spoiler: it was Israel's 1982 invasion of Lebanon)

nindalf a day ago | root | parent |

From the first two sentences on wikipedia

> The 1982 Lebanon War began on 6 June 1982, when Israel invaded Lebanon. The invasion followed a series of attacks and counter-attacks between the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) operating in southern Lebanon and the Israeli military that had caused civilian casualties on both sides of the border.

You asked "but what pissed them off so much". Maybe it was the PLO operating in Lebanon, not sure.

komali2 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

shiroiushi a day ago | root | parent | next |

>As the Americans discovered, this level of radicalization doesn't come naturally to people.

It doesn't? Theocratic governments have been around for millennia. They're not some kind of modern invention; they're really just a reversion to how most societies worked in the past.

hersko a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I never understood this logic. We made peace with the Japanese and Germans after the horrors of WWII. There will probably be peace between Russia and Ukraine at some point. Only Arabs attacking a specific country seem to be infantilized to the point where every retaliation is destined to perpetuate the conflict.

ardfard a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Nice, using Islam as a scapegoat. Lebanon is a democratic republic that has 43.4% Christian population. If that is their intention, why not focus on their country first rather than attacking Israel?

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent |

Lebanon had a civil war along religious lines. There are many Lebanese Christians in the USA that could help you with what seems to be a misunderstanding about the country.

Hezbollah's founders writings at the time are available online, and that they are clear about their goal being the rule of Islam. Their slogan was 'The Islamic Revolution in Lebanon'. They were founded as an Islamic revolutionary group, that is very core to who they are. Highlighting that is hardly 'using Islam as a scapegoat' whatever that means.

ardfard a day ago | root | parent |

You are mentioning a civil war that happened a decade ago that is by no means exclusive to Hezbollah. I couldn't care less what their founders wrote, but, strangely, they care about the rule of Islam in Israel when their president is a Maronite Christian and their party is one of the parliament members. I can agree that they are Iranian proxies for war against Israel, but it's far from installing Islamic rule. I mean they are also responsible for the secular movement that comprised many religious factions [1]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lebanese_Resistance_Brigades

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent |

I'm referring to a time when Hezbollah was founded. Kind of important to an organization, it's founding, and it's reason for being founded, don't you think?

You are trying to obfuscate Hezbollah's public statements calling for Islamic rule. Hezbollah wants Islamic rule and Sharia law for Lebanon, they are very clear about this. Currently realities that they have to put up with do not change that. They are also clear all of their actions and philosophy is consistent with and based on Islamic teaching. Again it is not deceptive to point out they are an Islamic organization.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Hezbollah is firing rockets to conduct terrorism on the civilian population living in the area. Are you are OK with terrorism if you feel it's justified?

kombine a day ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

_DeadFred_ 16 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Had Israel killed 15000 people when Hezbollah launched, I think it was 3000 rockets at civilians in an attempt to overwhelm Israel's iron dome defenses for civilians, during and immediately after Oct 7th, partnering with Hamas in ending the semi-peace that had been in place in order to kill the maximal amount if Israeli civilians/instill maximal fear? We are talking about those attacks on this thread about Lebanon.

_blk a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

Aeolun a day ago | root | parent | next |

I think the desire to throw grenades over the fence comes more from the neighbor coming over the fence once in a while and murdering anything he finds.

ardfard a day ago | root | parent | prev |

You forgot to mention your neighbor razed the yard and killed some relatives too. Throwing some Molotovs, while it may not justified, is still an expected reaction.

amy-petrik-214 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> Why is Hezbollah firing rockets into Israel?

Why, Israel sent them a page and they are merely returning the call, as would be the right thing to do among polite company.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent |

By firing thousands of rockets indiscriminately into civilian areas? That is polite, civil, and worthy of a joke to you?

gizajob a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Well, yesterday’s actions aren’t really gonna fix that situation for those 100,000 Israelis now though are they? It wasn’t designed to make that border region safer overnight because those rockets are going to keep coming even more often now. Hezbolah might even get so pissed off they go all out and rush the border.

walrushunter 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

It absolutely alleviates the situation. The rockets were going to be fired either way. Now with a few dead, a bunch of wounded, and a communication channel disabled, it's going to be harder to coordinate future rocket attacks.

GordonS a day ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent |

It looks like Israel wants to be secure. It was attacked in October and since then retaliated to attacks.

It is not a terrorist attack, it was an reaction of Hezbollah indiscriminately firing rockets into Israel. That are terror attacks. Something UN troops are supposed to stop, but that is another topic.

You can look up what Hezbollah wants and that is nothing else than the elimination of Israel. The terror is almost exclusively one sided here and it is sourced from radical fundamentalism.

And no, Israel doesn't not murder, rape and torture, that is purely projection.

gizajob a day ago | root | parent | next |

Personally I’m all for Israel’s security. I find it devastating how hard long term peace in the region seems to be, and how it keeps getting further and further away.

GordonS a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> It is not a terrorist attack, it was an reaction of Hezbollah indiscriminately firing rockets into Israel

It was literally a terrorist attack - it was designed to cause terror. If Hezbollah had done this to the Israeli government or even IDF reservists, I've no doubt that you would call it a terror attack.

And why might Hezbollah be firing rockets onto Lebanese land illegally occupied by militant Israeli settlers, I wonder? Could it also have something to do with Israel launching unprovoked airstrikes in Lebanon?[0] Israel is the occupier, Israel is the aggressor - Israel needs to stop.

> Something UN troops are supposed to stop

That's ironic, given how many UN staff Israel has murdered since last October.

> And no, Israel doesn't not murder, rape and torture, that is purely projection.

I'm sorry, but you're either incredibly misinformed, or an that's an outright lie - even the UN says Israel has institutionalised the use of abuse, torture, sexual abuse and rape[1][2]. Even B'Tselem, an Israeli human rights group, agrees with this![3]

I've read countless reports of Israel torturing Palestinian hostages - they are doing it on a huge scale, and in mind-bendingly evil ways.

Israel is a sick, apartheid regime that must be stopped.

[0] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/25/israel-launches-att...

[1] https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/08/israels-esca...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sexual_and_gender-based_violen...

[3] https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-rights-gro...

cornercasechase a day ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

ghufran_syed a day ago | root | parent | next |

Sure, except Moses and the Jewish people were on the land around 1500 BC, and the Islamic religion didn't start until after 500 CE. So the Jewish people got there at least 2000 years earlier, so if we are doing the "who ethnically cleansed who" game, I think the Jewish people appear to be at most, reversing the previous ethnic cleansing? Or is there some kind of moral "expiry date" on ethnic cleansing?

treetalker a day ago | root | parent | next |

This is a pretty heated thread, and I’m not trying to fan any flames: the Assyrians and Sumerians were there before that. It always seemed a bit arbitrary to me to claim land based on whose religion started first — although not quite as arbitrary as “my God said it’s mine, so there.” Plus I believe they claimed that Ashur promised the land to them.

ardfard a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I think we can all agree that the ancient Roman and Byzantine empires were not exactly gold standards in protecting human rights. However, the fact that something was done to the Jews thousands of years ago does not make it acceptable to do the same to another population today.

cheeseomlit a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The birth of Islam did not cause a whole new race of people to spring from the ground, some of their ancestors lived in the region as well. And according to the Torah the Jewish people who came to that region with Moses during the exodus had to fight off the caananites and philistines before they could settle, so apparently itd been occupied for a while- not that I'd put too much stock in the ancient history thats come down to us, certainly not enough to enforce modern territorial claims

PixyMisa a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There are two million Arabs and Muslims living as citizens of Israel.

They have more rights in Israel than they would in any Arab nation.

Gaza was handed back entirely to Palestinian rule in 2005. Everything Jewish was removed, even graves.

light_hue_1 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Violently expanding into Gaza?

You don't know even the most basic facts.

Israel left Gaza. It gave the Palestinians what they wanted. Their own area with no settlers. Israel forcefully removed all of its people from all of Gaza.

In exchange they immediately voted in a terrorist organization as their government and began to attack Israel over and over again.

cornercasechase a day ago | root | parent | next |

Almost a million people are displaced in Gaza (violently) as we speak.

light_hue_1 a day ago | root | parent |

How is this violently expanding into Gaza?

That's like saying that during the us invasion of Iraq to replace the regime the US expanded into Iraq. It did not. The us didn't settle Iraq.

I stand by my statement that people here talk with authority without knowing even the most basic facts.

aguaviva a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Violently expanding into Gaza?

Yes, very violently, and on a massively greater scale than before. Just ask the country's National Security Minister:

Backing settlement, Ben Gvir says he’d be ‘very happy to live in Gaza’ after the war

If ‘hundreds of thousands’ of Palestinians leave the Strip, ‘we will be able to bring in more and more people,’ minister says

https://www.timesofisrael.com/backing-settlement-ben-gvir-sa...

light_hue_1 a day ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

aguaviva 19 hours ago | root | parent |

Do you even believe this nonsense?

Of course the guy's a lunatic. He also happens to have a lot of support within certain very powerful circles, not in spite of but because of what he's proposing to do in Gaza, and for his lunatic, outright fascistic worldview generally. That's why they made him National Security Minister, after all.

There was nothing remotely racist in my post, and I don't appreciate the smear.

jojobas a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There are like 20% Arabs among Israel citizens. The are about 20 (not %, just 20) Jews in Lebanon. Who's ethnically cleansing whom again?

Both Jews and Palestinian Arabs have legitimate claims against each other. The levels of barbarity in pursuing these claims is not even remotely comparable.

yadaeno a day ago | root | parent | prev |

How is it ethnically cleansed if 20% of the Israeli population is native?

FridayoLeary a day ago | root | parent | next |

By native i assume you mean arab. Not to mention that the infant mortality rate dropped something like 90% after the state was founded and the arab population is still growing at a huge rate.

judahmeek a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The percentage of native population used to be 100%, so I don't think pointing out the change in percentage really works in favor of your argument.

olalonde a day ago | root | parent | next |

Not necessarily, this can happen with immigration alone. For example, French and English descendants used to form a much greater percentage of the Canadian population, yet they were not "ethnically cleansed".

ardfard a day ago | root | parent |

Yes, a flood of immigration combined with systematically displacing the local population. See the Nakba and Settler movement.

yadaeno a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Doesn’t it depend on the time scale?

If we are talking about pre-globalization many countries are no longer have a majority “native” population. (US, Japan, Taiwan, parts of Europe) and that is just the reality of human history.

I think we have to decide on a time when the back and fourth geocoding between groups is no longer acceptable. Most of the world thinks it’s around the end of ww2 and the start of globalization, but are you contending that it should be later, and the Arabs should take back Israel?

AnarchismIsCool a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There are old stories of the Russians planting mines inside children's toys during some of the later cold war conflicts. This is starting to feel a bit like that. Nobody had any way of knowing who was holding those pagers when they sent that packet but they still distributed thousands of munitions throughout the populace and pressed the red button. Now there are probably at least a hundred or so still out there that haven't exploded and are just live UXO sitting in people's desk drawers.

I'd say it's pretty fucked.

WillPostForFood a day ago | root | parent | next |

It is morally fucked to compare trapping children's toys with trapping the communications devices of soldiers in a war.

hypeatei a day ago | root | parent | next |

So you can guarantee every single pager went to a solider of war? By that logic, soldiers in the Ukraine war also use cellphones and drones so it's A-OKAY to implant bombs in those products too?

shmatt a day ago | root | parent | next |

These weren’t sold at a Best Buy.

They were purchased by a known terrorist organizations that any westerner would go to jail for having a financial relationship with .

The types of people they deal with to buy anything at all - including black market weapons and machinery - are dubious

The US does these exact same things to infiltrate Mexican cartels

stahtops a day ago | root | parent |

Ok so the US DEA detonates explosives on cartel members.

Your daughter is enjoying a cappuccino at a bistro when a cartel member walks by, the device detonates burning and scarring her face. You’re good with it.

Your oldest son has ordered a deli sandwich and is waiting for his order. He kneels down to tie his shoes. Next to him is a cartel member. The device detonates, destroying his ear drum. You’re good with it.

Your sister is shopping for produce at the market, as she walks past a cartel member to choose an avocado, the device detonates, maiming her left hand. She loses her fingers and is let go from her job as a software engineer. You’re good with it.

Your mom sits down in an empty seat on public transportation. The man next to her is cartel. The device detonates and shrapnel pierces an artery in her leg. She dies. You’re good with it.

Your brother, nephew, and youngest son are walking down the street. You were supposed to pick the kids up at 3pm but had to work late. You asked your brother to walk them home instead. A cartel member is driving a vehicle down the same road. Suddenly the device detonates and they lose control, the vehicle swerves up on the sidewalk striking all three. Your brothers leg is maimed and mangled, before he passes out from pain he watches his son die, trapped beneath the vehicle. Your son is flung into a wall and suffers a severe brain injury, he survives but never walks or talks again. You change his diapers for the next 40 years. You’re good with it.

Your dad is an ER doctor, a man comes in complaining of trouble breathing. As your dad is listening to his lungs, the device detonates, ejecting shrapnel into your father’s face. The man was part of the cartel, if he doesn’t work for them, they will kill his sister. Your father is blinded and can no longer practice medicine. You’re good with it.

Raptor22 a day ago | root | parent | next |

Two things: 1) This is war. It's not pretty and it's never not messy.

2) This is precisely why every human, and every leader of humans, should avoid war at all costs. The image of a "clean" war is a myth. Even the Allies in WWII were not immune to this, see the bombing of Dresden[1].

Whatever you think of either side in this, it's clear that neither is doing enough to end this.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Dresden

golol a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Even if up to 30% of casualties were civilian this would still be quite a surgical strike in my opinion. At 50% I would not say so anymore. Nobody knows yet anyways.

jojobas a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There are acceptable levels of collateral damage.

You can bomb an ordnance storage facility even if there's a hospital right next to it (or, in fact, right not on top of it).

They've made sure the pagers were used by Hezbollah first and foremost, tough shit if few were given to kids to play.

And yes if Ukrainians were able to blow up all drones within say 50km of the front lines on the Russian side they'd be justified to do that, even if some were in civilians' hands.

loceng a day ago | root | parent |

You've been victim of what's called manufactured consent.

Why hasn't Israel allowed any investigations in Gaza, not showing evidence they're using to obliterate practically all of Palestine now, not allowing foreign journalists in either to document things?

jojobas a day ago | root | parent |

This is just a bunch of non-sequiturs.

loceng a day ago | root | parent |

It logically fits, you're just avoiding and trying to control the goal posts/scope of what's talked about.

You'd prefer we mostly only talk about Oct. 7th and afterward, right?

jojobas 10 hours ago | root | parent |

No, we sure can go all the way back to 1948 and talk about how Israel gained territory in a series of defensive wars, Palestinians and their Arab allies getting their asses handed back to them every single time.

We'll sure find some occurrences of Israel chasing away Arab civilians early on, but that's beside the point. This attack, and the absolute majority of Israel attacks of the last decades, target enemy combatants, and civilians only ever suffer collaterally. Israel never mounted an attack on civilians, and went very far in reducing civilian casualties when attacking combatants - roof knocking and all that.

walrushunter 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

How could I possibly personally guarantee that?

If your standard for engaging in military action is that they must be able to prove to you personally that their target is really a militant, you are completely delusional.

EGreg a day ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

Aeolun a day ago | root | parent |

It's a bit silly to think the Ukrainians would do something like this, because any such thing would instantly lose them the war as all western support is withdrawn.

Russia meanwhile... they just seem like they want to see the world burn. Given the fact they're fighting using convicted criminals, it doesn't seem all that far fetched.

anavat a day ago | root | parent | next |

Western media has full control over information and if Ukrainians would do something like this, no one would even know.

There were multiple cases of Ukrainians doing something evil or borderline evil that were swept under the rug. One of the recent examples is the cassette munition explosion over a beach in Sevastopol, which killed few children and wounded a hundred of people. I stopped following the war closely but it got my attention because that's my home town. And in this case I even agree that the rocket wasn't specifically targeting the beach (that would be stupid), it was likely targeting the nearby airbase; but that's not the point.The point is that every single time something like this happens, it gets silenced.

There are multiple high-quality videos of the explosion recorded from different angles. On Reddit, a high-quality video of an even like this, surreal and frightening, would otherwise have been upvoted to skies. But not when it puts Ukrainians in bad light! One the next day, as a random Reddit user, you'd never even know about this event (I wonder how many people know about this at all).

And again, this is just one example. I can probably collect few hundreds of cases likes this over the first two years of the war, where as a Western media consumer you would never know about something that could potentially change your opinion on the conflict. And just like this, you're being manipulated. Of course, so are the Russians who solely rely on Russian news sources. The only way to know the truth is to follow both sides closely, especially to what each side hides and silences. You'd be surprised.

aguaviva 11 hours ago | root | parent | next |

The point is that every single time something like this happens, it gets silenced.

Except it doesn't. Stuff like this gets reported all the time (for exactly what it is), also when Ukrainians do it. Like the EW-intercepted drone that hit that apartment outside Moscow, killing (according to local reports) someone inside. Even RFE/RL reported it.

Not every single incident of course -- but they do get reported, very frequently.

People tend not to dwell on it, of course -- because they know these things are bound to happen to some degree (and anyone with more than a completely casual understanding of WW II knows that inadvertent civilian casualties, even in allied countries, were extremely high). And that there are far too many perfectly deliberate atrocities happening, and at far greater scale (and except for a few isolated cases, all coming not so coincidentally from one side). And because they understand the far bigger point, which is that at the end of the day, the war (and all the suffering that will be required to end it) is Putin's fault anyway.

But that's very different from the simple matter of these events being "silenced". Because plainly they're not. The reason they don't get more column inches or newsroom chatter is because, by any level-headed analysis -- they just don't deserve any.

And attempting to describe the state of affairs that way, when clearly it isn't, is well -- manipulative.

DecoySalamander a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Why would that specific video be up-voted into the skies? It's just another piece of misery porn and we had at least 2 years of that on almost daily basis at that point.

EGreg a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

aguaviva a day ago | root | parent | next |

which has now escalated into 1 million dead in Ukraine

So mere hours after appearing in the WSJ, "1M are now dead or injured (but actually about 80k Ukrainian, 200k Russian dead)"[0] is being misquoted as simply "1M dead", and not so coincidentally in tandem with another misconception (that gets repeated on HN almost daily it seems):

when it could have been resolved w Minsk Accords or anything negotiated in Normandy or Turkey since then.

"Could have been resolved", that is, by granting to Putin permanent sovereignty over whatever territories he happened to be sitting on at the time, if not then some, and other non-viable concessions (with no guarantees that they would even work to stop him from simply grabbing more land and/or just keep bombing Ukrainian cities whenever it might suit his fancy):

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41568861

EGreg a day ago | root | parent | next |

Fair enough, I was inaccurate in saying 1M dead, should have said “dead or injured”.

However, you are WILDLY inaccurate suggesting that the Minsk agreements would have ”granted to Putin permanent sovereingty over” Donbas. He was not “sitting over it”. The entire Donbas would have been an autonomous part of Ukraine. Kyiv officials didnt want to grant this autonomy, but more importantly, Angela Merkel admitted the West cynically “used the peace agreemnys to buy time and arm Ukraine!”

https://www.news18.com/amp/news/world/ukraine-war-merkel-say...

Now you may say that “Russia would have kept Crimea and that is why Ukraine must fight to the last Ukrainian to return it” but you don’t know the history of Crimea.

The vast majority (94%) voted to be independent of Ukraine every chance they got, starting in 1991, 1992, etc

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Crimean_sovereignty_ref...

They put it in their constitution in 1992

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_Crimean_constitution

and referendums showed strong desire to be independent of Ukraine

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Crimean_referendum

and they only agreed to be part of Ukraine if guaranteed autonomy (and Russia agreed to recognize it on that basis). After that, though, Ukraine broke the agreement, invaded Crimea with 4000 troops in the 90s, arrested their leaders, forced them to change their constitution, etc. But they got to keep Crimea anyway with not a peep from the “democratic West” (cause the West is biased):

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Crimea_(1991%E2%80%...

Crimea has been an unwilling hostage to Ukraine but if Ukraine is doing it then it’s OK because the West never reports on it…

I mean heck, NATO integration was wildly unpopular among the Ukrainian public, it was only happening because Yuschenko was an unpopular stooge who was ramming it through anyway, since Bush vowed that Ukraine and Georgia would be in NATO:

https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2010/03/29/ukraine-says-n...

https://news.gallup.com/poll/127094/ukrainians-likely-suppor...

And that was still the case years later

https://news.gallup.com/poll/167927/crisis-ukrainians-likely...

But Bush was vowing to get Ukraine and Georgia into NATO anyway, obviouly to flip Russia’s “red lines” neighbors against them, a sort of reverse Cuban missile crisis: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-ukraine-bush/bush-vo...

This came to a head in 2008 with Georgia when Medvedev - not Putin - was president. The war had the same EXACT elements: two breakaway Georgian republics (Abhazia and Ossetia) being shelled by Mikhail Saaakashvili hoping to be in NATO. They asked Russia for help. Russia invaded with tanks going to the capitol.

The difference is that it was over in a week because Nikolas Sarkozy (the French President at the time) negotiated a peace agreement. Georgia is fine now, I’ve been there. (Saakashvili is in Georgian jail now btw.) Abhazia and Ossetia are not just fine, they’re happy to not be under Georgian hegemony. Imagine that. The matreshka doll of self determination can go more than 1 level deep, which the West and NATO knows really well in the case of Kosovo. (But it’s an “exception” of course, cause it’s them doing it.)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosovo_independence_preceden...

Anyway, that is the outcome you are told to “fear”. Russia didn’t go on to annex Georgia, or further, emboldened. They reacted to stated NATO expansion, and shelling of people on their border who asked them for help. They asked the government to cut it out, then intimidated them with tanks. If they backed down and stopped oppressing the two breakaway republics (same as Serbia and Kosovar Albanians) then they stopped also. It’s a valid approach and results in more peace for everyone.

And in fact, in the 2022 invasion, the role of Nikolas Sarkozy was played to the T by Israeli PM Naftali Bennett. He says in a tell-all interview that he was negotiating with Putin and Zelensky directly and could have had the war halted a mere 1-2 weeks in. But he was specifically told by the Western leaders to stand down and let it play out. That “Putin was not to be negotiated with, he was to be defeated.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0yma0LxyVVs

So much for “nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine”. Actually, the war must go on, so we can weaken Russia. Ukraine is the new Afghanistan (mujahideen, stinger missiles, a decade leaving 2 million dead civilians).

====

Speaking of the casualties:

If you want to go by official UN casualty numbers, this war has the SMALLEST civilian-to-combatant casualty ratios I have ever seen (something like 20 militants to 1 civilian!). Both sides want to avoid killing civilians, likely because 11 million Russians have relatives in Ukraine and vice versa.

By contrast, the urban warfare in Gaza has (in my estimation) a 4 civilians to 1 militant ratio, while the worldwide historica average is 9 civilians to 1 militant.

But militants are people too, especially if they are regular men being grabbed off the street and conscripted against their will. As a man, I understand that men are expendable in war, but as a libertarian, I have to count those deaths as involuntary in most cases.

The longer this goes on, the longer the Ukrainian nation is decimated. The women are abroad, the men can’t leave. The young women end up marrying successful foreigners. I know, I see them all over the place in USA, Canada etc. The children are half-Ukrainian. It’s not only that the men are being killed, but Zelensky’s war and policies of forcing the men to fight are reducing the Ukrainian nation as a while. If he allowed the men of Ukraine a choice, most would opt out of this war, even preferring to leave Ukraine than be drafted.

That’s why I am against wars as a libertarian. It’s politicians deliberately failing to avert a conflict, and the plebs have to pay the price while the politicians get rich and give speeches about how “we must all sacrifice”. Somehow the talking heads on TV never get drafted either!

aguaviva 19 hours ago | root | parent |

However, you are WILDLY inaccurate suggesting that the Minsk agreements would have ”granted to Putin permanent sovereignty over” Donbas.

You are WILDLY misquoting me already in the very first sentence of your riposte. I never said that that's what the Minks Protocols said. I can understand how it might sort of seem like I said that -- that is, if you're hastily skimming, but not actually reading. Just read my words again, carefully this time please.

He was not “sitting over it”.

"Sitting on it" I said. Either way, it's just another way of saying "occupying" it, which of course he was and still is.

As to the other stuff you're saying -- look, you're going off on way too many tangents here (many not even about Ukraine), and presenting way too many twisted mischaracterizations of the historical record along the way (including even more WILDLY inflated body counts, this time in Afghanistan). Like any other contorted, vituperative, ideology-driven libertarian rant.

Not something I have time for, or see any purpose in. You're free to make of the world what you want, though.

Aeolun a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> by granting to Putin permanent sovereignty over whatever territories he happened to be sitting on at the time

I think the one thing I can agree with is that it’s debatable whether it’s ultimately worth it. Is Putin’s Russia so much worse that it’s worth 80k deaths to prevent it becoming reality in those regions currently occupied?

shiroiushi a day ago | root | parent | next |

I guess it depends on whether you think it's OK to be forced at gunpoint to abandon your culture and language and adopt your invader's, and to live in a totalitarian autocracy rather than a very imperfect democracy.

EGreg a day ago | root | parent |

I mean, that’s literally what has happeneed throughout history everywhere?

Lots of groups currently live as part of a larger country - Basques, Catalonians, Kurds, Tibetans etc. does this mean they have to lose millions of people fighting for total independence and sovereignty?

In Ukraine, for instance, Crimea was an unwilling particpant, ever since 1991 we know 94% voted to break away from Ukraine. Ukraine invaded them in the 90s, arrested their leaders and changed their constitution.

Going further back, Galicia was part of Poland, but then Ukrainian communists took it. And Poland used to rule Ukraine, which Ukrainians chafed under (Bogdan Khmelnitsky revolt).

Ukraine has been a tinderbox of many cultures, incouding Kossacks, Orthodox Christians, Greeks, Russians, Catholic Poles, religious and secular Jews, Red athiest Communists, and more.

In 1919 it was briefly a Cossack Hetmanate, if you can believe that!

Actually, communist Bolsheviks (except for Stalin) are the ones responsible for reviving Ukrainian language and culture, as part of their program of “korenizatziya” throughout the USSR. The opposite of what you’d expect:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korenizatsiia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukrainization

The culture of “hating Russians” was there among some nationalists, such as Petliura, Bandera and Schuhevych, who took the opportunities around world wars to try to fight for independence. But they were also deeply wrapped up with hatred of Jews, Poles etc. The two guys I mentioned are responsible for killing many Jews, Poles, etc.

After WW2, the Soviet Union had lost 30 million people but emerged a victor over nazis. The USA in a few scant years had made NATO with formerly-nazi Germany as a founding member, against USSR. In 1954 USSR formally asked to join, before starting the Warsaw Pact. Incidentally that same year Khrustchev’s Presidium unilaterally gifted Crimea from Russian SSR to Ukrainian SSR “in a spirit of deep friendship”.

USA and CIA preferreed to work with literal nazis against the eastern bloc. (Operation paperclip, Pinochet in Chile, etc etc.) Radio Liberty was a CIA-funded program to keep the opposition to USSR alive in Ukraine, usually among the far-right elements who sympathized more with the nazis who had lost, and whose grandfathers fought on that side. It didn’t matter to USA, because USSR was their geopolitical rival now.

Same as it didn’t matter about sponsoring jihadists (which is what “mujahideen” means in Arabic) in Afghanistan and getting 2 million civilians killed in a needless civil war, spending billions radicalizing and arming people together with Saudis and leading to the explosion of Wahhabist Islam around the world, ending up later ravaging Iraq, Syria, Nigeria etc.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwpR6ngoSjQ

It’s not about “preserving culture”. That’s the cynical explanation. It’s about proxy wars and weakening the rivals throuh endless quagmires. USA and its architects of proxy wars do not actually care about the people on the ground:

https://www.counterpunch.org/1998/01/15/how-jimmy-carter-and...

shiroiushi 11 hours ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

EGreg 6 hours ago | root | parent |

I guess wikipedia and all mainstream news are Kremlin propagandists?

What did I say that was a lie? I try to be as accurate as possible.

You think US doesn’t have propaganda? “They hate us for our freedoms”… “weapons of mass destruction”… “unprovoked and unjustified”… whenever you hear the same line repeated over and over verbatim, it is propaganda

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

You previously wrote this on HN, and I think it is a great response to this question:

You are essentially saying “Shit is bad, give up on it ever improving.”

nradov a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Who is doing the debating? The Ukrainians will have to decide for themselves how many deaths they're willing to accept for national survival.

But as long as they're willing to fight we should give them everything they ask for. The Russian empire is bleeding to death in Donetsk. That suits our interests regardless of the ultimate outcome.

Aeolun a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I never thought I’d say this, but there is a distinction between neo-nazis and criminals/murderers.

The first have the potential to do bad, the second have proven beyond a doubt that they’re evil.

yonaguska a day ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

Aeolun a day ago | root | parent |

I think the one thing that I think completely turns me off this logic is that it’s only proponents seem to be the ones that feel like it’s fine for Russia to keep what it’s unlawfully taken.

Sure, there’s a bunch of drone footage of Ukraine dropping shit on barely moving Russian soldiers, but I’m not sure if that’s an indictment of Russia or Ukraine.

walrushunter 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

"Israel orchestrating an attack against the terrorists they're at war with makes me think less of them" is certainly an opinion. A batshit fucking stupid opinion, but you're entitled to it nonetheless.

Please don't vote.

poisonarena a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

>as a country and a people they only exist as long as we're their benefactor

Why do so many people think this? If the US stopped "giving" them "military aid" which is actually just disney dollars to spend in the US military industrial complex they would be out a small percentage of their defense budget.

anon291 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> as we're their benefactor, and I don't think I'm alone in how I feel.

It's undoubtedly true the US supports Israel generally, but Israel is more capable of its own.

fracus a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

When you don't treat people who are brutally uncivilized with civility, it isn't long before people forget who the bad guy is and where it all started. If you are a civilized society, you have to treat the uncivil with civility. You have to set an example.

komali2 a day ago | root | parent |

Your perspective is that the Palestinians are brutally uncivilized?

fracus a day ago | root | parent |

I think it is more telling you made that assumption.

komali2 19 hours ago | root | parent |

I was trying to bridge a communication gap by offering an interpretion. In truth I don't understand your comment at all, but I never go to stack overflow empty handed for example.

senectus1 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

jesus, this is going to make taking electronics on aircraft damned near impossible now.

graeme a day ago | root | parent | next |

Surely airport security scanners scan for explosive material

Cthulhu_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

To a point, but it's spot checks at best; a state actor has full access to the wide range of explosive compounds, surely there's some that wouldn't be detected (or that can be handled and packaged in such a way that it doesn't get detected)?

caf a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The explosive scanning is the thing where they pull some people out of line and run a wand over you and your gear, then put it into a machine and wait a few seconds for the analysis.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Just like everything else 90s the transparent iMac G3 look is going to be coming back only in the non-ironic prison use for having everything in a clear case (to check for contraband).

gonzo41 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

This is probably the biggest impact tbh. I wonder if the US public would support these actions if it knew it was going to come back on them with longer TSA lines.

mjfl a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

you should really take a rigorous look into the history of early Israel and the ideologies of its founding members like Hertzl and Jabotinsky. They have always been terrorists.

DevX101 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Right now one of the fastest growing companies is the Israel cybersecurity company Wiz, founded by founders and investors from Israel's Unit 8200, their secretive cyber hacking group. Seems to me a massive security risk for any US company to be relying on critical security to a non American founded companies.

a_cloudberry a day ago | root | parent | next |

I created a throwaway account just for this.

I actually hired, and we later fired, a couple of 'engineers' from Unit 8200. They were technically quite weak, and when Oct. 7 happened, I wasn't surprised at all. If this was the cream of the crop, the defense community should seriously re-evaluate the efficacy of the IDF.

csomar a day ago | root | parent | next |

Wiz is the WeWork of cybersecurity. The Israeli tech sector is not that powerful but has lots of investments from the West (US mainly). My experience relates to yours. I think most people have high and unrealistic expectations of people coming from Israel but this usually comes out short.

bostik a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Israel has a mandatory military service, and they have been cultivating technical talent development in their armed forces for a long time. So I would think that the arrow of causality runs the opposite way.

In other words: virtually every Israeli has been in the military, and for the technically competent ones, were likely to be recruited into their offensive intelligence unit. Coupled with a government whose industrial strategy has been to promote business development in this sector, we are in a situation where practically every single founder of an Israeli tech company has a military service background.

Those with (offensive) infosec mindset end up founding infosec focused businesses, knowing that there is readily available investment available for them. As a result, the Venn diagram between the unit members and infosec business founders is likely to show a pretty big overlap.

kombine a day ago | root | parent |

And if you look at it more broadly, most Israelis served in the army which maintains an occupation which is illegal under international law, that is most countries on the planet deem it illegal. So, when I meet an Israeli, the instant thought that runs through my head would be: did this person participate in the human rights abuses? They might very well not have, but the possibility is there. This is a scary situation for me as well, because I do not want to be discriminating and prejudiced against anyone, but the facts are straight.

barbazoo 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> From Israel's perspective, this supply chain attack was undoubtedly a clever move

From The Guardian [1]:

> Eight killed and 2,750 wounded

Was that a clever move if you're killing "only" 8 potential adversaries?

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/17/middle-ea...

gojomo 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It looks like a trigger that can only be pulled once.

Thus, choice of the optimal time could be influenced by a lot of things:

- knowledge of other Hezbollah imminent action making comms disruption right now of great importance

- recognition that the vulnerability had been discovered and was about to be remediated

- via other "eyes on" prime targets, knowledge that just one or two top leaders were briefly in especially-vulnerable positions (like sleeping alongside their pagers)

- etc

And, there will be a "long tail" of damage to Hezbollah's usual communications practices & trust in devices/suppliers. Some marginal recruits may even be deterred from joining a battle against an opponent which can carry out this sort of attack – though of course, others may be emboldened.

Qem a day ago | root | parent | next |

> And, there will be a "long tail" of damage to Hezbollah's usual communications practices & trust in devices/suppliers.

It appears pager use was a solid choice. Even on full supply chain compromise the amount of explosives fitted couldn't kill even 1% of targets. A cellphone would be packed with much larger payloads able to kill much more people. Their failure was the lack of proper inspection before distribution.

markus_zhang 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I think the purpose is to terrorize your opponents. Sometimes getting seriously wounded is even worse than getting killed, from the perspective of Hez. Now they need to handle thousands of wounded members, which is much more expensive than dead ones.

jsheard 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Who said the injured are all Hezbollah members? From the above Guardian coverage:

"Among those killed is an eight-year-old girl from Bekka Valley, Abiad said, according to Al Jazeera."

This CCTV footage shows one of the devices exploding in a busy supermarket:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dozens-hezbollah-m...

Terrorizing your opponents is one thing, but indiscriminately detonating bombs in public spaces is just plain terrorism.

llm_nerd 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The busy supermarket saw people standing directly beside the target perplexed and completely unharmed. This was extremely localized.

If the child story is true (which is always in question), presumably they were tragically playing with the pager or the like at precisely that time.

However the footage of the attack is overwhelmingly fighting-age males exclusively. As far as military operations go, that is remarkably targeted.

S33V 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

if someone next to you in a supermarket was wounded from an explosive like the video shows, do you think perplexed and completely unharmed would be a good description for your experience? Maybe we saw different videos, but it's pretty hard to make such a generalized statement from a few seconds of video.

llm_nerd 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Yes? Clearly the people directly beside the target were physically unharmed and confused about what happened. For all they knew the guy had an e-vape explode or something.

Maybe in the future they'll carry some emotional damage or something, but living in a country de facto in a state of war with a formidable nuclear-power neighbour, while governed by a terrorist organization that indiscriminately fires rockets into civilian areas essentially daily, carries that risk, right? I doubt such an operation was a surprise to anyone.

alickz a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> if someone next to you in a supermarket was wounded from an explosive

that "someone" is an enemy combatant currently fighting a war

if they were wearing a uniform would you stand next to a soldier during an ongoing war?

if you were a soldier would you hide in a group of civilians?

there's a lot of blame to go around and Israel is far from clean, but the Hezbollah members are clearly also putting people in harms way by using them as a shield against attacks like this

bbqfog a day ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

dotancohen a day ago | root | parent | next |

And how did watching videos of Hamas beheading people on October 7th affect you? And how did watching videos from the Hezbollah attack on the children's football field, that killed a dozen children, affect you?

komali2 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It's a damn shame that Israel funded Hamas in their goal of supplanting more leftist groups gaining ground in Palestine, and it's a damn shame that Israel has spent something like 70 years now assassinating various Palestinian political leaders, including vocal pacifist advocates.

Just like the Americans decreased the safety of Americans abroad by spending two decades radicalizing the middle east, Israel has decreased the safety of its citizens by always choosing to escalate the violence.

jncfhnb a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

You don’t live in a society where the guy next to you at the supermarket is actively involved in terrorism strikes against the other country.

These kinds of comparisons are frankly just nonsense and so devoid of context

bbqfog a day ago | root | parent |

Yes I do. In fact, many of the VCs in our industry that I've had to deal with are Zionist terrorists cheering on this attack.

jncfhnb 20 hours ago | root | parent |

If you’re talking about California that’s just embarrassing

bbqfog 18 hours ago | root | parent |

VC tech has killed many, many civilians.

jncfhnb 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Sure, and yet it is extremely cringeworthy to think your life experience is comparable to that in a high conflict zone of the Middle East

bbqfog 14 hours ago | root | parent |

If the same people here are the ones killing people there, then surely you see the connection. I don't need to be the victim of a serial killer to not want to dine with one.

PolygonSheep 12 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> The busy supermarket saw people standing directly beside the target perplexed and completely unharmed. This was extremely localized.

I saw that video too and I'm happy the bystanders in that case were unharmed but that was 1/2000 (or 5,000?) explosions. I wouldn't necessarily extrapolate the supermarket video to the other several thousand explosions.

yonisto 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

indiscriminately? They were all used by Hezbollah operatives by definition. It is the most targeted operation if there ever was one.

jsheard 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Indiscriminate in the sense that bombs have an area of effect beyond the person carrying them, so they couldn't possibly account for collateral damage when firing them all at once, and a conscious decision was made that any unlucky civilians are fair game. Indiscriminate in the same sense as dropping a bunker buster on a residential block because you believe there's a handful of terrorists inside, or nuking two cities to "encourage" a military surrender.

If you believe this tactic was just, then I trust that if Mossad obliterated your child in the process of assassinating an enemy of Israel who happened to be nearby then you would be able to forgive and forget, since it was for the greater good and they tried their best. Even if they were targeting the wrong person, as it sometimes goes: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lillehammer_affair

Incidentally when they later killed the actual target of that operation they did so by detonating a 100kg car bomb on a public road, also killing 4 civilians and injuring 16 others.

dkbrk a day ago | root | parent | next |

That's not what "indiscriminate" means.

Indiscriminate attacks are those [0]:

(a) which are not directed at a specific military objective;

(b) which employ a method or means of combat which cannot be directed at a specific military objective; or

(c) which employ a method or means of combat the effects of which cannot be limited as required by international humanitarian law;

and consequently, in each such case, are of a nature to strike military objectives and civilians or civilian objects without distinction.

The fact that the pagers were obtained by Hezbollah to be used for their communications, and consequently could be expected to be exclusively in the possession of combatants means the attack was not indiscriminate.

Causing collateral damage does not make an attack indiscriminate. The standard for permissible collateral damage is that an attack must not cause loss of civilian life, injury to civilians, damage to civilian property, etc. that is excessive in relation to the anticipated concrete and direct military advantage [1].

The fact that it was so specifically targeted, combined with the small size of the explosive charges means collateral damage could be expected to be minor. And the evidence so far suggests that to have been accurate. The death of a single child is tragic, but negligible in comparison to the military advantage gained by thousands of combatants dead or wounded.

[0]: https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule12

[1]: https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule14

calf a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Where in aforementioned international humanitarian law, step (c), is it preordained that one child's collateral death is negligible? See, therein lies the crux of the issue. The definition itself is wise enough that you can't just lawyerese your way through the issue.

In your scientistic rationalization using weaselwords like "expected to be exclusive", "the [subjective] standard for permissible..", "a death is [objectively] negligible", and so on, it is rather the case that your explanation is so laden with prejudiced pseudoreasoning that you are blind to it and unwittingly helping to spread ideological misinformation.

hersko a day ago | root | parent |

A non "weaselwords" version:

A country has a right to defend its citizens. It can go to war to do so. War is horrible and civilians die.

calf a day ago | root | parent | next |

Your version is called jingoism.

It's funny, everyone on Hacker News at least completed high school in principle. But there's so much brave conservatism that high school education should have infused students with enough critical thinking to make them think about what they're really saying, regardless of how complex or simple their version of words is.

sudopluto 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

"unlucky civilians are fair game" that's been an unfortunate fact of war since, well, war was invented. maybe you should more angry at the people who started the war and put people in harms way, instead of complaining that one of the most precise operations still had unintended civilian consequences.

taking the moral high ground is easy when you are not the one making decisions, and while the lesser of two evils (in your car bomb example) doesn't make sense on a personal level, it does make sense on a macro level

crossroadsguy a day ago | root | parent |

> maybe you should more angry at the people who started the war

How far back are we willing to go for that? Who evicted whom? When? How many times? In what order?

Terr_ 11 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Indiscriminate in the sense that bombs have an area of effect beyond the person carrying them

AFAICT the stock pager models are ~95 grams, and people are suggesting 3-5g of added explosives. If they used RDX, then 3g would be ~5.5 cubic centimeters, which seems like rather a lot to try to squish into a small pager unless the design also replaced the standard battery with a smaller one to make room.

In contrast, a M67 fragmentation grenade uses ~156 grams of explosives.

Basically I'm saying it sounds like the bombs are small enough that it's not quite fair to call them "indiscriminate", especially if the trigger logic involves a Hezbollah radio network that nobody else would be using.

anigbrowl 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

operatives

A lot of people seem to think Hezbollah is purely military in nature because of the 'terrorism' label. The organization was founded to respond to Israel's invasion of Lebanon, and while it is a militant organization it also has seats in the Lebanese parliament, engages in a lot of non-military activities, and does not have simple politics - for example, it has condemned Al Qaeda and ISIS for terroristic attacks.

Labels such as 'terrorists' are as often designed to confuse as to inform. Reductionist categorization makes people easy to manipulate.

hersko a day ago | root | parent | next |

An NGO that launches missiles at towns and cities would seem to be the definition of a terrorist organization.

jncfhnb a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They have an assault rifle in their flag. Make no mistake about their purpose.

WorkerBee28474 a day ago | root | parent | next |

Well, Guatemala has (older) rifles in theirs too...

jncfhnb 20 hours ago | root | parent |

And yet it doesn’t look like an obvious terrorist symbol

anigbrowl 17 hours ago | root | parent |

I think you are mistaking your emotional reflexes for objective truth. Weapons on flags historically connote a message of 'don't mess with us'. The IDF's logo is a sword and an olive branch, and is more or less the same as the logo of the Haganah...a pre-independence paramilitary organization that was considered terroristic at the time when Palestine was still a British possession, and which killed hundreds of people.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haganah

jncfhnb 17 hours ago | root | parent |

The issue is not that weapons are shown. The issue is that it’s a fist holding an assault rifle. It’s very plainly a call for violent action. And frankly I think it’s kind of stupid to argue otherwise.

Regardless of your opinion of the IDF, their flag is clearly a very different vibe

anigbrowl 17 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

2 American state flags depict people holding guns as well. I won't mention which two lest it lead to an outbreak of hostilities. And wait until you hear about the symbology of the US flag, or listen to the US national anthem!

More seriously, quite a few other countries have guns on the flag, reflecting a turbulent recent history. As I mentioned, Hezbollah was formed in response to the invasion and occupation of Lebanon just over 40 years ago, which was not a violence-free event. Let's not even get into swords on flags.

There's a tendency among some people to draw their conclusion first and then summon reasons for it afterwards, reasons which often lack consistency. Our violent history is glorious; theirs is deplorable. Consider, for example, the Irish Republican Army; like Hezbollah, it's considered a terrorist organization by US, UK, and many other jurisdictions. But due to the huge number of Irish American people and the subsidence of that political conflict in the last few decades, lots of Americans think the IRA is cool, while reflexively lumping Hezbollah in with other Islamic groups like Al Qaeda and ISIS.

In short, I think things like 'their flag has a gun on it' are the opposite of helpful or insightful.

jncfhnb 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Americans generally don’t know what the IRA is. Hezbollah is actively involved in anti western terrorism. That is perhaps why Americans think they’re terrorists.

ckemere a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Even if Hezbollah made the order, it would be difficult to be confident all would be distributed to operatives as opposed to sold to other civilian users.

calf a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It is a dirty (i.e. collateral civilians, maim instead of kill or deter, etc.) tactic and should be the sort of thing banned by Geneva Conventions.

alephnerd 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

wraptile 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Optimist in me thinks that outside solution is still possible either through revolutionary tech or fundamental discovery like total disproof of religion.

alephnerd 2 days ago | root | parent |

Sadly, not happening.

A lot of Israelis, Palestinians, and Lebanese are irreligious. Yet, a lot of Israelis, Palestinians, and Lebanese know people who have been affected by the conflict first hand (either refugees, civilian casualties, or combatant casualties), which makes it difficult to negotiate.

The 1990s-2000s was the last period where some sort of negotiation could succeed, because there was still a large 1st and 1.5 gen Mizrahi and Sephardic community that had some residual feeling for Muslim states, and vice versa. That's how Israel and Morocco, Azerbaijan, and Turkey pre-2012 were able to get their relationship back on track.

At this point, the peace process is dead. Even the secular opposition to Likud and the Kahanists in Israel supports a harsh military response, casualties be damned. Similar story in West Bank, Gaza, and Lebanon.

Any sort of peace process will have to be backed by internal repression for a generation by all participants.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Also, being a martyr on a poster with everyone celebrating you can be an attractive recruitment tool to young men. But seeing the broken beggar without eyes that people pity isn't going to be quite the same enticement to recruit for your terrorism org.

IG_Semmelweiss a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I actually think that an unintended consequence is that Mossad has permanently flagged the vast majority of Hizbullah's followers, an entire generation, on Lebanese soil.

The wound patterns will emerge for the vast majority of victims: arms, hands, eyes and hips ? Time will tell.

The Lebanese army, and the IDF, now suddenly can tell between civilian vs combatant.

Thuggery a day ago | root | parent | next |

I'm not sure if I'm misunderstanding but it sounds like you are implying membership of Hezbollah is deep dark shameful secret in Lebanon. The designation of Hezbollah as a "terrorist organization" is great for outside political propaganda, but the actual reality is they are a major and open faction in political life in Lebanon as both paramilitary group and political party - as is my understanding. Basically Sinn Fein/IRA.

IG_Semmelweiss a day ago | root | parent | next |

Lebanon is very generous. They have their zones, mostly in the South, Bekaa, and a specific part of Beyrouth. It is also true they have a political wing. But they also have covert enforcers outside those zones and that is what everyone else is most fearful of. They have been involved in sectarian killings tit-for-tats, for many years. Most famously, the murder of PM rafik hariri.

So, otside of those Hizbullah zones, its actually not common to see the Hizbullah yellow flags openly displayed. Or a car bumper sticker. It is for good reason. There was a civil war before, and memories run deep.

bbqfog a day ago | root | parent | prev |

If I was wounded (or even witnessed this in real life), I would go from civilian to combatant instantly. Israel just attacked a bunch of civilian population centers. This will be seen as a huge strategic mistake, both in terms of new combatants created on the ground and continued loss of good will for Israel abroad.

IG_Semmelweiss a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I think you are missing context. 10 years of civil war and many more decades of animositiy and of strife, are not reversed overnight , even due to an event like this. For example, Israël has lobbed missiles before, and that had its collateral damage, but also didnt change a thing or win new allies to Hizbullah.

Even some druze (historically neutral sectl were kidnapped and killed in the Oct 7th events.

Now, for the 1st time in 100 years, every single rival of hizbullah is able to instantly recognize enemies, in the open.

Obe thing im certain of, Israel has managed to reset the board in its conflict with Hezbollah.

bbqfog a day ago | root | parent |

Israel has no support outside of hardcore Zionists. I don't know if you've checked out the global reaction to this terrorist act that Israel just pulled, but they just multiplied the intensity of their enemies (i.e. the rest of humanity) 10X.

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I think the simplest explanation here is that pagers are small and light and don't have that much free space inside them, and it's hard to fit enough explosive into them to reliably kill people. The figures I saw was only a few grams of explosive could be fit in them. If you look at the photos and videos that have been coming out today you'll see what the injuries look like; they're not as catastrophic as getting shot with a bullet, or anything close to a real explosive with orders of magnitude more explosive in it like an artillery shell, rocket, aerial bomb, etc.

I would guess Israel would have preferred more lethal pagers, but the required amount of explosive simply didn't fit. So the resulting deaths are from the people who got really unlucky, whereas getting wounded was the modal result.

Qem a day ago | root | parent | next |

> I would guess Israel would have preferred more lethal pagers, but the required amount of explosive simply didn't fit.

They would have preferred cellphones.

LegitShady a day ago | root | parent | prev |

you're looking at the wrong videos. I saw videos with people's hands blown off, massive holes in their bodies, etc. reportedly something like 15-20gr of Pentaerythritol tetranitrate. Massive wounds.

patmcc a day ago | root | parent |

I suspect it's going to matter a lot where the pager was relative to the person at time of explosion. Someone holding it in a closed fist vs reading it vs in a backpack vs in a pocket could all have very different wound patterns.

LegitShady 18 hours ago | root | parent |

there's also going to be a bunch of plastic shrapnel either way. reports were saying that people's eyes were being hit, I think most likely by plastic shrapnel.

AustinDev 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The death toll isn't the goal. They're after the 2nd order effects, now there are ~3,000 operatives that are marked by a scar that is relatively distinctive. They also have substantially disrupted their communication protocols and caused psychological damage.

Agingcoder 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah members in Lebanon are not necessarily perceived as bad people - why would the scar be a problem ? Hezbollah claims it’s a resistance movement to Israel, they’re now wearing a scar caused by Israel in a mass coordinated attack, which will further legitimize Hezbollah.

I agree with the disruption of communication protocols and psychological damage though.

underdeserver 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I don't get it. Why does Lebanon need to resist Israel? When in recent history has Israel attacked Lebanon or threatened it in any way, except in retaliation or defense against Hezbollah acts?

mongol 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

In the first Lebanon war, Israel invaded Lebanon to strike against PLO. At this time, Hezbollah did not really exist, or was at least small and insignificant. It grew as a force in opposition of Israel's occupation.

underdeserver a day ago | root | parent | next |

If the ruling government of Lebanon allowed the PLO to strike Israel from Lebanese soil, what could they expect Israel to do?

Agingcoder a day ago | root | parent |

This was in the middle of the Lebanese civil war in 1982 , the Lebanese government had no control over anything.

Furthermore, after the Israeli entered Lebanon in 1982, they didn’t fully leave the country until 2000, which is what caused the founding of hezbollah in 1982, and the perception of hezbollah as a resistance movement since then.

Basically the Lebanese see Israel has having attacked then occupied a part of Lebanon for about 20 years, between 1982 and 2000 - this is recent enough for most people to relate to it.

underdeserver a day ago | root | parent |

The Lebanese should then have a good answer to what they expected Israel to do with attacks being launched from Lebanese soil without the Lebanese doing anything about it. I understand, they were in the middle of a civil war, but that doesn't mean Israel has to be OK with attacks happening.

The occupation came as a result of continued attacks. And after Israel left in 2000, more and more attacks happened, culminating in the 2006 war.

The fact remains that if no there were no threats against Israel from Lebanon, there would be nothing for Lebanon to fear from Israel. It's repeatedly sought and made peace with every sovereign country with which is has no ongoing disputes.

(There are, as I understand it, some minor territorial disputes along the border. I'm sure these can be quickly resolved through negotiation, if all parties are serious about it.)

mongol a day ago | root | parent |

Lebanon has a weak government. I think you could compare it with a house owner who does not have the means to evict uninvited guests, where the guests are much stronger and more powerful than the owner. This is both because the country consists of many ethnic groups and religions, and because it came to host a lot of Palestinian refugees and became base for the HQ of Palestinian resistance. Add on top of this widespread corruption. The situation is pretty dire.

underdeserver 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Hezbollah are not Palestinian. They're Shia Lebanese. And they're engaging in warfare against Israel with no provocation.

Israel responds by targeting Hezbollah weapons, assets and militants.

That doesn't explain why the average Sunni Lebanese in Beirut would feel like they need to "resist" Israel.

Agingcoder 15 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah considers that they must fight Israel following the Gaza war. They’ve stated they won’t stop until the Israelis leave Gaza.

The average Sunni Muslim in Beirut either remembers, or has family who remembers what happened during the (unprovoked by the Lebanese) Israeli invasion and subsequent occupation. Today, most of the Arab world supports Hamas in the Gaza war, considering that the large number of civilians being killed is essentially mass murder. Mix these two informations, and you will find very little trust towards Israelis. Add today’s attacks and things get even worse.

It’s very easy to destroy trust, and very hard to build it. None of this has to be perfectly logical - it’s not how people work.

mongol 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

I didn't say Hezbollah is Palestinian. Just that Lebanon have had to handle a huge amount of palestinian refugees.

Certainly Israel's invasion of Lebanon in the early 80s affected many inhabitants of Lebanon, not just palestinians.

underdeserver 21 hours ago | root | parent |

I didn't say that the invasion didn't affect many Lebanese. Only that the Lebanese don't need to "resist" Israel, because it is not a threat to them, so long as they're not attacking it (or are in close proximity to those who are).

orochimaaru 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Is it all of Lebanon though? I think Christian and Druze Lebanese don’t like the Hezbollah much anyway. Sure the Shiite south does but no one else.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

The scar marks an operative. Israel has a huge amount of video footage, now they work backward and see where that person went, and who they talked to.

aksss 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

This is on target. Tagging collaborators certainly has advantages, not so much for invoking a social glare at home but helping to identify them to intelligence sources, certainly.

seized a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I doubt those 2,750 all have minor injuries. That's 2,750 targets, a lot of whom probably now now have missing fingers/hands, a chunk missing from their leg, face injuries.... Aka major injuries from having a small explosion on their belt or int their pocket. It's going to be 2,750 probably major injuries that will take a long time to recover from.

elorant 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It surely is because you corrode your target’s trust in technology. They moved from smartphones to pagers, now they’ll have to find even cruder types of communications.

Qem a day ago | root | parent |

Pagers fine. Even with full supply chain compromise left less than 1% targets dead. Although they need better inspection before distribution.

elorant 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

If you lost half your gut or a kidney or had your stomach punctured you may be alive, but you’re definitely not battle ready. And you may never be again. A device that explodes in such close proximity to a body is more than certain that it will damage some internal organ. All these thousands of Hezbollah militia are forever incapacitated. You didn't kill them, but they can't hurt you in the future if let's say you decide to mount a full scale invasion on Lebanon.

rocqua a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Wounded soldiers are often a bigger burden than killed ones. You neee to retrieve them, take care of them, and they may never be fight capable again. They are also a breathing reminder of the costs of war, and at the same time less likely to make others vow revenge.

dagaci 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

TBH Israel does not concern itself about killing bystanders generally and our western press will also laser focus on hezbullah.

dredmorbius 2 days ago | root | parent |

It's not clear whether you're asserting Israel does or doesn't care whether it kills civilians, though I think you're saying it doesn't in general try to accomplish this.

Israel's history is decidedly chequered in this regard, and there have been killings, including quite recently of demonstrators / protestors, and within recent years of journalists, by Israeli forces.

But there are also practices such as "roof knocking" in which an initial nonlethal warning is exploded above a building several minutes prior to a much more destructive strike:

<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roof_knocking>

Video of a roof-knock strike: <https://xcancel.com/AJEnglish/status/1710690655091990644#m>

The explosion seen doesn't significantly damage the building, that occurs in a later strike, shown as the first set of explosions here:

<https://yewtu.be/watch?v=ZFTK9V_mEjI>

(That clip follows with the initial roof-knock.)

And to be clear, much of Israel's subsequent air and artillery assault on the Gaza strip has been far less surgical, with vast numbers of structures destroyed.

By contrast, both Hamas and Hezbollah make extensive use of highly inaccurate missiles (totally unguided in the case of Hamas, guided though low-ish precision generally for Hezbollah) which are effectively aerial mines, striking randomly largely within civilian areas. This reflects both tactics and available means, so again the picture is complex. As I've written in an earlier comment on this thread, most hats are at best grey in these conflicts, rather than clearly white.

dagaci a day ago | root | parent | next |

Not to get into it here, but i believe the fancy non-lethal warnings is done for the TV audience. There are so many incidents of bombings civilian areas stretching back for decades. And the statistics for the IDF killings of children alone are off the scale.

Sawamara a day ago | root | parent | prev |

They are not only not caring about minimizing harm, they are getting away with 11 months of wanton destruction on a daily basis. Just this month, they have dropped mk84 bombs on civilian tents. What are you babbling about?

Atotalnoob 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Killing is one thing, but wounded soldiers/operatives are a much larger drain on resources than killing.

The wounded people need care, medicine, rehab, therapy, and feeding during their recovery.

This occupies significant resources of your enemy.

I’m not commenting on this specific attack, but talking in general.

rocqua 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If this were coordinated with a ground attack on Hezbollah, it would be a great way to disrupt any defense right before it needs to offer resistance.

I'm surprised they used it out of such a concept. It is almost heartening, because it suggests no such attack is currently anticipated by Israel.

Luminae a day ago | root | parent | next |

Or the sabotage was on the verge of being discovered and their options were either to use it at an inopportune time or lose the ability to use it at all.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | prev |

How do we know this didn't do this but in reverse, being used to disrupt an attack Hezbollah had planned? Edit: People seem to be ignoring the large amount of Syrian operatives this hit as well.

yowzadave a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

And how many of those wounded are totally unconnected bystanders, who just happened to be standing next to the individual in the grocery store or wherever?

respondo2134 a day ago | root | parent |

exactly. The most charitable way to look at this is Israel targeted a handful fewer bystanders than a terrorist attack. I can't imagine anyone thinking longer-term strategy thought thought this was a good idea.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent |

Really isn't though. We don't know if there was an imminent action that Israel prevented by doing this? Did Israel do this instead of blowing up apartment blocks to target individuals, in which case this might be a much more limited collateral damage action than other methods might have caused. Without knowing Israel's motives one can't make any sort of judgement not sure why you are leaping to conclusions minus any actual information.

agapon a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The point was probably to reduce accidental casualties. Also, the wounds can be quite severe. Finally, a device like a pager cannot hold a lot of explosive substance in its spare space anyway.

John23832 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Killing isn't always the goal.

The effect of this "action" is the same as a bouncing betty. (I assume) The goal is to incapacitate and use resources.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent |

I'm guessing it was to stop some tentative action on Hezbollahs and the huge number of Syrians that this attack got as wells parts that was about to occur.

mattfrommars a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> 2,750 wounded

Absolutely insane. Imagine this many Israeli had been wounder by Hammas attack.

Disgusting move from Israel to keep civilian causalities minimum! This is no excuse for 'collateral damage'

bushbaba a day ago | root | parent | next |

Nearly every single one injured was a Hezbollah militant. Regarding militant:civilian rates, this has one of the lowest civilian impacts of any option.

Most modern wars see MORE than 1 civilian death per militant death. This pager bomb was nearly entirely militants.

mattfrommars a day ago | root | parent |

Israeli war in Gaza is the bloodiest happening right now.

These bombs went off right in front of civilian population with no regards to children or women.

Close to 3000 wounded. Wounded include children losing limbs.

Terr_ a day ago | root | parent |

> Wounded include children losing limbs.

That seems like an awful lot of explosive power for something that needs to be secretly added to a functional pocket pager without affecting external dimensions or adding perceptible weight.

Cautious skepticism is warranted, given how profitable some parties would find it to make such claims regardless of whether they are true or not.

jmward01 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> In the short term, it's a smart strategy for Israel, but they've likely opened Pandora's box in the process.

Is the short term here a few days or maybe just hours? For the reasons you pointed out and more this is likely a strategic failure for a very short term military gain. The economics you pointed out. Politically this will not help them with any but their most extreme allies while enraging their enemies and giving them the moral high-ground with their peoples and the international community. Militarily this likely did little to actual readiness since the people wearing the pagers were probably mid to upper level people so they will heal and go back to desk jobs they were doing before. So an economic, political and military strategic fail. It would have been far better for Israel had this fizzled out or been found out before it triggered. Plausible deniability would have been easier and international outrage would have been minimal all while the C&C of their enemies would have gotten the intended message that they had deep capabilities that could cause disruption. Instead they actually pulled it off and now they get all the bad consequences with very few good ones. This was a bad idea executed, unfortunately, well.

some_random 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I'm not at all convinced that's the case, unless it comes out that the targeting was extremely broad (like if Israel was just putting bombs in every pager going into Lebanon rather than targeting a specific shipment going to Hezbollah) I don't think there's really any new risk for other countries.

Izikiel43 2 days ago | root | parent |

From the amount of injured it seems more like a broad attack than a targeted one.

Most likely they knew some of them would go to hezbollah, and that was enough, collateral damage be damned.

rabidonrails 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I'd disagree - this seems highly targeted. There aren't that many people with pagers but pagers were a specific way for Hezbollah to speak to operatives.

occamsrazorwit 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The news reports are saying a lot of explosions happened at hospitals. Considering that pagers are still in common use by Western doctors, I'm wondering if they considered hospital staff to be acceptable casualties.

LegitShady a day ago | root | parent |

these weren't random pagers. They intercepted a shipment of thousands of pagers for hezbollah and rigged them with explosives, and set them off likely using hezbollah's own command and control network.

Random doctors in the hospital won't have these.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/pagers-drones-how-...

In July reuters was telling us how hezbollah was using pagers to defeat israel. Israel was smarter than them.

Terr_ 12 hours ago | root | parent |

> Random doctors in the hospital won't have these.

To put a slightly finer point on it: Even an uninvolved doctor somehow came to own a booby-trapped pager, they wouldn't be carrying it around every day unless it was configured to listen to the hospital's broadcast network of real medical messages, as opposed to leaving it tuned to Hezbollah High Command or whatever.

le-mark a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They had total control of the pagers, sigint and social graph, command and control hierarchy. They knew exactly who was who.

Question is how did Hamas slip by this same highly skilled org?

mkoubaa a day ago | root | parent |

Slip by? Hamas was funded and propped up by this highly skilled org in order to deligitimize the peace process.

easyThrowaway a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They probably run their numbers and reasoned that more than 75% or something of pagers from a specific batch were used by hezbollah or subjects close to them and decided that it was an acceptable casualty ratio.

"You can't make an omelet without breaking some eggs" approach applied to armed conflicts.

petertodd a day ago | root | parent | prev |

There are tens of thousands of Hezbollah members. If anything, the attack was on a much smaller scale than it could have been. Unfortunately for Israel, not every Hezbollah member had a new pager.

red_admiral a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Everyone should be keeping an eye on all their supply chains all the time, Israel-connected or not. Especially for military (or paramilitary) applications.

It reminds me a bit of when after 9/11, some of the reaction in Israel (as well as shock and sympathy) was "Of course we have locked cockpit doors, marshals on planes and other security features on ElAl. We're not barbarians!"

Also, (Hagelin) Crypto AG. Just because it's in Switzerland doesn't mean you shouldn't be paranoid.

EdwardDiego a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The fact that they attacked them via their communication network that was intended to avoid Israeli surveillance, is irregular warfare at its finest.

The main injury inflicted on individuals was psychological - we got into your supply chain this far. Also, your attempts to avoid us failed.

But at an org level? They just disabled the entire comms system, whether through explosions, or by making people scared of explosions.

What's the contingency plan for this in Hezbollah? And will it have credence, given their last grand idea of "let's use pagers to avoid the Israelis" ended with a large number of simultaneous explosions?

It's a very clever attack from a psychological POV.

petertodd a day ago | root | parent | next |

> The main injury inflicted on individuals was psychological

Have you seen the footage(0) from hospitals? It's likely that hundreds of Hezbollah members lost hands, eyes, etc. That will degrade their military effectiveness significantly, especially the people who were blinded. And remember that Hezbollah is trying(1) to prevent more footage of the attack from getting out, so what we've seen publicly quite likely underplays the full extent of it.

Sure, maybe you could argue that the "main" effect in terms of total numbers was psychological. But we shouldn't understate how many Hezbollah members were directly given life-long injuries that will make them ineffective forever. That's a huge win for Israel.

0) https://x.com/Osint613/status/1836040863195029530 1) https://x.com/Saul_Sadka/status/1836039347210002899

totetsu a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

For me this whole things, including the previous use of AI backed social graph modelling build from digital surveillance of Palestinians, being use for as targeting intelligence, for drone strikes on people homes and families.. this whole thing chills me to the bone about ever wanting to use a social network, or a always connected mobile device ever again. Israel has taken the Dark Mirror SF speculations about the shifts in power and capability as the instruction manual and we're mostly ignoring the warnings. There nothing stopping this happening to any of us.

csomar a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This is not the first time Israel has pulled stuff like this. It blew back for a while in their face, but eventually people move on. If Israel recognize this event as existential for them, then anything is allowed including nuclear weapons.

markus_zhang 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

IMO, this gives IL's enemies more excuses to execute more horrible attacks. Considering pagers are civilian products and some of them might actually be delivered to non-Hez civilians, the consequence is pretty dire.

it basically says: we can do whatever we want because we can. Now imagine what the other side is going to reply.

lottin a day ago | root | parent | next |

I don't know if you've been following this conflict, but Israel's enemies don't need excuses to attack Israel. They think Israel doesn't have a right to exist, and thus see the very existence of the state of Israel as a provocation that justifies violence against Jews.

komali2 a day ago | root | parent | next |

Much like Israel sees Palestine and the Palestinians, whom they refer to as a nation full of "human animals."

kranke155 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

The other side was already doing everything it could.

markus_zhang 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Definitely not. Hez has showed footages of UAVs inside of IL so potentially they could do some damage. They can also up their missile attacks. And there are other players such as the Houthis. Maybe they just don't want to do it because they figured it's of no good to them at the moment, but maybe the climate changes in the future and they decide to do it anyway.

rabidonrails 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This is true of both sides.

Also important to remember is that Israel evacuated the civilian population in the north of the country due to Hezbollah currently indiscriminately shelling/bombing that area for the past months.

LegitShady a day ago | root | parent | prev |

they launch those UAVs all the time. multiple times a week, sometimes daily. So they're already trying it, they're just not successful.

astrange 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Iran/Hezbollah are more known for constantly announcing they're about to do everything they can, and then not doing it. Safer that way.

King-Aaron a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

My concern now is another nation-state actor who manages certain large international supply chains doing this on a broader scale against widespread western targets. Your comment on it being a pandoras box is quite profound.

Animats a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

That's a real issue. Especially if this escalates to smartphones.

Technical questions:

- Was the explosive in the pager detectable by the normal tests used at airports?

- Who gets to skip those tests? Are all devices carried by airline pilots examined with explosive tests?

- This is selective. Only the addressed devices blow up. That has implications for devices which know too much about their owners.

erezsh a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

That's a ridiculous take. No one involved Israel in this supply chain.

Also, there is no country in the world that would refrain from doing the same thing to their enemies, if they could pull it off. (big if)

Meanwhile, you can be sure the U.S. and China are putting back-doors in every device they can manage, and have been doing so for decades.

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This is a one shot attack. They will never be able to do it again. And I don't think most of the world has pissed off Mossad quite as much as Hezbollah. Assuming they even did it!

rlpb 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> They will never be able to do it again.

Only if Hezbollah take steps to avoid it. Presumably they will, but presumably there is a cost, and so Israel will continue to benefit from them having to divert resources to doing that.

sangnoir 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

OP was most likely concerned about Israeli businesses that supply (or ship) non-explosive components/products no longer being trusted.

jrochkind1 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

it makes me think the Israeli decision-makers are trying to leave Hezbollah no choice but to escalate into a larger war. I think Hezbollah has been trying to avoid escalation into all out war, responding in limited proportionate ways despite Israel continuing to escalate. (Can you imagine if Hezbollah had detonated thousands of such devices in Israel? I'd be scared of a nuclear response).

But Israeli leaders maybe decided Hezbollah's hesitation to escalate into all out war must mean that such a war must be good for us and bad for them? Let's try to really make em do it, so we can invade Lebanon again? Why Israeli government thinks it wants an invasion of Lebanon right now, I don't know, but it looks like that's where this goes to me and they must know it?

BurningFrog a day ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah started this war on October 8, and they can stop it by ceasing their attacks.

Israel have no reason to want a war. It's Hezbollah who want to conquer Israeli land. Israel wants nothing from Lebanon.

_factor a day ago | root | parent |

You’re confusing your terrorist groups.

charbroiled a day ago | root | parent |

He’s not referring to the Gazan attacks of October 7, but the Hezbollah rocket attacks that started on October 8 and continue to this day, flouting the 18-year ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and causing the evacuation of over 95,000 Israelis from northern Israel.

nebula8804 16 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Israel leadership is probably prepping for some big October surprise timed perfectly just before the US election. Everyone is predicting it so much these days that its not really a surprise but a eventuality at this point.

bushbaba a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Or you know, 100,000+ Israelis had to leave their homes in north Israel for nearly 1 year. You also had Druze Arab children slaughtered by Hezbollah. So what options would Israel have here?

chii a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> other major producers could replicate this tactic

it's an inefficient tactic that actual terrorists won't employ tbh. Infiltrating manufacturers just to place small explosives isn't terror inducing - and you want the recipient of the explosion to know who it came from for a terrorist attack to be effective.

Israel did it to limit the amount of collateral (instead of shooting a missile or bomb, which would require a much larger radius of damage).

Shocka1 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I may have missed key facts about this operation, but who said Israel is part of the supply chain? Why not just intercept the truck/plane on it's way to delivery and insert the explosives on the fly? This seems much more practical IMO.

sgregnt a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The combatant to civilian casulties in this paper explosion is probably unparalleled in the warfare history. I wish all conflicts would strive to have such a great record.

random9749832 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Everytime you say Israel you must insert US, just as you must insert Iran every time you mention Palestine. These are who the war is between. Hamas or Hezbollah by itself is nothing and so is a <10 million population fighting several adversaries. And the US will always win in escalation which is exactly what they have aimed to achieve and why Iran never gave a 'proper' response to the assassination of Haniyeh.

riazrizvi 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Isn’t political isolation a strategy in extremism movements? It encourages some people in the middle to move into your camp, while others who move away can become convenient enemies. So from my understanding, the consequences are possibly considered another benefit for the country’s current government.

rolux 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> In the short term, it's a smart strategy for Israel, but they've likely opened Pandora's box in the process.

Absolutely. From today on, this type of attack will have to be considered part of the arsenal.

While building thousands of explosive communication devices and swapping a large shipment requires substantial resources and intelligence, the actual "sophistication" of today's attack seems to lie in the fact that the perpetrator managed to specifically target a clandestine adversarial organization.

If you don't care about that last part, I don't think it's completely out of reach for a hypothetical "state sponsored terrorist organization" to have a thousand smart phone explosives shipped into a target market, say the European Union or the United States. Such an attack, if successful, would be devastating.

cromka a day ago | root | parent |

> Absolutely. From today on, this type of attack will have to be considered part of the arsenal.

I doubt that. It’s way more likely that from today on, every batch of devices used by VIPs will be tested for explosives, thus rendering such attacks moot. Finding such devices would also enable figuring out who your enemy’s operatives are.

This was a one-off.

mschuster91 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> In the short term, it's a smart strategy for Israel, but they've likely opened Pandora's box in the process.

Did they? Supply chain attacks, intercepted parcels, none of this is new - the US, going by the Snowden leaks, has a long history of tampering with parcels in transit, which is why a few of the "libre phone" vendors offer to seal the parcel, the device and all screws in random glitter glue and take photos prior to shipping so that any attempt at tampering in transit is not hideable (there is no known way to recreate a glitter pattern).

pkphilip 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Do you really think this supply chain bringing pagers to the Hezbollah actually went through Israel?! Israel has ways of intercepting packages in other ports outside of Israel.

shmatt 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

israel wasn't identified as israel, and hizbolla weren't identified of hizbolla

much of the work of a CIA or Mossad agent isn't breaking in to this house or murdering that person. It's working as an executive in a shell company

No one is going to sell a terrorist organization thousands of new beepers. The hizbolla probably also created shell companies. Israel knew their cover and approached them as a foreign seller. Everyone is lying to everyone

In reality the supply chain space is probably full of shell companies from all different terrorist organizations and western countries

phirgate a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Corrections:

1. It's not supply chain attack, it's terrorist attack. 2. It's not a clever move, it's a prevocation move

blueflow a day ago | root | parent |

I think this is an actual "supply chain attack", while the downloading-malware-from-github-automated isn't.

photochemsyn a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There's also the hit to the reputation of the manufacturers of these devices to consider (even though they were almost certainly intercepted some time after manufacture and modified in transit, or replaced with a different batch that had been ordered by the perpetrator and modified ahead of time for a quick swap). The perpetrator may have been spying on the pager network for some time, and if so then their cover is blown and their information source is gone.

The larger issue is that if shipments of pagers can be intercepted and modified in this manner, then any electronic device can be subjected to other hardware-based attacks - eavesdropping devices, keystroke loggers, etc. What if large numbers of countries with developing tech markets start looking at the suppliers involved the way the USA looks at China's Huawei?

In general this boosts the open-soure model for both software and hardware, so the expected hardware configuration that can be checked visually and with other user-available tools. If any phone, pager, tablet or laptop can be physically hijacked and modified, the user should be allowed access to all the information and tools needed to detect it. This assumes the factory itself is not the bad actor.

Hardware security consultant firms probably have a bright future. Also robots for assistance with inspection.

Nemo_bis a day ago | root | parent |

> What if large numbers of countries with developing tech markets start looking at the suppliers involved the way the USA looks at China's Huawei?

It's well known that the NSA performs supply chain attacks by planting spyware on hardware which goes through the USA. https://www.theguardian.com/books/2014/may/12/glenn-greenwal...

Whenever the USA complain about something China is allegedly doing, it's a good bet that they know someone in the USA camp is doing that very thing.

mynameishere 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Israel used letter bombs for a long time to assassinate and terrorize. People didn't stop using the mail because of that, but upgraded their opsec.

flyinglizard 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It's said those devices were Iranian made. What makes you think Israel has any overt involvement in the supply chain to begin with?

mannyv 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

AnotherGoodName 2 days ago | root | parent |

That’s very very unlikely since the nuclear agreement fell through. As in they tried cooperation and got nothing in return last time. I assume everyone’s aware of what happened there right and why Iran probably won’t be cooperating any time soon?

lawlessone 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Yeah every company that has a part of their supply chain via Israel must be wondering now if this could be done to their devices.

alistairSH 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Isn't that true of any supply chain that involves foreign states? Usually it's just surveillance, not destructive stuff, but expecting state actors to stay out of things is... naive?

ineedasername 2 days ago | root | parent |

The difference is between theoretical capability & Israel's demonstrated willingness & successful execution of it.

It's pretty reasonable now to think a little harder about "huh, I wonder if our Israeli supplier..." but yesterday it would have been a bit paranoid, not naive, to spend more than a passing moment on the thought if you weren't in a member of the March 8th club, or Iran.

ajmurmann 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

It's naive to think that every country that supplies you with goods and you are at war with would go down a route like this. Is there really a single country you'd expect not to sabotage goods you buy from them if you continuously rain rockets onto their population?

ineedasername 2 days ago | root | parent |

I think the point is that, whatever probability a potential target would have placed on this sort of thing yesterday, those calculations have shifted now. Previously it was more abstract and something of this scale and physical attack would have been little more than a thought experiment. If a news pundit on Fox or CNN last night had been claiming China was doing this with Huawei phones then many people would have looked at it as fear mongering while of course knowing China has in all likelihood setup other supply chain attacks. Today it would sound a lot more likely.

jmyeet a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Let's be clear here: it was a terrorist attack. Replace "IsraeL" and "Lebanon" with "iran" and "Israel" and Iran would already have bombed by the US.

Netanyahu is trying to ignite a regional war. It's the only way he stays out of prison. If the genocide in Gaza ends, his government falls and he goes to jail. He wants to drag the US into this regional war.

Do you think that's smart from Israel's perspective? Will that improve that safety of Israeli citizens? Or will it subject them to counterattacks?

Is that smart?

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

You have zero information about the goal here. There could have been an imminent attack from from Hezbollah that this action by Israel stopped, an attack that could have caused much more collateral damage on both sides of the border than this targeted at Hezbollah op. You literally have nothing to base calling this a terrorist attack on at this point.

dralley a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It's not a terrorist attack unless the primary goal is causing terror. The primary goal here was clearly causing damage to Hamas' command structure by putting a few thousand militants in the hospital, and also literally blowing up their communications network.

jmyeet a day ago | root | parent |

What would you killing 8+ peole and wounding 2800+? Were it any other actor, there would be absolutely no hesitation in calling it a terrorist attack.

You know who uses pagers? Doctors and nurses. Are they legitimate military targets? Let's just say that a Hezbollah or Hamas commander was killed. What's an acceptable civilian dead or wounded count that takes it out of the realm of a terrorist attack? How many is too many?

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

I'd call it the lowest number of civilians casualties ever for this large scale of an attack on ones military adversaries embedded within an urban environment.

Taniwha a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Israel's economy is already in the toilet due to them becoming an International pariah because of the ongoing genocide - this will just make it worse

shmatt a day ago | root | parent | prev |

In the toilet? They practically run the world tech industry. Practically every GPU, laptop, and phone have a chip or sensor designed in Israel. FAANG companies keep growing their offices. Startup exits are at an all time high even as the war goes on (NVidia recently bought 2 more Israeli startups IIRC)

And good luck finding a Fortune 1000 company that isn’t using Monday or Akeyless or Zscaler or jfrog and I can keep going

Oh and remember Ilya sutskevers new AI company SSI? In their initial announcement they talked about opening with 2 offices, SFBA and Tel Aviv . You really can’t succeed without Israeli talent

You can like or dislike the government, but Israeli techs income and importance constantly grows YoY

codesnik a day ago | root | parent | next |

I'm still amazed that many US companies willingly force every employee to install zscaler "to improve security and compliance", application which basically passes all inbound and outbound traffic through zscaler edge servers, unencrypted. Who knows who could be listening. And who can control that they aren't.

carapace 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> I can't help but wonder about its long-term consequences.

War is over.

The long-term consequences are that we use our words instead of exothermic reactions to reach livable compromises.

carapace 19 hours ago | root | parent |

What? You guys like war?

Seriously though. Dynamite didn't do it, nuclear bombs didn't do it, but tiny precision bombs are going to work: just kill all the people who like to fight. QED

jrochkind1 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Their strategy seems to consciously be showing everyone that they are craziest mf'ers who don't care about any consequences or collateral damage ever.

I agree with you that there some pretty serious global consequences that will come back to bite them too, but, then, they pretty intentionally don't care, that seems to be the whole deal.

I have heard Trump supporters actually suggest that a similar thing is a winning strategy for Trump too. Of course he seems to be an irrational unpredictable guy who doesn't care about the consequences in foreign policy, that's great for the USA, everyone will be scared to cross him because he's so unpredictable!

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

This is probably the historical lowest civilian casualty count ever for taking out this large a number of adversaries in an urban environment.

yodsanklai a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Same in Gaza, it seems they are willing to kill pretty much anybody (children, journalists, humanitarians, hostages) close to a potential target, regardless of whatever their allies may be thinking. Kind of a "godfather" strategy.

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | prev |

They did show that religious fundamentalism, which attacked their country and abducted their people, has to pay a very high price for their terrorism.

This terrorism will hurt innocents and the winning strategy would have been to just not attack Israel.

GordonS a day ago | root | parent |

As much as Israel likes to spread that narrative, religious fundamentalism had nothing to do with October 7th. And the number of innocents murdered, the amount of destruction wrought, the land stolen by Israel in Gaza since then has completely eclipsed the relative few killed by Hamas. Or are Israeli lives worth more?

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent |

Israel left Gaza before, I don't think it will happen again soon. Palestinians will also not work in Israel anymore in the foreseeable future at least.

It is not a question about which lives are worth more. There are a lot of indications that Palestinian lives are worth more in Israel than in Gaza for that matter.

To blame this attack on Israel is quite callous and I don't believe you that you care about any lives in that region. It just doesn't add up, but that is just my opinion.

If it wasn't fundamentalism, what do you think motivated the attacks?

GordonS a day ago | root | parent |

> If it wasn't fundamentalism, what do you think motivated the attacks?

I don't mean to be snarky, but I'm finding it very difficult to take you seriously when you make preposterous comments like "Palestinian lives are worth more in Israel than in Gaza" and "Israel left Gaza before".

Hamas is not a fundamentalist group, and indeed they have frequently called out Islamic extremist groups, such as ISIS, for their murderous behaviour. Probably best we don't discuss ISIS further in the context of Israel though...

I also suspect you know very well the reasons for the October 7th attack, which Hamas have been open about[0]: in essence, it's a battle against:

  - Israel's blockade and control of the Gaza strip
  - Israel's occupation and colonialism of Palestinian lands
  - Israel's continued violence, murder and dehumanisation of Palestinian civilians
  - Continued Israeli aggression and land theft
  - Israel's apartheid regime
  - Israel's complete disregard for human rights, international law and the UN
  - Israel's inhumane treatment of thousands of Palestinian hostages, including institutionalised violence, torture, starvation, amputation, sexual assault and rape[1]
[0] https://www.palestinechronicle.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/0...

[1] https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-rights-gro...

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | next |

You are making excuses, Hamas is a fundamentalist group.

We can go back into history on who started the conflict, but even then I come back to the persecutions of Jews that fought for their independence and won. The result of that is the state of Israel. A democracy. Flawed, but in another league than comparable nations in that region.

A victory some are not ready to accept but they ultimately have to. Perhaps after they manage this first step there will be hope for a Palestinian state.

And yes, Israel did leave Gaza in 2005. That there were blockades was due to security concerns, which proved to be justified not only after the October attacks.

> Israel is a sick, apartheid regime that must be stopped.

This is a quote by you in another comment. Together with your excused for Hamas your arguments seem obsessive and misdirected.

GordonS a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Hamas is a fundamentalist group

You've offered no evidence to support this repeated claim, and haven't refuted the evidence to the contrary.

> your arguments seem obsessive and misdirected

Not obsessive, just consistent; I could just as well call you obsessive for your repeated excuses of Israel's destruction of Gaza and their murder, starvation, torture and rape of Palestinians.

You have a very Israeli view on history, and it's obvious neither of us are going to change our standpoint, so I bid you adieu.

raxxorraxor 21 hours ago | root | parent |

How much their charta still is relevant today is in question, but they have direct calls to kill Jews in there. They adapted that from al-Husseini, which stated it exactly like that. That was before the founding of Israel btw.

I don't think I want to indulge in proving Hamas to be an extremist organization any further.

aguaviva 12 hours ago | root | parent | next |

How much their charta still is relevant today is in question, but they have direct calls to kill Jews in there.

Not the 2008 charter. The most anyone can point to is the passage that supposedly calls for the "annihilation" of Israel, but that's very clearly a mistranslation. (The actual phrasing predicts Israel will be "invalidated" by Islam, a lot more like Khrushchev's "We will leave you in the dust").

GordonS 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

More lies, and straight out of the Hasbara playbook at that! From the Hamas charter:

"Hamas affirms that its conflict is with the Zionist project not with the Jews because of their religion. Hamas does not wage a struggle against the Jews because they are Jewish but wages a struggle against the Zionists who occupy Palestine. Yet, it is the Zionists who constantly identify Judaism and the Jews with their own colonial project and illegal entity."[0]

[0] https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/hamas-2017-document-full

I don't think I want to indulge in proving Israel to be an murderous, colonial, terrorist, apartheid regime any further.

jrochkind1 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

You are making excuses, Israel is a Jewish supremacist state practicing apartheid and ethnic cleansing. Your arguments seem obsessive and misdirected, and whether intentionally or inadvertently acting as if the situation began on October 7th 2023 which it did not.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

jrochkind1 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Thanks. And on top of all that the fact that Israel clearly considered this situation manageable and sustainable. Netanyahu's plan was "managing the conflict", with periodic "mowing of the grass". He didn't see any need to "resolve" the "conflict", and neither did most Israeli citizens, whose lives were not effected by it at all (to the extent they would plan a music festival a mile from Gaza without a second thought).

While Palestinians in both Gaza and West Bank live intolerably. And surrounding countries that promissed not to regularize relations with Israel until the situation were resolved were abandoning Palestinians and regularizing relations anyway (for, among other things, access to Israeli weapons and technology they could use to repress their own and other populations).

This is what motivated the attack, an attempt to find _some_ way to do what other things had not, get Israel to see this as a situation that was not in fact sustainable, that they coudln't just go on like this forever no problem.

I think it is a violation of international law and a war crime to intentionally target or kidnap civilians, which I think happened that day. But it was not "unprovoked", and it does not require resorting to the explanation of "they just like violence" to explain motivation.

raxxorraxor 17 hours ago | root | parent |

No, you don't attack the country and murder festival goers to make that political point. That is a perverse rationalization of what happened.

jrochkind1 14 hours ago | root | parent |

Certainly I don't do that and don't approve of it. I didn't say I was planning on doing it, or approved of it.

In fact, I specifically said I thought it was a violation of international law and a war crime to intentionally attack or kidnap civilians. So I'm not sure what you are saying "no" to in response to me?

Talking about motivation is different than talking about if we approve of the choices.

Bad immoral choices that are war crimes and violations of international law do not somehow prove that the motivation is "fundamentalism", right? If the question is what was the motivation for the attack, saying the motivation is something other than "fundamentalism" is not to say attacking or kidnapping civilians is ok. You asked, if not fundamentalism, what is the motivation? We told you. Bad immoral choices that are war crimes on Oct 7th also don't erase the prior decades of history, involving many many violations of international law and war crimes. Which are as we described above.

Vicinity9635 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

A 10 year old girl died too. They took no precautions to limit damage bystanders even assuming every person with one was a BadGuy™ which makes it terrorism and reprehensible.

_DeadFred_ a day ago | root | parent | next |

I applaud your empathy but I don't think this number of active military adversaries have been taken out in cities with so little civilian casualties ever in history. We should probably be applauding this action over say the standard targeted bombing of the Hezbollah militants homes which is pretty much the previous 'least casualties' method used.

spidersenses a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> A 10-year-old girl also died.

The death of that one girl, if it isn't entirely made up for propaganda purposes, is obviously very very tragic, but since almost all pro-Hezbollah commentators are referring to that one specific case that's a pretty clear sign that no other children died. Interestingly I'm now seeing comments where they're making her younger from 10yo to 9yo, now even 8yo. You can ask yourself why people are doing that.

While in their own attacks Hezbollah specifically targets Israeli civilians hoping for children to be among the victims.

> They took no precautions to limit damage to bystanders

The fact that those explosions were small enough to not kill even a single-digit percentage of several thousand targets who carried those pagers in their pockets near vital organs and blood vessels refutes your allegations.

> assuming that every person with a pager was a BadGuy™

These days, even in Lebanon, normal people simply own a cell phone so they can be called. When was the last time you even saw one? They are incredibly rare. The purpose of a pager is to receive (movement) orders and, in the case of Hezbollah, to make tracking more difficult. While it is possible that medical personnel may have used some of these pagers, it is highly unlikely that a new shipment of pagers would not primarily go to Hezbollah's "valuable" command staff, for whom being able to move and operate undetected is the greatest concern. According to Wikipedia, Hezbollah has more than 20,000 full-time fighters, and at 3,000-5,000 devices, this would not have been enough to resupply even a major part of the entire organization, so it is unlikely that any civilian outside the command structure would have received one, even less a random 10yo girl.

Ask yourself again if this is terrorism:

- if the attack was so specifically targeted at military targets

And collateral damage was minimized by:

- using a vector unlikely to be used by innocent civilians

- a sufficiently small explosion not to seriously injure people standing in close proximity to the target as indicated by the many videos floating around

dragonwriter a day ago | root | parent |

> The death of that one girl is obviously very very tragic, but since almost all pro-Hezbollah commentators are referring to that one specific case, and if that case is even true, that's a pretty clear sign that no other children died. Interestingly I'm now seeing comments where they're making her younger from 10yo, to 9yo, now 8yo in order to exploit the death for propaganda purposes.

She has been consistently identified as either 8 years old or simply a "young girl" from the very first news accounts; I've never seen her given any other age in a news media account. There's probably some confusion in second-hand non-professional-news accounts (like this HN comment thread), confusing her age with other numbers in the same articles (at various times, the total number killed has been reported as 8, 9, 10, or 11 in the same articles identifying her as a particular victim. It is fairly easy to swap her age with the total victim count if you aren't being careful.)

djohnston a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Not even close. Thousands of pocket bombs. Some dead civilians, and a lot of dead terrorists. Not reprehensible but a well-executed op.

mkoubaa a day ago | root | parent | next |

How many is some and how many is a lot? Are you confusing dead and injured?

petertodd a day ago | root | parent |

It's not uncommon for perfectly legitimate military operations in urban areas to kill more civilians than enemy soldiers. Managing to only injure a few civilians while seriously wounding hundreds of enemy soldiers in an urban area is a remarkable achievement.

Hezbollah of course is an entirely legitimate military target. They've been indiscriminately raining down missiles on northern Israel for months, forcing tens of thousands of Israeli's to abandon their homes. Israel has every right to put a stop to that, and it would have been perfectly reasonable for them to kill tens of thousands of Lebanese civilians in the process of killing the tens of thousands of Hezbollah members responsible for this.

masswerk a day ago | root | parent | prev |

By definition a blind weapon.

djohnston a day ago | root | parent | next |

Let’s say for each one of these Hezbollah casualties, you replaced the pager with 4 infantry attacking them. Civilian casualties would be far higher. The fact that they couldn’t “see” the target at the time of detonation is irrelevant.

The videos I’ve seen are of the pagers exploding and someone standing less than a foot away being unscathed. Incredibly sophisticated and precise.

masswerk a day ago | root | parent |

But you will be always riding some unproven assumptions. E.g., even if those pagers had been initially issued to maybe-combatants, they may have diffused to other audiences and uses, since. It may be well that you're just blowing up some teenagers getting messages for where the rave is.

(Also, even if you hit the intended target, it's a summary execution of people you may suspect, but who haven't done anything, yet, and may or may not have become active in any hypothetical future.)

snovv_crash a day ago | root | parent |

Curious as to your reasoning here, why would a Hezbollah operative give their pager away within a month or 2 of it being issued?

And this is war, you are applying impossible peacetime standards. To put things in perspective, a rocket attack from Hezbollah killed a dozen Israeli kids/teens on a football field in July, with zero Israeli military targets impacted.

masswerk a day ago | root | parent |

It's a pager! Also, there's some evidence for this, as 2 out of 12 killed are children.

And it's not a full-fledged war, yet, as illustrated by the fact that the targets were still in their civilian settings. Generally, this may backfire quite a bit, as in a massuve influx in recruiting. (If the same happened to the US and reservists were blown up by some obscure vector amongst their families and while shopping, what would you expect? Awe and accepting defeat?)

sceptical 17 hours ago | root | parent | next |

[flagged]

masswerk 16 hours ago | root | parent |

Well, we all know how humiliating Pearl Harbor had been…

(While areal bombing, sanctions, assassinations, surprise attacks, and the like, have never worked, and, to the contrary, have always proven to further cohesion, this time, it will be totally demoralizing, for sure! /s)

mcoliver a day ago | prev | next |

"The New York Times reported that Israel hid explosive material in the Taiwan-made Gold Apollo pagers before they were imported to Lebanon, citing American and other officials briefed on the operation. The material was implanted next to the battery with a switch that could be triggered remotely to detonate."

Wild

deeth_starr_v a day ago | root | parent | next |

“Gold Apollo said on Wednesday the pagers that were used in the detonations in Lebanon on Tuesday were not made by it but by a company called BAC which has a licence to use its brand.”

They spun up a whole company

divbzero a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Apparently they were branded Gold Apollo but not made by Gold Apollo:

Gold Apollo said on Wednesday the pagers that were used in the detonations in Lebanon on Tuesday were not made by it but by a company called BAC which has a licence to use its brand.

The company said in a statement that the AR-924 model was produced and sold by BAC.

"We only provide brand trademark authorization and have no involvement in the design or manufacturing of this product," the statement said.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/gold-apollo-says-i...

morkalork a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They tampered with thousands of devices. Created a whole production run of them and kept it under wraps. Wild indeed.

JCharante a day ago | root | parent |

Did they have Mossad agents doing grunt work on the assembly line? All it takes is one spy working on the assembly line to relay how the malicious pagers look like to make the operation a waste.

hiatus 20 hours ago | root | parent |

That's not even required. I've been a line worker assembling boards for a medical device manufacturer. I did not know what every single component did. The process was created at levels above me.

vharuck a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

>citing American and other officials briefed on the operation.

How far should I be reading into the fact that people outside of Israel leaked this info so quickly? Does it mean the US was very unhappy with the attack? I doubt they were happy with not being given a heads up.

cryptonector a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Could be damage control. There were rumors that it was the lithium ion batteries being made to explode. If those rumors were widely believed true, that would damage iPhone and Android and other brands.

Cyberdog a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The capacity to keep secrets, even at the state level, takes a level of mental maturity that few are capable of. So many are thrilled by the idea of knowing something few other people know to a degree that they paradoxically want to make it something everybody knows. Journalists take advantage of this and collect and share leaky sources amongst each other. The reason for the leaking is most likely just human nature.

That said, the existence of the state of Israel is such a contentious topic that the leakers may have been motivated by politics as well as the above, sure. But I doubt state-level agencies are condoning the leaking here.

patcon a day ago | root | parent |

> So many are thrilled by the idea of knowing something few other people know to a degree that they paradoxically want to make it something everybody knows

Some people (often due to trauma) have a very different relationship with secrets than you describe. Some people get immense satisfaction from holding secrets, and have no issue keeping it that way. Sometimes those people have other flaws or vices, as often plays out. In my understanding, managing such people is its own meta-game within these professions

Cyberdog a day ago | root | parent |

I won't disagree with you about some people liking to keep secrets just as much as others like to spill them, but could you give an example of how trauma would cause someone to want to do the former?

FridayoLeary a day ago | root | parent | prev |

That is pretty similar to what has been guessed so far. The posters here speculated that the charge was concealed inside the battery. Also some reports said that the batteries themselves heated up triggering the explosives. does the report mention if this was a physical switch or just some sort of control circuit?

tylerflick a day ago | root | parent |

The majority of plastic based high explosives are designed to be very stable, and require both heat and pressure to detonate, so my educated guess is they implanted something along the lines of a blasting cap into the pagers. I’ve seen PETN mentioned, but again, that is designed to be stable.

know-how a day ago | root | parent | next |

Plastic explosives are impact and heat stable. It takes an electric charge or blast cap to detonate them based on which compound is being used.

tylerflick 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Electrical charge? There are electrically initiated caps, but you can’t place a negative and positive charge into a stick of C4 and expect it to do anything.

FridayoLeary a day ago | root | parent | prev |

So trigger some kind of process to cause the batteries to overheat + detonate the blasting cap after a short delay? I'd be interested to know how it was packaged if it was done in a way that wouldn't look suspicious if someone looked inside the pager. The bomb-in-the- battery theory is a good one.

CydeWeys a day ago | root | parent | next |

> So trigger some kind of process to cause the batteries to overheat

Where are you getting this part from? There's no evidence that the batteries were triggered to overheat; indeed doing so would be counter-productive, as it would cause the people holding the devices to know something is wrong and potentially move them farther away from their own body. The pagers exploded suddenly without warning. The only trigger/detonation involved was setting off the high explosive. The battery was uninvolved, only used to make the pager itself work.

FridayoLeary a day ago | root | parent |

>it would cause the people holding the devices to know something is wrong and potentially move them farther away from their own body

Because early reports suggest this is exactly what happened in some cases.

tylerflick a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Realistically it wouldn’t require much volume in the battery. For reference, the amount of explosive material in a blasting cap is about the size of an eraser head, and is easily capable of the explosions in the videos.

sbeam 2 days ago | prev | next |

If we try to do what we are best at here at HN, let’s focus the discussion on the technical aspects of it.

It immediately reminded me of Stuxnet, which also from a technical perspective was quite interesting.

I already wonder if this was anything that was planted in the devices perviously, or if the ones responsible had similar devices, and managed reverse engineer them and craft a payload to them, that could be sent over existing cellular protocols/networks and then, similar to Stuxnet, make the device exagerte some existing functionality to a point where it caused a malfunction? Thoughts on this?

some_random 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

We can't really do much more than speculate right now, but it seems like the most likely answer is that a shipment of pagers was intercepted and implanted with explosives. Israel has done this before to assassinate a prominent bomb maker. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yahya_Ayyash#Assassination

mrtksn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> most likely answer is that a shipment of pagers was intercepted and implanted with explosives

I agree, there are photos and videos of extensive damage to furniture and injuries that go way beyond what a small lithium battery would NORMALLY do.

Also, all the CCTV footage I've seen indicates explosions and not fire.

It can be explosives planted, However it can be batteries modified to explode instead of burn&outgas. I recall a video of someone losing their lives when their vape battery exploded. IIRC the vape's metal structure acted as a container that enabled pressure build up and eventual sudden release.

There are many stories about vapes exploding, some causing serious damage similar to these:

https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/teesside-news/vape-explod...

https://www.dailydot.com/debug/e-cig-vape-pen-explosion/

Kind of makes sense to modify the battery because since they still need a functioning battery anyway and the space is limited.

kergonath 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> It can be explosives planted, but maybe it can be batteries modified to explode instead of burn.

That is not really a thing, from a technical point of view. Changing the chemistry of the battery (assuming that a suitably explosive one exists; these tend not to be developed very far) would just be swapping an explosive and not a modification. Doing something like adding some vessel to build up pressure within the battery sounds impractical (you’d need something very resistant to heat as a battery fire goes above 2000 K), at which point it’s not worth the trouble.

The most likely is either some explosive besides the battery, or something that looks like a battery from the outside, but is actually half explosive on the inside to at least pass superficial inspection.

This kind of damage really does not look like a battery gone wrong. It would have left all sorts of chemical residues and burned very differently.

rdtsc 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> The most likely is either some explosive besides the battery, or something that looks like a battery from the outside, but is actually half explosive

That is the most plausible explanation. It can’t be an obvious thing or someone would notice it. If it looks like a plain battery pack, nobody would think of cutting it open.

londons_explore 2 days ago | root | parent |

The explosive here could be perhaps just 8mm x 8mm x 8mm to do the sort of blasts you see in the videos. Thats fairly small, and could easily be hidden in a device.

Inside the battery is perhaps the best hidden, but you'd need to own a bunch of battery manufacturing facilities (expensive). Cheaper would be to simply remove some other component (eg. one of two speakers) and replace it.

wongarsu 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Most (pouch-shaped) Li-Ion batteries just look like square shapes packaged in heavy aluminum foil, with some Kapton tape to keep a small PCB with protection circuitry in place. Any determined hobbyist could buy smaller batteries and the packaging materials off AliExpress to make something that looks visually similar but has lots of space left over for explosives.

With cylindrical batteries it's a bit harder, but ultimately they are just a cylinder with pressed-on end caps. You can disassemble them (lots of videos on youtube), change the contents and reassemble them.

It is pretty high effort compared to just sticking the explosives next to the pager's electronics, but I don't think the barrier to entry is actually that high

Bluestein 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> packaging materials off AliExpress to make something that looks visually similar but has lots of space left over for explosives.

But this, arguably, would be detectable, through low battery life?

viraptor 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Pagers last for a very long time. Some one-ways can last for over a month. At that point, you probably wouldn't notice it's just over 3 weeks, or maybe think the product is lying in the advertisements and lasts less but not enough to replace the "company provided" one.

andrewflnr 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There are tons of more likely explanations for that, though, with the top of the list being "dang bosses bought low quality pagers".

And if they can make the combined package big enough that the battery life is still acceptable, it's even less likely that someone will pull the pager, notice that they should be getting "great" battery life instead of "just ok", and investigate deeply.

baud147258 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I read elsewhere that Hezbollah recently changed to this pagers to communicate, maybe it those who put the bombs bet on the fact their victims wouldn't have time to realize that the battery have shorter life than advertised

nwiswell 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Inside the battery is perhaps the best hidden, but you'd need to own a bunch of battery manufacturing facilities (expensive).

Do you?

What stops you from just taking a smaller battery and packing it with some plastic explosive into the typical "battery foil"? I'm sure the IDF is capable of doing that at scale.

vimax 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Something along these lines is my guess. Focus on the batteries. You can replace individual cells with explosives and cause the remaining cells to overheat to start the explosion.

Most battery packs have integrated power management chips, so you could focus on modifying the battery firmware.

You could have another component send a message to the power management controller to trigger it.

You could also use the power controller's internal current sensor and clock to watch for a device event (power draw from the screen at a certain time or the power profile for a specific set of CPU instructions), giving you means to trigger it without modifying any other part of the device.

dreamcompiler a day ago | root | parent |

> You can replace individual cells with explosives and cause the remaining cells to overheat to start the explosion.

That won't work. You can use C4 and other modern plastic explosives as cooking fuel; they burn nicely. Getting them to explode requires a detonator.

bragr 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

A quick google search reveals multiple battery manufacturing facilities in Israel, including domestic and foreign owned corporations. A special order of batteries seems very plausible.

rdtsc 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I don't see someone like Iran or Lebanon being able to do that, but Israel has a great technical know-how and a ton of resources. Making custom batteries, with embedded explosives seems plausible.

cynicalsecurity 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

rdtsc 2 days ago | root | parent |

It's military budget is on the order of $20B which is quite decent for that size of a country. It's enough to build some realistic looking batteries and/or pagers combined with the technical base they have.

cynicalsecurity 2 days ago | root | parent |

$20B is by far less than Google or Microsoft make a year in revenue. It's nothing compared to the amount of enemies surrounding Israel, a country that is literally desert with no natural resources.

kergonath a day ago | root | parent |

Still more than enough to custom-build a bunch of batteries. I have no love for the Israeli regime, but this is ridiculous.

cynicalsecurity a day ago | root | parent |

What did the "Israeli regime" do to you? Has your pager exploded too?

On a serious note, Israelies are our allies. You don't have to love them, but they are standing on the forefront of fighting against the enemies of the West. If not them, you would be on their place.

HenryBemis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Considering the tech industry of Israel and the bottomless military/security budget, this is very plausible.

Also considering that a plan like that must have taken many months/years start-to-end, this just makes me wonder what else is booby-trapped(?), fridges? laptops? microwave ovens? the next door flat? flower pots?

Stuff like that take the paranoia levels all the way to 11.

exe34 2 days ago | root | parent |

a lot of people claim "we will strike fear in the hearts of our enemies".

Israel makes them quietly shit their pants instead.

rurban 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

They did certainly not make them shit their pants, what a childish idea.

They'll cause a big backlash. And the best they have are again suicide bombers in Israeli cities

exe34 a day ago | root | parent | next |

eh, they were launching rockets into Israel daily, and now they walk with a limp and will freeze every time something beeps. I count that as a win.

no, there won't be suicide bombers in Israel again. they've gotten much better at finding the rats - see original article.

Gibbon1 a day ago | root | parent |

I fail really to see the difference between Hezbollah lunching rockets into Israel and Israel's pager bombs. Except the latter are pretty well targeted.

Frankly I believe that the people complaining pagers wouldn't if Hezbollah had managed to do the same to Israel. They'd celebrate it. So really they're just unhappy that the team they're emotionally invested in is getting shellacked.

kergonath a day ago | root | parent | prev |

There is nothing unique or special about Israel in that respect…

exe34 a day ago | root | parent |

I love that your comment says this kind of striking terror in the enemy is completely unremarkable while the other says no such thing happened!

kergonath a day ago | root | parent |

It’s not unremarkable, or even very common. But lots of countries do this besides Israel (targeted strikes to eliminate targets and remind would-be targets that it’s hard to get out of reach). It’s true that they tend to be on the high-tech side compared to say Iran, and that democracies most of the time at least try to make it look legal.

I disagree with the other post you mention, FWIW.

numpad0 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

The pagers in question is believed to be a dry cell operated model. It could be a rigged AA battery.

...oh no. They must have handed out those USB rechargeable batteries as an upgrade. The bad guys want to be able to charge it, so they would be incentivized to align the charge port with case back and explosives facing the user. Then the battery could be triggered by time since synchronization && backlight current draw && button press beep.

varjag 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

One easy way to conceal the explosive would be to overmold it in a cavity inside the plastic enclosure. This would escape all but the most thorough inspections. And since battery terminals are typically also embedded in the plastic this can provide a clandestine supply of power and signal with something like Dallas protocol to the fuse.

mrtksn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

You are probably right but explosives risk detection, either by the militants or by the airport security if taken to a flight to a country with serious security.

ale42 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Detection by airport security might probably be avoided using the right type of explosive. I have no real idea about this, but I suspect that any nation-state with enough budget and know-how can manufacture undetectable or very hard-to-detect explosive devices. If the explosive is encapsulated in a sealed airtight container, which is properly "washed" after manufacturing, I guess there's no way to chemically detect the explosive inside. Not sure about how to avoid X-Ray detection but that's generally not the way explosives are actually detected.

And, is the device anyway going to pass through airport security? I guess the owners are not really travelling on commercial airliners.

jandrewrogers 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The scanners only test for the signatures of common chemical structures of explosives, like nitro and nitrate groups, which make up the bulk of mass produced explosives. There are many lesser known chemistries for high explosives that will not be detected by these scanners. Probably the best known example actually used by terrorists are explosives based on peroxide chemistry but there are several others.

ValentinA23 2 days ago | root | parent |

A friend of mine who visited Lebanon (and the Hezbollah museum, he gave me a Hezbollah cap by the way) then went to Israel and was subjected to a thorough explosive material search. They basically swiped some kind of broom all over his body (with a focus on genitals) and put it in some device (some kind of spectrometer ?).

cromka a day ago | root | parent |

This sounds like your regular check for explosives at any other airport in Europe or the US, probably many other places.

mrtksn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

These devices apparently were distributed to thousands of operatives. I would imagine that people having those are some of the more elite ones and they probably will travel for business reasons, be it personal business or Hezbollah business. A few who choose to take their pagers with them(i.e. will not be heading straight home after travel, so brings the pager) are huge risk IMHO. Even a single incident may reveal the plot.

I don't know how those detectors at the airports work exactly but they are probably playing cat and mouse game with the people who are into smuggling things and as a result they are probably aware of the more advanced methods like injecting things into the plastic.

krisoft 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This is the reason why I think the explosives were most likely hidden in the batteries. Some explosives have similar enough chemistry that they cannot be told apart from legitimate battery packs by the scanners.

This is a known threat, and this is the reason why some airports do extra checks on some travellers (for example asking them to turn their laptops on, asking them when and where they got the laptop and etc.)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_electronics_ban

londons_explore 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

news reports suggest 1000+ of these devices exploded.

In a country where lots of people would happily crack open the lid of a device to replace the battery or otherwise tinker, the explosives must have been well hidden, not just tucked into the case.

water-data-dude 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I don’t think they’re saying you’d need to change the chemistry though, they’re saying they could have altered way it was packaged so that when it started burning there was nowhere for the gas to go.

Similar to how firecrackers work. If you take a firecracker apart and light the powder, you’ll get a flash and a lot of smoke, but no bang. The explosion comes from the pressure building up in an enclosure.

Disclaimer: not a chemist. Just a former unwisely curious kid

Beijinger a day ago | root | parent |

"If you take a firecracker apart and light the powder, you’ll get a flash and a lot of smoke, but no bang. The explosion comes from the pressure building up in an enclosure."

True. But if you open enough firecrackers and put the powder in a small plastic container you will not get a bang but a buff and a fireball the size of a car.

Disclaimer: I am a chemist and a former very unwisely curious kid

delfinom 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I work in the battery space.

All you have to do is build replacement batteries without the pressure relief vents. You can easily get a Chinese manufacture to do this for a fee and properly some complaining about how stupid it is to do.

Then wrap it in some nichrome wire and have a micro run some power through it. The nichrome wire will overheat the cell really quickly causing the cell to rapidly over pressurize and boom.

Small pouch or prismatic cells that would be used at the size of a pager generally won't burn. And I speak from experience of doing stupid shit to them in the name of testing, nothing like using the nail puller side of a hammer to puncture them, or rigging up a fixture with 3 concrete nail guns to shoot it or well, fun stuff

gizmo 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Explosions are essentially about extremely rapid expansion of gasses. I don’t see how a battery, even one that is rigged to fail, can explode in an instant. Shorting out, overheating, and ultimately exploding because the battery compartment can no longer contain the expansion has got to be too slow by many orders of magnitude. Your theory makes no sense to me.

Retr0id 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Pressure vessels without a pressure-relief system explode once sufficiently pressurized.

kelnos 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Sure, but can you get 1,000 of them to explode simultaneously that way? You'd think there'd be some variation in the time of explosion, at least by tens of minutes or hours, maybe even by days.

loodish 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Shorting the battery would probably cause an explosion in around one minute. That's close enough to simultaneous.

From https://www.mdpi.com/2313-0105/8/11/201

A puncture causes runaway/explosion in seconds. Overcharging takes 13 minutes. There's not good data on a dead short (because it's unlikely during normal operation), but it's going to be between those on the faster end. From personal experience a shorts cause things to get noticeably hot after about 10 seconds, the graphs show that once you hit 60C things rapidly get worse.

A relay may have been required to hold the short as the battery stops supplying voltage.

kergonath a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

A battery pouch is a terrible pressure vessel under these conditions. It’s designed to bulge and deform to avoid catastrophic failure. It would need to be replaced with some very stiff material that can withstand the first step of thermal runaway. A battery not submitted to mechanical stress (e.g. by being punctured, hit very hard or shot at) is going to get quite hot before expanding.

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Batteries aren't pressure vessels though. Pressure vessels are generally decently large; how are you going to get one with significant capacity inside something as small and lightweight as a pager? Just putting in some plain explosives makes a lot more sense.

Retr0id 2 days ago | root | parent |

A battery without pressure relief is definitionally a pressure vessel. How much damage it actually does when it explodes is another question entirely.

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent |

It's a very minimal amount of pressure it can withstand, is the point. Certainly nowhere close to lethal explosive pressure. It's not a pressure vessel in the sense of the kind of pressure vessel it takes to make an effective bomb.

wizardforhire 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It’s the simultaneous timing thats a giveaway for me. Maybe you could have a few batteries explode but 2000 of them? It’s too clean to be just batteries imo.

FergusArgyll 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

How do you ensure they all blow up at once?

efitz 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Modified firmware that triggers on a receipt of a particular message and/or from a particular number?

mrtksn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I see some reports claiming that the trigger message was “07734 58008” but hard to tell if all these accounts are serious.

My guess would be that not only the battery but also the main board was modified to initiate the action.

edit: why do you think I'm not sure if they are serious? Calculator jokes are not a niche humor :)

dllthomas 2 days ago | root | parent |

> I see some reports claiming that the trigger message was “07734 58008” but hard to tell if all these accounts are serious.

Clearly someone's not being serious.

dogfighter75 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

It's extremely hard to tell if these accounts are, in fact, serious

dllthomas 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

The accounts may be serious (even accurate!) but whoever chose the numbers was not being serious in their choice of number. Or it's quite the coincidence.

mrtksn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Very interesting, so the battery modification is plausible it seems.

highcountess 2 days ago | root | parent |

I agree with this theory even though I am not even sure it would require a specific modification like the mentioned heating wire, if you can simply use the existing circuit with some instruction to cause component overheating with the same effect.

Another reason I do not believe it was an explosive is that a clandestine explosive installation would have resulted in far greater damage and included shrapnel. Because why would you not install very high explosives and shrapnel in a shape charge that directed the explosion into the likely body of the wearer if you are taking the risk of intercepting and making a physical modification.

This is also less Stuxnet and more infiltrating insecure systems of vehicles to drive by wire accelerate cars into objects. There have been examples of this

efitz 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> a clandestine explosive installation would have resulted in far greater damage and included shrapnel

No and not much. The amount of explosion you get is proportional to the amount of explosives used. Small amount of explosives == small explosion.

Shrapnel is specifically engineered into explosive military weapons - it is not an innate property of explosive reactions. If you want a lot of shrapnel you have to design the case to fragment (e.g. grenades) or pack the area around the explosive with the stuff you want to become shrapnel (as with many bombers packing nails and screws and bolts etc., around their bombs). A small explosion in a mostly plastic device will result in a small amount of small pieces of plastic being scattered, which might harm bystanders but is by no means guaranteed or even intended to do so.

hindsightbias 2 days ago | root | parent |

It would seem if they're going to all this trouble in the first place to design a substitute case of materials that had good shrapnel effects.

zdragnar 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

A shape charge would be pointless because you can't guarantee how the device is worn- one news article mentioned most people carry them in their pockets, so a shape charge would be blowing most of the energy away from the target in 50% of the cases.

jcgrillo 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

With a pager you can be pretty sure the target will be holding it with one hand and looking at the screen. Reports indicate the pagers beeped shortly before they went boom. So if the blast is focused in the plane normal to the screen that would focus it into the hand and face of the target. No idea whether that's actually a good idea or not.

sandworm101 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

A shaped charge need not be unidirectional. It could be focuses along an axis, resulting in a two-way explosion that would be more damaging than a symmetrical one. Two copper disks on either side of the charge would constitute a functional two-way shaped charged.

fhub 2 days ago | root | parent |

I think the grocery store security video supports the two directions idea. If you watch carefully it looks like a pressure wave away from the target and clearly something takes the target down. Perhaps a pressure wave in the opposite direction too.

roywiggins 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Doing much more damage 50% of the time might be more effective, if an undirected explosion is too weak to kill anyone but a directed (and lucky) one could.

ValentinA23 2 days ago | root | parent |

I've seen some videos. Shattered hips, abdominal wounds, hands without fingers. I haven't seen any dead person, just maimed bodies. Mission successful I guess. Oh and one kid.

bagels 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

CCTV footage of one of the explosions:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dozens-hezbollah-m...

This isn't how lithium batteries fail.

mortenjorck 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Yeah, this should remove any doubt that there were explosives involved. At the 500 to 1000 mA hour capacity typically used in pagers, even tampering with the battery's venting in an attempt to build up gas pressure would at worst result in a pop and some smoke from the top of the bag.

Blowing a hole in the side of the bag and sending debris for several meters is obviously not plausible with that quantity of lithium.

this_steve_j 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The explosion in the video does show visible smoke, but there is not a visible flame or fire.

bagels a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It's about the lack of visible flame, but more about the velocity of the burn, essentially instantaneous at normal camera speeds.

LightBug1 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

axlee 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Looks pretty discriminate to me, only the pager holder was affected. I've seen multiple videos with very close bystanders completely unharmed. And whoever holds a pager from Hezbollah is a member of an armed terrorist group officially at war with Israel.

underlipton 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

mytailorisrich 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

All the media reports say that these were the pagers distributed by Hezbollah to its members.

Objectively this is therefore targeted, not indiscriminate...

secondcoming 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Right but these were exploding in public right next to innocent people. There's CCTV footage of some of them exploding.

mytailorisrich 2 days ago | root | parent |

That's still a targeted attack and it seems from the media reports so far that the "collateral damage" is remarkably low, actually.

runarberg 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

How did they make sure that only pagers carried by the armed wing of Hezbollah exploded, and not say an MP, nor one of their media workers, nor a manager in one of their hospitals? How did they know that no civilians were dangerously close when they exploded?

They didn’t. They put explosions in all the pagers which were distributed to all members of Hezbollah, military or not, and indiscriminately exploded them all at the same time, regardless of who was near the pager at the time.

underlipton 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This is incorrect in a disturbing way. How can something be "targeted" if the attackers simply do not and cannot know where the attacks are going to take place, physically and geographically?

Hermandw 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Amir Tsarfati: The updated numbers:

4000 wounded of which 400 in critical conditions

Al Jazeera from a Lebanese security source:

The pagers were brought to Lebanon 5 months ago. They were boobytrapped in advance. Each device contained an explosive weighing no more than 20 grams.

oldpersonintx 2 days ago | root | parent |

whoever is good/evil aside...

hezbollah got totally owned and look like fools...relying on tech they just took at face value out of the box

olalonde a day ago | root | parent |

To add insult to injury, they specifically used "low tech" pagers in order to avoid Israel attacks.

ethagnawl 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I had a rechargeable battery explode in my kitchen recently and it was like a small grenade went off. I'll see if I can find the photos but it shattered trim and bits went through a screen on the other side of the room.

So, an "excited" AA (which, I believe is what pagers usually use) could do a surprising amount of damage.

Photo: https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/111/40...

pvaldes 18 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Urg, I used exactly this brand in the past.

Is an interesting problem. Maybe the experts in the area could help here. I assume that a worn battery near the end of its life is more prone to explode, but I wonder...

Would the dead cells in the battery take part in that; or are just dead and not reactive.

In other words: if a battery has only a 30% remaining alive; or a laptop has a very worn battery, would an hypothetical explosion by overheating be much less severe? or is still so dangerous as new?.

mdasen 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It looks like 1-way pagers sold in the US are powered by AA or AAA batteries: https://pagersdirect.net/collections/1-way-pagers.

That's not to say that they couldn't have put a lithium AA or AAA battery into the pagers or inserted a modified AA/AAA battery that was a combination of lithium (with greater power density) and explosive.

It's also possible that they have fancier 1-way pagers than I'm aware of.

mrtksn 2 days ago | root | parent |

According to this post, the pagers that exploded had rechargeable batteries. They even used USB-C, so Hezbollah must be using somewhat fancy pagers: https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/1836082246538629490

sushid 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Why did the Hezbollah even leverage beepers in the first place? As in why not just use telegram or signal or some other app of choice?

hattmall 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

So that Israel couldn't track their locations via cell networks. Sure you could use Signal or w/e but it's the cell IDs and knowing where people are that was the issue. The pagers do far less, if any, two way communication so it's not likely to give away location data.

zhengyi13 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Pagers don't have GPS devices embedded in them.

Apps (some more or less than others) represent a target for a nation state to pursue for information, graph analysis, bugging, etc.

roywiggins 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Even a dumbphone with the GPS physically removed is going to be a lot easier to target than a one-way pager, since they are always chatting with the cell towers.

jameshart 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Pagers don’t have GPS devices embedded in them - that you know of.

If you can’t control your supply chain then that isn’t guaranteed.

After all, most pagers don’t contain explosive charges either.

netsharc 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Even dumb phones can be tracked by antenna triangulation, and I wouldn't be surprised if Israeli hackers are inside Lebanese phone networks...

polishdude20 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

How do you fit an explosive into a pager and still have the pager work? Like, aren't they already optimized to have everything for inside super tight?

LeifCarrotson 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

No, a pager is optimized to be a case size that's comfortable for carrying and reading. The electronics could be the size of the smallest wristwatch, which is already dominated by its own form factor requirements, not the PCB + battery + display subcomponents that are scarcely the size of a nickel.

A typical pager is about 60 x 40 x 20mm. Much of this volume requirement is driven by the 16mm diameter 34mm long CR123 battery, a lot of it could be empty.

That battery is a relatively safe lithium primary chemistry, not a rechargeable Lithium polymer pounch or lithium ion cylinder that would risk fire and explode if the overpressure vents were omitted and the BMS corrupted, but the primary lasts for years.

I bet you could use a CR1216 battery (1.6mm thin, 30mAh, instead if 34mm long and 1500mAh) instead and have quite a good deal of spare volume in the battery for an explosive. If you filled the entire pager, that would be even more room, but much more easily detected.

ethbr1 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> I bet you could use a CR1216 battery (1.6mm thin, 30mAh, instead if 34mm long and 1500mAh) instead and have quite a good deal of spare volume in the battery for an explosive.

I'd be fascinated if that was the physical vector...

However, tainting a component pre-integration seems a lot more likely than simply packing explosive in the case.

Israel inserts the compromised components upstream in the supply chain, they're duly assembled into pagers, which then make their way to Hezbollah, where they're inspected, look normal, and work normally, and are then distributed.

That would still require a firmware hack to presumably trigger though (incoming message stack to component trigger).

lxgr 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> The electronics could be the size of the smallest wristwatch

Swatch actually used to sell a wristwatch that includes a pager! Battery life was pretty bad though; it came with a keychain accessoire to store a spare CR2032 and a battery swapping tool.

numpad0 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Those thin coin cells can't output enough currents to replace most use cases. I've once tried to run ESP32 with couple CR2032, the ESP just browns out.

formerly_proven 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

According to the manufacturer the pagers have a nominal battery life of about three months so it's not likely someone would actually notice if this number is cut in half or less.

phs318u 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Because it takes a surprisingly small amount of high explosive to cause the kind of damage shown in the footage we’ve seen so far. All it would take is for the battery to be replaced with a combo package - part battery, part explosive. No need for additional internal space.

Disclosure: my first job was in the Australian Defence Science Technology Organisation, Materials Research Lab, Explosives Instrumentation Group.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I think it makes more sense to think of these as explosive devices manufactured by/for Israel that are just designed to pass as pagers.

Mtinie 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If cost per unit isn’t a consideration, I suspect you can shrink the size of the electronic components used in the pager to make room for a 20 gram explosive charge.

Pagers—especially commodity models—aren’t profitable enough to warrant cutting edge tech with the latest advances in microelectronics. Lots of room to improve things if you are making a set of them at a loss.

zero_iq a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

One possibility is to replace part of the battery. The smaller battery can be designed to lie about its charge, or you can replace with a higher energy-density battery and use the space saved for a detonation system (perhaps even incorporating the battery itself into this) and a small quantity of high explosive, which is pretty stable and safe until detonated. Contrary to popular belief, high explosives are actually relatively safe, and usually even burn safely or are hard to ignite at all in some cases. Package it up into something that looks identical to an unmodified battery. Modify device firmware and battery control circuitry to detonate it on receipt of a specific signal and... boom.

fencepost 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Thinner (less durable, but who cares?) plastic shell to free up space for explosives, but would likely be obvious if someone opened it - which might be a common thing if these were being used as remote triggering devices.

If they were using a AA battery, replace the battery with something that provides you space to work (e.g. put in a AAAA or button cell that would provide appropriate power but lower capacity) because you don't really care if the battery life drops from months to weeks.

Mtinie 2 days ago | root | parent |

I can easily envision a scenario that would preemptively “explain” why the pagers are internally different from past models:

Supplier: “Hey, we’ve got a refreshed model of the pager you wanted to buy in bulk. Interested?”

Buyer: “I don’t know, how do they work?”

Supplier: “Same as the other ones, minus a bit less plastic protection. With the weight savings they’ve added a new hardened receiver that’s supposedly more secure and will keep communications private. Also, they are 50% cheaper per unit…”

Buyer: “Say no more. We’ll take them.”

bluescrn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Pagers, by definition, are likely to be older technology.

The internals could be replaced with modern smaller and lower-power equivalents, requiring a smaller battery, and saving enough space.

(Or maybe somebody just donated a batch of innocent-looking devices to 'the cause', or offered a bargain on some 'extra secure' pagers?)

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Ahh so a simple supply chain attack. I was thinking it might have leveraged the built in batteries. But it was always unlikely, especially in a receive-only device.

Still, if you have the capability of such a supply chain attack, I would imagine the rewards of silent surveillance (tracking, audio) would be of much higher value than this kind of attack where 3 out of 1000s targets were killed.

ddalex 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

3 killed but thousands inoperative and hospitals flooded - I would expect an immediate armed escalation

dotancohen 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah has been escalating their armed attacks against Israel for almost an entire year, parallel with the war in Gaza. Every day tens of rockets hit Israel, almost the entire north of Israel is evacuated of civilians.

I realize that this is not widely known, attacks against Israel receive far less attention in the news than do Israeli retaliations.

ceejayoz 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

As tends to be the case with this sort of complaint, it absolutely makes the news.

Quick sampling of examples:

https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20240908-hezbollah-f...

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/4/hezbollah-fires-reta...

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw9y7wqn8j5o

https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-israel-hezbollah-hamas-ro...

It doesn't make a big splash in the news because it tends to be severely ineffectual, but it has been pretty widely and continuously covered.

dotancohen 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yes, there are blurbs about it if you know where to look and are already familiar with the situation. But a small blurb once about Israel being attacked is drowned out by the literally thousands of articles about Israeli actions, which mention time and again every small detail or infringement.

kelnos 2 days ago | root | parent |

I don't agree; I think you're pushing some vague nonsense media conspiracy here. I haven't been following the war that closely, but I hear about Hezbollah attacks fairly regularly. I'm very critical of Israel right now, but it's not even remotely unknown that they're facing attacks from multiple fronts.

ericmcer 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The "news" doesn't even seem to exist anymore. News providers have adapted to the readers only wanting hear their own views supported.

Not only are there specific providers for specific worldviews, but major providers seem to spit out articles catering to every viewpoint. You can find probably find multiple pro Israel and anti Israel articles coming from a single news source on a single day.

So, I dunno maybe we need some kind of cumulative news app to get any kind of meaningful idea of how things are actually leaning. Like an AI summarizing sentiments of the 20,000 articles on Israel in the last week to determine if the news is slanted.

BytesAndGears a day ago | root | parent | next |

I think you’re basically describing ground.news

They advertise pretty heavily, and I’ma bit skeptical of their ability to make money. but it basically uses AI to summarize stories, and it groups stories from many media outlets, categorizes their bias, and shows the slant of the topic overall.

insane_dreamer 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> attacks against Israel receive far less attention in the news than do Israeli retaliations.

this is false

the rockets in northern Israel have been going on for years (as are rocket attacks into Lebanon), so just not much news anymore

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> attacks against Israel receive far less attention in the news than do Israeli retaliations.

I think retaliations are pretty fruitless anyway. Both sides have been lobbing missiles at each other for decades. This eye for an eye thing keeps going even though both sides have run out of eyes a long time ago.

Maybe talking might be an idea? Just saying...

megaman821 2 days ago | root | parent |

Both sides are lobbing missiles at civilians? And responding to an attack on your civilians is fruitless? Maybe evaluate what you are saying.

wkat4242 a day ago | root | parent | next |

Yes. Killing more of theirs in response to an attack on yours is fruitless. It just perpetuates the situation. And also, every time you kill one civilian there, their kids become terrorists for life (or at least have a good chance to). Hitting military targets is ok, but just lobbing a few missiles that way in retaliation because they fired some on you last week is really not going to help in any way. It only perpetuates the death and destruction.

Netanyahu seems to be very much against negotiations and keeps blowing the situation up because he doesn't want to 'look weak'. But this does nothing to actually help the Israeli people get safer. The only way they can actually be safe is to sit down and make peace. And of course not to keep taking more and more territory as Israel has been doing (and was even condemned by the UN).

Seriously, this shit has been going on since the founding of Israel. If they keep it up they will never feel safe. Neither side will ever be fully bombed into submission. Remember both Russia and the US tried that in Afghanistan, it didn't work there and it won't work here. All it does is keep the military industrial complex fed and wrecking lives in the process.

Someone has to take the first step and stop retaliating. And make some agreements which are fair to both parties. Then they can both build up a society and have less reason to upset things because they have a thriving society to lose.

I'm not defending Hamas nor Hezbollah. But this has to stop and 'responding' or 'retaliating' isn't going to help.

dotancohen a day ago | root | parent |

Only the Gazans charge that Israel kills civilians. The Lebanese understand exactly that Israeli targets Hezbollah. Read any Lebanese newspaper - they blame Hezbollah.

ceejayoz 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> Both sides are lobbing missiles at civilians?

Well, one's hitting civilians with missiles, the other's hitting them with rockets.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

How would this be an escalation trigger after a year of missiles and airstrikes with 1000 Hezbollah dead and 100k civilians displaced on each side?

ethbr1 2 days ago | root | parent |

Face saving. It's easier to put a PR spin on something only a few people actually saw. It's going to be hard to convince their rank-and-file this isn't a bit deal and deserving of retribution.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

ceejayoz 2 days ago | root | parent |

A missile is a demonstration of military force. Everyone in the region knows Israel is capable of blowing up a building.

This is a "we've got you hopelessly compromised as an organization" sort of demonstration that's far more humiliating.

For a similar example, see the US response to 9/11 - two decades of war, taking shoes off at airports, etc. - versus the US response to COVID, which killed a 9/11 worth every couple of days, but resulted in a "but I don't wanna wear a mask" response.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

ceejayoz 2 days ago | root | parent |

> It's easy to sit online and make bold and vague claims like there will be armed escalation in retaliation.

I mean, that's the pretty standard response in this conflict. Permanent tit-for-tat, back-and-forth, for decades/millennia depending on how broadly you count things. For a concrete example, Iran's April strikes.

> What do you think constitutes a major escalation?

Terror attacks on Israeli assets abroad - I'd be keeping embassies/consulates on alert - and rocket strikes against Israel. At least enough to try to save face, although the Iranian strikes offer a "good luck" for that.

> I would happily bet against a ground invasion.

By Hezbollah? Well, yeah.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

ceejayoz 2 days ago | root | parent |

I think Netanyahu's champing at the bit for escalation, and there's plenty of precedent for relatively small things triggering big responses.

As a concrete example, the last big Israel-Lebanon war resulted from the capture of two Israeli soldiers in a border raid; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Lebanon_War

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent |

Do you think Lebanon will escalate by capturing prisoners? I agree that that could be an escalation given the context and history. That said, I don't know what a path to peace with Hezbollah looks like. It's hard to imagine Israel tolerating it imperfect ceasefire while Hezbollah continues to arm, given how that worked out with Hamas

I think that netanyahu would be very happy to see a de-escalation on the northern border and it would be a big win for his cabinet.

ceejayoz a day ago | root | parent | next |

> Do you think Lebanon will escalate by capturing prisoners?

It's certainly part of the playbook, if they can manage some captures. Soft targets seem a lot more likely, though.

> That said, I don't know what a path to peace with Hezbollah looks like.

This conflict is creating the next generation of orphaned rage-filled extremists. Peace is a very, very distant goal at this point.

> I think that netanyahu would be very happy to see a de-escalation on the northern border and it would be a big win for his cabinet.

I very much disagree. Netanyahu is on a treadmill he can't ever let stop; ending the emergency means having to properly face his long-delayed criminal proceedings (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trial_of_Benjamin_Netanyahu).

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I don't think it takes much to 'flood' a hospital in Lebanon though. They country has been a mess since the big explosion. They barely have power.

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Their comms and command infra is now hosed and all the operatives concentrated in hospitals. They are dead in the water.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah has more than 100,000 fighters, so this would be what, one or two percent injured.

Everyone has cell phones that they can use in addition to the pager, so I don't think it's very accurate to say the communications are hosed either

bguebert 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah has been warning its members not to use cell phones because they get targeted by using them too. Seems like the pagers were supposed to be the workaround for that.

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/sya00qlswa

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Not having a Hezbollah issued phone is very different from never using a phone.

The idea that Hezbollah members have and had no means of communication other than pagers in a country full of cellphones and landlines is a farce.

londons_explore 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Which is dumb, because pagers are just as trackable as phones.

vel0city 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Lots of pagers operate in one-way only mode. Towers transmit messages without expecting acknowledgement a few times, pager is configured to filter out and only alert on messages routed to its ID.

Sure, theoretically one can detect a receive-only radio, but its massively more difficult than detecting something which actively transmits.

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent |

Most pagers do, yes. They are also usually unencrypted. And due to the one way nature, even if they are encrypted, PFS (perfect forward security) is impossible. Meaning that if someone captures the encrypted messages they can decrypt them all the way back when the encryption key is obtained.

But the impossibility of any kind of location tracking is definitely a plus of one-way pagers. Not just for terrorists. I'd get one if there were still a network where I live. It'd be really nice to be reachable and not be tracked 24/7 for once.

vel0city 2 days ago | root | parent |

While the messages are not encrypted, you just have your actual message coded. Have agreed on phrases and what not discussed out of band. Send dummy messages to throw people off and not know what is a real transmission or a dummy one. Is that numbers station just spouting gibberish or communicating with spies?

The market closes at 5, dinner at the hotel, Grandpa will bring home the wine, bring your hat. Charlie 5 Alpha 2 4 7 3 Bravo. Maybe this is just discussing someone's evening, maybe its coordinating a group action.

tonyarkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Many pagers are receive only. The tower has no idea who's listening; it just broadcasts out the messages that it's told to. Pagers are much less trackable than phones.

pfisch 2 days ago | root | parent |

How does the system know which tower to broadcast from though? Surely a pager message isn't transmitted from every tower everywhere.

lxgr 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Surely a pager message isn't transmitted from every tower everywhere.

They generally are!

Some systems required the sender to select a geographic region to increase bandwidth efficiency, or alternatively the pager owner to update their coarse-scale location with the operator after moving significant distances.

The latter is what the old Iridium satellite pagers did (do?), for example. (Not sure how the new GDB-based ones work.)

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent |

The new Iridium pagers are two-way as far as I've heard. Only the old ones were one-way.

I think the service is finally being decommissioned due to the Iridium Next satellites not supporting it anymore. It has been supported for more than a decade without onboarding new customers though.

lxgr 2 days ago | root | parent |

> The new Iridium pagers are two-way as far as I've heard.

Apparently that's optional:

> Iridium Burst-enabled devices can be configured as receive-only so that no transmissions are made, a feature valued highly by some customer segments.

(from https://www.iridium.com/services/iridium-burst/)

> I think the service is finally being decommissioned due to the Iridium Next satellites not supporting it anymore.

If that's the case, it would have been inoperable since 2017 – they deorbited the old satellites immediately after confirming deployment of the new ones.

kelnos 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

That's exactly how they work, actually. Or at least worked, traditionally. There are assuredly some two-way pagers out there now.

But yeah, you'd usually pay for service in a certain (large) geographic area, and if you wanted to take your pager out of that area while on a trip, or if you moved, you'd have to let the pager company know so they could start broadcasting in the new area.

toyg 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They might have watched The Wire: you page Alice, and she uses a public phone to call you. Undetectable unless you wire all public phones in the city, or someone is dumb enough to always use the same phone (which is what happens in the series; they eventually switch to burner mobiles).

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent |

To be fair, they rotate the burners in the series every 2 weeks and it takes the police more than a week to get up on the new ones.

It was cool to see that it was in fact an opsec fail (the guy buying the phones all over the country got lazy and bought too many from the same shop) to break through that. Pretty realistic. Like most of the wire in fact.

Although one thing in the wire I don't understand. Pagers are really easy to intercept, anyone with a scanner (with discriminator output) can do it and could do it in those times. I did it many times during the days when pagers were still in full swing. I really don't understand why they needed a court order for that (in season 1).

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I just assume that ease of interception is tangential to the legal requirement for permission.

Paper mail and landlines are incredibly easy to intercept and tap, but that doesn't make it legal.

toyg a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> Pretty realistic. Like most of the wire in fact.

The show creator worked for years as a journalist on the crime beat in Baltimore, I expect most of the opsec seen in the series comes from real cases.

> really don't understand why they needed a court order for [wiretapping pagers]

As others said, you need it from a legal perspective rather than a technical one. This is particularly true in the US, where the "fruit of poisonous tree" doctrine is pretty strict: if your evidence was not gathered in the proper manner, it must be discarded and it invalidates any further effort based on it. In specific, wiretapping is illegal even when done by authorities, unless they've been authorized by judges - the relevant US laws were tightened up after it emerged (with Watergate) that president Nixon was eavesdropping on his political rivals.

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It looks like a command structure attack. There’s now 98,000 people with no orders.

0cf8612b2e1e 2 days ago | root | parent |

That’s what I am thinking. These were not sent to a few thousand random guys, but almost certainly the highest level targets that could be identified.

xdennis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They recently introduced pagers because they're less trackable than phones. Presumably the ones which have pagers are more important so its probably more impactful than targeting 1 or 2 percent of the regular terrorists.

InsideOutSanta 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They have about 100'000 members, and this attack has killed about a dozen, and injured about 2000. Only one recent shipment of pagers was affected. I don't think they are unable to respond.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

cloudwonderer 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Israel is desperate to provoke? Hezbollah is bombing Israel since the October 7th attack. 300,000 refugees inside Israel because of this bombing. Who is provoking who ?

DSingularity 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

cloudwonderer 2 days ago | root | parent |

How is what you wrote about that Israel is desperate to provoke is related to Gaza ? Israel is defending itself against Hamas, Hezbollah and other Iranian allies since October 7th 2023. Why would Israel provoke Hezbollah? What's the point of it ?

rbanffy 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

We should avoid using the name of the country as a proxy for its current government. The people has nothing to do with this - this is all planned and executed under the auspices of the current prime minister and his associates.

Even though the people largely supports their agenda, an action that targets three people but affects 2,700 people as collateral damage would not pass by their parliament.

anigbrowl 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

We should avoid using the name of the country as a proxy for its current government

I understand your point but synecdoche is the oil on the gears of discourse. This required a lot of people's involvement, from those issuing the orders to technicians at the bottom of the chain of command. It's not Netanyahu's cabinet that did the work of placing explosive charges in thousands of compact devices and then repackaged and shrinkwrapped them.

Obviously once could refer to the 'Netanyahu regime' or some other more specific term, but then someone else would complain that this was a mendacious mischaracterization of the country's political system or suchlike. To the extent that civilians there don't with to be identified with their political leadership or take on the moral responsibility for its decisions, they'd better step up their efforts to topple the government by means of a general strike or some other time-honored method.

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The people voted for this government.

I do think we can hold Israel as a country responsible. But what we can't do is blame Jewish or even Israeli people in general. Though I don't see anyone doing this. The current government is always quick to draw the antisemitism card when being criticised but I never see anyone actually doing that.

ethbr1 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Voted for it at one point. Most of Netanyahu's recent actions are because he knows he'd be voted out in an election called today.

CaptainNegative 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Why would you assume this targeted three people? I assume the most likely scenario is that the attackers targeted as many Hezbollah members as they could, and were extremely successful at it.

rbanffy 2 days ago | root | parent |

That's a very good point - if the goal was to disable comms and incapacitate as many targets as possible, then collateral damage numbers are much lower.

It's unknown how many were family members of targeted individuals, and whatever the number actually is, it'll be misreported.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Why would the family members of a Hezbollah operative be carrying a pager tuned to Hezbollah's private communications network? A reminder that Hezbollah operates a parallel phone system, and is in many ways more sophisticated and organized than the de jure government of Lebanon, whose military forces Hezbollah outnumbers.

seadan83 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The family member would not necessarily need to be carrying the pager, just near it. Picture a child standing next to adult, pager on hip would be next to the kids head. Pagers are not always worn too, could be on top of a table, etc..

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Right. Yes. That's more than plausible. I have no reason to dispute the accounts of bystander casualties.

runarberg 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

We know now that at least 2 of the 9 already confirmed dead were children of their intended target. Fatima Jaafar Abdullah a 9 year old daughter of an unnamed Hezbollah member, and Mahdi Ammar the son of MP Ali Ammar (who’s age I haven’t found).

I also want to raise an issue which I’m not sure you personally have, but I have seen elsewhere on this thread and echoed by state department spokesperson Matt Miller that the targets were somehow legitimate because they were members of Hezbollah, which they claim is a terrorist organization.

Hezbollah is a much larger organization with many different functions, including governmental function, but also education and health care. We know that the targets did not only include their military wing, indicating that the targeting was indeed indiscriminate.

If people want to legitimate this terrorist attack by claiming that any member of a group which does terrorism is a legitimate target, that opens the door for all sorts of targets which unambiguously should not be considered military targets, including politicians and workers for governments and their political organizations.

If your country says that the IDF is a terrorist organization (a claim rather easy to make) your country than has the right to target any members of the Knesset that belong to any of the ruling parties is a legitimate target in a terrorist attack, if their family members are hurt in the attack, they become a legitimate collateral damage. Any worker for any ministry in Israel who contributes to the IDF somehow would also become legitimate.

This is of course not true, and the only conclusion we can draw here is this attack is an unambiguously immoral act of terrorism.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

First a style point: I don't think you get very far with things like "the only conclusion we can draw is that I'm right". I know I never sound like it, but the one thing I can confidently state in these kinds of discussions is that nothing is unambiguous. When it comes to conflict in the Middle East, if I have to be potentially wrong about things, so do you!

As I've remarked several times on this thread, the standard I'm using for this attack isn't one in which no innocents (or even innocent children) are harmed or killed. I don't like war and would happily confiscate every firearm in North America, but that standard is one no active military in the world meets. Rather: the "state of the art" in targeted strikes is air-to-ground weaponry, which routinely kills civilian bystanders at ratios far exceeding 1:1.

Here, my guess is that the ratio is something far south of 1:100, making this strike --- I think? --- unprecedented in precision in the last 100 years of warfare. We'll learn more as the day goes on, and if/when I'm wrong, I'll certainly say so.

"Terrorism" has nothing whatsoever to do with my thinking on this. Hezbollah is a large, sophisticated, organized, well-supplied combatant force, a military peer to its neighbors, and it is in open armed conflict with Israel.

runarberg 2 days ago | root | parent |

The collateral numbers here are measured by their intended targets which seems to be all Hezbollah members. This is not a fair measure as Hezbollah has far more members than fighters.

The claim that this is a well targeted attack with legitimate targets ignores this reality. The attack may be well targeted, but the targets are still indiscriminate and illegitimate. That is unless you count any Hezbollah members as a legitimate target. But like I said before that is simply ridiculous.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

We'll see, but I don't think it's very likely that Hezbollah school teachers are carrying Hezbollah pagers. There were a bunch of news stories written about why Hezbollah fighters are carrying pagers. Ordinary Lebanese people, from what I can see (I actually looked up market data here) carry Android phones like everybody else does. And I don't think Hezbollah is handing out pagers to random janitors in Dahieh.

Note Reuters reporting on the concentration of reports of strikes here: it's not uniformly spread across the population of Lebanon.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Further reporting, corroborating a (vaguer) claim by Reuters; the NYT reports these are pagers procured directly by Hezbollah from a manufacturer.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/17/world/middleeast/israel-h...

runarberg 2 days ago | root | parent |

We will see. But at this point it is ill advised to consider Israel to be in the right. We have seen how they conduct their targeting in Gaza, and we have no reason to believe their targeting practice is any more careful, nor humane in Lebanon.

We have every reason to suspect they had no idea who would be carrying these pagers. That they did consider any Hezbollah member to be a legitimate target, be they senior administrators at a hospital, media workers, politicians, etc.

At the very least they must have known that higher party members (i.e. politicians) would be carrying the pagers, and that they had no idea who was actually close when they detonated, and simply didn’t care if children got hurt.

An army who is on trial for genocide does not deserve the benefit of the doubt.

tptacek a day ago | root | parent |

I think they considered any Hezbollah member carrying one of these pagers to be a legitimate target. Why are senior administrators at hospitals and media workers carrying military command and control equipment?

If it turns out that large numbers of non-military personnel were carrying pagers that blew up, I'll be wrong about this, and I'll say so. My belief that this isn't the case isn't because I have any particular faith in Israel; it's because of the previous reporting about why Hezbollah had people carrying pagers: because it believed Israel was going to target these people through their cellphones. Pagers suck! I think people are carrying these things (or were; nobody's carrying any pagers anymore!) because they have to.

I don't know what "benefit of the doubt" means in this situation. Israel and Hezbollah are at war. War is ruthless.

Anyways all this is to say: Hezbollah is a military peer to Israel (I mean, I think Israel would win, but it wouldn't be easy). "Terrorism" has nothing to do with this. The conflict to me is fundamentally amoral, bilaterally, in a way that isn't the case with Gaza. Israel doesn't occupy Lebanon or control Hezbollah's supply lines. These are two opposing armies doing what armies do during hostilities.

dunekid 17 hours ago | root | parent | next |

>Israel doesn't occupy Lebanon

Shebaa Farms are currently occupied by Israel. Which is Lebanese, acknowledged by both Syrians and Lebanese.

runarberg a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The assumption here—at least from my part—is that this pager attack was an illegitimate state sponsored terrorist attack and deserves to be condemned as such. That statements such as “war is brutal” does not apply here as even war has rules for conduct, and even in wars the innocent deserve to be protected from harm. And war does not excuse terrorist acts.

In most wars, war crimes are committed. When war crimes are committed they need to be condemned, and prosecuted, not excused and repeated.

> Why are senior administrators at hospitals and media workers carrying military command and control equipment?

These are pagers, and cheap once at that, I don’t know if you have ever been a part of any activist organization, but it is pretty standard to assume you are a target of state level intelligence, and that state actors (most likely the police) is spying on you. Any activist would know to try to protect them selves and their organization by minimizing opportunities of breaches. This extends to lower level participants, who are unlikely to actually confront the police or cause any civil disruptions, but participate in other ways.

I assume Hezbollah would take similar measure. That higher level members at non-military institutions still see the need to protect them selves—and their organization—from infiltration. At the very least, it is criminally negligent of Israel to assume that they don’t, and still detonate when there is some probability the innocent will be harmed.

tptacek a day ago | root | parent |

I don't see how an attack launched by one hostile military force against combatants of another, where both forces are in declared open combat, can possibly be described as "state-sponsored terrorism".

Again: all the available reporting suggests strongly that Israel wasn't simply targeting every pager in Lebanon. These were specific pagers procured by Hezbollah for military operations, something widely reported months before this attack.

rbanffy a day ago | root | parent | next |

Even if it targeted only military personnel, they were targeted going about their daily activities, putting their families and others who might, as we saw, just be shopping near them, at risk.

runarberg 20 hours ago | root | parent |

I think this is the reason booby trapping consumer devices which resemble those in use by civilians is an explicit war crime.

You can't guarantee the explode as intended. It is gonna be very difficult for Lebanon to find all of the unexploded devices and secure them. Very likely one of those booby traps will find their way to a thrift store in the next few years and unexpectedly explode when handled by innocent hands.

runarberg a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It is a stretch to call a pager a military equipment and the use of one a “military operation”.

No, Israel rigged consumer electronics used by people during their civilian lives off the battlefield as they posed no threat to anybody. There is no definition of terrorism which doesn’t encapsulate this act.

And no, this act is not justified even if every targeted victim of this attack was a Hezbollah member. As I said before, there are more members of this organization than fighters and generals.

tptacek a day ago | root | parent |

No, that's not what the reporting says. Hezbollah operates its own military networks for these things, procures these pagers specifically for military purchases, and issues them to Hezbollah fighters.

"Off the battlefield" doesn't mean anything here: if they're members of the armed wing of Hezbollah, they are black-letter IHL combatants whether or not they're actively engaged in combat, the same way everybody aboard a naval vessel is a combatant if you sink it, including the cook.

Put it this way: if it turns out that these pagers were widely used by non-military personnel, like school teachers, I'll absolutely say I was wrong, and that this attack was probably hard to justify. If reporting firms up that these pagers exclusively carried by military personnel, does that change things for you?

runarberg 21 hours ago | root | parent |

One of the casualties was the child of an MP. That is not military. So we know of at least one instance of a non-military member being targeted, and their kid killed.

Israel has consistently lied about the military nature of their targets in Gaza. I see no reason to believe they behave any differently in Lebanon.

Also, even if they were all military—which they probably weren’t—they were still going about their civilian lives far away from the battlefield, as they posed no threat to anybody.

Now that some time has passed we know a little more about the victims. Including a press conference by Lebanon’s Minister of Health Firass Abiad. There have been 12 recorded deaths so far. Of those were 4 medical workers, one 8 year old girl, and one 11 year old boy. The press conference noted that many of those carrying the pagers were civilians. And made special mention of the toll this scale of an attack had on their medical system.

The best interpretation for Israel here is that they conducted a terrorist attack in a civilian against an armed group during their civilian lives, inflicting at least some civilian casualties. But we know how Israel conducts it self in Gaza and elsewhere in Palestine, and we have every reason to expect their intentions were far more nefarious.

tptacek 20 hours ago | root | parent |

That wasn't really an answer to my question, right?

runarberg 20 hours ago | root | parent |

The answer is no. The nature of the attack does not make it OK even if it turns out that only military personnel had these pagers. It is not OK for Israel to weaponize consumer electronics which are widely used in a civilian area, even if the users at the time are most likely military personnel.

But this question is irrelevant because this is very unlikely to be the case. The victims seem to be many civilians.

thisoneworks 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Since when did naming a country for their military action signify the opinion or inclination of the majority of civic population? When newspapers report on "country A did X" it almost always means their government did X. So I'm not sure what point you're trying to make

rightbyte a day ago | root | parent | next |

It is some sort of dehumanization. Since it got into fashion, I've noticed some colleges started to refer to companies in China as 'China'. Like as if they are dealing with Xi when procuring washers.

rbanffy 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

You are lumping together a population that doesn't necessarily agree with the actions. It creates negative attitudes towards citizens of that country (or people who look like citizens of that country).

anigbrowl 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Why not both? Location data would be relatively easy to collect and forward, audio not so much (much higher storage and transmission throughput requirements for very low quality source data given the limitations of piezoelectric microphones and the fact that pagers are usually worn on belts).

If you're getting GPS data, collecting people's movements for a month or three probably provides 99% of what you will ever want to know. Once the patterns have been established you're into diminishing returns territory, while the risk of discovery goes up, which would neutralize the value of the explosive attack.

The strategic value of such a perfectly targeted surprise attack is massive, notwithstanding the relatively low fatality rate. Injuries are expensive and often devastating, and the psychological impact is brutal. Logistically, Hezbollah (and many other organizations, militant or not) are going to have to review and/or replace part of their communications tech. That's a massive technical disruption, a significant economic cost, and risks further exposing supply chain information. It's also going to create paranoia about many other electronic devices, poison in the food, and so on.

I'm not sure about the ethics of this. If one were certain that only Hezbollah officers were being targeted then it would be an acceptable kind of asymmetric attack through a novel vector.

However this also seems to have impacted quite a few civilians, and there is a claim (unverified so far) that a hospital just replaced all its pager equipment a couple of weeks ago and would otherwise have been impacted: https://x.com/SuppressedNws/status/1836080190855795092

If this happened in the US pursuant to one of the wars we've been involved in, we'd definitely be calling it terrorism and/or a war crime. It's a big strategic win for the Israelis in the short term but can hurt them two ways in the longer term. Hezbollah and other enemies of Israel will be significantly more motivated retaliate in some equally creative/unpredictable fashion, and non-aligned economic partners of Israel are likely to view Israeli products with renewed skepticism, hurting exports.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It would be a bit rich for us to call this a war crime, since our standard M.O. for targeted strikes --- like everybody else's --- routinely kills innocent civilians in much larger numbers than this.

colordrops 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Ok, so targeted strikes in the US by our enemies that have civilians as collateral damage is OK, is that what you are saying?

rocqua 2 days ago | root | parent |

The point was that the US government regularly accepts civilian casualties in trageted strikes, so it would be hypocritical for the US government to complain now.

Notably, this doesn't apply to anyone who hasn't supported such strikes in the war against terror.

insane_dreamer 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> this doesn't apply to anyone who hasn't supported such strikes in the war against terror

or to any US ally; the hypocrisy has been around for a long time already

if 20 Mossad agents had been assassinated in Israel _in the same way_, we'd be hearing the story told in a whole different way

colordrops a day ago | root | parent |

20 Mossad agents with 2700 civilians injured, 200 close to death, to include all the details. Many civilians were doctors with pagers.

Edit: my comment is 100% factual and unopinionated. I'm just quoting an NPR report. To downvote this is to be a propaganda agent.

colordrops a day ago | root | parent |

You didn't look and are obviously trying to spread misinformation.

https://www.npr.org/2024/09/17/g-s1-23452/hezbollah-pagers-e...

That's the first link in your own comment. The URL and title mention thousands. Are you a bot?

dredmorbius 14 hours ago | root | parent | next |

From your source: "killing at least nine people and wounding around 2,800 across [Lebanon]". That's a total casualty count, and does not distinguish civilian from Hezbollah casualties.

Hezbollah itself claims 100,000 members, by which this would represent ~3% of the total force as targets of the attack.

The devices in question were ordered by, and delivered to, Hezbollah, per an NYTimes report I've just mentioned in another reply to another of your comments.

Wikipedia reports some civillian deaths, "including four healthcare workers and two children" citing NBC News, CNN, the Wall Street Journal, and Associated Press:

<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Lebanon_pager_explosions#...>

Given the very many highly motivated eyes on this story, I'm highly confident that if there were credible reports of a higher civilian casualty rate we'd be hearing about it in spades.

It's clear that there was some broader damage, but overall the attack was highly specific to Hezbollah. Arguments that this wasn't a highly-specifically-targeted attack don't pass the credibility test.

Again, I'm not uncritical of Israel, and try to follow the many nuances of the overall situation. I also realise that it's exceptionally difficult to remain dispassionate when its you and yours who are subject to attacks, and in a conflict spanning generations.

charbroiled a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It says thousands were injured, not that the thousands injured were civilians. In fact, it’s likely that most casualties were Hezbollah operatives.

From the first link:

“Reports from Lebanon said Hezbollah recently received a new batch of imported pagers, which were being used to share information about possible Israeli drone strikes and other attacks.”

From the second link:

“The Lebanese armed group Hezbollah said the pagers belonged to the group’s officials and blamed Israel for orchestrating what appeared to be an unusual synchronized attack on Hezbollah’s communications system.”

Based on that, and the limited effective range of the blast (as visible in videos and the fact that the injuries are consistent with a pager in a hand or a pocket), it’s likely that the majority of injuries were of Hezbollah personnel.

> Are you a bot?

No.

colordrops a day ago | root | parent |

Please explain to me how exactly Mossad got these pagers into only Hezbollah hands. It was just a shipment of pagers that was interfered with while in transit. There were absolutely non Hezbollah that had these things. Also please explain to me how nearby innocents were protected. That's right, they weren't.

colordrops a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The US would call this terrorism if it occurred in the exact same fashion to itself or allies. The hypocrisy is blindingly clear. It's hypocrisy because they don't complain. Your logic is completely backward.

rabidonrails 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

A couple of things on this:

1. It appears that the AUMBC referenced replaced their equipment but that had nothing to do with this and their doctors weren't impacted.

2. Your note of "...other enemies of Israel will be significantly more motivated retaliate in some equally creative/unpredictable fashion..." is strange considering that this is already the norm. Almost all (perhaps all) of the attacks against Israel have been from terrorists targeting civilians.

sitkack 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I think they burned an asset right before the last time they had a window to use it. Maybe even on accident.

Dumb and cruel, could have used it to nearly the same effect by just telling hezbollah.

stri8ted 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Given Israel's successful precision targeting of various senior Hezb members in recent months, I wonder if the pagers were initially used as such, but as suspicion mounted, and chances of an overhaul increased, they decided to hit the kill switch while they still could.

Although as as per an WSJ article: "The affected pagers were from a new shipment that the group received in recent days"

LegitShady 2 days ago | root | parent |

The pagers were likely one way with a codebook for the purpose of minimizing tracking and information exposure.

ajb 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It's possible that they expected a higher kill rate. It's also possible that the kill rate will turn out to be higher after the consequences of injuries have time to play out.

loodish a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> I would imagine the rewards of silent surveillance (tracking, audio) would be of much higher value than this kind of attack where 3 out of 1000s targets were killed.

The reason they were using pagers, as opposed to phones, was to avoid exactly this kind of potential attack.

Pagers are (typically) a broadcast technology, the pager has no transmission capability. A page is broadcast from every tower, it has no idea where the receiver is. A targeted page is done by the receiver filtering out and ignoring pages that it isn't the recipient for (eavesdropping all pages is trivial).

The pager device is simple, it doesn't contain a GPS or have any concept of it's own location. No microphone or audio capability, very little processing capability. And adding such capability with something like a bug would be reasonably apparent to anyone opening one up and inspecting it.

maxden a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They will now need to change over to a new or backup communication system, with both the changeover and new platform bringing risks.

FrustratedMonky 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

For a supply chain attack.

How did they make sure a large percentage ended up in the hands of the targets? Seems like this could hit a lot of random people, just anybody using pagers. Unless they had way to target certain customers.

volkl48 2 days ago | root | parent |

I think you're assuming that all pagers of this model were being sent out like this. That's unlikely.

Much more likely is they compromised someone in Hezbollah that was doing the ordering, or the distributor/vendor they ordered from, modified a couple thousand devices and sent them pretty much directly to their enemy, and only their enemy, to distribute among themselves. Then waited a bit, and set them off.

mschuster91 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Most bugs can be easily found out by any competent counterintelligence team.

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

True but so can explosives. Clearly they were not competent.

Radio signals can be detected of course but it's possible to mitigate that a lot by only doing that at specific times and locations, or on request. And send the data out in batch. Ideally while you have the subject under observation so you know they're not monitoring for signals.

The same way Volkswagen hid their engine manipulation from tests by recognising the test and adjusting parameters.

BlueTemplar a day ago | root | parent |

Well, slightly off topic, but in the case of Volkswagen, everybody knew they (and other car companies) were doing it for at least a decade before the scandal blew up : car magazines were even publishing articles about it !

clydethefrog 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There are several sources online claiming the model used is the Gold Apollo Rugged Pager AR924. This pager is made in Taiwan, a country that has close ties with Israel and it's most important ally USA. Just a week ago Taiwan's Foreign Minister Lin Chia-Lung openly emphasized the critical importance of intelligence sharing and technology cooperation with Israel.

dhx 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It was reported in Turkish news (allegedly via IRGC on X) that pagers are all Motorola branded, and supposedly at least include the Motorola LX-2 model.[1][2] However, the provided image of a Motorola LX-2 is also the first image on the Wikipedia English page for pagers.

There is also a photo circulating of a destroyed pager[3] which has visible writing "Distri: GOLD" and "Model: AP" (or "AR"). This has been matched to the Gold Apollo AR-924 model pager that is manufactured in Taiwan and is not a Motorola pager.[4][5][6][etc][7][8][9]

[1] https://www.turkiyetoday.com/region/this-is-how-israel-targe...

[2] https://i.turkiyetoday.com/image/resize/876x1024/wp-content/...

[3] https://i.turkiyetoday.com/image/resize/1280x1280/wp-content...

[4] https://x.com/JakeGodin/status/1836042111726072229

[5] https://x.com/PaDaGal/status/1836057094211969467

[6] https://x.com/Kahlissee/status/1836102796090953812

[7] https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.gapollo.com.tw/rugge...

[8] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x50wwGjX2Ao

[9] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4jzDHm68Wio

dhx 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Correction after more information has become available:

The Gold Apollo AR-924 model pager is reported to have been manufactured under license by Budapest-based company "BAC Consulting KFT", but the head of this company denies manufacturing the devices and instead described themselves as an intermediary, without providing further information. The Taiwanese company which allowed these devices to be manufactured under license also reported receiving strange remittances from BAC via banking systems in the Middle East (not Hungary).[1]

[1] https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/18/hungary-en...

billfor 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

That's going to be bad for business....

axlee 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

All the terrorist market suddenly boycotting them, I'm sure they're losing sleep over it.

highcountess 2 days ago | root | parent |

You are not thinking past the first point. Considering what these people have been doing lately, even if you are currently on their good side, what happens when you’re not or don’t want to serve them anymore? Think places like India and Brazil may be rethinking their supply chains right now?

dagaci 2 days ago | root | parent |

Any .org should be considering the risk of allowing devices unfettered into onto their businesses premesis which could be used to trigger remote explosions, allies and enemies.

fencepost 2 days ago | root | parent |

Archived a couple hours ago: https://archive.is/Kw0Pg

95g, USB-C rechargeable up to 85 days of operation, separate control and charging boards, multiple replaceable components for easy maintenance.

Probably lots of ways to free up space, most notably by using a smaller battery but with a few resources you could probably combine the boards and probably not even be obvious ("generation 2, less expensive to produce"). With state-actor level resources new boards would be easy as would something concealed within a LiPo battery.

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Exactly that. There is a video of a hole blown through a table surface with one. That is not happening with any off the shelf battery technology as is currently being heavily misreported. They were modified with explosives clearly.

Of course there is paranoia being sewn now about hacking and the batteries which is likely part of the ongoing operation as it will disrupt anyone they didn't explicitly target.

highcountess 2 days ago | root | parent |

I’m not sure which image you are referring to but there are images of lithium battery explosions blowing holes into counters and faces. There are some linked here.

hughesjj 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Not sure a wooden desk is equivalent to porcelain though. Porcelain cracks, just need a lot of pressure in a small spot to make a big break.

That said, .... Really glad I quit smoking anything after seeing the damage a vape did to those poor guys

torginus 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

TIL: pagers still exist.

I wonder, if these devices could be suspect, why don't they order these cheap Chinese GSM modules. You can't hide explosives in those.

Also, afaik all GSM modules broadcast their IMEI numbers over the network. Explosives or not, I'm sure they can all be tracked and triangulated, since they talk to the towers. I don't think these things are secure anyways.

numpad0 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Pagers are truly receive only. A pager is effectively a pocket FM radio fixed to one station, that vibrates when a relevant message was digitally read aloud on the radio.

GSM on the other hand is cellular and bidirectional so triangulation problem applies.

cdchn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

They might not have been GSM but one way POCSAG pagers.

torginus a day ago | root | parent |

That would make sense, since there's no such thing as a one-way GSM device. GSM towers (cells) need to keep track of which devices are in their vicinity and do smooth handovers to neighboring towers.

I'm not sure how the protocol you mentioned works, but I'd imagine it still needs some info about the whereabouts of the receiver to route the messages to him.

cowthulhu 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Kamil Hamad disappeared and it is rumored that he received US$1 million, a fake passport and a visa to the US.

Given the chain of events detailed already sounds like it was ripped from a spy novel, I'm pretty skeptical of this claim.

morkalork 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

A Russian helicopter pilot had his family escape Russia, stole a helicopter, fled to Ukraine with it and cashed out on the bounty money offered. Then he was found and assassinated in Spain by the FSB. We are living in interesting times.

kspacewalk2 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Then he was found and assassinated in Spain by the FSB.

And that only because he seems to have lost his sense of self-preservation and basically lived his life in the open, in a Spanish town full of Russian ex-pats. And scoffed at the idea that he'd be safer in Ukraine.

r721 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Apparently the worst mistake was contacting his former girlfriend in Russia:

>Exactly how the killers found him has not been established, though two senior Ukrainian officials said he had reached out to a former girlfriend, still in Russia, and invited her to come see him in Spain.

>“This was a grave mistake,” one of the officials said.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/31/world/europe/russian-defe...

theturtletalks 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Questionable opsec is almost always the culprit. Even all these online black markets, it wasn’t some sophisticated operation to catch them. Many times, they use the same username on another website and now there’s a link. Hell, one of them used to send email verification for their black market using their personal email.

It doesn’t just stop there. A 49ers wide receiver got shot a couple weeks back because he posted on Instagram about buying a Rolex and he was lucky to survive. That’s also questionable opsec.

some_random 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I guess if your only exposure to spying is through spy novels you probably would feel that way? Nothing about this seems out of line to me.

vineyardlabs 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

You should check out any of the books written by Ben Macintyre, especially "The Spy and the Traitor". It turns out a lot of spy novels aren't that far off from reality.

grotorea 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

That does sound like spy novel stuff but it seems plausible enough? Dude was turned, and he wanted money and an escape to somewhere safe in exchange for cooperation.

rtaylorgarlock 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Exactly. Snowball's chance anyone could get a series of capacitors and transistor to do too much more than "let the smoke out," even with the largest influx of EM energy. Most batteries give pretty big warnings before they do anything close to explode, making this a pretty obvious 'attack' vector they utilized. I'm also happy to offer political opinions for anyone that wants to hear ;)

amelius a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Question: assuming there were explosives inside the pager, what would happen if the owner of such device would try to board an airplane?

mcast 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It's pretty insane to see remote detonation technology used and implemented in 1996, considering cell phones looked like Nokia bricks and the RF hardware needed to implement this needs to fit in a pretty tight space in the phone.

moduspol 2 days ago | root | parent |

Well cell phones have been used as detonators for quite some time, right? It's not too much of a stretch.

dghlsakjg 2 days ago | root | parent |

Its one thing to figure out how to wire the vibrator in a phone into an external explosive activation circuit.

Its a whole other thing to do a supply chain intercept on an entire factory run of pagers, build a difficult to detect explosive into them, get them into the hands of your enemies, and remotely trigger them over infrastructure you don't directly control.

This is an incredible level of execution. And, presumably, the IDF or some attached intelligence agency demonstrating how deeply they own their adversary's networks.

moduspol 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I'm not sure they necessarily need to deeply own their adversary's networks. I'd be impressed if Lebanese pager tech has any serious kind of encryption, for example. And we're already accepting at face value that they sabotaged the devices, so it's possible this was done with a separate RF signal than their own cellular network, even if it is locked down.

But yes, the supply chain sabotaging is certainly impressive.

svnt 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

You probably need firmware and some major component modification, such as a display or battery, but not more than this, to pull it off. So at a minimum, two components, or perhaps one smart component such as a display.

It seems the model was the AP-900, not the AR-924, which used alkaline (ie removable) batteries, so a new theory is an EFP (explosively formed penetrator) manufactured into the device.

It appears the devices do not function on cell phone networks but instead on internal radio networks such as those used within industrial or medical settings.

Best guess is the displays because:

1) there is enough room for the EFP,

2) you could modify the component to trigger itself, meaning it doesn’t need coordination between any other parts of the device

3) there are a lot of injuries to the face reported — with a display you could trip on button push without needing access to the button, when people tend to be looking right at the EFP

4) in the videos the explosions look very directional

sandworm101 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If an entire shipment was intercepted and modified, how many other pagers are out there? How many non-targeted persons are walking around with a bomb in their pocket?

riffraff 2 days ago | root | parent |

There's also plenty of bystanders who are being impacted by an explosion happening in the pocket of the person next to them.

I don't think whoever approved this was worried about innocent people getting hurt.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I watched a video of one of these exploding in the pocket of someone at a grocery store with someone standing directly next to him, so close they were rubbing shoulders, and the bystander was fine. No doubt there were many dozens of civilian casualties, but if the numbers net out the way you'd expect they would (ie: people carrying these pagers, which link to Hezbollah's own communications network --- they run their own phone company --- are overwhelmingly Hezbollah operatives) this is going to pencil out as one of the most surgical attacks of all time.

Every military strike in modern warfare will involve someone in some sense not worrying about innocent people getting hurt. This isn't Agincourt. Wars happen in cities now.

kasey_junk 2 days ago | root | parent |

There are too many threads and this is too complicated a topic for a technology forum website so I’m not going to weigh in everywhere.

But you yourself recognize that a) Hezbollah is a de facto government, not just a military or terrorist organization and that b) its folly to do some sort of algebra on casualties in these conflicts and intent is what matters.

It’s hard to come up with a plausible intent for a strike that injured 2700 people, with only the weakest of targeting mechanisms across a population that ranges the gamut of occupations, other than terrorism.

We would certainly view it as such if Hezbollah blew up 2700 phones of the Israeli government and military.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

That depends on who the 2700 people are, right? If it's 2700 random people, I agree. If it's 2600 Hezbollah operatives, not so much. If Hezbollah managed to surgically strike 2600 IDF soldiers, injuring and killing an additional 100 bystanders, I promise you I would offer the same analysis.

I'm measuring this against the standard of military operations conducted by western countries, the state of the art of which is Hellfire missiles fired into cars and apartment buildings.

I'm trying to be hedge-y as I write this stuff. We could absolutely learn things that would change my take on this!

bjourne 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

No. All members of the armed forces of a party to the conflict are combatants, except medical and religious personnel.

https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule3

bjourne 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Yes. The term you used was "operative" and it is not synonymous with "member of armed force".

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

It indeed does. Unless you are a medic or a chaplain, if you are even under the effective command of Hezbollah, let alone employed by it, you're a valid combatant target. Uniforms and current participation in combat operations has nothing to do with it.

If you want to make the claim that Hezbollah operates schools and hospitals and that employment at those institutions doesn't designate somebody as a combatant, I will absolutely agree with you. But it's very unlikely, to me, that those people are carrying Hezbollah military command and control telecoms devices. We could learn otherwise, and if we do, I'll acknowledge that. But from what we're learning now, it's not looking likely.

bjourne 2 days ago | root | parent |

No, you emphatically are not. The criteria is membership in the armed forces: https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule4 Had it been otherwise, practically everyone working for the Israeli state would also be a "valid combatant target". Including reservists since they are also "under the effective command" of the IDF. I have no idea who carries these pagers and neither does you, so I'll refrain from speculating.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

In regular armies, activated reservists are valid combatant targets. Reservists become civilian, under the principle of distinction, when they are deactivated and fully integrate into civilian life. More applicably to the situation with Hezbollah, which is an irregular army, functional criteria apply; meaning, very roughly and in my paraphrase, "is some aspect of the armed wing of Hezbollah your day job?"

I don't know that we disagree much here. We both agree that simply because Hezbollah operates a school does not distinguish the employees of that school as combatants. There are civilian combatants; for instance, whether or not your yourself were ever going to take up arms in Syria, if you work in a Hezbollah arms depot or weapons factory, even if you're just counting the bullets, you're most definitely a combatant. It depends.

You're refraining from speculating on something I am clearly not refraining on. I get that. I am (much) further out on the limb than you are. When the evidence shows I'm way off on this stuff, I'll absolutely say so. The big place where our premises differ is: I believe Hezbollah pagers to be military equipment, and you believe random Lebanese people with weak associations to Hezbollah might carry them as well. I'll say right now that is not a crazy point of view; it's just one I don't currently share.

bjourne 2 days ago | root | parent |

You are juxtaposing two different concepts. 1) military objectives (weapons factories) and 2) combatant status (fighters). Factory workers are not combatants. While I don't think Elbit Systems should be allowed to operate globally, killing their workers is not legitimate.

At this point it is not even certain that all exploded pagers were "Hezbollah pagers" and that it wasn't just a random shipment of pagers the Israelis booby-trapped. Pagers are still used by emergency and medical services in many parts of the world.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Rather than arguing about this, we can just note references to the law of armed conflict, and the definition of "direct participation in hostilities".

stefan_ a day ago | root | parent | prev |

There is a big misunderstanding here; you seem to believe that because Hezbollah is so invariably coupled with civilian life and has by own decision foregone uniforms and other basic traditional military structures, this somehow raises the requirements for Israel to strike them. The opposite is true.

tptacek a day ago | root | parent |

I want to push back on this because I am making a stronger claim. This kind of argument came up a lot in the Gaza conflict, and pulled in proportionality arguments and discussions about Hamas embedding military assets deliberately in vulnerable civilian targets. I'm saying none of that happened here. I don't believe (but I could be wrong, as I often am) that Israel just killed a bunch of Hezbollah medics and schoolteachers. They attacked, with great specificity, actual soldiers of a military peer with whom they are in open conflict.

I believe you can rules of engagement under IHL straight off the ICRC's documents; that this isn't even a tricky case.

bjourne 15 hours ago | root | parent |

“Customary international humanitarian law prohibits the use of booby traps – objects that civilians are likely to be attracted to or are associated with normal civilian daily use – precisely to avoid putting civilians at grave risk and produce the devastating scenes that continue to unfold across Lebanon today. The use of an explosive device whose exact location could not be reliably known would be unlawfully indiscriminate, using a means of attack that could not be directed at a specific military target and as a result would strike military targets and civilians without distinction. A prompt and impartial investigation into the attacks should be urgently conducted.”

https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/09/18/lebanon-exploding-pagers...

stefan_ 12 hours ago | root | parent |

They are not booby traps, since they are not traps to begin with. No one sane calls rigging the military comms of your enemy to blow a "booby trap".

bjourne 6 hours ago | root | parent |

Sure, your understanding of ihl is better than hrw's and anyone who disagrees with you is insane.

kasey_junk 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

These pagers almost certainly went off on n the hands of doctors and clerics.

But again, this isn’t about some sort of ethical counting and categorizing of the injured. What can the intent of this attack be other than to spread terror? To say to the broad populace we will harm you when you least suspect it, independent of the military status between our countries and we will do it in surprising and asymmetric ways.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

It eliminated their entire command and control network, hospitalized hundreds of their officers and command staff, put the IRGC on notice that it has been comprehensively infiltrated, and will force months of internal investigations and purges.

Further, it comes during a time where Iran has been publicly messaging about retaliation for the killing of Ismael Haniyeh, so there's a geopolitical angle to it as well: "we can do this, think about what we'll do next if you try launching another 300 drones at us".

I don't think it's very hard to make a military validity argument here (of course, it's easy for me to do that, since I'm shoplifting an argument from Noga Tarnopolsky and Oz Katerji here).

bjourne 2 days ago | root | parent |

Spreading fear is generally considered terrorism - not a proper military objective. You have to realize that the argument you're making goes both ways here.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

In every military conflict in the history of warfare, combatants have taken steps to inspire fear in their adversaries. You may be providing a definition of terrorism, but I don't think it's a useful one; I think you need to refine it more if you want to make it operable here.

In any case, where you use the word "fear" I would probably use "deterrence".

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

I have no idea why you think that is a comparable event.

What I think may be happening here is that my reply to Kasey is being read as a justification for attacks on civilian populations. That is not a thing I believe; as you know, from the rest of this thread, my contention is that this attack targeted combatants.

bjourne a day ago | root | parent |

Deterrence happened to be the stated purpose of the Lidice massacre. And it probably "deterred" the Czech resistance. That in and of itself did not legalize the attack. Here we have an Israeli attack involving indiscriminate maiming. You are claiming that "inspiring fear" and "deterrence" legitimizes this attack. The attack targeted pagers and anyone in vicinity of those pagers. That's exactly equivalent of dropping a bomb in a trashcan and saying you targeted soldiers that may or may not pass by as the bomb detonates.

tptacek a day ago | root | parent |

I don't think it's productive to reply like this without acknowledging that we're operating from different premises. You're calling this "indiscriminate maiming", and I'm claiming these "maimings" are extraordinarily discriminating: they exclusively target Hezbollah military personnel, the only people carrying these devices. You clearly disagree with that premise, but that's the dispute, not whether one of us believes that massacring an entire city is a legitimate use of military force.

bjourne a day ago | root | parent |

It's not a matter of "operating from different principles", it's a matter of facts. Among the killed were a 10-year-old girl and among the wounded were Iran's ambassador to Lebanon. Mouthbreathers will say "Iran bad so wounding ambassador good", but an ambassador is a noncombatant, hence wounding them is prima facie evidence of an indiscriminate attack.

Moreover, I use the word "indiscriminate" because it has a specific meaning in IHL which you, apparently, is unaware of. Let me cite ICRC (https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule12):

> Indiscriminate attacks are those:

> (a) which are not directed at a specific military objective;

> (b) which employ a method or means of combat which cannot be directed at a specific military objective; or

> (c) which employ a method or means of combat the effects of which cannot be limited as required by international humanitarian law;

> and consequently, in each such case, are of a nature to strike military objectives and civilians or civilian objects without distinction.

It is clear that whoever detonated these remote-controlled bombs had no control over who they injured. Thus, the effects of combat couldn't "be limited as required by international humanitarian law". Hence, the attack was indiscriminate. If you don't trust my interpretation of the IHL, read the ICRC's interpretation:

> But this reasoning begs the question as to what those limitations > are. Practice in this respect points to weapons whose effects are > uncontrollable in time and space and are likely to strike military > objectives and civilians or civilian objects without > distinction. The US Air Force Pamphlet gives the example of > biological weapons.[17] Even though biological weapons might be > directed against military objectives, their very nature means that > after being launched their effects escape from the control of the > launcher and may strike both combatants and civilians and > necessarily create a risk of excessive civilian casualties.

Moreover, there is the principle of proportionality. You claim "deterrence" motivates the attack and the loss of civilian life. But spreading fear is not a military objective in the first place, hence it does not full-fill the principle of proportionality.

dralley 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

>That is, they were not uniformed soldiers engaged in combat. Hence, they were not legitimate targets. They may not even have touched a gun if they served in Hizbollah's civil administration.

Had precision strikes existed in 1944, nobody would complain if a Nazi office party got hit with a missile just because "they were civil administrators, not soldiers"

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It wouldn't matter. They would have been considered combatants then, and are explicitly designated so under the Geneva Conventions now. Unless you're a medic or a chaplain, you cannot safely work for (or, really, even be "under the effective command of") Lebanese Hezbollah under the laws of armed combat.

To Kasey's point, the reciprocal is true, too! The laws of armed combat permit Hezbollah strikes on Israeli command and administrative staff.

jajko 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Given history, given adversary, given all facts known thats practically sure. Usually Mosad doesn't say anything so we won't get much more anytime soon.

There will be few movies and documentaries about this for sure once things calm down a bit. I presume they used pagers instead of phones to not be so easily trackable via google/apple software and hardware?

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent |

A pager is passive receiver only. It never transmits. So you can't track it. That allows an operative to get to a secure line or obtain a burner device.

Whoever did this just killed that as an information channel as both the devices and the network are now compromised.

spidersenses 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

>Whoever did this just killed that as an information channel as both the devices and the network are now compromised.

This is also true for Hezbollah. They must now distrust their own network, equipment and procurement channels. The reshuffling resulting from the casualties will make the organization less effective, at least temporarily, thus delaying any attack plans and allowing moles to rise through the ranks.

the-rc 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

That's not been true for well over twenty years.

http://suntelecom.com/images/st900_large.jpg

vel0city 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

You might as well be arguing all cell phones are iPhones, because here's a model which is an iPhone. Sure, some are two-way pagers and do transmit, but most aren't.

Loads of pagers are passive, receive-only devices. There's a reason why there's a common distinction between "pager" and "two-way pager".

bonestamp2 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Until we know the attack vector, I wouldn't say the network is compromised. Perhaps a specific message was used to detonate, that wouldn't require compromising the network. Perhaps there was a separate radio that wasn't using the pager network at all.

cdchn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

>Whoever did this just killed that as an information channel as both the devices and the network are now compromised.

I'm not sure if thats true, they just need to start cracking open their shipments of pagers and looking for explosives.

loceng 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

And yet it took 5 hours for IDF to respond to Hamas breaching their border - where it only takes a maximum of 45 minutes via helicopter to get to any point along the Israel-Palestine border?

Is there any technology possible to help people more seriously see incongruences for what they are, technology to help prevent people from propaganda - or is that primarily simply a systems control issue - education system, information system, etc - that would be party to a censorship-suppression narrative control and distraction apparatus?

aerostable_slug 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hamas coordinated strikes against Israeli c4i to hinder the IDF response to the invasion. This is trivially verifiable. Not all of Hamas are barely-educated fighters capable of little more than being pointed at innocents and told to kill.

loceng 2 days ago | root | parent |

Most sophisticated-best funded military in the world doesn't have automatic alert systems in place, redundancies, etc, eh?

You probably also don't believe that the Hannibal Directive was deployed on Oct. 7th as well, even though Israel is known to have done the same as early as 1986.

P.S. There are IDF intelligence agents who are whistleblowers that say that this had to have been allowed.

aerostable_slug a day ago | root | parent |

I think the planners of the operation weren't your average terrorist: They outmatched the border barriers' design basis threat, they knew the default Israeli response and targeted critical c4i nodes to hinder it, and they had a bit of luck and a lot of audacity. Those added up to a black day for Israel.

loceng a day ago | root | parent |

How much confirmation bias do you think you're leaning into, in order to not have to swallow the equally, if not more likely case, that the IDF was ordered or purposefully delayed in their response by higher ups?

And about the Hannibal Directive you didn't respond? We can assume too then, since you like assumptions, that they were deployed to kill their own citizens as well - right?

iknowstuff 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Im assuming you’re saying they were looking for a casus belli. They well might have, but surely the assailants knew this was a likely consequence. Why did they proceed to breach the border if they didn’t want to trigger a war?

edm0nd 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

These pagers were 100% a supply chain attack. Intercepted and modified with small explosives embedded in them or swapped the entire shipment out with ones with a small explosives in them.

There is no possibility these explosions are from battery overloads via an exploit or firmware hack.

spidersenses 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

>or firmware hack.

There's still the question of how the explosive capsule would have been triggered. It couldn't just explode at the first incoming call. There must be more to that.

svnt 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

My best guess is explosively formed penetrator in the display.

I don’t think wholesale replacement of the pagers was likely to work for a number of reasons.

They had to go one step up the supply chain.

The EFP display could be set to trigger on a certain message, or even the clearing of a certain message, which in devices without said display would do nothing.

The display is most likely to be pointed at the user’s face, or opposed to their waistline (EFPs sort of fire both ways but in one axis.

The battery, if it were a cylinder as would be likely, would fire tangentially, likely not hitting much.

A prismatic battery would make a good place for an EFP but difficult to interface with and likely requires a second compromised component.

hinkley 2 days ago | root | parent |

Theory: A prismatic battery with an explosive core and an electronic fuse swapped to trigger the explosive instead of disconnect the battery. Firmware change to short the battery. No visible signs of tampering even in iFixit like conditions.

svnt 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The best evidence we have now suggests that the devices used had removable (AAA) batteries, not built-in batteries.

If I was buying pagers and had previously been hit by intelligence ops I would be buying batteries in random supermarkets.

hinkley a day ago | root | parent |

I'm looking at pager teardowns and there's nothing even close to the volume of the battery in there. Big transistor and the speaker housing.

Which sort of leans back toward the theory that nobody checked the pagers at all.

svnt 16 hours ago | root | parent | next |

15g of explosives is sufficient, probably, based on the analysis I’ve seen.

15g of explosives is not very big.

The speaker is another potential home, that is a good point. Big cone and heavy magnetics.

This display weighs 15g, and uses cheap glass and old liquid crystal: https://www.crystalfontz.com/product/cfag12864u3nfhe11-128x6...

Would someone be able to make one that worked but weighed eg five grams, then fill the rest with explosive? Would anyone be able to discern that the back of the glass wasn’t liquid crystal but explosive, especially as they are usually taped over?

rolux 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

What would happen if you walked through airport security with such a device?

svnt 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Nothing, they aren’t looking for 2”x1” sheets of copper within electronic devices, and presumably the thin layer of explosives would be sealed and washed.

ajsnigrutin 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

The microcontrollers inside the pagers probably have a spare GPIO pin, so they'd just have to modify the software and attach the detonating electronics to that gpio pin.

Since i'm supposedly "posting too fast", to answer the post below:

> Just curious, is it possible to program the pins so that it triggers by wireless or satellite command? With that scale I don't think wireless is possible though.

Technically it is, but requires additional electronics and antennas. It's much easier to just use the existing pager network and trigger when some specific message (or pager code) is detected. Paging networks are simple to implement.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It seems pretty plausible that the actual supply chain attack here would have been Israel subbing out whole shipping crates of pagers for sabotaged devices Israel manufactured itself, which would allow for arbitrary complex designs.

markus_zhang 2 days ago | root | parent |

Maybe they bought a large quantity of pagers from the same supplier and modified beforehand? I think a few grams of high explosives is good enough.

markus_zhang 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Just curious, is it possible to program the pins so that it triggers by wireless or satellite command? With that scale I don't think wireless is possible though.

londons_explore 2 days ago | root | parent |

the pager is already wireless. So adding functionality to trigger wirelessly (over the phone network) is trivial. And it can trigger only with a special message.

markus_zhang 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yeah you are probably right. I'm an electronics newbie and don't know exactly how pagers work in wireless. I'm going to read some material on it.

barbazoo 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> These pagers were 100% a supply chain attack.

What did you base that on though, 100% is pretty confident

rdtsc 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Batteries are not magic unknown technology. People who understand their chemistry can confidently say things like that.

barbazoo 2 days ago | root | parent |

Dunning-Kruger effect comes to mind again.

rdtsc 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

How do you mean? I am trying to understand what you're saying, it seems you mean that people on HN only _think_ they understand how battery technology works saying this is impossible, but in reality they have no idea, and it's trivial to make an explosive device like out of pager batteries?

edm0nd 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Simple logic and science. Batteries do not cause forceful explosions like we've seen today. These pagers were intercepted and implanted with explosives (or entire load swapped with pre-made malicious ones) and then allowed to continue on to their destination. Thus I can say with 100% confidence that this was a supply chain attack.

sroussey 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Likely, there are many many more of them out there, just did not fall into the dragnet of phone numbers that were set to activate.

londons_explore 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I bet lots of people with that model of pager are now ripping them open to check for explosives. If we don't see pictures of unexploded ones, then I'd guess they were all triggered, and the only ones we might see are devices that were turned off at the time.

pragma_x 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> make the device exagerte some existing functionality to a point where it caused a malfunction? Thoughts on this?

I'm actually astounded by the things that must have been in place to make this attack even plausible, let alone viable. At the same time, the ramifications are sobering. Here's where my head is:

- Hezbollah failed to inspect electronics that, if tampered with, could have lead to some kind of intel breach. That or the explosive modifications were indistinguishable from the real thing.

- Operatives knew what pager numbers were in use by Hezbollah, perhaps exclusively to the rest of the population.

From there I have three possible explanations for how this may have been executed:

1. Many shipments of such pagers bound for Hezbollah in Lebanon and other places in the region, were identified, intercepted, modified, and sent on their way with minimal delay. You probably don't get many opportunities like this (how often do you replace a pager?), so this is really quite a hat-trick.

2. Or: there are many more pagers out there with a very dangerous vulnerability on board, with only a special pager sequence that stands between the user and sudden death. This suggests simply infiltrating the manufacturer instead. This also has much more favorable lead times and can leverage the manufacturer's resources to that end.

3. Or: There's a pager manufacturer out there with gob-smackingly bad engineering and software on completely stock units, which operatives simply exploited to (sub)lethal effect.

fmobus a day ago | root | parent | next |

You don't have to intercept a shipment and tamper at large scale with incredible speed if you're posing as the supplier.

That's what I believe happened. Specially likely if you consider that terrorist orgs are not exactly putting RFPs or doing large orders at legit vendors. That gives you the chance to pose as a helpful supplier that operates on the down low and accepts cash on delivery, etc.

wut42 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> what pager numbers

This is where it gets confusing. We all remember the pagers running on cellular/2G networks but it seems that nowadays most pagers are HF devices and mostly broadcast receivers. Quite unclear which one are involved.

pragma_x 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Good point. I'm kind of a dumb-dumb when it comes to present-day pager tech. I haven't even seen one in decades.

Let me rephrase the question then: if any measure was made to target just the pagers that were in the hands of Hezbollah, how was that accomplished?

wut42 2 days ago | root | parent |

So far all I've seen is speculation that a specific shipment was targeted.

I'm pretty sure they weren't cellular pagers as they don't seem to be the norm nowadays.

andrewshadura 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> We all remember the pagers running on cellular/2G networks

Who does? I'm not aware of pagers running on the GSM network. Maybe they existed, but I don't think they were ever widespread.

wut42 a day ago | root | parent |

You're right. It existed and had a short span of life/fame in some countries but that is all. Most pagers were on their own protocol/frequency. the protocol seems to be mostly the same theses days: POCSAG

Many commenters here also assumed like I did it was some cellular/SIM devices but it wasn't that much widespread.

tw04 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

>I already wonder if this was anything that was planted in the devices perviously

That seems to be the case with almost complete certainty. They said it was a new batch of pagers that the targets/victims/whatever you choose to call them received in the last few months.

>The pagers that detonated were the latest model brought in by Hezbollah in recent months, three security sources said.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dozens-hezbollah-m...

doubleorseven 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> If we try to do what we are best at here at HN, let’s focus the discussion on the technical aspects of it.

Technical? Yes it's interesting but you are missing the biggest part here: how do you convince such a huge organization to switch so many devices? This human engineering is the really interesting part here.

BillSaysThis 2 days ago | root | parent |

Hezbollah has said some time ago they were switching to pagers because Israel can get inside their cell phones.

cachvico 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

With a statement like that one wonders if Hezbollah leadership itself has been infiltrated.

kspacewalk2 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Israel has an intelligence agency that's generally recognized to be quite competent. I'm sure it would have taken them approximately 5 minutes to learn from their many spies that a new form of communications is being used.

andyetandyet 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

gojomo 2 days ago | root | parent |

Not really: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/30/world/middleeast/israel-h...

They just didn't realize how real this particular plan was. It's quite likely Hamas is regularly bluffing similar attacks in many potentially-compromised channels. If they then see Israel react, they've received info about Israel's capabilities & tactics – and maybe even ways to misdirect Israeli forces with future feints. And any real plans may stay hidden amongst dozens/hundreds of other "false alarms".

anigbrowl 2 days ago | root | parent |

Hamas =/= Hezbollah, even though they have a common enemy and their alliances overlap.

gojomo 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Yes, but I believe the post to which I was replying used "the initial attack" that Israel "failed to see coming" to refer to Hamas' October 7th attack.

Hence my reference to Hamas' likely chaffing of Israel's intel, and Israel's false-alarm fatigue, before that "surprise" attack.

Of course Hezbollah likely uses similar tactics - but if as deeply pierced as this latest attack implies, they'd have to wonder if any comm successes they thought they had were just Israel leading them on. I doubt Hezbollah has surprised Israel recently!

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The IRGC itself has clearly and spectacularly infiltrated; read the details of the Haniyeh attack. So, yeah, at this point I don't think anyone in the IRGC network can trust anybody else. The messaging here is pretty intense.

grotorea 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Theoretically, pagers are simpler devices, meaning it would be much easier in principle to analyse both hardware and software to check for issues, unlike a mainstream phone OS which has a bigger software attack area and can have at least some zero day attacks known to a state level actor like Israel.

Although, if it really was explosive inside the pagers it seems Hezbollah didn't do this.

axlee 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I mean Israel is behind Pegasus, so it's not exactly a secret that they can get into any cellphone. Israel didn't need to infiltrate Hezbollah, they just needed publicity.

londons_explore 2 days ago | root | parent |

You can also find out what your target is using, find some exploits in it and publicize them, then offer a super good deal on an upgraded model.

jameshart 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

If you’ve figured out how to get explosives into pagers, the next question is how do you get your enemy to buy a bunch of new pagers from you.

They have to want new pagers in a hurry.

So you just need to convince them that their phones are all already compromised.

Note that this does not require that their phones actually be compromised.

doubleorseven 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Exactly. But this buyer is not a regular buyer, he is not getting a tracking number and refreshing some random website to see where it's shipment is. The buyer must have been with the goods from a point before it reached its destinated country. There are so many plays that had to play here in order to orcestrate this. Should make a really good heist movie, just with a different prize at the end.

detourdog 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

You find where the pagers are coming from. They probably had a supply chain going to cycle through pagers. 2,700 pagers being replaced regularly is an easy target.

markus_zhang 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

My hunch is that IL intelligence bought some 3,000 - 4,000 pagers of the same models, fixed them with explosives and trigger systems, and swapped them with the package sent to Hez in the middle of transport or (probably) in the Lebanon distribution center.

So they needed to know: which company manufactured those pagers; which models are sent to Hez; when they were in transport and arrived at the distribution center; which packages went to Hez operatives, and much more information.

BTW rumors says the pagers were manufactured by a Taiwanese company, not confirmed though but some of my friends were able to read from the pictures that show what was left of the pagers.

bluescrn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If the footage on Twitter is legit, then there was a small detonation, with a bang, not a burning battery with a 'whoosh' and flames. Which indicates that the internals of the pager had been replaced with something rather more explosive than a lithium battery.

burke 2 days ago | root | parent |

Lithium ion batteries in devices are sandwiched layers enclosed in a kind of 'pouch', right? So what if you manufactured one of these that looked identical to the normal battery, but only had half a battery inside, and the rest of it was plastic explosive. Maybe put a tiny chip in there that, when a particular pattern of current draw happens, fires a detonator. Then, some firmware hack in the device proper that responds to some event and actuates that current draw pattern. It wouldn't even look suspicious if you opened it up.

bonestamp2 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

That's an interesting idea, and it wouldn't even need a firmware hack... a real time clock circuit with a specific date/time to detonate would be simpler and easier to coordinate simultaneous detonation.

romseb 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

After seeing some videos of faces and hands that were blown off, it's clear that the tiny batteries could not have caused explosions like this.

xg15 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Haaretz reports that the devices were purchased only recently - and heated up before detonating. [1]

So, that sounds like indicators for both, either a supply-chain attack or malware targeting the battery.

[1] https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-09-17/ty-article-li...

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

How much stuff is there to fuck with in a standard, untampered-with pager? Seems unlikely this was pure cyber (and some novel battery hack). And if you need supply chain interception to carry out the attack in the first place, why wouldn't you insert explosives? There's a history of these kinds of attacks.

xg15 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yeah, agreed. Also agreeing with the sibling posters that the videos that emerge look nothing like batteries catching fire but rather like actual detonations. Nothing an untampered pager should be able to do.

fhub 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Shaped charge hidden in the battery casing. Sounds like batteries heated up which is consistent with one method that shaped charges could be detonated. No extra wires needed going into the battery (better concealment).

rendang 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Wouldn't a shaped charge be pointed in a specific direction, and hence could miss depending on the device's position in target's pocket?

jandrewrogers 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This is unlikely to be a shaped charge, there is not enough space. High explosives are inherently directional depending on the geometry of the explosive and point of detonation. As a practical matter of fitting explosives into a pager, I would expect most of the explosion to be directed perpendicular to the face of the pager in both directions. In almost all cases, carrying or using the pager would put the person directly on the main axis.

fhub 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Watching the grocery store security video, I think a multi-directional shaped charge is plausible with pressure evident in two directions. But very hard to draw any conclusions.

Sakos 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

You might prefer a shaped charge to reduce the likelihood of injuring bystanders and to ensure that what little explosive you can fit in there can kill whoever is using it.

meepmorp 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Yeah, everyone talking about shaped charges or (micro-) explosively formed penetrators seems to overlook the fact that, compared to just a regular bomb, they'd be less strictly effective for situations where you can't control the alignment of the charge to the target.

Don't overthink it - just a bit of RDX and a detonator does wonders.

mrguyorama 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Most high explosives need a high impact detonation source. You can literally set C4 on fire and it wont explode. It needs high temperature and pressure. And I do not think the 120F that a "hot" battery could get to reliably could trigger a high explosive in a way that wouldn't accidentally trigger beforehand. The middle east is a warm place.

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Compared to Stuxnet it's also a first where this kind of attack was done at scale. Regardless of the particular target it's of course the question whether this is a desirable practice in cyber warfare. For such a new field there are very few ethical guidelines yet, like we do have for more conventional warfare.

jakeinspace 2 days ago | root | parent |

Unlike stuxnet, this attack had a lot of non-hezbolah civilian casualties. It’s "targeted" in a sense, but not really much more targeted than a drive-by assassination attempt. Anybody close to these people could have sustained serious injury, and there are reports of children injured and dead. We’ll have to wait for details to emerge.

Politically, this is the sort of action that invites comparison to conventional terrorism. It also begs the question of why Hezbollah or other actors shouldn’t try a similar attack against civilian targets. It’s almost like a chemical or biological attack, which most countries shy away from because it’s so hard to defend against (a big part of why it’s illegal). No country can perfectly safeguard its supply chain from intentional sabotage.

I’m afraid that the entire world is a little bit less safe after this move. Maybe Israel is goading Hezbollah into all-out war, who knows, but this affects all of us.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

For a non-infantry massed attack on a military asset, the ratio of military to civilian casualties here is probably going to end up being unprecedented in the history of modern warfare; this will probably end up being an extraordinarily surgical attack by any military standard. Civilians are routinely killed in targeted strikes, because targeted strikes are almost always conducted by air. This attack may end up being distinguished by how few civilians were harmed.

Neither Israel nor Hezbollah is mobilized for all-out war here. Hezbollah is depleted from its disastrous efforts in Syria; Israel is fully committed to combat operations in Gaza. The north of Israel has been evacuated for months because of indiscriminate rocket attacks from Hezbollah. Hezbollah is an arm of the IRGC, which is more or less at open war with Israel. If either side could have launched an all-out assault (or, I mean, a more conventional all-out assault than this one), they would have done so already.

dotancohen 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

  > Hezbollah is depleted from its disastrous efforts in Syria
From what I understand this is inaccurate. Prior to the events of today, Hezbollah moral is very high and they have plenty of armaments from Iran - everything from small arms and uniforms to long-range rockets and drones. In fact, they even produce a very nice local drone made from foam and duct tape - literally.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

They lost double digit percentages of their fighting forces, with several thousand additional casualties in non-Hezbollah Lebanese military and paramilitary forces. I'm sure they can duct tape drones together or whatnot, but there are reasons Hezbollah has --- quite notably at this point! lots of stories written! --- not escalated in the south even as the conflict between Iran and Israel heats up.

rurp 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Hezbollah is depleted from its disastrous efforts in Syria;

There is an awful lot of reporting stating the opposite of this, and I haven't really seen anything credible questioning the fact that Hezbollah has many thousands of missiles and rockets at the ready, along with a sizable number of competent fighters. In fact, the threat from Hezbollah is widely considered one of the largest deterrents Iran has against a direct attack from Israel.

Despite their potential to harm Israel, the group would almost certainly lose an all out war against the IDF. Many if not most of the members would be killed in such a conflict and Lebanon would be plunged into a war zone. So it's easy to see why Hezbollah would be hesitant to get into a full scale war, despite their combat potential.

Since 10/7 a number of top Israeli officials have advocated for a preemptive assault on Hezbollah. So far they have lost the argument but it still could conceivably happen at any time. Eliminating the looming threat and allowing civilians to return to the north are compelling reasons, but the risk of heavy losses and getting bogged down into another quagmire in Lebanon are serious concerns.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yes, they have.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

I don't know what it is that you think that article says, but nobody disputes that neither side has invaded the other. The funny thing to do would be to read your preceding comment and then Google something like [nasrallah israel]. I, uh, think Hezbollah's foot soldiers have been given sufficient notice at this point.

dotancohen 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

  > Unlike stuxnet, this attack had a lot of non-hezbolah civilian casualties. It’s "targeted" in a sense, but not really much more targeted than a drive-by assassination attempt.
You should know that Hezbollah recently shot a rocket at an Israeli playground, 12 or 13 children were killed. The chance of a few civilians being injured is calculated against preventing the enemy from dropping another rocket on another playground.

I read the news in Arabic, there are credible reports of an 8 year old girl being killed in this attack. I haven't seen that yet in English language news. That is a horrible price to pay. But it is part of a calculated risk that, as per those same news sources, killed between 10 to 12 Hezbollah operatives and injured 2700 more.

wkat4242 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Stuxnet didn't have a lot of civilian casualties (if any?) but it did cause a lot of monetary damage to civilian companies.

However this was of course unintended, the malware was never meant to make it out to the wider world.

pesfandiar 2 days ago | root | parent |

It's implausible that any "civilian" company was involved. Pretty much all companies involved in the Iranian infrastructure, especially covert nuclear projects, are directly or indirectly owned by IRGC.

wkat4242 a day ago | root | parent |

Yes but Stuxnet escaped to the internet and infected a lot of Western companies. This is in fact how we even know about it at all.

That's the damage I'm talking about.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

That's a good summary of the dangers of normalizing the actions that previously were the domain of only terrorists. The world works because most countries and people rejected amoral results-based reasoning and considered such actions in the light of another dimension: morality. It's difficult to define, but there was some sort of consensus. How long those agreements, formal and simply normative, will last remains to be seen. I do not look forward to their further erosion.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It does not make a whole lot of sense to distinguish the explosives packed into the warhead of an AGM-114 Hellfire missile from those of an explosive vest or a compromised pager. What distinguishes terrorism from military action is target selection, not weapons choice.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

I cannot see any comment in the immediate sub-thread making a distinction between explosives per se?

Certainly to me I don't see the difference between explosives supplied in a missile produced with US tax-subsidies to arms profiteers or explosives produced by someone else. Except that in the first case US voters have some control over the supply -- not much, but some.

The GP comment is clearly talking about the lack of precision or targeting. Here you may have a point if we consider absolute quantities instead of some relative measurement: a US-taxpayer-supplied-with-profits-to-a-private-company Hellfire missile fired into a refugee camp full of women and children might kill 10 obviously-innocent people for 1 presumed-to-be-a-terrorist-without-any-sort-of-trial person; whereas a pager bomb exploding might blow up the we-dont-know-yet-anything-but-he-was-in-Hezbollah and his ten-year old daughter.

If I were a moral simpleton I might argue that the Hellfire missile murders were worse than the pager murders.

But what do I know? After all hundreds of years of protocols and treaties and norms about this sort of thing are probably just old and in need of being re-envisioned by some clever code jockey.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Do you honestly believe that "protocols and treaties" established "hundreds of years" ago have any bearing on modern conflict? Do you have any arguments that would be persuasive to those of us who believe them to be more or less irrelevant since the Franco-Prussian War? I'm an American. We firebombed Dresden and Tokyo, then got up the next day and made breakfast. Pick another major combatant nationality anywhere on the globe, and I'll tell you a similar story.

By the standards of modern warfare, what happened today was probably weirdly humane.

beaglesss 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I wonder what modern humane outcome plays out to a tiny nation state surrounded by arabs they're engaged in these kind of hostilities with. It seems this balance depends on large imbalanced external support, which will be called into question more and more as the USA loses global grip.

juliusdavies 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It was astonishingly humane especially considering how effective it was:

1.) Communication network completely destroyed (anyone with a working pager in Lebanon has thrown it in the garbage).

2.) Most targets, while severely injured and even blinded, are still alive - I'm sure their families prefer this to them being dead.

3.) If you are an enemy of Israel, what can you even do now? You cannot assume your phones or your furniture or even your cat is safe. Any one of these things could detonate and kill or maim you at any time. And you can't trust anyone in your organization either.

I think this attack coupled with the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Ismail_Haniye... Haniyeh assassination (in the presumably safest of safe places for him) has re-established Israel and Mossad as absolutely and utterly dominant.

I deplore zionism, but that doesn't change how humane and effective and incredibly precise this attack was. Probably its humane-ness was not particularly on purpose, and was more a side-effect of the constraints they were working with (hiding explosives in a small pager while still maintaining its correct operation), but that doesn't take away from how much better this is for all the casualties compared to, for example, Hamas casualties in Gaza.

mongol 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The peace of Westfalia established state sovereignity. That is a cornerstone of international relations, and when it is breached it is usually condemned.

JumpCrisscross 2 days ago | root | parent |

> peace of Westfalia established state sovereignity. That is a cornerstone of international relations

The Westphalian treaties gave France, Sweden and later Russia the explicit right to intercede (i.e. invade) to guarantee the Imperial constitution [1]. (Westphalia was concerned with the Holy Roman Empire.)

Westphalian sovereignty is a myth [2].

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guarantor_of_the_imperial_co...

[2] https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/international-organi...

nradov 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Historically there has never been any such moral consensus in the Middle East. It's been a continuous series of wars, massacres, and terrorism going back millennia — since long before Hezbollah or the modern state of Israel even existed.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Israel's neighbors are all invited to the Eurovision, and decline to participate because Israel is involved.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

In a comment by _alphanerd_ in this subthread he points out that problematic states such as Russia, Azerbaijan, Turkey and Australia are in the Eurovision.

Maybe Israel's neighbors object to that?

Or maybe they can't find bad enough musicians to get an entry together and are afraid of losing?

bentley 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Lebanon’s objection is specifically due to Israel’s participation, according to Wikipedia:

> Lebanon has never participated in the Eurovision Song Contest. The country's broadcasting organisation, Télé Liban, was set to make the country's debut at the Eurovision Song Contest 2005 with the song "Quand tout s'enfuit" performed by Aline Lahoud, but withdrew due to Lebanese laws barring the broadcast of Israeli content.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I'm not moralizing Eurovision participation; in fact, I'm saying there's basically no signal to extract from it at all.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

According to what _Bentley_ posted it sounds as though there is a moral signal: some states that object to Israel consider it to be beneath their standards to participate in the Eurovision. This implies that those that do participate have no problem with what Israel does. That includes the Australians and the others mentioned earlier by _alphanerd_. Otherwise they too could just not participate.

alephnerd 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> Israel is in the Eurovision

So is Azerbaijan, Georgia, Russia until 2022, Turkey until 2012, and weirdly enough Australia.

saintradon a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Completely disagree. I cannot think of a more successful, large scale, targeted attack in recent memory. The engineering behind this was incredible.

jakeinspace a day ago | root | parent |

It was successful clearly, not disagreeing with that. So were Hiroshima and Nagasaki. My point was more that this is a truly significant line that has been crossed for the first time by a major military at this scale. People comparing this to isolated assassinations with booby trapped phones, or to wiretapping and other surveillance, are massively downplaying this.

zer8k a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Hezbollah already attacks civilians indiscriminately for one. Second, "won't someone think of the children" is a tired argument. Hate to be that guy - but maybe this will be a lesson on allowing these terrorists to roam your streets. Avoiding civilian death in a warzone is an impossibility. Limiting it is all you can do. Knowing that, this was an absolutely amazing job at target selection. Of all methods of target selection this is probably the most precise you can get with the exception of snipers, AGM-114-R9X, etc. The psychological damage from this attack alone is probably worth more than any other method. Hezbollah will be crippled at least temporarily and likely afraid to use any technology they don't control the supply chain for.

> which most countries shy away from because it’s so hard to defend against

This is not why. It's shied away from because it's extremely difficult to target effectively without causing mass unwanted causalities and the associated killing mechanism is considered cruel and unusual. "Being hard to defend against" is exactly something factored in with weapons. Why would I want to use a weapon that is easy to defend against? If that's the case, the US would march with clubs and bows, you know, "to make things fair".

ars 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I've seen multiple videos of the explosions, even people standing directly next to the target were not hurt.

Contrary to what you said, this is pretty much the ultimate in targeted attacks.

spidersenses 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

shihab 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah is a political org, part of the government. Many hospitals, nurses were carrying those pagers.

And, the only well-known fake child death scandal was the one fabricated by Israel aka 40 beheaded babies, babies baked in oven etc- scandals used to justify the real mass killing of over 10,000 palestinian children by now. Can you point to any well known, well-distributed "Pallywood" incident involving children?

shadowgovt 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Based on the video shared by Reuters, I'm not seeing anything that would focus the attack to the pager's carrier. Anyone standing next to the target would also risk severe injury or death.

ETA: I should perhaps clarify: focus the attack exclusively on the pager's carrier. It does appear to be modestly shaped in some way (in that we're not seeing the pagers go up in a 2-meter-radius fireball), but it's also not contained exclusively to the carrier, has no verification that the carrier is holding the device, etc. Whether one considers that "focused" is left as an exercise for the reader. Certainly more focused than a rocket; a bit less focused than poison.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hundreds of dead children would mean the devices killed 10x more child bystanders than the military personnel carrying the devices.

What focuses the attack is proximity to the owner wearing it. This is very highly selective in comparison to something like a rockets with accuracy and kill radius measured in double digit meters.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

From the vidoes I saw for example: https://x.com/DrEliDavid/status/1836037485492629605 they would have to be touching the pager to be harmed.

shadowgovt 2 days ago | root | parent |

Interestingly, we're looking at the same video. I'm seeing a person who's pocket explodes and the person standing nearest them happened to be lucky enough to not be in the direct path of the blast. I can easily see that detonation severely wounding a bystander if they'd been in the (un)lucky angle and height.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent |

They would have to be pressed up against the target - even a couple inches away they would not be harmed.

Sure, it's possible theoretically for that to happen, but as a whole, this attack is incredibly precise and targeted.

beaglesss 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I wouldn't even shoot a nail gun the opposite direction without safety glasses. People are gonna be blinded or vision impaired by the shrapnel just from happening to shop nearby someone with one of these pagers.

esalman a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> If we try to do what we are best at here at HN

People like Einstein and Oppenheimer would disagree. We are humans first and not tech workers, the best we can do is to try prevent humans tragedies unfolding everyday.

mattmaroon 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

My other thought is that these probably came from the Iranian military, and it’s quite possible the Iranian military puts explosives in them so they can remotely detonate one that falls into enemy hands. And that Isreal simply found out about this and managed to figure out how to activate that.

XorNot a day ago | root | parent |

This is reaching. How would this mechanism even work? If the enemy has control of a communications device then (1) they've had it and you didn't know for some time and (2) they already know how it works. There's no benefit to putting a self-destruct mechanism into such a thing, since if you know it's compromised then you just stop messaging it.

The self-destruct is pointless, because you can't even verify that it was successful and you have no actual technology to protect (unlike say, US military drones which self-destruct to protect technological details of their construction - and the US would still prefer to commit a mission to bombing a crash site to be sure if they can).

Basically you answer your own problem: the most likely outcome of a self-destruct mechanism is that it goes off accidentally against your own forces, or gets exploited - while it would deliver no actual benefit to you.

Which is to say: when analyzing an adversaries likely actions you don't start by assuming they're stupid or irrational (which is different from whether or not their overall goals might be stupid or irrational).

AndrewKemendo 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Militaries around the world have robust networks to infiltrate supply chains for sabotage. It’s kind of a basic part of the whole intelligence covert and clandestine operations capabilities expected of a “first world” nation.

Israel is one of the better countries at doing this undetected so, no surprises here.

acyou a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

For manufactured cells, integrated safety devices would likely preclude such a fault.

People say they have seen cells explode, but don't realize those are probably highly engineered failure modes (the cells are/need to be specifically designed not to explode).

It's why people are burned by consumer product battery fires, and die from fire, but I think death from explosion of consumer products is rarer.

loodish a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The implications of weaponising a lithium battery, which seems like what was done, are potentially really significant.

Lithium batteries are everywhere, most of them significantly larger than the one in a small pager. This includes secure environments like military/intelligence facilities and aircraft.

Proof that a lithium battery pack can be weaponised as a bomb, in a way that avoids easy detection, should be a significant concern to anyone who tries to maintain the security of those spaces.

jhaand a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Has anyone find the FCC ID or manual on the AR924 Rugged pager? CNN mentions that they sold 220,000 units world wide, including the US. And there's nothing about the thing for both FCC and CE.

humansareok1 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Having seen some of the aftermath I find it extremely hard to believe this was the result of overloading batteries. It looks like small grenades exploded in their hands. If lithium batteries can indeed explode like this I would suspect no one would ever carry one again after this. They should certainly be illegal to have on planes for example.

ChrisMarshallNY 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I suspect supply-chain attack (probably started some time ago), combined with a pager signal software hack.

I really hope that they didn't figure out a way to make unmodified kit explode, because it would only be a matter of time, before our devices were blowing up everywhere, as folks do it for the lulz.

FrameworkFred 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I agree on both points and it's worth noting the cell phone in everyone's pocket has a lot more battery in it than a pager does.

IF this was truly done to unmodified pagers, then we ALL probably need to reconsider how we use and carry our phones and what the mAh rating on our batteries implies in the context of a similar attack.

tamimio 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> they didn't figure out a way to make unmodified kit explode

I don’t think so no, just observing the aftermath of each shows that it was modified. Also, assuming it was unmodified way, it will go both ways so I doubt it.

gslepak 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> let’s focus the discussion on the technical aspects of it.

The headline chosen here is already biased: "Dozens of _Hezbollah members_ [..]"

Anyone following this closely can see that plenty other title choices could be used. There are headlines that would be credibly neutral, headlines that favor the IDF, and headlines that favor Hezbollah. HN is currently choosing to go with a non-neutral, non-technical headline for this story. Maybe we should make the headline neutral as well before telling the commenters to focus solely on the technicals?

If you don't understand what I'm referring to, look at some of the downvoted and hidden comments here.

TwentyPosts 2 days ago | root | parent |

Honestly struggling to comprehend how this one isn't neutral.

As far as we know this was a supply-chain attack specifically on military pagers actively used by Hezbollah, and (right now) it looks like most injured are in fact Hezbollah members (which makes sense, since no one else has any reason to carry such a pager). (With some sad and unfortunate exceptions.)

gslepak 18 hours ago | root | parent |

After I posted my comment the title was updated to be a little bit more neutral.

The previous headline was emphasizing a little too strongly the assumption that this attack was against Hezbollah only, and as you mention there are "exceptions", meaning, civilians and non-militants (including children) were killed and injured.

EDIT: in other words, the headline is/was written with the assumption that whoever was attacked was a member of Hezbollah, but this isn't true.

dyauspitr 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I don’t think there’s anything in a standard pager to cause an explosion large enough to injure ~3000 people. This is almost certainly an explosive added to them at some point.

more_corn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I find it extremely unlikely that this was done with the native capabilities and equipment in the devices. It would be extremely interesting if it were. A far simpler explanation would be explosives implanted en-route.

XorNot a day ago | root | parent |

The more interesting question is whether any sort of remote-detonate capability was involved, or this was just timed explosives.

If you look at something like this [1], then the obvious way to do this is to replace one of the NiMH batteries with a lithium cell providing the full output voltage, and replace the other cell with the explosive payload.

A basic timer set them off, and installation would be straightforward. You could probably even arrange this to not be distinguishable on X-Ray by playing with the structure of the explosive device so it would look like a battery.

Getting a little fancier, setting your timer up so the pager "waits for a page" by current draw (from say, the buzzer motor) would be a way to try and ensure the user was holding it near their face before it went off.

What's missing in the current reporting is whether this was simultaneous, keyed to a page, or what have you.

[1] https://store.jtech.com/jtech-guestcall-pager-nimh-battery-5...

uoaei 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There is no way an unaltered pager has enough potential to explode in any way that could be harmful using a software-based exploit. Unless somehow the BMS (even if there was one) allowed you to short the battery with software, which seems really stupid to design into such a system.

megous 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If it's basically a remotely controlled IED via a public communication network, then there's nothing technically interesting about that, really.

But the aspect of some supposedly civilized state staging a mass terror attack via a remotely controlled IEDs, putting suddenly thousands of people, many of them civilians (yes, Hezballah are also civilians, because they're a major political party in Lebanon) into hospital, killing ~10, critically infuring ~200, is way more interesting.

You can generate many questions about that aspect. Like the whole why on both strategic and tactical levels? How does this fit with the international law? Why are people kinda chill about this?

Re the response below: No proof of specific targeting of combatants, yet. No proof of any attempt to not affect bystanders, etc. Yet, there are videos of bombs exploding while people are shopping with children around, etc. Pretty much indiscriminate.

Definitely not battery burnings: https://t.me/hamza20300/293409 these are the scale/type of injuries that this caused. (Two children there just in this single scene in one hospital, so beware.)

baltimore 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

No, a mass terror attack would indiscriminately target victims. This is almost entirely opposite -- an organization widely recognized as a terrorist group (1) is narrowly targeted.

(1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_designated_terrorist_g...

ithkuil 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Also because one would have to weigh the alternative.

Imagine Israel declared an old fashioned war against Lebanon as response to the missile strikes originated from its territory.

I think the number of civilian casualties of a conventional "legal" war would be much much higher than the collateral damage of this operation.

Now, does that make it "right"? To me war is horror and is to avoid at all cost. Is a smaller horror a cost one's willing to pay to avoid a bigger horror? Hard to say. But I think it's still important to at least try to see things in a broader context otherwise we may never understand why people on the ground make the choices they do.

wing-_-nuts 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

>Hezballah are also civilians, because they're a major political party in Lebanon

That's an interesting take. Are you saying hamas are also civilians because they're the major political party in gaza?

ChocolateGod 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I would argue that Hamas has gone from being an organised terrorist group to being an idea.

Gaza has a very young population growing up with the current war, some (not all) will be radicalized by what they experienced growing up.

solarpunk 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

hamas is the governing body of gaza, so any government workers would technically be hamas.

don't confuse post office workers for military personnel just cuz they work for the government.

NelsonMinar 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I wonder what Israel did to ensure that only legitimate targets were harmed by the sabotaged pagers.

rdtsc 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Would we be surprised if the answer is “nothing”.

Of course we can read anything we want from the silence, as it’s unlike we’re getting any details about it. Anything in the range of “of course they did, we’re talking about a civilized country” to “of course they didn’t, how could they”.

swarnie 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

astrange 2 days ago | root | parent |

Iraq War deaths are actually kind of lower than you'd expect them to be. Low enough if that if you want to score him, GWB is net positive because of PEPFAR. It's so good it saved many more lives than even two pointless wars lost.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

These pagers were distributed only to Hezbollah members, these were not just standard pagers anyone could buy.

NelsonMinar 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Do you have a reference for that? And does it explain how Israel's assassins were sure none of the pagers weren't resold, nor given away, nor that someone's kid was playing with it?

seo-speedwagon 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Hezbollah also has a massive social services wing, operating hospitals, schools, etc. I'd keep that in mind when hitching my wagon to this line of thinking.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent |

Those people aren't getting a secure one-way pager giving them secret messages.

They use a standard phone.

seo-speedwagon 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Nothing in the linked article backs up the implication that only members of Helbollah’s militant wing had these.

It did, however, mention that an 8 year old girl was killed by one of them. Which is a foreseeable consequence of widely distributing a bunch of bombs and then detonating them without regard for who’s nearby.

wut42 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Some sources are saying that some medics have been victims. Pagers are apparently a very useful resource for emergencies/medics (see motorola website).

The pagers were not secure at all also.

sureglymop 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Even though I personally doubt this statement, care to explain how that would possibly be enough? If an explosion happens, everyone in range is hit.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

"Enough" to meet what criteria? A couple foot blast on handheld device on a military personnel is brain surgery in comparison to typical rockets with accuracy and blast radii measured in double digit meters

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Hezbollah operates a parallel telecommunications network. They are not a terrorist group so much as the de facto government of Lebanon and a parallel armed forces. It is unlikely that anyone unaffiliated with Hezbollah could have used these pagers.

jknoepfler 2 days ago | root | parent |

like I don't know, someone's spouse or child? Someone standing next to the thing when it's sitting on a night stand?

jandrewrogers 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Small charges (measured in grams) are extremely local and typically highly directional. They have a distinctive signature that is in evidence here. It isn't like a giant bomb going off.

jknoepfler 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

you realize they exploded, right? potentially as someone's child was nearby. or playing with it. or in the middle of a grocery story.

curiousgal 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

shadowgovt 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

A bunch of explosives strapped to pagers wouldn't have succeeded in the way this attack did; it'd have been way too obvious. It'll be interesting to find out (if we ever do) how they modified the pagers to hide the payload.

IncreasePosts 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Was this pager attack worse than October 7th?

lawlessone 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

October 7th was obviously far worse. But I don't think people would agree that police should stoop to same levels of criminals.

It wouldn't be considered a success if police stopped a bank robbery by killing bystanders.

hello_computer 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

batch12 2 days ago | root | parent |

Understanding how the attack was carried out is the first step to identifying the vulnerability/risk/threat so it can be prevented. You don't have to be an expert or defer to experts in everything to be allowed to talk about it.

hello_computer 2 days ago | root | parent |

It’s not quantum mechanics. They put bombs inside pagers and pressed a button.

batch12 2 days ago | root | parent |

I must have missed the comment related to quantum mechanics. If not, you're twisting the conversation. The discussion I've seen so far has been to speculate whether someone put bombs inside pagers or if stock devices were manipulated to make them explode. The comment I replied to implied that only "expert killers" should be having this discussion, whatever that means.

Edit: The reason the difference is worth discussion is because one is a targeted supply chain attack and the other is a vulnerability that could be exploited to cause even more harm.

limit499karma 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

almogo 2 days ago | root | parent |

The pagers were carried specifically by Hezbollah operatives. You can't be both an innocent member of the general public and an operative of a paramilitary org at the same time.

colordrops 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

So you are saying that if hezbollah exploded weapons on off-duty military walking around in malls and hospitals in the US it would not be terrorism? Because that's exactly what happened here.

limit499karma 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

__alexs 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It seems somewhat plausible that Israel somehow managed to sabotage a pallet of pagers they knew were going to be distributed to people involved terrorism. If so the number of bystanders injured might be relatively low and the number of legitimate targets injured or killed could be quite high.

Having said that it also seems quite plausible that Israel just knew that some particular brand of pagers in some region of Lebanon was used by their targets, and so they just sabotaged thousands of them in the vague hope that they would get a hit.

I suspect we will never get enough info about how this attack was carried out to know.

bluescrn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Seems much more precisely targeted than rocket attacks.

__alexs 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

We know absolutely zero about how the pagers were distributed.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

aguaviva 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Prejudice, no. It is entirely reasonable to suspect that Israel is the likely culprit behind this. Everything from the attack vector to the intentional disregard for massive civilian casualties would seem to showcase its signature style, in fact.

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I would wait for confirmation on even those things before placing any trust on it. There is a lot of noise and misreporting at the start of a story like this because all parties involved want to set a political agenda which is convenient. The truth will never be 100% established but will be somewhere between both polarised stories.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

I'd go further than that: the truth may be completely outside of the poles established by the stories concocted by involved parties.

AdmiralAsshat 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

dredmorbius 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I'm among those who often despairs that HN cannot address trenchant political issues, or aspects of stories. I really wish it could do better.

That said, if you do want to discuss those issues, the best way is to do so with an extreme awareness of HN's comment guidelines and provide a highly constructive example for others to follow. Complaining about others generally doesn't have that effect. Responding to complaints of others, even constructively, is at best marginally effective as well, of course.

I'll be the first to admit that the politics of the Middle East is exceedingly complex, most hats are at best grey, and I find myself often critical, occasionally impressed and supportive of, various parties.

One factor which might help is distinguishing direct beligerants and forces (regular or irregular) and political factions on the one hand from the civilian populations at large on the other (both sides face a high degree of risk, whether as collateral damage or as direct targets).

I'd also strongly urge all to downvote and flag clear agitation and of course nationalistic flamewars, as dang so very often admonishes: <https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu...>.

DrSiemer 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Yes, we would have referred them to the proper channels to discuss the morals and ethics of it all. Those subjects inevitably lead to bitter arguments. Keeping politics out is the only way to keep this platform sane.

arp242 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Just deal with the people who completely lose their shit on topics such as these.

Injecting copious amounts of vitriol is exactly how you can make people shut up about the entire thing.

tdeck 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

When I think of sane people, I don't think of people who ignore the moral and ethical implications of thousands of deaths.

throw10920 a day ago | root | parent |

Nobody is ignoring anything - this is just the wrong place for discussion. The HN guidelines (https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html) clearly state that politics and flamewars are off-topic, and that HN is for intellectual curiosity. Moral outrage and ideological warfare are categorically inappropriate for HN.

As the poster correctly points out, "Keeping politics out is the only way to keep this platform sane." - these guidelines are why HN hasn't degenerated into Reddit.

If you can't respect the guidelines, you shouldn't comment.

mmastrac 2 days ago | prev | next |

That's an impressive supply-chain hack. Spend years showing how insecure modern telecom devices are and scare your enemy into going old-school, receive-only. Set up a shell company to sell pagers to your enemy's shell company. Give them devices implanted with a small explosive charge pointed inward, knowing they will be worn around the waist most of the time.

Hack the backend server, send a coordinated page to all the pagers at the same time. You've just injured and identified most of your enemies, incapacitated them, completely broken their communication network and effectively given you weeks of disarray to do whatever you want to further disrupt them.

You have to hand it to them -- it's a clever strategy with minimal casualties outside of your enemy. This is a Stuxnet-level hack that we'll probably never fully understand.

captainkrtek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> You have to hand it to them -- it's a clever strategy with minimal casualties outside of your enemy

I agree it’s clever, but there are reports now of thousands wounded. Feels like a lot of collateral risk, if these people who were targeted were out and about (grocery shopping, bank, etc.)

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I have no doubt that innocent civilians have been injured. But it's also worth noting that there are thousands of Hezbollah members, so the number alone doesn't necessarily tell us much about the number of civilians injured. (Similar to the casualty figures that come out of Gaza.)

I hate the idea of any innocent civilian being injured. But it might also be instructive to consider the alternative: if Israel wanted to achieve similar results via a conventional war against Hezbollah, it seems virtually guaranteed that far more innocent people would have been injured and killed—not to mention the Israeli civilians on the other side, whose lives also matter.

random_upvoter 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> if Israel wanted to achieve similar results via a conventional war against Hezbollah, it seems virtually guaranteed that far more innocent people would have been injured and killed

"It's OK that Israel causes excessive amounts of civilian casualties, because in the alternative scenario Israel would also cause excessive amounts of civilian casualties"

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I don't find it very persuasive to simply assume that the casualties are "excessive." Whether they are actually excessive is really the whole issue. As of right now, there is no strong evidence that I'm aware of that the injuries from today's attack are "excessive" much less those of a different purely hypothetical attack.

And even then: to judge whether casualties are excessive requires an understanding of the goal to be achieved, which is almost completely absent from this discussion.

digging a day ago | root | parent | next |

I think the problem many people have is that Israel's goals entirely revolve around killing people.

That is: If your goal is to murder someone, and you accidentally kill an innocent bystander in committing that murder, the number of civilians killed is infinitely too high. The number of acceptable total deaths is 0.

I understand this is idealistic. But it's the judgement many will choose to make. For the record, no I don't only think it's bad when Israel murders people.

pdabbadabba a day ago | root | parent | next |

I don’t understand. It seems clear enough to me that Israel’s goal is to prevent Hezbollah from continuing to launch rockets at Israeli towns in the north. Killing is a means to that end. One may disagree with that choice of means, but I don’t see how you can claim that “Israel’s goals entirely revolve around killing people.”

That being said, you might think that killing is never an appropriate means of achieving anything. If so, fair enough. But I think that’s a tough position to maintain when you are actively under attack.

lukan 20 hours ago | root | parent | next |

"Israels goal"

I think Israel consists of quite different people with different goals.

Some of them have the goal, to own all of the land, because they believe it is their religious duty - and some of them are indeed part of the government.

And some of them just want to live in peace.

And on the other side it seems quite similar to me. Probably with a higher percentage of ruthless killers, but desperation tend to make people ruthless.

It really isn't a simple conflict that can be solved with more killing, unless we are talking about genocidal levels of killings.

digging 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> It seems clear enough to me that Israel’s goal is to prevent Hezbollah from continuing to launch rockets at Israeli towns in the north. Killing is a means to that end. One may disagree with that choice of means, but I don’t see how you can claim that “Israel’s goals entirely revolve around killing people.”

Well, let me start with the necessary disclaimer: First, I'm not an expert on geopolitics or Israel or the ME. That's probably obvious. It could be that my coarse understanding is just completely wrong, but I think it's a broadly correct picture which is lacking lots of detail.

I also don't know much about the conflict with Hezbollah specifically, but what I see from Israel tells me that the prevention of rocket smay not be their top goal. I also believe that even if it is, killing is a means that I disagree with!

The rhetoric I hear about Hamas (not Hezbollah, so it may be different there, but I suspect it's not substantially so) from the Netanyahu administration is about murder. Protecting Israelis is a means to an end; the end goal is to kill every single member of Hamas (and, reading between the lines, the expulsion of all Palestinians). It's widely reported that many Israelis openly feel Netanyahu is not making meaningful efforts to recover hostages, and I've also understood that significant lapses in Israeli security were what made the Oct 7 attack last year possible. Meanwhile, some of the things Netanyahu says about Hamas and Palestine sounds genocidal, frankly.

Again, could be wrong about all that. Every word on the subject is biased in one way or another. Additionally, I know very little of the situation with Hezbollah, so I'm extrapolating: The prioritization of murder over safety that I see in the war with Hamas demonstrates to me that Israel is not making choices in the utmost interest of safety, generally, if the murder of its enemies is on the table.

Of course, I'll also reiterate that even if all of the above is wrong, their means are unacceptable to me: I don't believe one of the most powerful nations on the planet needs to murder its impoverished neighbors to keep itself safe. It's much easier than diplomatic and nonlethal approaches, yes; but I don't think it's necessary.

pdabbadabba 17 hours ago | root | parent |

Thanks for the thorough explanation. I think there are two things worth adding to your picture that distinguish Hezbollah from Hamas.

The first is that about 60,000 Israelis are currently displaced because they lived in a zone that Hezbollah is targeting with rocket attacks. (Which, FWIW, appear to intentionally target civilians.) Many of them have been living in hotels for nearly a year. Just yesterday, the Israeli cabinet updated its official war goals to include allowing residents to return to their homes in the north. What I hear is that this is now an issue roughly on par with returning the hostages from Gaza in terms of its salience within Israel.

The second is that Hezbollah is far more powerful than Hamas ever was. Unlike Hamas, I think Israel must recognize that elimination of Hezbollah is not a realistic aim.

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | prev |

At some point you have to ignore these perspectives because they are wrong. Look into the founding of Hezbollah. It isn't a secret, their stated goals is to expulse Jews. It cannot get much more plain as that.

The positions in this war are not equal.

digging 20 hours ago | root | parent |

> The positions in this war are not equal.

Yeah, that's exactly what I'm saying. Israel is one of the most powerful nations on Earth, Hezbollah is not even close. I don't think genocide is an appropriate response to the hatred of a much, much weaker enemy.

raxxorraxor 14 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah is a militia and has more manpower and equipment than the Lebanese army. They get high tech supplies from allies like Iran and they have more military power than a lot of the surrounding countries, who also fear them for that reason.

They aren't a civilian force and they are a serious military threat, especially with the backing of Iran.

pdabbadabba 13 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> I don't think genocide is an appropriate response to the hatred of a much, much weaker enemy.

I'd challenge you to provide a reasonable argument that Israel is committing genocide in Lebanon.

ekanes 18 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Genocide is a term generally related to civilians. Hezbollah has been designated a terrorist organization by the USA.

RIMR 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent |

The right number? Zero. An acceptable number to help stop Hezbollah from routinely firing rockets at your northern towns and villages? That’s a harder question. Unfortunately, the hard question is the one that’s relevant.

ineedasername 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Why isn't it better to cause fewer civilian casualties &/or those of lesser severity than a shooting fight or missile attack?[1] Given the situation has already degenerated to its current state where fighting is the status quo and all options lead to innocent casualties then minimizing those is the horrible "OK" option. Not okay in the sense of desirable, not okay in the sense that things should never have degenerate to this level to begin with, only okay as the less horrible option.

[1] Videos show the explosions highly limited in their ability to cause injuries as bad as a bullet to anyone ever a foot or two away from the explosions, much less than I would expect from anything more conventional.

energy123 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Israel isn't causing any civilian casualties in South Lebanon. Hezbollah declaring war on Israel by firing rockets onto civilian areas since the 8th of October caused them.

Beefin 8 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

my family was evacuated due to incessant rocket fire in the golan heights, hezzbollah has been firing indiscriminately since 10/8 do you have any alternative?

dmitrygr 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

snapcaster 2 days ago | root | parent |

"Its war on terrorists" sure. by framing what's happening in that way you've already excused away most of the things people are upset about

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I agree that the framing is tendentious (though not necessarily false). But I don't think much actually hinges on that. The point is still worth considering even if it's just a "war" rather than "war on terrorists." The linked article is a study on wars in general, not just wars "on terror."

beaglesss 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent |

> Who cares what is right or wrong

Kind of an odd thing to say in a conversation with a bunch of other people who clearly care what is right and wrong.

> 400 years ago you'd have owned slaves and not think twice about it.

An oversimplification, to say the least! This is only even a little bit true if we limit ourselves to the small number of nations with chattel slavery (but why would we do that?), and actually not even true of Americans, many of whom were opposed to slavery even 400 years ago.

beaglesss 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent |

It seems like you're making a big, unjustified leap from: "people don't always do the right thing" to "right and wrong don't matter and are not worth discussing."

Edit: OK, I'll unpack: your points about Foxconn and modern-day slavery don't seem to establish anything other than that people don't always act according to their moral judgments. But that doesn't demonstrate that right or wrong don't matter and are not worth being discussed. (Or, in your words: "Who cares what is right or wrong?") For one thing, moral judgments could have attenuated, but still significant, effect on peoples' behavior. Or, it could be worth discussing for reasons other than its effect on peoples behavior.

I hoped it would be understood that the quotation marks aren't intended to be interpreted as literally quoting your statements but, rather, are just a way of referring to two different propositions, the first of which is the one actually supported by the evidence that you cite and the latter of which seems to be the one you're espousing.

beaglesss 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent |

If I've misunderstood your argument here, please feel free to explain how. I certainly don't intend to straw-man anything. But if you'd rather do something else with your brief precious time on earth besides arguing with a stranger on the internet, I respect that decision!

cpill a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I guess the real advantage for Israel here is that they attack in a country they are not at war with without starting a war with that country.

BurningFrog a day ago | root | parent |

Israel is definitely at war with Hezbollah.

Hezbollah is of course not a country (though they're a proxy for Iran), but they occupy parts of Lebanon, so you can't attack them without attacking Lebanon.

fshbbdssbbgdd a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I wonder if people are unaware that Hezbollah and Israel have been shooting rockets at each other for months. There are roughly 1000 deaths in the conflict and hundreds of thousands of civilians evacuated. If we’re talking about harms to civilians, this incident is probably small compared to the war overall.

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

These are Hezbollah pagers and Hezbollah only exists to terrorize Israel and it is their sole purpose. Of course there is still a danger of collateral risk, but I don't think it can get much more targeted.

sa-mao a day ago | root | parent |

"Hezbollah only exists to terrorise Israel and it is their sole purpose." This is a very curious take, what makes you think a group of hundreds of thousands of people, investing so much time, efforts and resources, exposing themselves and their loved ones to fatal risks just to terrorise Israel?

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | next |

Eh, the history isn't a secret and the reason is that they are religious fundamentalists:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hezbollah

> According to Hezbollah's Deputy-General, Naim Qassem, the struggle against Israel is a core belief of Hezbollah and the central rationale of Hezbollah's existence.

I tend to believe their own statement on this matter. Where do you see wiggle room for another argument? Or even to find the argument "curious"? What is curious about it?

paulcole a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Only on HN, “This is curious. Why would people do an irrational thing similar to the irrational things that people have done for the entirety of human existence?”

A mystery indeed.

ignoramous 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Looks like Lebanese civilians have indeed been injured/maimed; but it appears cool to some since it is an "impressive supply-chain hack", so let's leave it at that and not call it terrorism.

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

You could've labeled it terrorism had Lebanon and Israel weren't at war with each other over the past 12 months, and had the people carrying those devices were random uninvolved civilians.

If you were to consider the fact that Hezbollah has been shelling Israeli cities and civilians on a daily basis for the past 12 months (killing many, also children, and driving hundreds of thousands of people out of their homes), with the UN peacekeeping force failing to keep Hezbollah north of the Litani river - then perhaps you would understand that this is likely as close as you can get to a "precision strike" on an enemy you're at war with.

This may in-fact be the most precise military strike on an enemy paramilitary group in the history of modern warfare.

You either have a very unrealistic idea of what a war actually looks like (0% civilians casualties or injuries), or an agenda.

captainkrtek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The unfortunate thing is that regardless of politics, this will be seen as further escalation that ratchets up the risk of greater regional conflict. All wars eventually end, its just a question of how long, and how much death (both militarily and civilian) will be endured by everyone in the region. I hope there are diplomatic possibilities to de-escalate, but it seems those windows are closing.

coding123 a day ago | root | parent |

I don't know - it would seem that the wars there don't end, it's just continuous with intermittent slow downs.

ignoramous 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Let's just say, I don't believe war is a cover for terrorism against any peoples, be it in the West or East, Arab or Caucasian.

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Fair enough, and thanks for being open about this. With this in mind, all I can say is that your original comment is based on 100% emotion and 0% analysis and rationality.

mistermann 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent |

I certainly agree that war, as experienced by humans on all sides of a conflict, is a form of terror.

That's a simple emotional argument that everybody can relate to.

It doesn't touch on the realities of war, especially a war that was forced on one side by another (which is the case here, with Hezbollah willingly deciding to shell and bomb Israel on a daily basis for the past 12 months, despite Israel not waging any war on Lebanon).

What are you so fascinated with here, exactly?

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Do you think that any military action with civilian impact constitutes terrorism?

no war has ever been waged without collateral damage.

dnakqozkfnrjq 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent |

> It’s a mistake not to acknowledge civilian casualties, and not to feel sorrow and even anger.

I agree with you 100%, it's important to acknowledge civilian casualties. Many uninvolved Lebanese people don't want a war with Israel, and they don't deserve any of this. I truly feel very sorry for those people and I wish they would never have had to go through this.

But at the same time, we can't let emotions alone dictate everything.

There's a murderous paramilitary death cult operating from within the Lebanese territory that uses Lebanon for all its territory and resources to kill as many Jewish people (and non-Jews, as demonstrated recently with the missile attack that killed 10 Druze children in a football game) as possible and erase Israel. They don't care about your feelings, or who their victims are. They'll gladly kidnap and murder civilians, children, elderly - as long as they are an Israeli. It's truly tragic, but there really aren't too many ways out of this.

jajko 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Terrorism definition is independent of whether there is ongoing war or not, lets not divert the subject with simple whataboutism.

We all know what happened, on both sides, including deaths of tens of thousands of civilians including thousands of palestinian children who did fuck nothing to anybody, just were born at bad place at bad time.

What would be enough kill ratio israeli : palestinian civilian, or even better israeli civilian : palestinian kid/baby that would satiate Israeli government to stop the war? Very conservative estimates put deaths of direct US invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq to around 500k, meaning its 500:3 ratio and factual defeat of US army to withdraw and cut losses. So thats the threshold of civilized western world? Israel already surpassed that long time ago.

They can't and won't win with Hamas and they know it, its exactly same situation as Taliban, ISIS etc. Regroup, strike back, stronger, smarter, better equipped, more motivated. Spiral of death can go on and on till there is nobody standing on neither side.

If I had to choose where the next nuclear detonation happens it would be for me 50:50 Ukraine : Israel, and this is how you get there.

shihab 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

do you realize that nurses in hospital, civil servants workers are among people carrying this device? That not all, not even majority of Hizbollah personnel have no military responsibility whatsoever?

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

There's absolutely no reason for uninvolved, random and peaceful civilians to be carrying a classified wartime-ready pager issued by a paramilitary terrorist organization. If you were carrying the device you're either Hezbollah, or cooperating with them - which makes you a legitimate military target.

Israel has given Lebanon and Hezbollah enough ultimatums to stop the aggressions. This is what happens when diplomacy fails.

koolba 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> If you were carrying the device you're either Hezbollah, or cooperating with them - which makes you a legitimate military target.

Or you were standing in line next to a guy holding one while waiting to buy groceries. It’s clearly indiscriminate to the collateral damage.

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

But we already have videos of people standing in very close proximity to the devices being detonated - and not getting hurt. In-fact, many of the people carrying the device in their pockets ended up not sustaining life-threatening injuries.

I'm not saying civilians weren't hurt by this. But I'm also saying that no war has 0% civilian casualties. Those two countries are at war with each other.

eastbound 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I like your lack of proportions.

This war is about Hezbollah and Hamas shelling civilians in Israel. Like hundreds of rockets per night. If, to stop that, it may harm a few civilians who are waiting next to Hezbollah members,

…you would let people keep shelling civilians by hundreds and hundreds of rockets?

How do you choose your actions, do you always support the guys who cause the maximum deaths? How does it work, “indiscriminate damage” is as soon as a person is inconvenienced while they were holding Hezbollah’s grocery bags? Shouldn’t they … distance themselves?

Pun unintended. But it’s a very good question. Shouldn’t they distance themselves from active murderers?

beaglesss 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This won't do anything meaningful to reduce civilian deaths. Less than 0.1% of Lebanon injured, and 10x that number now even more enraged. Not meaningfully repeatable either, won't create significant attrition

Stoking the flames of death is all.

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This sends a message to Hezbollah and Lebanon. "Last chance to turn around". After 12 months of back-and-forth, and all attempts at diplomacy failing.

Beirut can end up just like Gaza, but Israel has been restraining itself. Not for much longer.

tmnvix 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Israel has been restraining itself. Not for much longer.

If this is what a restrained Israel looks like, the god help us all.

drawkward 16 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Gaza is not restraint. This pager operation proves that. Gaza is genocide.

eastbound 6 hours ago | root | parent |

No, Gaza is only military deaths. Here’s why.

Nelson Mandela is the person to listen to. They should have learnt to forgive.

In reality, they followed the hate path, refusing forgiveness. They taught hate at school. They taught children of 5 years old to use weapons. It’s no surprise that the UNRWA was full of soldiers, all Palestinians seem to be moonlighting as soldiers. Western people who support them do never talk about how they should learn peace and quit attacking their bigger brother, indeed.

They were born so much full of hate that even Egypt refuses to host the refugee population of Palestine, they brew in it. They only know how to fight. They have no will to become good workers. The 7,000 rockets thrown on Israel were welcomed by cries of joy on the Palestinian side. Those people also celebrated 9/11, 7th of October and many other attacks. Last time they had a state and were granted the right to vote, they voted Hamas (and Fatah is not better), which makes the population de facto endorse the actions of the Hamas.

They did not commit to peace with their neighbor. They even committed to war “by all means necessary”.

Therefore, not a single civilian was killed in Gaza.

ineedasername a day ago | root | parent | prev |

The massive disruption of Hezbollah's communication network may cripple them enough to shorten the duration of the conflict, and possibly help turn public sentiment from Lebonese civilians into pressure to find a way to end things. The civilians are the people who on average do not feel strongly enough to fight, and may have large number pissed that a group-- even if they believe in its cause-- has brought violence to their communities through a surprise attack against a more powerful enemy. More than half of the Lebonese population believe there is no military solution to the overall dispute: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/shadow-h...

koolba 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> …you would let people keep shelling civilians by hundreds and hundreds of rockets?

I said no such thing though do find it interesting that any questioning of the methods used by one party is interpreted as blanket acceptance of all methods used by the other.

> Pun unintended. But it’s a very good question. Shouldn’t they distance themselves from active murderers?

How could they possibly know? I’ve never been in line for a sandwich and thought to ask if the person in front of me might spontaneously explode.

s1artibartfast 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

If they were truly indiscriminate and and indifferent to collateral damage, there are far easier and more effective ways to kill a few dozen people in Lebanon.

The whole complex and contrived attack speaks of tying to minimize collateral damage.

makomk a day ago | root | parent | prev |

All available evidence suggests there's nothing "classified" or "wartime ready" about these - they were your basic, cheap, totally unencrypted POCSAG/Flex pager. The same as any other pager carried by doctors and all the other people who use them - aside from the hidden explosives, of course.

kcplate a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I doubt that was the case for these specifically hacked and weaponized devices. The operation appears to be ingenious and precisely layered in design. It very specifically targeted a group of people who were first convinced to ditch their mobile devices because they were hackable by Israel. Then the target group was provided the weaponized devices. They were bulk triggered at a specific moment of time. The weaponized device (while certainly lethal in some cases) was seemingly designed to maim and minimize damage beyond the person holding the device. And… perhaps most importantly, they were expected to be kept in a front pocket increasing the likelihood of physically emasculating the target group. It’s the ultimate “you don’t want to fuck with us”.

Its disturbing as hell…but brilliant.

ericmcer 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Violence has been probably the biggest driver of innovation for us as a species. I would categorize thousands of weapons as "cool" viewed dispassionately. Aircraft carriers, Fighter Jets, Cruise missiles. They are all definitely cool when viewed from afar.

ridiculous_leke 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

By that reasoning even Churchill is a terrorist.

cassepipe 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Which they would probably agree to. Purists do not care for practical matters such arbitrating what would be the best course of action in order to have the less casualties because for them the only acceptable number of casualties is zero because any war and casualty is immoral.

I have sympathy for this kind of reasoning because it's been mine for a long time. There is something important for the preservation of the self in refusing all kinds of wrong in the world. The problem is that by refusing to engage with the world, they can affect nothing (and probably accept that, everybody should just stop being immoral, that's easy in their mind)

Arubis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

If you include his treatment of subjects of the British Raj, there’s plenty of folks that will agree with that labeling.

koolba 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Hack the backend server, send a coordinated page to all the pagers at the same time.

You likely don’t even need to hack anything if you coordinate based on time. A built in clock would eliminate the need for any external signal and work in a, no pun intended, dead zone.

If the pager itself is hacked, the software could also pretend to receive a page a moment before detonation to maximize the chance the device is held with the receiver in the open.

make3 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

if you physically control the pager I don't even think it's called hacking anymore. you can change the hardware and software willy nilly. put an extra SIM that you control in there, and call it. put a radio receiver. a timer. heck, a dog whistle audio detector, you blow it and they blow up. infinite possibilities.

blantonl 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Pagers don't have SIMs, they are simply programmed with a "Cap Code" which is basically the address of the pager.

Pagers can be programmed with multiple cap codes, and can function differently based on which cap code address receives a message. For instance, a single cap code could be programmed to just vibrate the pager, vs an audible alert.

Pagers are sent out via very high power distributed transmitters as one way transmissions simulcasted transmissions.

The format is typically:

[CAP CODE] - Message

That's literally it.

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I mean they probably did hack to some degree the default software/hardware in the pager to get it to do something nonstandard. I doubt they have access to the full source code and build stack of the OG pager, so even just modifying the software running on it to do something different is indeed a hack.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

It wasn't time based. Videos show the pager making some kind of signal or message that caused the person holding it to look at it.

anigbrowl 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

That doesn't follow. You could have a timer that causes the pager to vibrate as if it had received a message or an alarm had rung. That would make the attack simpler, in that one wouldn't also have to compromise (or risk leaving traces in) the phone system to activate thousands of pagers.

blantonl 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Pagers just simply have an address (called a Cap Code) to receive messages. It's like a mailbox number. A pager can be programmed with usually up to 4 Cap Codes at a time.

If I was speculating on what happened, I would bet that the pager had 3 Cap Code addresses programmed, the mailbox cap code the owner of the pager expected to have for receiving messages, a cap code that was the same programmed in all the pagers to that functioned normally to received messages, and then the 3rd cap code programmed in all the pagers that when receiving a specific message triggered the explosive.

The folks responsible simply sent a message to the 2nd cap code to get all the pagers to go off, presumably to get the targets to get the pagers out and look at them, and then immediately the trigger message next to the 3rd cap code to detonate the explosive.

rocqua 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I'd imagine a backup timer, with the ability to trigger early if required for strategic or tactical purposes.

I almost surprised this wasn't coordinated with (or saved for) an incursion into Libanon. That seems to be something Israel wants to do, and this would be a great way to disrupt the defense at the most critical moment.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

A timer is too risky. The was done months in advance - what if the war was over?

I think this was meant for intelligence gathering - now that they know who the important operatives are, you go backwards using video and see where they went and who they talked to.

throwaway81523 a day ago | root | parent |

Seems easier to install a transmitter and GPS in the supposedly receive-only device. Then it could actually track people and show where they had been. It could store up readings and only transmit while the device was in motion at around walking speed, with signal strength above Y. That means the person was probably outdoors and moving, thus probably ot being swept by bug detectors. Well maybe not any more, now that everyone is thinking that way ;).

koolba 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I’m saying even that could be time based to ensure it does not depend on the signal being received. Just pretend you got a message and add a delay of a couple seconds.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent |

It could be, but it would be very risky. These pagers would have been distributed months in advance. How could you possibly know the perfect time to set them off?

And since pagers are already receiving remote messages, it doesn't make sense to do it any other way.

superxpro12 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

FWIW, AP is reporting over 2800 injured, 200 seriously, with only 8 dead.

aksss 2 days ago | root | parent |

Seeing some video from one of the hospitals, there's a lot of variety to the injuries. It looks like some people were looking at the pager when it exploded (injury to face and hand), some were wearing it on hip, some in pocket, some probably in an across-the-chest fanny pack.

It would seem this attack has managed to kill some, maim many, tag all, terrorize, and disrupt.

bigtoe416 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The shell company isn't a strict requirement, and I'd wager less likely. Infiltrating the delivery process would be easier and would instead require knowing about the pager purchase and being able to swap the actual package for an alternative package. Theoretically all of this is possible with some data interception to discover the pager order, a team to construct the exploding pagers, a person to deliver the exploding pagers, and a person to intercept the actual pagers (which could be the same person delivering the exploding pagers).

jnmandal 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Hack the backend server, send a coordinated page to all the pagers at the same time.

I worked on these before and I don't think you'd need to hack anything at all to send a page. Its just a broadcast. Especially if you had access to the receiver as they seem to have had, I can't imagine they compromised the actual Hezbollah transmission tower.

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yeah I mean it's basically just like mass-sending a spam text, no? All they need to know is the phone numbers of the pagers. Or even just the number range from which the pager numbers were assigned, and then spam the entire range. Spammers have simple enough software that can do all this; it doesn't seem like a sticking point for Mossad.

Crosseye_Jack 21 hours ago | root | parent |

It Depends... Sure you could spam the pager system triggering them one by one, but because how pagers work you could trigger them all at the same time.

Pagers are basically just a receiver of a One-to-Many network. A pager will receive all pages being broadcast as they are "listen only" devices. As the pagers don't talk back to the service provider the SP doesn't know which transmitter to use, so the SP will broadcast the pages out across their whole network. The circuity/software of the pager will then filter out only the messages intended for that pager out of all the pages it receives. To reach pagers out of range/switched off the SP would just repeat the page for a period of time.

(note: for message privacy you can add encryption to the message but back in the day that didn't happen, and you could just pull clear text out of the air.)

This "receiver only" style of device allowed pagers to be low power and would run for a very long time on a single AAA battery (or even on a watch battery, because they built a pager into a watch! The Timex Beepwear... Oh I so wanted one as a kid!). But it has the benefit that because they are one-way/"listen only" you can't track them because they are not communicating back to the mothership! It would be like trying to track an AM/FM radio in a car.

If you are adding an "add-on board" to the device, you could tap the receiver of the pager and do your own decoding of the pages. So you could have the add-on board trigger on a "certain message for this pager only" but you could also trigger on "a certain message sent to pager serial 1234567890".

If you knew the phone number assigned to the pager with the serial 1234567890 (because you just so happened to have paid for service for that pager by what ever clandestine means you wanted) you could trigger them all with a single phone call from a public phone or a disposable cell phone to a pager not even associated to the target group of devices.

EDIT: Just a note to say 2 way pagers do exist, this type of pager allows the pager to confirm receipt of a page and even send their own pages to other pagers, but I would suspect that the type of pager being used in this case is the one-way type pager because its reported they were using them because they are harder to track.

nashashmi 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I dont think you have to hand it to them. I just think that they have to know who the people are. And a code has to be uploaded to the pagers that cause the explosion.

There have been several presentations on this before. It was for old cell phones.

RcouF1uZ4gsC 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

>You've just injured and identified most of your enemies, incapacitated them, completely broken their communication network and effectively given you weeks of disarray to do whatever you want to further disrupt them.

And affected their recruitment. Because of how pagers are worn, a significant number of injuries are going to be genital injuries.

Given, that your primary recruits are young men, that is important.

In that demographic, the young men may actually fear non-lethal genital injuries more than they actually fear death.

tootie 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> minimal casualties

We'll see about that. Some of the footage indicates the targets were all just out and about in public. I think it's likely there will be collateral damage. I assume it didn't happen since it's not being reported, but what if one of them was on a plane?

aqme28 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> minimal casualties outside of your enemy.

"Thousands injured." I'm not convinced it was as super-targeted as you claim.

pdabbadabba 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

FWIW, Hezbollah has thousands of members.

From Wikipedia [1]:

> Hezbollah does not reveal its armed strength. The Dubai-based Gulf Research Centre estimated in 2006 that Hezbollah's armed wing comprises 1,000 full-time Hezbollah members, along with a further 6,000–10,000 volunteers.[200] According to the Iranian Fars News Agency, Hezbollah has up to 65,000 fighters.[201] In October 2023, Al Jazeera cited Hezbollah expert Nicholas Blanford as estimating that Hezbollah has at least 60,000 fighters, including full-time and reservists, and that it had increased its stockpile of missiles from 14,000 in 2006 to about 150,000.

And this is just the armed portion.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hezbollah

cryptonector a day ago | root | parent |

Israel probably knows from the number of pagers ordered (and probably from spying on their pages' contents, since if you're going to mount this sophisticated a supply-chain attack to plant bombs in a device, you might as well also plant spyware) just how many active members Hezbollah has [or had, since many of them are now inactive members].

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

You underestimate how many members Hezbollah has, and also, how unreliable these kinds of initial reports tend to be.

whoitwas a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Minimal what? They just indiscriminately bombed anyone near anyone with this branded pager. It's really disgusting to see you marveling at mass civilian destruction or terrorism.

worik 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

csmpltn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Call it whatever you like, I don't care - but what do you do when the other side is out to wipe your country completely and has zero regard for any conventions of war?

Hezbollah has willingly waged a war on Israel 12 months ago. The Lebanese government is complicit in not managing to hold Hezbollah back, and so do the UN peacekeeping forces which have been unable to implement resolution 1701. There have been countless of attempts at diplomacy with Hezbollah and Lebanon during this time, but nothing worked. So what would you do in this case?

marcusverus 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

If my best idea was setting off thousands of explosions in public places, I think maybe I'd keep brainstorming.

csmpltn a day ago | root | parent |

Well, I'm asking again, what is your best idea then?

Face it - you'd just sit there and get slaughtered, right? Contemplating your morals and war conventions until every last citizen of your country has been butchered? Waiting for some imaginary court and international peacekeeping forces to come and help you, only to die waiting?

Those were thousands of targeted explosions, by the way. There are videos of bystanders, standing in close proximity to the explosions themselves and not getting hurt. Why are you being so flippant?

worik a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> but what do you do when the other side is out to wipe your country completely and has zero regard for any conventions of war?

Genocide, clearly. Should not. But that is what is happening.

"You ignore rules so I will too" is the logic of the playground, not civilised people.

gmd63 2 days ago | prev | next |

Another example of why outsourcing manufacturing is a national security concern, and how the absolute free market can lead "winners" to harm themselves by chasing "success" at all costs.

mufasachan a day ago | root | parent | next |

Arguably, it's off-topic, though I agree with the point. Lebanon has been struck by poverty, and as a result, they might have far fewer choices when it comes to providers in general. Manufacturing within Lebanon or trading with neighboring countries might not be affordable for them.

It’s important to take a step back before generalizing an economic or political statement that may not be applicable in other contexts. There are little chances that the supply chain in Lebanon is in the same state as Europe countries' ones, for instance. Thus, this is not another example.

gmd63 a day ago | root | parent |

Just because something is not affordable doesn't mean its affordable alternative is a viable option, especially when information asymmetries caused by foreign manufacture obscure plastic explosives in the devices or whatever triggered these.

It is the same attitude. "Outsourcing is the only way we can be competitive" / "Buying these cheap pagers is the only way we can afford it"

knallfrosch 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Do you think manufacturing pagers in Lebanon is a viable alternative?

dijit 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The idea of the majority of manufacturing being external to a country is a little under 100 years old, yet people talk as if it is unthinkable.

ineedasername a day ago | root | parent | next |

Unthinkable, or at least not feasible, in the sense of supporting the current level of technological advancement and average quality of life in many countries.

stainablesteel 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

lebanon has an economy that's currently in shambles, and its never been known for its productive capacity. even if they wanted to start making simple comms devices it might rely on infrastructure that they can't invest in, and take tech/capital they have not accumulated

it would be more realistic for them to receive it from the iran but there might be political hurdles to this and it would end up costing the iranians as hezbollah can't be expected to pay much for it

Xenoamorphous a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

100 years ago there were no pagers or mobile phones I guess, or any other kind of modern advanced tech.

dijit a day ago | root | parent |

No, there were engines that were capable of flight, guns capable of rapid fire, television technology and radios.

That was "advanced modern technology" then, and as the passage of time has marched forward, what we consider modern changes - so what's your point?

grumple 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

100 years ago Lebanon didn’t have running water and still had slavery. The Middle East hasn’t been a producer of goods, even domestically, since antiquity.

clwg a day ago | root | parent |

Except for oil, the Middle East produces allot of oil and has for quite some time.

grumple a day ago | root | parent |

I wouldn’t count it as a good produced though. It’s just a commodity pulled out of the ground and processed elsewhere (largely in the US). It requires no ingenuity or hard work, just the luck of being on top of oil fields due to geographic peculiarity.

dredmorbius 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

bushbaba a day ago | root | parent |

You assume the muslim-aligned countries wouldn't be compromised. There's the potential for supply chain attacks from a domestic manufacturing partner.

dredmorbius a day ago | root | parent |

The initial objection was the lack of sufficient size or institutional robustness for indigenous manufacturing capacity. I addressed that.

The question of the integrity and trustworthiness of a collective bloc structure had occurred. It's another factor, and of course poses its own challenges. Then again, the Western bloc, most capable of the set, seems to have persistent issues along those lines already. Several of Israeli origin, as it happens. (Though of course not solely.)

elteto 2 days ago | prev | next |

This almost reads like science fiction, what an incredible attack from a technical POV. A couple of thoughts:

1. The beepers were compromised and have been for a long time. I don't know how easy it is to exfiltrate data from them if they are receive-only devices. At any rate it shows that Israel is capable of intercepting and manipulating low-tech comms. What's left for Hezbollah to use?

2. The next step is to hack into hospital record systems and get a list of all patients admitted today.

onlyrealcuzzo 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> 1. The beepers were compromised and have been for a long time.

Where did you see this? Sources are saying that Hezbollah recently upgraded their pagers with the American University of Beirut on August 29:

https://x.com/gazanotice/status/1836082218805891360

Why would Israel have the ability to wipe out a good chunk of Hezbollah for years and just sat on it until now?

They are claiming 2750 injuries:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/9/17/dozens-of-hezbollah...

anonu 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Hezbollah recently upgraded their pagers with the American University of Beirut

Please do not conflate Hezbollah and AUB.

The claim is that AUB medical school pagers were replaced a week or so ago. This is either pure coincidence, false or fake news to imply that AUB has Israeli operatives, or indeed that the pagers used were compromised and that the USA was aware of the impending attack and did not want to harm AUB medical staff - who probably are mostly not connected with Hezbollah.

Further reading: https://x.com/AUBMC_Official/status/1836086847153320148

dluan a day ago | root | parent |

> USA was aware of the impending attack

This is the most obvious reading, given that Israel has been indiscriminate about targeting hospitals in Gaza for the past year.

elteto 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I wasn't thinking years, but months but I didn't know about the recent upgrade. At any rate, if the pagers allowed any data exfiltration they have been collecting that data since whenever the last upgrade was.

adrian_b 2 days ago | root | parent |

The reason for using pagers instead of phones is that they are receivers only, they do not transmit, therefore they cannot be localized.

So no data exfiltration was possible using the pagers. The only purpose of the modified pagers was to maim or kill their possessors, by detonating all of them simultaneously.

foundart 2 days ago | root | parent |

Some kinds of receivers can be localized because they convert input frequencies to a standard internal frequency for more convenient processing. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superheterodyne_receiver#Local...

It's how the TV detectors work in countries, such as the UK, that charge a license fee for TVs.

Military radios can't use this common technique because of the risk of detection.

I suspect pagers only receive on 1 or at most a few frequencies. If that's correct, they wouldn't need that technique.

vel0city 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It is still way more difficult to localize a local oscillator (especially one that's trying even slightly to shield itself) than something trying to transmit to a tower a few miles away.

KaiserPro a day ago | root | parent | prev |

We are talking tiny signals here, modern RF frontends don't leak meaningful amounts of RF, otherwise it would knacker batterylife.

altacc a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This makes an assumption that Israel cares about making it's list of targets as small as possible. Israel has shown over and over again that it is happy casting a very wide net when labelling people as legitimate targets, using fuzzy machine learning to label large numbers of people without any direct evidence. Israel also has a higher acceptance of the deaths of innocents than any other western aligned & supplied nation, literally happy if dozens or more civilians are killed in order to kill one member of Hamas or Hezbollah. They or their proxies then blame their opponents for the deaths of innocents, ignoring that the accepted rules of war are that civilian deaths should be minimized.

For sources, search for "Israel Lavender system" and pick your media source of choice.

spacephysics 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Unfortunately innocent people were also harmed, don’t think a straight list will serve anyone

Honestly I doubt Israel/Mossad doesn’t know who is in Hezbollah, i think this is more of a direct attack (obviously) mixed with scare/terror benefit

elteto 2 days ago | root | parent |

I think the value is in knowing the network and cross-reference against it. Innocent bystanders or people who happened to just go to the hospital today will probably fall off during this process. Not to mention that you can filter out by the type of injury to get a more accurate list.

beefnugs a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Yikes the "list of patients" thing is scariest part of all of this: if they feed that into some monster AI that creates new targets... I can only imagine the diminishing accuracy of who is really deserving of being targets

But that is exactly what modern AI-era big data warfare would look like. By its nature, and by choice, less accuracy / more innocent targets, but oh well

himinlomax 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

I heard a story according to which a similar scheme was used in the Algerian war of independence, so these is more retro than scifi. Radio sets were left by the French military for the Algerians to grab. The explosive was hidden in the frame and components, and the trigger was a specific audio frequency. The device looked exactly like a stock military radio set if you disassembled it. So it's not that scifi.

zelias 2 days ago | prev | next |

I am for some reason reminded of this classic scene from The Wire [1] where a detective sells a trove of preemptively wiretapped burner cell phones to a drug organization

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDalKxcLQC8

carstenhag 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Also related, but rather a malware attack: Europol/French Police compromising all Encrochat phones in 2020.

Hermandw 2 days ago | prev | next |

Amir Tsarfati on Telegram: The updated numbers:

4000 wounded of which 400 in critical conditions

Al Jazeera from a Lebanese security source:

The pagers were brought to Lebanon 5 months ago. They were boobytrapped in advance. Each device contained an explosive weighing no more than 20 grams.

AustinDev 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

20 grams that's wild. You could only produce these kinds of effects from a 'military grade' explosive like CL-20 or similar.

chemeril 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

20 grams of C4 or similar plastic explosive would be more than adequate to produce the effects seen. CL-20 wouldn't be a good choice for this deployment: it's not particularly stable for rough handling even with a good phlegmatizing blend, and tends to decompose at the temps one would expect a pager to be exposed to (hot car, etc).

AustinDev 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

That's a fair point my knowledge of explosive chemicals only stems from conventional missile-based warheads and propellants. It's very possible a different explosive was used.

beezle 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

per a calculator on unsaferguard.org 20g of RDX

Injury/Fatality to Personnel Range (m) Fatal Distance 0.64 Lung Damage 1.02 Eardrum Rupture 2.63

Sakos 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Who exactly is Amir Tsarfati and why is this a trusted source for numbers? I can't find anything reliable about him by search engine.

sixQuarks 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

knallfrosch 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

First of all, the discussion is purely hypothetical – noone ever put George W Bush in prison for his Iraq invasion. No matter what you, or the world, thinks of it, it's not going to happen.

Second, what Israel and its enemies are doing is far from the land warfare the laws were written for. Do all Hezbollah soldiers wear uniforms indicating their affiliation and rank? Yeah, I thought so.

oytis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Why would it be?

delecti 2 days ago | root | parent |

Booby traps and indiscriminate targeting.

mdni007 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

lyu07282 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Or terrorism, it's quite astonishing how all western media avoids that term. It's an obscene terrorist attack with complete disregard for civilian life. Grotesque the west supports this barbarism.

EasyMark 2 days ago | root | parent |

Can you name any USA politicians currently lauding this?

lyu07282 2 days ago | root | parent |

You can not have this united bipartisan political front supporting the Israeli government and then feign innocence or impartiality of the violent, indiscriminate slaughter of innocent civilian life. The only defense anyone could plead is to have fallen victim to the western propaganda machine whitewashing it all, so you just didn't know any better. They call it acceptable collateral damage and you just nod along like the sheep you are.

onlyrealcuzzo 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

This is true if you're a sheep and you live in the US or an allied nation and the exact opposite if you live in an unfriendly country.

For example, if you're a sheep in China, China would obviously never commit a war crime.

If you're a sheep in Russia, Russia would obviously never commit a war crime.

If you're a sheep in the US, the US would obviously never commit a war crime.

Etc.

harimau777 2 days ago | prev | next |

This seems like it would have the potential for a lot of collateral damage due to the possibility that modified pagers might enter general distribution. That is to say, how do they insure that a given shipment of pagers are only going to Hezbollah as opposed to some of them going to people like aid workers?

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Who uses pagers? Aid workers carry phones. The pagers are deliberate opsec move for Hezbollah.

8organicbits 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I've used them for DevOps on-call in the last ten years in the US, as a backup to phone-based alerts. It's far too easy to mess up phone DND settings, forget to charge a phone, be outside cell service, or leave a phone in the wrong room. The pager had a long battery life and I clipped it to my pants waistband. I definitely caught pages via the pager that I would have missed over the phone.

If you're worried about the cell network going down, they serve as a backup comms device as well since they use different infrastructure.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Presumably Lebanese DevOps on-call isn't sharing pagers from a shipment to Hezbollah from Iran.

sudosysgen 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah is essentially a government entity in much of Lebanon, they totally would. Hezbollah runs schools, hospitals - it's easily the largest social services provider in large swathes of Lebanon. That's why it enjoys so much support, in many ways it was a much more competent alternative to the failed Lebanese government.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

People who work in schools in Lebanon carry smartphones like everybody else. Pagers are obsolete. Some doctors may carry them because they work when the cell network is down, but they don't all re-up from Iran all at once. Hezbollah carries pagers because they're one-way devices that are hard to track, which is not a problem a Lebanese school teacher has with his Chinese Android phone.

8organicbits 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

What makes you think pagers are obsolete? When I worked at a big-three cloud provider (2016) we used them and it was a great fit for on-call requirements. I regularly find I don't have cell service when in large buildings, out in the woods, or even just random spots in US cities. The pager didn't have those issues, and helped us build highly available services. Does Fly use something different for on-call alerts?

A quick search shows the US Government/Army [1] and hospitals use them [2] [3] [4]. I'm not familiar with Lebanese wireless networks, but pagers are certainly still used for these use-cases in the US.

"Residents reported that they used one-way pagers for work-related communication more often than smartphones" (2018)

[1] https://gov.spok.com/contracts-and-agreements/

[2] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10407125/

[3] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6490267/

[4] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7426134/

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

People still use pagers for specialty purposes, like being on call in disaster zones, or serving as a parallel armed forces in a country with a hostile neighbor who has infiltrated your cell phone network.

I've said this like 5 times on this thread and feel bad for continuing to repeat myself, but: Hezbollah operates its own telecommunications network. The Hezbollah pagers probably do not work on the normal Lebanese telecoms systems. This in addition to the fact that Hezbollah procures pagers for its service members; it does not go to the Cricket Wireless store at the corner of Mousa al Sadr and Kouds and pick them up retail a couple at a time.

sudosysgen a day ago | root | parent |

Pagers don't use normal telecom systems, and they're not limited to paramilitary organizations. They're very useful in any critical application because they have low infrastructure requirements.

The comment you're replying to explains how they're used routinely in most hospitals in the world for this purpose.

You can't buy pagers off stores on the corner, either. They don't have SIM cards and most of them can't report back to the network, so they need to be pre-configured by the network operator. Just the same way, if you work at a hospital and are issued a pager, it will be issued to you by your employer and you won't be able to pick it up off the street.

In a country with extremely unreliable telecom infrastructure, it's not at all unlikely for an organization to use pagers, especially if it operates emergency services, and they would have to be procured through that organization.

KaiserPro a day ago | root | parent |

Right, but if you are mossad, you're not going to spread your bomb pagers far and wide for a number of reasons:

1) its expensive

2) it massive increases the risk of detection

3) in a hospital there is a high chance it'll get triggered. (MRIs, spillages, incinerators.)

sudosysgen 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Lebanon has incredibly unreliable cell service. Anyone who needs to receive messages in a timely and reliable fashion would have no choice to have a pager or similar device. That would include many people in schools and most people in a hospital.

> they don't all re-up from Iran all at the same time

Who says anyone does? Hezbollah has 40k fighters, and we have reports of 2000 people being injured, so clearly Hezbollah, military or civilian, didn't "all re-up from Iran all at once", the numbers are more than an order of magnitude off for you to conclude as much.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Reuters has specific shipments and provenance for the pagers attributed now, and also notes that the explosions were concentrated in Hezbollah strongholds (Dahiah, Bekaa, southern Lebanon), lending further evidence that these were not off-the-rack pagers.

sudosysgen a day ago | root | parent |

No one is saying these were off the rack or that they weren't distributed as part of Hezbollah's operation, so I don't understand how this is relevant.

tptacek a day ago | root | parent |

The claim is that carrying one of these pagers is dispositive evidence that you are an according-to-IHL combatant.

sudosysgen a day ago | root | parent |

The point I made is that less than half of Hezbollah is combatant, therefore the possession of a device procured and distributed by Hezbollah cannot be dispositive evidence as most Hezbollah members aren't IHL combatants. The fact the pagers were ordered by Hezbollah doesn't contribute anything in the context of a discussion on civilian Hezbollah members that would need to use pagers.

luckylion 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

This is such a strange take. As if CIA operatives and a random teacher at some elementary school just both reach into a box with pagers and pick one because they're both employed by the government.

sudosysgen 2 days ago | root | parent |

If the US government was sanctioned to the extent Hezbollah was, someone like an elementary school principal would most likely have to ask a higher-up to provide them with something like a pager, which would likely have been smuggled together with others.

luckylion 2 days ago | root | parent |

You can buy mobile phones in Lebanon just fine, there's no reason why anyone except active duty members of Hezbollah would get their communication equipment from Hezbollah.

sudosysgen a day ago | root | parent |

Mobile phone service is horrible in Lebanon and cannot be relied on in any type of emergency.

Also, the whole point of this is that active duty members of Hezbollah includes hospital staff and teachers. Hezbollah's civilian division is about as large as the paramilitary one, if not larger. So it's not possible to confidently state that anyone affected was part of a milita with the information we have right now.

tptacek a day ago | root | parent |

Why are teachers carrying Hezbollah military pagers?

sudosysgen a day ago | root | parent |

Why would employees of Hezbollah carry Hezbollah communication devices? That doesn't seem like the question you're trying to ask, in which case, what is a 'military' pager and how is it different from a 'civilian' pager? How are you able to tell apart a 'military' pager from a 'civilian' pager with such confidence as to present it as an unquestioned assumption?

I've spent quite some time looking, and I cannot find such a thing as a military pager. The only pagers I can find mentioned in a military setting are no different from the pagers that civilians would use, for example, the use of commercial pagers in US military hospitals.

ineedasername 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

For collateral, I was thinking more along the lines of non-Hezbollah civilians right next to the target, or perhaps a building set on fire

ars 2 days ago | root | parent |

Here's a video of someone standing right next to the target: https://x.com/DrEliDavid/status/1836037485492629605

They are unharmed.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

At the same time, I don't think there's any reason to disbelieve accounts (and video footage) of children among the injured. Unless you're sending operatives with pistols and killing targets individually, I don't think there's a way to do a strike of this scale without killing innocents.

ars 2 days ago | root | parent |

Actually this is probably more accurate than a pistol. Bullets miss and ricochet. Plus other people would fire back, leading to a gun fight and more deaths.

ineedasername 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

So 1-2 feet away is safe from serious injury resulting from the explosive force itself. Though the probability seems high at least some out of thousands had people standing close enough for worse, or further away and hit with shrapnel.

I’m just commenting on injury though, not making a moral or ethical judgement. That’s not an easy call when an opponent is embedded in a population of non-combatants.

jjtheblunt 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

not sure of band allocations around israel, but in the US pagers were long wavelength devices and, as such, could receive signals much further inside buildings than pre-wifi cellular bands could reach. again, band / frequency (wavelength) allocation dependent. but if similar there, pagers might get signals in tunnels whereas cellular bands may not, for one plausible conjecture.

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent |

No, saying "whoops" does not excuse war crimes.

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent |

I never said it excuses it, I just said that when you explicitly target someone you don't usually apologize for it afterward.

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent |

Israel don't usually apologize either.

They didn't apologize in the Hind Rajab case, they denied they were ever there.

They didn't apologize for the babies at Al-Nasr, they claimed they had to move on suddenly.

They didn't apologize for the vast majority of journalists murdered, just claimed they were Hamas.

Etc, tens of thousands of times.

What might be revealing for you is to look at the cases where they did apologize:

They apologized for shooting three of their own hostages dead in cold blood as they called out in Hebrew waving a white flag: turns out there was audio of that about to leak. No consequences for anyone involved though.

They apologized for the World Food Kitchen workers killed, after initial denials. There was undeniable evidence of that one too. Zero consequences.

They apologized for sniping Aysenur Ezgi - after it turned out she was an American citizen. They still claimed it was an accident, during stones being thrown (a lie). They still haven't reached out to a single witness during their 'investigation'. Zero consequences.

... Can you see the pattern here?

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent |

First, you're changing the subject. I never said Israel didn't commit any crimes - of course it did. I just said that Israel doesn't explicitly target aid workers. In the case of the Kitchen Aid workers that you linked to, not only Israel apologized, the chief of the army fired two very high commanders and punished a few others. Not sure why you're saying there was "zero consequences".

I'm also not sure why you mention the killing of 3 Israeli hostages, "in cold blood". Do you mean that Israel explicitly targeted them too? The fact that in this situation, unlike with the aid workers, no one was fired, only speaks to say that there's an understanding that mistakes happen even when these mistakes are killing Israelis.

With regards to hurting Palestinians, the list of Israeli soldiers that were trialed and punished for hurting Palestinians is too long to list here. The list of Palestinian freedom fighters that were trialed (forget about punished) for hurting Israelis is... well, [].

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent |

> I just said that Israel doesn't explicitly target aid workers

But they do. Aid workers have been killed in "unprecedented" "record numbers". Same with journalists, and children, and...

> With regards to hurting Palestinians, the list of Israeli soldiers that were trialed and punished for hurting Palestinians is too long to list here

Israelis rioted for the right of prison guards to anally gang rape abductees held without trial to the point of hospitalization. They gave one of the rapists (the one caught on CCTV) national attention and praise.

You're trying to defend the indefensible, after 11 months of daily atrocity. Not a good choice.

yoavm a day ago | root | parent |

I'm sorry but you keep making logical leaps.

> But they do. Aid workers have been killed in "unprecedented" "record numbers". Same with journalists, and children, and...

This does not mean they are targeted. It could mean that Israel isn't careful enough, it could mean they are operating in a more dangerous situation than usually, it could mean that a higher percentage of them is also involved in non-aid related activities. Just assuming that because they were killed it means they were targeted is ridiculous. I'll give you an example: On October 7th Hamas killed a record number of Thai people in any other conflict in the middle east. Does Hamas explicitly target Thai people?

> Israelis rioted for the right of prison guards to anally gang rape abductees held without trial to the point of hospitalization. They gave one of the rapists (the one caught on CCTV) national attention and praise.

Yeah, a few hundreds of Israelis rioted for them. You know how much that is out of a population of almost 10M? And if you don't mind, the point wasn't really about "general opinion", but about the fact that systemically in Israel, soldiers hurting Palestinians were and are prosecuted, while something even remotely similar to that has never happened (I'll wait for your link) at the other side. You bringing up a case where the soldiers were detained and facing criminal charges, against some of the Israeli population opinion, proves my point exactly.

no_exit 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

no_exit 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I'll consider that a possibility when it comes from an independent party detailing exactly which processes failed, why, and what remediation is being done beyond sacrificial dismissals. The particular WCK strike you're referring to wasn't even the first one killing WCK workers, just the most high-profile among many others.

[1]

> Yeah, it's really important to situate that attack on the World Central Kitchen in the context of these many other attacks that have occurred since October in Gaza. We've documented incidents of attacks on guest houses, on convoys of aid organizations, including Doctors Without Borders, MSF, the UN institution there UNRWA, the International Rescue Committee, and Medical Aid for Palestinians and another American aid group. And in every single one of these instances, these groups notified the authorities, the Israeli authorities multiple times about the GPS coordinate of the guest house, of the convoy that was moving. When it was convoys, they were taking agreed-upon routes that the Israelis had told them to take. And in every instance, these attacks occurred with zero prior warning to the aid organizations, and we're talking about, you know, 15 aid workers having been killed in these attacks and another including two children, family members, and another 16 injured.

[1] https://www.npr.org/2024/05/14/1251200131/israeli-strikes-on...

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

ceejayoz 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

With thousands of them going bang, that's unsurprising.

As the page says, "after her father’s pager exploded while he was next to her".

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

That's right. Any evaluation or discussion of this needs to take account of the fact that it makes the perpetrator culpable of an illegal act of war in which the lives of innocent children are disregarded. There are all sorts of "clever" but reprehensible things warring parties could do, but are considered to be beyond the pale. So, this is a stupid action by a reckless, immoral party which will continue to have consequences for all of us -- especially if we don't deal with anything that we control.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

This is an indictment of all of modern warfare. Which, fair enough, but "war is bad" isn't an especially interesting argument.

frabbit 2 days ago | root | parent |

Again you are responding to an argument which was explicitly and clearly not made. The comment you are replying to asserts that this is an illegal act of war.

Everything only works by agreement and adherence to rules: some explicit, some considered to be so blindingly obvious to a human that there should be no need to state them.

Some of the rules around warfare involve doing your utmost to avoid collateral damage. In this case the collateral damage involves a ten year old girl.

Please try to respond to the actual arguments instead of a cheap, easy strawman. It helps improve the quality of the site.

IncreasePosts 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

sudosysgen 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This conflict has had a historically very notable property where civilian casualties are so much higher than military casualties as to be clearly anomalous.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah is not Gaza, and they are not Hamas. This is not the same conflict.

sudosysgen 2 days ago | root | parent |

According to Israel, it is the same conflict, but if you tally up civilian casualties from previous Israeli-Lebanon conflicts, you'll find a similar rate.

daedrdev 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

sudosysgen 2 days ago | root | parent |

The ratio is at least as high in WW2, but only if you include war crimes and genocides. I think we can agree that WW2 featured notable and anomalous civilian casualties from the first industrial genocides, can't we?

If you look more closely at the data, you'll see that Germany, for example, suffered 3.8 million civilian deaths and 5.5 million military deaths. This was after Germany was completely invaded, thus the fighting reached every city.

The civilian-military death ratio in Gaza is, according to peer-reviewed independent estimates, at least 2:1, and that's if you assume that every male 18-60 is an enemy combatant. If you don't, you find a ratio of at least 4:1, with estimates mostly around 6-9:1. And this data is from before the collapse in infrastructure had time to really drive up the excess death count : https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...

hanshenning 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

These pagers were used by Hizbullah because, unlike mobile phones, they cannot be tracked. The people who had them were certainly not random aid workers, but people in the Hizbullah chain of command. This is also indicated by the statements of Hizbullah itself (which are themself to be questioned and not taken at face value), according to which so far one non-combatant was reported killed and no other non-combatant were reported injured out of a total of 4,000 exploded explosive devices. The CCTV footage also shows that even in a crowded supermarket, no one was injured apart from the Hizbullah member with the pager.

scosman 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They killed an 8 year old girl with this attack. I'm sure there was already a huge amount of collateral damage from 2000+ eyes-off-taret explosions.

knallfrosch 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

First: Innocent people can use their phones just fine and have their comms intercepted by the IDF. Only Hezbollah wanted an alternative to hackable phones.

Second: If you distribute to Hezbollah and detonate already months later, it's unlikely many unaffiliated people already have Hezbollah pagers.

The hit rate indicates the targeting was right.

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I suspect that is an intentional side effect against the whole pager network. It is now totally compromised which means they can no longer use passive channels as a communication medium. This effectively shut down their comms structure.

As for aid workers, they mostly use whatever low ball android phones they can get their hands on I know someone who volunteered out there and everyone uses them and Telegram). I don't think that will impact them at all.

isoprophlex 2 days ago | root | parent |

Well, now that everyone knows it's feasible to hide a small bomb inside a pager, what's to stop people from checking their pagers for tiny explosives before using them?

jjk166 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Can the average person tell the difference between a pager battery and a bomb professionally made to look like a pager battery?

isoprophlex 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

You only need to vet what the inside of a pager should look like once, and spread the knowledge around... using them will become more of a hassle, but not entirely impossible.

jjk166 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The tampered pager likely looks nearly identical, and even un-tampered pagers will vary a little bit from manufacturing. It's possible an expert might be able to visually distinguish that a particular strand of wire is the wrong gauge or the soldering pattern suggests it wasn't made on the appropriate machine, but there shouldn't be something obvious.

willvarfar 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

presumably the only difference between an explosive-laden battery and a normal battery is it's capacity. All else will appear identical. And tearing down the battery to inspect it destroys the battery.

ineedasername 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Lot's of pager batteries are the shrink-wrapped cylinders with 2+ cells, so I'm guessing it might be possible to dress up one of those cells as a dummy w/ explosives instead.

worksonmine 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Probably not but the average person can buy a pager with a replaceable battery and buy a new one over the counter.

jjk166 2 days ago | root | parent |

Assuming the stock of replaceable batteries is large enough to handle them all being replaced simultaneously, that the replacement batteries are not likewise compromised, and that the battery is indeed the compromised component.

Realistically just replacing the pagers is not only safer but also probably cheaper.

minkles 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Well nothing which is why people are spreading stuff about it being a hack causing the batteries to explode. Which disrupts everything with a network connection and battery. Adds confusion to the situation.

As I said elsewhere this is a one shot attack. They would never be able to pull this off again at this scale.

ineedasername 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It's effects might have been intended as much for psychological as lethal results. This specific vector may be a one-and-done tactic but Hezbollah members would be foolhardy not to regard every electronic device that is, at minimum, younger than $pager_age with suspicion. At this point even if it's a wired copper POTS line I'd be asking the intern to take my calls and shout things out from a few rooms away.

isoprophlex 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Agree on the one shot thing. Makes you wonder if they got what they wanted, and if someone's pulling out their hair over wasting this attack...

jjk166 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It would be easy to include a little microcontroller that can check what frequency the pager is set to. This allows you to target specific pager networks (government, military) while leaving pagers that are unlikely to be in use by targets intact for follow-up attacks.

HL33tibCe7 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Since when has Israel cared about civilians or aid workers

alex1138 a day ago | root | parent |

Since the IDF has been shown to be intentionally cautious in their persecution of this war

altacc a day ago | root | parent |

Can you confirm that this is sarcasm? If not then it is an incredibly inaccurate statement.

altacc a day ago | root | parent |

I've seen this before. Your proof is a single person's opinion. Note that it is an opinion, with no evidence or data to back it up. It contains numerous tropes of IDF apologists and is written by a person who has a long history of opposing any investigations into the actions of the military and having generally right wing, militant, pro-European and anti-Muslim views. the letter appeals only to those who want to believe it.

elorant 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Pagers could have certain security options that would interest only a military organization. We don't know at which stage these were intercepted. They could just as easily be targeted to Hezbollah from the beginning of the sale. Advertise something that could be catered to them and once they take the bait go ahead and booby trap them all

flyinglizard 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

These are pagers connected to Hizbollah's internal communication network. Why would they be used by the general population?

harimau777 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

As I understand it, people are saying that the most likely way that this was carried out was that a shipment of pagers where intercepted and modified. My concern is that part or all of the shipment might not go to Hezbollah. Perhaps the shipment gets rerouted to somewhere else due to supply chain issues. Perhaps only half of the shipment was intended for Hezbollah. Perhaps a postal worker steals a few and sells them on the black market. Perhaps Hezbollah decides they have more than they needs and does something with the rest. Perhaps part or all of the shipment gets delayed and is sitting in a post office when it goes off.

Basically: warfare via mail bomb seems like it might be irresponsible.

alistairSH 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

These aren't normal retail pagers, like the world uses (or used to use) for pager-duty? And Hezbollah maintains its own network infrastructure?

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yes. Hezbollah is essentially the armed forces of Lebanon (there is an official Lebanese army, but it is smaller than Hezbollah).

alistairSH 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I know what Hezbollah is, I’m surprised they maintain stand-alone pager infrastructure apart from the system in use by the rest of thecpeolle

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Maybe they don't? But they definitely have their own phone infrastructure, and since the switch to pagers was entirely about opsec, it would be very weird if they were dependent on civilian telecoms infrastructure for them.

sudosysgen 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Hezbollah is essentially a governmental organization, they provide healthcare, education, agricultural infrastructure, social services, etc...

johnnyjeans 2 days ago | root | parent |

No essentially about it. Hezbollah is part of the government, one of many political parties in Lebanon. Just like most of the other major political parties in Lebanon, they maintain their own militia separate from the Lebanese military.

Nathanba a day ago | root | parent | next |

I read that all other political parties were forced to disband their militia after the civil war, only Hezbollah was allowed to keep their arms.

shadowgovt 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I think this is something that many people may not grasp about Lebanon.

The "There's Your Problem" podcast did an episode on the fertilizer explosion that leveled Beirut's port in 2020. The amount of breakdown that had to occur for that outcome was both astonishing... And utterly predictable given Lebanon's governmental structure, which is barely functional. It's less a government and more a power detente that hard-codes sectarian differences in the culture into the power structure, like trying to build a government out of a band of feuding warlords with no particular underlying agreement amongst the warlords to leave each other alone. Among other things, this makes their foreign policy heterogeneous; a given faction can just wage war without the government's consent, and the government lacks top-level power to do anything about it.

(Ironically, one of the things that minimized the potential damage in the fertilizer blast is that much of the material had been stolen and shipped away before the explosion. Likely by actors with the tacit support of high-level government functionaries looking the other way and refusing to do enforcement).

moduspol 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I'm not sure why it's being assumed that they detonated all of the pagers. They presumably have unique device IDs / phone numbers that can be tied to individual people. For all we know, they may have just detonated the ones known to be in use by Hezbollah operatives.

SalmoShalazar 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

luckylion 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Killing everyone in Gaza would have certainly killed many of their targets. You claim they don't care about collateral damage. So, why haven't they?

Wow there's a lot of anti-semitism on HN lately, absolutely vile.

mola 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

2OEH8eoCRo0 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

talldayo 2 days ago | root | parent |

If you aren't targeting occupied residences with the JDAM (like Israel does through the Where's Daddy? program) then feasibly you could end up with less civilian attrition using the JDAMs. Distributed fragmentation explosives with no fire control system are arguably more dangerous than a direct-attack munition targeting a military installation.

93po 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

If that were the case, Israel wouldn't be intricately planting bombs in Hezbollah pagers.

elktown 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Gaza seems like a pretty effin strong data point to consider here?

13415 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Gaza has fairly low civilian:combatant death ratios, lower than in most comparable urban wars. It's not hard to calculate them, the information is partly public (published by Hamas and IDF). However, many people chose to believe whatever they want to believe instead of going for the facts, I've seen some people come up with numbers ad hoc that are ten times than what Hamas reports, or they claim IDF has basically not killed any Hamas combatants at all.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This might be true but would be an easier argument to make persuasively if Israel had backed off after it more or less roflstomped the Al Qassam order of battle and virtually the entire Hamas command staff.

edanm a day ago | root | parent | next |

But if you look at it in terms of civilian casualties, they've gone down massively since the start of the war. Israel "has" backed off in many senses of the word.

The problem is that Israel hasn't left Gaza, because despite your statement that the entire Hamas command staff is dead, it seems very likely that the minute Israel leaves, Hamas regains control of Gaza and starts building up strike capability again. So we're in a semi-holding pattern.

Now, there are good questions about why we're in this holding pattern. Many people (including me) think that it's because Netanyahu isn't trying to actually "win" the war, but prolong it, so this situation is good for him. Hence no steps to leave and set up a Hamas alternative, but also no move to more decisively finish the war either. A holding pattern suits Netanyahu just fine, at the expense first and foremost of the Gazan population, but also of the Israeli population (and also the Israeli economy, reputation, etc).

hersko a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I see no reason for Israel to "back off" before the hostages are returned and Hamas surrenders. Like all wars, it will probably end when one of the combatants surrenders. Hopefully this will happen soon.

13415 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

To clarify, I'm not trying to make any persuasive arguments about this. This is based on my own calculations, and there is generally not enough publicly available information to come to a fully informed verdict. For example, if you take all figures by Hamas, including some of the low number of deaths of their own fighters they reported, the ratio climbs up to 4:1 or more. I doubt anyone can say with certainty what the right figures are (well, perhaps some can provide good estimates, but not publicly).

I'd be interested in knowing how the IDF mandate to destroy Hamas is defined concretely in terms of KIA of enemy combatants but perhaps that hasn't even been decided yet.

altacc a day ago | root | parent | prev |

You could listen to testimony from those within the IDF:

"the IDF judged it permissible to kill more than 100 civilians in attacks on a top-ranking Hamas officials" ... "We’ve killed people with collateral damage in the high double digits, if not low triple digits" ... "they were authorised to kill up to “20 uninvolved civilians” for a single operative, regardless of their rank, military importance, or age" ... "It’s much easier to bomb a family’s home"

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/03/israel-gaza-ai...

When looking at this we have assess both the theoretical rules of combat and the actual implementation of those and compare them to an ally nation in other active combat zones like the US, UK, NATO forces in various places. No army is good at being ethical, foir want of a better word, but the Israelli government and the IDF seem to fail much more at holding to what most people would consider acceptable standards of behaviour.

13415 17 hours ago | root | parent |

I always try to base my judgments on the actual numbers rather than qualitative anecdotal evidence since the latter is relatively worthless (for statistical reasons alone). The problem is also that you can always find some people who support some narrative. Often these people don't know the numbers themselves.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Not really? Part of what happened with Gaza and Hamas was that Netanyahu (and governments before his) spent a decade taking Hezbollah more seriously than Hamas (for good reason!). They are geared up for a precise and carefully-executed conflict with Hezbollah in ways they were not with Hamas.

At the same time: 100% reasonable to look at today and say "if you can pull off an attack like this, why the fuck are you still leveling apartment buildings in Gaza, after having permanently crippled Hamas months ago". Like, there's a moral dimension to this! But I don't think that dimension is "feel real bad for Hassan Nasrallah". Play stupid games, &c &c.

elliekelly 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The pagers do give Israel a certain veneer of plausible deniability that they wouldn’t otherwise have if they had used more traditional bombing methods.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

Literally everybody in the entire world believes Israel is responsible for this. An Mk-82 bomb dropped from a bomber would have more deniability. This was a joke about Israel's tactical signature back when James Mickens included it in a Usenix Security throwaway paragraph back in 2014. There is absolutely no deniability here, unless someone very powerful is deliberately trying to frame Israel (which is not what is happening).

581786 2 days ago | prev | next |

This being a hack is improbable in my opinion. If you see the pictures of the aftermath, the damage is too big to be the result of a lithium battery explosion. Moreover the devices exploded at the same time in different locations (won’t happen if they made the battery overheat till explosion) HA probably bought a bad batch with implanted explosives and they set it off now.

bluescrn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

There's footage on Twitter showing an actual detonation, with a bang. Not a huge blast (the man falls to the ground injured, but bystanders seemed unharmed). Definitely not the rapid burning 'whoosh' of a battery fire.

anonu 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> This being a hack is improbable

Your definition of hack differs from mine. This is hack in every sense of the word: supply chain hack, signals hack, and more...

npteljes a day ago | root | parent | next |

The context clearly explains what OP means. The meaning is that "This is not something that is achieved via simply hacking a normal device remotely. This is something that is achieved via doing something extra to the device first, and maybe then hacking it remotely."

Another thing is that if we begin to use "hack" for every means of attack and unauthorized access, then the word loses its meaning. There is no supply chain hack, but there is a supply chain attack.

akira2501 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

A nation state used it's awesome power to steal something that wasn't theirs and then altered it. This is not a hack. It's just brute force.

wut42 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I tend to agree with you. However it has been said (from wsj article) that "some people felt the pagers heat up and disposed of them".

tamimio 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Pretty much, yeah. The hack was used only to activate it remotely, and in pager systems, it should not be a hard task. But I highly doubt it was only due to battery overheating. I have seen scooter batteries exploding before, and they don’t burst as quickly as this one.

netsharc 2 days ago | prev | next |

It must be a combination of hardware (put a bomb in it) and software (trigger an explosion when a particular command is received) hack. Triggering an explosion of all devices is needed because if people started hearing about exploding pagers, they'd place their own far away from anything precious to them.

Geez, I thought this kind of hack is the stuff of (bad) action movies.

I wonder if there's a pager that was powered off during the attack and if somebody will dissect how they did it.

Edit: then again maybe the code is as simple as

    if (currentTime() >= KABOOM_TIME) { goKaboom(); }

delichon 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Warning, under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations in the US civil fines of up to $500k per violation apply to software exports classified as related to munitions or military applications. You may want to consult an attorney before sharing such algorithms on a public forum.

hhh 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They’re pagers, so it could also be a modification of the firmware to listen for a certain message (could it be as simple as a pocsag network where all of the pagers would get every message and only alert if it’s targeted for them?)

flutas 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I doubt it has anything to do with the battery, pagers typically use the far more stable (and less energy dense) NiMH composition over a typical lithium one.

pythonguython 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Most pagers also aren’t designed incinerate/explode when they receive a signal, so I don’t know if we can make assumptions based on what typical pagers do. Seems a lot easier to short a LiPo battery than conceal a tiny explosive. An explosive can be found, but they’re unlikely to find out that the BMS is bugged to short the battery to ground

Ancapistani 2 days ago | root | parent |

A LiPo will burn, aggressively and hot, but they don't explode.

To get a LiPo to explode you'd need to both puncture/rupture it and somehow contain the escaping gasses long enough to build up pressure.

No, I'm as convinced as I can be that this was a supply-chain attack, and used a purpose-built "addition" the pagers in the form of an explosively formed penetrator.

Given that an EFP is usually concave, I'll even go so far as to say I bet it was disguised as part of the speaker assembly.

pythonguython 2 days ago | root | parent |

LiPos used today burn because they have vent slits. Remove the vents and it’s far more likely to explode. In any case, we’ll probably find out in a couple weeks.

bee_rider 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Hypothetically there could be scenarios where something as simple as control over the right NTP servers could trigger that code, right? I

ars 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I saw some videos of explosions, the pagers received some sort of signal or message that made the holder look at the pager.

Most of the injuries were to the hands or eyes. It was a very very weak explosion - even people right next to the person were not harmed, just the person holding the pager.

myth_drannon 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

honzaik 2 days ago | root | parent |

It may be a combination of making the battery overheat which would trigger the planted explosives from a supply chain attack. Of course, I am no hardware engineer/bomb expert to know if that is possible.

redog 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I mean at that point why not just make the battery the explosive..it's not like it needs a great shelf-life just a kaboom

kombine a day ago | prev | next |

If it was not a terrorist attack and a war crime but a targeted operation against the militants, why wouldn't Israel claim responsibility for the successful operation?

charbroiled a day ago | root | parent | next |

Israel has had a “no comment” policy for many years. Why? I can think of a few reasons. One is that some operations, if acknowledged by Israel, would trigger a proportionate response by the target, but if not acknowledged would allow the target to save face by downplaying what happened, if neither side actually wants war.

That probably doesn’t apply to this case, but has occurred in the past. And no-comment policies are more effective when applied unconditionally.

hajile 21 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If a car bomb went off next to an IDF post killing a bunch of IDF soldiers and one 10-year-old kid, it would be declared a terrorist attack immediately.

If this involved China and Taiwan, North and South Korea, or Russia planting bombs on Ukrainian soldiers, nobody would be debating whether it was a terrorist attack.

ttyprintk 15 hours ago | root | parent |

It’s certainly a relief when polite society can recognize it that way. So, that ends one discussion but starts another. When foreign intelligence is tasked with, say, breaking laws and moral codes in Lebanon; it lives in the shade because we cannot distinguish it from terrorism or organized crime or a financial scam. It’s been this way for a long time and the debate nowadays is whether or not, on balance, we’re prevailing over evil.

ttyprintk 14 hours ago | root | parent |

Sometime in the 20th century, hot war killed more combatants than civilians and that’s mostly changed with drastic disproportionality. So, intelligence agencies have been forgiven because they describe themselves as non-combatants killing non-combatants to prevent civilian massacres. This explains a change in ideals mid-century.

olalonde a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

What incentive would they have for doing so?

sim7c00 a day ago | root | parent |

countries i think don't comit acts of war randomly without annoucement or claim. This in itself would be borderline criminal, though i'm not sure if it's an actual thing noted in the geneva conventions. Those do state that any act of war should give an opportunity for retaliation. So in essence this is just as criminal as bombing people using armed drones, because these fighters did not have any opportunity to strike back.

olalonde a day ago | root | parent | next |

It's not random: Hezbollah and Israel have been fighting for a while[0] and Hezbollah's mission is to eliminate the state of Israel[1]. I'm sure no member of Hezbollah is surprised that Israel would attack them.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hezbollah_confl...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ideology_of_Hezbollah

danbruc a day ago | root | parent |

Let's mention both sides, Israel wants the State of Palestine gone.

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | next |

I would dispute that but also don't see the relevance to the conflict with Hezbollah.

danbruc a day ago | root | parent |

This is all one conflict, it does not make sense to treat this as an isolated conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. And it is dishonest [1] to portray the conflict as Israel resisting various groups that want Israel removed from the map and not mention that the Israel similarly wants Palestine removed from the map. And I am not sure how one can dispute this as the Israelis themselves say it. When the State of Israel was established, Ben-Gurion was hoping that Israel will eventually encompass all of Mandatory Palestine and today Netanyahu says in no uncertain terms that there is no room for an independent Palestinian state. And the actions in between do not paint a different picture either, whether it is the construction of settlements to further fracture the land or to support of Hamas in order to weaken the PLO.

[1] This is not necessarily an accusation of the commenter I replied to, maybe they just deemed it unnecessary to mention. I think it is worth mentioning to not create a skewed image for people unfamiliar with the conflict, that is why I wrote my comment. However reading it again I have to admit that the wording is far from perfect.

Beefin 8 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

you understand Hezbollah and Hamas are different right? Lebanon is not Palestine and has no interest in Palestine. They are an Iranian proxy. Shows how little you know about the situation before sharing your slanderous views as fact.

flyinglizard a day ago | root | parent | prev |

You're throwing "criminal" around without, I suspect, understanding the laws of warfare. Blowing enemy operatives isn't criminal (even if some civilians get hurt - within reason; here's the ratio of militants to civilians hurt is virtually unheard of, in a positive way). Bombing militants from above, whether by airplane or drone isn't criminal, and nothing in the laws of warfare claims you need to let the enemy an opportunity to strike back.

abalone a day ago | root | parent | next |

There is no comprehensive information yet on the ratio of civilians to militants maimed by this attack, and any claims otherwise are propaganda. If an enemy had exploded small remote controlled bombs in American supermarkets and homes there is no question we would characterize it as a terrorist attack.

kombine a day ago | root | parent | prev |

And my question stands, if this is legitimate warfare, why wouldn't Israel admit it carried out the attack? US does not hide that they eliminated Bin Laden. The answer is pretty obvious here.

olalonde a day ago | root | parent | next |

Do you believe that the attacks that Israel did claim responsibility for (e.g. attacks in Gaza) are legitimate warfare?

flyinglizard 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

Because that provides international legitimacy for retaliation by Hezbollah, even though everyone knows who did what. Same as the assassination of Ismail Hanyeh in Tehran.

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It seems to be just some sensible policy, but maybe also to let frivolous accusations, such as yours, hanging for bit.

Sam6late 2 days ago | prev | next |

At the cashier, one video clip shows a guy paying then he looks at the massage that beeped his Appolo pager, then it exploded, this trigger message is supported further with first responders' statements on large numbers of those treated for impact on eyes.

treebeard901 11 hours ago | prev | next |

It is reasonable to assume a Mossad agent would have pagers as potential way to communicate. Pagers work on separate networks from cell phones and usually do not have the same location tracking.

It is also fair to assume that Mossad would want the ability to remotely destroy an agents pager. If it was captured, etc. So very likely these were already a standard part of their equipment and then distributed to Lebanon.

It is also interesting how fear of cell phone tracking drove them to pagers, which was then exploited in response.

It is different from Stuxnet and a form of terrorism. Same as all the assassinations. They are crossing all of these lines that can be a double edged sword in the long run.

danielodievich 2 days ago | prev | next |

There was a really dumb but also really entertaining Awkwafina/John Cena movie that I watched recently called Jackpot https://www.imdb.com/title/tt26940324/. At one point in the middle of the movie one of the characters calls a 3 letter agency friend and asks them for a "Phone Strike on his location". There is a mob gathered outside of their room, and within 30 seconds everyone's phone blows up and the protagonists escape. The movie is R rated but obviously it's hollywood so instead of blown off fingers and holes in ribs that we see in Lebanon, its just someone's crotch is aflame, that's about it. But it was the first thing that jumped to me when I heard about it. Go hollywood!

jazzyjackson 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I love those two, thanks for the movie rec.

I have a working theory that real life 3 letter agency plots make it into Hollywood movies because intelligence agents and script writers hang out at the same bars. Likely a mix of intentionally planting tropes so that when someone claims the government is doing it they look like a conspiracy theorist who watched "The Rock" too many times, and retired folks having one too many whiskies and letting their secrets slip knowing that there's no way to prove it anyhow, and those make it into scripts just because they're good stories

meindnoch 2 days ago | prev | next |

Reminds me of two things:

1. Mossad killed the chief bombmaker of Hamas with an exploding phone in 1996: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yahya_Ayyash

2. My grandma used to say not to wear my phone on me, especially close to my heart or my balls, because she thought it was dangerous somehow. Turns out she was right!

Apocryphon 2 days ago | prev | next |

Amazingly enough, the concept of hacking personal communications devices to explode was explored recently in the "phone strike" scene in Jackpot!, an Amazon MGM Studios movie released a month ago.

https://x.com/obdmpod/status/1836087414290284588

paxys 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

And Kingsman: The Secret Service from 2014.

Apocryphon 2 days ago | root | parent |

Weren't those surgical implants, though? A bit different, not an innocuous everyday gadget turned deadly. More of a Laputan Machine.

peeters a day ago | root | parent |

Yeah GP is probably merging two things that happen in the movie. One, the villain (played by Samuel Jackson) implants all of his "inner circle" with exploding implants to guarantee compliance, and late in the movie they are hacked so that the entire group is simultaneously assassinated with a single signal. Two, that same villain gives out free SIM cards to everyone on the planet that can be remotely triggered to throw everyone in range into a homicidal rage. The latter is probably what GP was thinking of, but they misremembered the effect.

yamrzou 2 days ago | prev | next |

Why was this flagged? I vouched for it as it would make for an interesting discussion about the security of these devices and how this kind of cyberattack might have happened.

Are smartphones, for example, also vulnerable to it?

andreasley 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I was wondering the same thing.

There might be other explanations than a cyberattack though. The pagers could have been prepared in some way before distribution.

From the videos, it looks like the explosions were quite sudden and remarkably violent for such a small device.

So in addition to people-hunting FPV drones, we now have the equivalent of exploding collars from science fiction movies like Running Man. I don't like where we're heading, but it was probably inevitable that technology would be used this way.

tamimio 2 days ago | root | parent |

As mentioned in this thread by others, this is not a new attack vector and won’t be the last. The only difference is the scale. And technically speaking, anything can be weaponized.

hollerith 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

>Are smartphones, for example, also vulnerable to it?

Yes if Israeli intelligence gets their hands on your smartphone (probably before you buy it) and installs an explosive and a software-hardware back door.

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I've seen laptop and phone batteries explode with significant force on YouTube. It's called thermal runaway.

As much as I'd love to believe this couldn't happen without physical tampering, I see no good reason to.

megous 2 days ago | root | parent |

They usuall burst with fire. You'd have to have hardshell battery with no venting, and likely no protection circuit, and a way to cause sustained load on the battery, without the user noticing the heat first. Eh.

A short on a battery with protection circuit installed basically does absolutely nothing to the battery.

I'm yet to see a video with fire and a lot of smoke at minimum.

FridayoLeary 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The subject is unfortunately likely to start a flamewar. I still think this should be on the front page because the technology and scope of this attack is unheard of if true. Israel somehow managed to weaponise hezbolla pagers by sending a message that caused them to explode. (Edit: i see the link i submitted has made it to the front page so it seems the moderators won't kill the story)

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> Why was this flagged?

Anything any particularly motivated group dislikes here gets flagged; always been this way. Thanks for vouching.

> Are smartphones, for example, also vulnerable to it?

I also would love an answer to this question. Up until 12 minutes ago, I would never have thought _blowing up_ hundreds of pagers simultaneously was a realistic scenario.

If anyone can make sense of how this actually worked I'd be grateful. If it can be done to pagers, it seems likely that it can be done to other networked lithium devices: phones, tablets, laptops, smart watches, cameras, drones, medical devices, toys, and even electric vehicles.

Lest anyone tries to deny this happened: There's video of two separate cases on the nowinpalestine Instagram page.

llm_nerd 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

"Political" (including geopolitical) posts on here lead to an enormous amount of anger and noise and I fully get why they're verboten. In this case it's actually a fascinating issue that has a lot of crossovers with the domain of this site, but invariably the conversation would get overwhelmed with geopolitical noise instead of just focusing on the technical aspects.

jakeinspace 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

98% sure these were booby trapped with plastic explosives or similar, meaning it’s a supply chain attack more than a cyber attack. LiPos exploding would be more sizzle and less instant boom, you can’t just hack your way through thermal runaway without all the smoke and building temperature first.

HocusLocus 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I am just out of the gate, but the videos show sharp percussive explosions and no lithium evidence. So C4 or RDX in the devices on a 'mod board' with the explosive disguised as a big capacitor or something. It had to be put into the devices. In order to justify an operation like this the explosions had to be near-simultaneous so the mod board had to have its own clock, which would be as accurate as the crystal in the clock circuit provides, maybe drift of +/- a few seconds since installation.

The broadcast pager network does not offer this level of time precision for a detonation message so as ugly as it sounds, I believe at the moment that 9/17/2024@3:30pm (or whatever) was preloaded into the 'mod boards'.

Perhaps the 'mod board' had the capability for the future time to be set with a broadcast message, but that introduces such complexity! It requires the page system itself to be compromised. The victims' paranoia served them badly in this case, a recent warning about cell devices and a lower tech 'solution' is rolled out and they would only trust one source, so all you'd have to do was get an explody batch into the supply chain with (reasonable) assurance that only Hezbollah members would get them.

In the coming days I'd look for clues in: The simultaneity of the explosions with times to the second // were any duds found and disassembled? // is there a separate radio receiver on the mod board (to set future detonation time) // when did the 'rollout' of the devices begin? // How many pager carrying non-members were injured and what were the circumstances ('medics' being one group) // Will suspicious broadcasts be discovered from logs or logged radio intercepts?

Given the people we are dealing with (I mean both sides) I am thinking that the operation avoided ANY covert channels at all and was a simple date-time bomb.

xenospn 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

megous 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

ummonk 2 days ago | prev | next |

Looking at pictures of mangled devices, it would seem to confirm that they were Motorola Gold Apollo pagers. In which case they just used standard alkaline batteries which would rule out a malware targeting the battery, and confirm it was a supply chain attack with planted explosives.

0x_rs 2 days ago | prev | next |

Seems old pagers were replaced last month at the American University of Beirut. It may or may not have to do with this operation, but the timing seems very suspect. Those devices may have been tampered with explosives at some point before being distributed to the victims.

https://x.com/gazanotice/status/1836082218805891360

softgrow a day ago | prev | next |

I'm a long way from Lebanon, but carry two pagers for Emergency Services (one per service). One used to be an Apollo Gold but now it isn't. From what I've read these were modified pagers, but I still rang one manager for reassurance. We need a strong statement for all the emergency responders and medical staff that still use these things that it's not going to happen to you.

calf a day ago | root | parent |

Israel drone struck Jose Andres' food truck program this year.

Between these acts of war between stupid, angry countries, there needs to be not just guarantees for aid workers, but broad international condemnation of tactics that violate the Geneva Convention and related principles. And those principles are long overdue for high-tech drone strikes, robotics and electronics warfare.

viraptor 2 days ago | prev | next |

So either this was planned long enough ago to replace a large number of devices over time, or communication about a larger order has been provided to the enemy and fulfilled without suspicion. Either way, that sounds like a crazy infiltration effort.

Also, we can assume that anything sent to those pagers so far has been forwarded to Israel and now that channel is burned, right?

lm28469 2 days ago | prev | next |

It wouldn't be a first

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yahya_Ayyash

> Shin Bet agents gave him a cell phone and told him it was bugged so they could listen in on his conversations.[17] They did not tell him that it also contained 15 grams of RDX explosive

busterarm 2 days ago | root | parent |

Cell phones were much bigger in 1996. You would have a hard time with that with phones today, but pagers are still viable.

TheBen1 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I imagine technological progress has been made in the field of explosives as well. I guess the volume and weight can very very small when you can determine that the phone is being held at the head and the explosion can partially be directed to it. Maybe it's even possible to leverage the energy within the battery?

gwervc 2 days ago | root | parent |

> More than 1,000 people, including Hezbollah fighters and medics

The CNN title implies that only Hezbollah members were targeted were reality seems different. It's crazy a country is capable of doing a "special security operation" on civilians of another country without any international sanctions.

hersko 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

If it was targeting pagers used for Hezbollah's internal communication then it would be justified, no?

diggan 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

If it was targeting pagers used for Hezbollah's military wing then yeah, kind of justified. But Hezbollah is bigger than that, and seems this attack targeted the whole organization, not just the one that is commonly designed a terrorist organization.

I guess for an American comparison it's a bit like attacking all republicans for the actions of the Proud Boys or any other militia.

loeg a day ago | root | parent |

The Republican party is not literally at war with Israel. Hezbollah is.

lm28469 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> it would be justified, no?

It's never justified to trigger explosives when you have no idea where said explosives are.

What if the dude if hugging is kid/wife/mom ?

What if he's picking up his kids from school, visiting the local food market, &c.

What if he's driving and end up crashing in a bunch of people walking on the sidewalk

xdennis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

That sounds nice, but by that logic no bomb would ever be fired. Under international law collateral damage must not be excessive, but it is permitted. If it was unacceptable, evil armies would do what they want and good armies would never fire a shot.

lm28469 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

When you drop a bomb you at least know where it's going, here you have no idea.

Look at what's going on in Ukraine, if you can't tell a good from a bad shit you have to get your eyes checked. Hitting a column of tank isn't the same as targeting a civilian building

Wars are always bad and there will always be war crimes on all sides, it doesn't mean that everything is equal

daedrdev 2 days ago | root | parent |

In WW2 20% of US bombs fell within 1000 feet of their target, which were often in densely populated areas. Its only modern technology that lets us know where its really going

lm28469 a day ago | root | parent |

> In WW2 20% of US bombs fell within 1000 feet of their target, which were often in densely populated areas. Its only modern technology that lets us know where its really going

Is this supposed to be a gotcha ?

WW2 is the reason we updated the Geneva conventions to protect civilians lol

dekelpilli a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> What if the dude if hugging is kid/wife/mom ?

Then they also die/get injured. Being in close contact with a terrorist is a dangerous pass-time, and armies targeting foreign threats need to accept some level of collateral damage. In this case, we have thousands of injured terrorists, with hundreds dead, and an additional fraction of those numbers being non-military targets (civilians). It's certainly unfortunate and unpleasant, but this is an excellent ratio.

pcl 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Let’s assume you accurately determine which thousand pagers are going to which people, and that you accurately determine which thousand are Evil Hezbollah Members and definitely not someone’s cousin or whatever.

Regardless of these (tenuous) assumptions, if you detonate a thousand small bombs, it seems fair to also assume that some of them might not be on the bodies of their intended targets, but rather outside on the counter by the shower or over by the car keys or something.

So no, I’d say this is a pretty tough sort of operation to justify.

xenospn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

[flagged]

piva00 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There's a video of one that detonated inside a dresser, in someone's room. If there were thousands of those explosive devices some of them are inevitably, statistically speaking, not going to be with the intended target.

meepmorp 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

People routinely leave guns in Walmart bathrooms. Leaving the top secret hezbollahpager on the counter is eminently believable.

xenospn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

These are not some random rednecks at a west Virginia Walmart. They're professional soldiers of a military organizations handling a secure communications device.

Not sure if you've ever been in the military, but when I was there, if I had left a secure device or my gun somewhere out of sight/reach and someone else got to it, I'd get in a ton of trouble and probably go to prison.

simoncion 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

The pager isn't top secret.

Pagers employ unencrypted communications and (because they are receive-only devices) use a broadcast system to deliver messages to the pager. [0] Israel is publicly very, very friendly with at least one very wealthy Five Eyes country, and may have less-public support from many other wealthy and technologically sophisticated countries. If Israel happened to not have the domestically-developed capability to get a copy of every single page sent in an area of interest, they could ask their good buddies at the NSA, CIA, or other such global intelligence agencies to shunt that information to them in a timely manner.

Given the organization's sophistication, there is absolutely no way that Hezbollah believes that the contents of their pages are secret. The worst-case outcome of a lost pager is that the organization temporarily loses convenient contact to the person at the other end of that pager. While this could potentially be operationally disastrous, it's more like losing your service weapon than it is leaving the plans for D-Day on a public bus.

[0] <https://computer.rip/2020-12-15-weird-wireless.html>

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

It's war. Much worse things have been happening in this war already (e.g. Hezbollah explicitly targeting Israeli residential areas and killing civilians). By contrast this action seems much more targeted and justifiable.

If your bar for taking action is "there can't even be a chance of hurting a civilian", then your army can't do anything, and your entire civilian populace is slaughtered when it's taken over by the enemy intent on destroying your country.

aaomidi 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If you make it acceptable to have these style of attacks, then they’re going to be replicated against your own government and people.

nickff 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah is already willing to shoot rockets at civilian targets; an attack like this is much more carefully-targeted than their average strike.

yread 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Would it be moral to make people who work in israeli army explode even when not in uniform?

dijit 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Yes, they are belligerents in a battle.

I am more pro-Israel in these conflicts, but you are a military target or you aren't, you don’t leave the military when you remove the uniform, only when you agree to leave the military.

In fact it is a common tactic of Hamas, when it is discovered they have passionately murdered civilians, that they immediately claim that it was an IDF soldier. Such as the case with Shanni Louk

yread 2 days ago | root | parent |

I admire the clarity of your moral compass. But consequently if that is ok, then targeting reservists is also ok, right? And since almost everyone in Israel is a reservist there are really no civilians in Israel only military targets, right? So, Hamas an Hezbollah blindly firing rockets are actually striking military targets with surgical precision

IAmGraydon a day ago | root | parent | next |

The problem for your “argument” comes when you apply the harsh light of actual fact to it. Israel has 169,500 active personnel and 465,000 reservists. This represents 6.6% of their population. Furthermore, those age 18-40 can be called up in a national emergency just as most countries can call up a draft. This is not the same as reservists and still represents a fraction of the population.

Attempting to pass off as fact that everyone in Israel is a reservist and are therefore legitimate targets is simple disinformation. You already knew that, though. But hey - you had a point to make, right?

yread a day ago | root | parent |

I probably haven't used the right term, I thought reservists are people who went through military service. This article (with obvious agenda) https://www.jpost.com/opinion/the-myth-of-compulsory-militar... says that the enlistment rate plummeted from 75% to 50%.

This more recent (and accurate?) article based on actual numbers puts it at 69%: https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/art...

So, >every other person in Israel has gone through military service. If you compare that to "collateral damage" when killing Hamas' terrorists, shooting rocets blindly is more accurate

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

That's a weird question. It's war. There's no morality involved. But if your question is "is it within the norms of war to strike service members when they're not in uniform", then the answer is emphatically "yes".

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent |

> It's war. There's no morality involved.

There's a little.

That's why countries make agreements such as the Genocide Convention, Geneva Conventions, etc. There are (meant to be) strict consequences for breaking these rules. (I noticed you change your wording from 'rules' to 'morality' - still wrong.) Breaking these rules is why we have the concept of 'war crimes'.

The word 'war' also implies two armies battling, rather than an invasion following occupation. In any case, the Geneva Conventions apply in all armed conflicts.

Since the Geneva convention still exists*, no, it is not "within the norms of war to strike service members when they're not in uniform". See Protocol I.

Targeting off-duty or non-uniformed service members violates both international law and the core moral principles of warfare, as outlined by the Geneva Conventions and other international agreements. Denying this isn't just factually wrong, it's deeply immoral.

* Along with the Principle of Distinction, Proportionality, Non-Combatant Immunity and Civilian Impact, etc.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

This is likely to settle out as one of the most surgical non-infantry attacks in the history of modern warfare, and because Israel is involved, 20% of the commentary is about how the people who set it in motion belong in the Hague. Think about what that says to people weighing the (correct!) claims that Israel has committed widespread war crimes in its occupation of Gaza.

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent |

None of that changes the facts stated, or makes any substantial argument as to how this doesn't constitute a war crime.

> This is likely to settle out as one of the most surgical non-infantry attacks in the history of modern warfare,

No, it isn't. There's already reports of murdered children, and people as far away as Syria getting injured. The Iranian ambassador to Beirut was reportedly injured, meaning this could precipitate nuclear war.

> because Israel is involved, 20% of the commentary is about how the people who set it in motion belong in the Hague

No, it isn't. You're literally the only person mentioning the Hague in the whole thread.

But yes, they do. That's where war crimes are prosecuted, and this is a war crime (see above), even if 'just' one of many thousands.

> Think about what that says to people weighing the (correct!) claims that Israel has committed widespread war crimes in its occupation of Gaza.

Huh??

Explain to me, please, how more targeted war crimes excuse completely untargeted war crimes, and war crimes targeted at journalists, aid workers, health workers, teachers, children, families, little old ladies in churches, premature babies, etc.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

What you're doing here is establishing yourself as someone who believes a weirdly, ahistorically, spectacularly surgical attack on Hezbollah fighters is a "war crime". Which is fine, but people are going to point that out when you call other things a war crime, and you might care about that, because in those other instances you might actually be right (if it's Israel you're talking about, it's very likely you will be right), and the extra credibility might be helpful.

What I'm saying is that you're setting yourself up to be dismissed as someone who believes "a war crime is when Israel does war".

mandmandam 2 days ago | root | parent |

If the Geneva Conventions (among other agreements) which you're so determined to ignore didn't exist, then you may have been right.

But, they do, and you're wrong.

You're also moving goalposts. Are you still standing by your statement that war has no rules/morality?

> you're setting yourself up to be dismissed as someone who believes "a war crime is when Israel does war".

Israel set themselves up for that belief, not me.

By doing war crimes. A lot of them. Like this one.

Consider, if you would, that this effort to move the Overton Window on what constitutes war crimes is severely misguided. And you really ought to stop.

quickthrowman 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> No, it isn't. There's already reports of murdered children, and people as far away as Syria getting injured. The Iranian ambassador to Beirut was reportedly injured, meaning this could precipitate nuclear war.

Why would Israel fire nuclear weapons at Lebanon and Iran, two non-nuclear states?

voidnap 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Why don't you hold Hamas to these same standards?

edit: Also, can you cite anything to back this claim?

> Targeting off-duty or non-uniformed service members violates both international law and the core moral principles of warfare, as outlined by the Geneva Conventions and other international agreements.

I don't mean just it's in one of the articles of the Geneva Convention I mean where you're making your inference more specifically.

AnimalMuppet 2 days ago | root | parent |

And Hezbollah? Firing rockets at civilian targets is at least as much a violation of that as firing pagers at off-duty personnel is.

xdennis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Hezbollah are a paramilitary group at best, not civilians. And they are designated terrorists in many countries.

diggan 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah is a political organization with a paramilitary wing. The wing is designated as a terrorist group in many countries, the organization as a whole is designated as a terrorist group by not as many countries. France or EU as a whole, for example, consider Hezbollah a political organization and only the paramilitary arm as the terrorist group.

fortran77 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

noduerme 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I think this willfully ignores the fact that Israel did occupy southern Lebanon for 15 years, never built a civilian settlement, and unilaterally withdrew from there under assurance from the UN that it would enforce an agreement to keep Hezbollah north of the Litani river, which the UN manifestly does not enforce.

From the article you linked to:

>> every policy expert I spoke with agreed that the chance that Israel would actually establish settlements in southern Lebanon is very low. Natasha Roth-Rowland, a scholar of the Israeli far right, explained that there simply isn’t the political will to advance settlements in Lebanon

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

This is the third comment on this thread you've written prosecuting the idea that Israel is on the eve of invading Lebanon. That's not very plausible. Israel isn't mobilized to invade Lebanon and lacks the capacity to do so while engaged in Gaza.

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent |

> This is the third comment on this thread you've written prosecuting the idea that Israel is on the eve of invading Lebanon. That's not very plausible.

Jerusalem Post, one of the major newspapers in Israel also believes that:

https://www.jpost.com/arab-israeli-conflict/article-820399

Ynet as well says Netanyahu wants the IDF to prepare for military campaign in Lebanon:

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bje3pjv60

Times of Israel also says the IDF is pushing for a ground invasion now:

https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-general-said-pushing-for-g...

"Maj. Gen. Ori Gordin, the head of the Israel Defense Force’s Northern Command, is pressuring decision-makers to launch a large-scale incursion into Lebanon, while Gallant and IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi have expressed doubts over launching a war against Hezbollah"

The internal politics is that Gallant doesn't want to, he wants a ceasefire in Gaza and a hostage deal, but Netanyahu is currently looking to replace him and Netanyahu doesn't want a ceasefire/hostage deal in Gaza:

https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-said-preparing-to-fi...

If Gallant goes, chance of war with Lebanon increases dramatically.

> Israel isn't mobilized to invade Lebanon and lacks the capacity to do so while engaged in Gaza.

Israel actually has almost no forces in Gaza right now - that isn't the problem. The IDF is much more committed militarily to the West Bank.

It is true there isn't yet a full scale mobilization of ground forces yet, but these wars usually start with air attacks while the ground mobilization occurs.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent |

(a) These are a bunch of comments about what you believe Israel wants to do, not what it's capable of.

(b) You wrote, elsewhere on the thread, that Israel was set to take southern Lebanon in the near term. Israel is not mobilized to do anything like that.

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent |

> These are a bunch of comments about what you believe Israel wants to do, not what it's capable of.

In this article from yesterday, you can clearly see Gallant and Netanyahu both support an invasion of Southern Lebanon, only that Gallant doesn't want to do it now.

The reporter says clearly: "the Israeli military and security cabinet have been ramping up preparations for a war against Hezbollah in Lebanon, which they hope would allow tens of thousands of displaced Israelis to return home"

https://www.axios.com/2024/09/16/israel-netanyahu-lebanon-he...

> You wrote, elsewhere on the thread, that Israel was set to take southern Lebanon in the near term. Israel is not mobilized to do anything like that.

Israeli newspaper are clearly saying that many in Israel are advocating for an invasion of Southern Lebanon because now is a good time. Here is a JNS article from today:

"IDF Maj. Gen. Ori Gordin has reportedly argued behind closed doors that current conditions are favorable for the IDF to swiftly implement such a move."

https://www.jns.org/idf-northern-chief-floats-israeli-buffer...

bhouston 2 days ago | prev | next |

Seems like a harbrining of war, if the pager network was compromised, thus burns the compromised network and also harms a lot of people.

Most major newspapers in Israel are saying that Netanyahu wants an invasion of Southern Lebanon:

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bje3pjv60

https://www.jpost.com/arab-israeli-conflict/article-820399

https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-general-said-pushing-for-g...

bufferoverflow 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Lebanon has been shooting rockets at Israel for a while now. They already are at war. It's just Israel is very strategic about its steps.

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent |

> Lebanon has been shooting rockets at Israel for a while now.

Correction: Israel and Lebanon have been firing across the border for a while. More Israeli attacks on Lebanon than the other way around and more Lebanese dead too.

Details:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/6/27/mapping-7400-cross-...

https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/cpsprodpb/bfa9/live/320f24...

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv2gj544x65o

And lots more details here:

"Between 21 October 2023 and 20 February 2024 the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) recorded an estimated 7,948 incidents of artillery fire from the south of the Blue Line (from Israel to Lebanon) and 978 incidents of artillery fire from the north side (from Lebanon to Israel)."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel–Hezbollah_conflict_(202...

cubefox 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The question is who started shooting rockets at the territory of the other. I would be surprised if it was Israel.

einszwei 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The answer isn't straight forward. 1980s invasion of Lebanon by Israel and it's withdrawal in 2000 was what made Hezbollah into the force that it is today.

The conflict has been simmering for decades

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The answer is pretty straight forward in the sense that the current round of war was initiated (proudly) by Hezbollah, and that while if Hezbollah stops shooting Israel would have no business with Lebanon, if Israel stops shooting into Lebanon Hezbollah has no intention of stopping too. Hezbollah wants to destroy Israel (they say that, not me), while Israel has no desire to destroy Lebanon. Hinting at some kind of symmetry here seems weird.

Israel invading into Lebanon in the late 1970 was a response to an attack originating there [0].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coastal_Road_massacre#Israeli_...

someotherperson 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> the current round of war

Israel has been attacking Hezbollah non-stop in Syria for the last decade[0]. "The current round of war" is quite literally just Hezbollah firing back.

It's strange to me how Israel is able to fly sorties around the entire region and it's not considered an escalation, but the moment that we see responses it turns into the other side being the aggressor.

> while Israel has no desire to destroy Lebanon

The Israeli Dahiya doctrine[1] is literally based on the idea of destroying as much of Lebanon as possible to screw with Hezbollah's support and morale.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_conflict_d...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dahiya_doctrine

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Even the spokesperson of Hezbollah wouldn't say that the current round of war is "literally just Hezbollah firing back". If you're joking then I'm sorry for not catching it, but if not - Hezbollah announced that it's attacking Israel in support of Hamas's attack on Israel.

As for your second point, you're pointing to an Israeli strategy of fighting Hezbollah by pressuring Lebanese citizens against it. This has nothing to do with having the demolition of Lebanon as a goal.

Edit: I also recommend you read the Hebrew version of the Dahiya doctrine wikipage. As the doctrine is Israeli and in Hebrew originally, it explains it in much greater details. The doctrine has nothing to do with destroying Lebanon.

ineedasername a day ago | root | parent | prev |

That doctrine has worked. 2006 to 2023 is the longest period of time without conflicts on this scale since before 1970. Until 2006 there were significant showdowns at most every 5 or 6 years.

The doctrine also is targeting infrastructure for the purpose of denying it to Hezbollah, which is utilizing it to support their fighting. Otherwise, per the wikipedia link on this doctrine, the doctrine has reduction of civilian casualties baked-in:

"in the first stage targets were attacked which formed an immediate threat, and in the second stage the population was evacuated for its protection, and only after the evacuation of the population were Hezbollah targets attacked more broadly."

someotherperson 19 hours ago | root | parent |

> The doctrine also is targeting infrastructure for the purpose of denying it to Hezbollah

It also describes the infrastructure as literally every single Shiite city. I hope for all of us that Iran or similar doesn't apply this doctrine to Israel.

yoavm 18 hours ago | root | parent |

Well of course it does. Otherwise, more than 60k people from the north of Israel wouldn't need to leave their towns since October.

einszwei 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Hezbollah didn't exist in 1970s. It was founded in 1982

Like the famous quote said "We make peace with our enemies, not our friends" (I can't recall the source) - what is lacking here is diplomacy.

To repeat - Israel's invasion of Lebanon in 1980s was the catalyst for Hezbollah's rise. While they curbed PLO they created a more formidable adversary.

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

First, I forgot an 's there - I meant 1970s. Second, unfortunately for Lebanon, Hezbollah wasn't the only terrorist organization growing in it [0]. "The proximate cause of the Israeli invasion was the Coastal Road massacre that took place near Tel Aviv on 11 March 1978"

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1978_South_Lebanon_conflict

einszwei 2 days ago | root | parent |

Hezbollah was founded in 1982. With benefit of hindsight we can see that while Israel's Lebanon Invasion in 1980s was successful in curbing the PLO who perpetrated the massacre, they created a more formidable adversary in form of Hezbollah.

ineedasername a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Hezbollah is somewhat of the successor organization of the most militant wings of groups like the PLO and Fatah, so I think it is relevant to speak of Hezbollah as in some sense existing in a nascent form prior to its founding

pphysch 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> Hinting at some kind of symmetry here seems weird.

Both sides (Israeli state, and Hezbollah) want to destroy each other. It's a simple symmetry. Conflating the military force with the territory and civilians living on it only obfuscates this.

luckylion 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Both sides (Israeli state, and Hezbollah) want to destroy each other.

Have Hezbollah lay down their arms and convert their organization to peaceful gardeners and Israel has no interest in destroying them.

Have Israel lay down their arms and focus on peaceful gardening and few Israeli Jews will survive.

Such Symmetry. Enlightened Reddit really is something else.

someotherperson 2 days ago | root | parent |

> Have Israel lay down their arms and focus on peaceful gardening and few Israeli Jews will survive.

That's because the entire notion of Israel as a concept is predicated on it being under constant existential threats.

If Hezbollah goes away, then nothing changes in Lebanon: Lebanese identity isn't based on armed resistance. Israeli identity, however, has nothing else going for it besides armed conflict.

If conflicts were to go away, so would Israel. Israeli Jews would just be absorbed into whatever local culture they're in, just as they were prior to the formation of Israel (and just like they are outside of Israel). The remaining ones would be the ones engaging in armed conflict -- just as the original groups like Irgun and Lehi were.

edanm a day ago | root | parent | next |

What are you even talking about? Israel is a country with a population of 9 million people. Do you think if the conflicts stop, this population would just disappear or something?

Whatever the "Jewish identity" was in 1948, Israel now has more than 70 years of existence, giving it an independent identity from just "Judaism".

someotherperson 19 hours ago | root | parent |

Sure, what is that identity? Is there uniquely Israeli cuisine, dances, anything? What is the Israeli identity outside of an existential threat on Jews?

yoavm 18 hours ago | root | parent | next |

My most favorite food in the world is an Israeli dish - you should try it if you haven't already: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabich

We used to do a lot of Israeli Folk Dancing when I was a teenager: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_folk_dance

What else would you like to know?

someotherperson 16 hours ago | root | parent |

Quoting from your sources:

> The idea of the sabich sandwich was most likely created in Iraq

Yeah, it's about as Israeli as chicken schnitzel. It's just a regular Iraqi eggplant sandwich.

> Israeli folk dances were created as way of helping to create a new Israeli culture in the land of Israel

At least the developers of that folk dance appreciate the fact that there was (and still is) a distinct lack of any sort of national culture and have to _develop it_. Even still, from your source, these newly developed dances haven't reached any level of mainstream success save for the Horah which is Southern/Eastern European.

Note the original comment: "Israeli Jews would just be absorbed into whatever local culture they're in, just as they were prior to the formation of Israel."

yoavm 14 hours ago | root | parent |

> Yeah, it's about as Israeli as chicken schnitzel. It's just a regular Iraqi eggplant sandwich.

Ask any Iraqi if they know what a Sabich is, they'll say no. Show them a picture, they'll say they have never seen it. the "idea" was created in Iraq doesn't mean what you're trying to say it means.

> these newly developed dances haven't reached any level of mainstream success save for the Horah

That's a very funny way to read "In spite of the many changes in the values, dreams, and ways of life of the Israelis, many dances of the 1940s and 1950s remain popular. However, some of these dances are no longer danced. It is hard to specify which dances have fallen out of favour, but the Hora remains common".

But honestly - I think we're done here... It's been a pleasure giving you a taste of our culture. It's unclear to me why you think it's outrages that Israelis want to maintain a majority of Israelis in their country, while every other country does the same, and why you think it's weird that our food is inspired by our neighboring countries, even though that's true in literally every country in the world, and why you think it's a problem that we don't dance exactly like we did in the 50s anymore, even though, I sure hope you don't dance like your grandparents. But cheers! I don't know what country you come from, but I'm getting the impression that manners and respect to others isn't exactly part of the culture there.

someotherperson 13 hours ago | root | parent |

> Show them a picture, they'll say they have never seen it

I'm going to write this off as ignorance, given that it's classical Iraqi street food. You can have at at quite literally any Iraqi falafel spot, including in the diaspora. It's the same, through to the amba. The Kuwaitis call it "Mushakal" which just means "mixed", referring to adding everything (falafel, eggplant, cauliflower). But that's just an option, you can go eggplant exclusive.

> It's been a pleasure giving you a taste of our culture

Pleasure is all mine! I've visited multiple times, would visit again just for the turkey shawarma.

> why you think it's outrages that Israelis want to maintain a majority of Israelis in their country

Because Israeli here is being used as a synonym for Jewish, and that's racist. It's not only exclusionary to the non-Jewish Israelis but also sets a clear path forward that even in absolute peace, the Israeli view involves Jewish dominance in culture, population and government.

> even though that's true in literally every country in the world

I don't think the US (or most other developed countries) seek for ethnic or religious dominance. Most horrible countries do, though.

> it's weird that our food is inspired by our neighboring countries, even though that's true in literally every country in the world

Maybe sticking with Iraq, I'd encourage you to look at Persian, Turkish or Arab (i.e Saudi) cuisine and compare it to Iraqi cuisine. It's one thing to suggest there is influence, and it's another thing to carbon copy things and make it your national dish.

> and why you think it's a problem that we don't dance exactly like we did in the 50s anymore

Well given that these dances had all of a 20 year run, I wouldn't exactly call them cultural any more than calling Crank 'Dat by Soulja Boy an American cultural dance.

> I sure hope you don't dance like your grandparents

I do! Most places in the world have cultural dances that are shared and danced with their grandparents. Not too dissimilar from the Horrah :-)

> I don't know what country you come from, but I'm getting the impression that manners and respect to others isn't exactly part of the culture there

Sorry if it comes across as disrespectful, I've tried to be civil.

edanm 17 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

What are you even talking about? Do you think a country of 9 million that's existed for 70 years doesn't have any unique identity?

There's Israeli writing, Israeli music, Israeli theatre, Israeli dance... some of these are internationally famous. There's Israeli cuisine, a lot of which is based on other cuisines imported from countries that Jews fled from or were kicked out of.

And of course, there's all flavor of Israeli technology and other innovations, from agriculture to food to, of course, software and high tech.

What do you think Israelis are doing on a daily basis, sitting around worrying about existential threats on their life?

someotherperson 16 hours ago | root | parent |

> What are you even talking about? Do you think a country of 9 million that's existed for 70 years doesn't have any unique identity?

Yeah. It has no unique national identity. There's a lot of Jewish culture, sure, but I'm hoping we can distinguish Jewish culture from Israeli culture (i.e, Iran is a Muslim country but Iranian culture isn't a subset of Muslim culture).

> There's Israeli cuisine, a lot of which is based on other cuisines imported from countries that Jews fled from or were kicked out of

Agreed. That's the point here.

> What do you think Israelis are doing on a daily basis, sitting around worrying about existential threats on their life?

Israel as a nation, yes. You sort of reaffirmed that by adding "countries that Jews fled from or were kicked out of" in your reply. The existential threat quite literally shapes all of Israeli day-to-day culture. The agriculture, tech and everything else is based on that existential threat.

As I've mentioned elsewhere though, this lack of culture isn't unique to Israel, it's just heavily multiplied due to the population being a collection of diaspora. This might change over the next couple hundred years but it's equally wild to assume that a 70 year old country is somehow going to have anywhere near the same level of culture (and cultural resilience) as undisturbed groups.

edanm 14 hours ago | root | parent |

> As I've mentioned elsewhere though, this lack of culture isn't unique to Israel, it's just heavily multiplied due to the population being a collection of diaspora. This might change over the next couple hundred years but it's equally wild to assume that a 70 year old country is somehow going to have anywhere near the same level of culture (and cultural resilience) as undisturbed groups.

This statement makes sense - of course Israeli culture, being younger than, say, US culture, is less developed.

But that's not your original claim that I disagreed with, what you originally said was this:

> If conflicts were to go away, so would Israel. Israeli Jews would just be absorbed into whatever local culture they're in, just as they were prior to the formation of Israel (and just like they are outside of Israel)

There's a big difference between saying "the culture isn't quite unique" and implying that without conflicts, Israel would somehow disappear, and Jews would be absorbed into the surrounding culture (of what, Lebanon? Jordan?).

> Yeah. It has no unique national identity. There's a lot of Jewish culture, sure, but I'm hoping we can distinguish Jewish culture from Israeli culture

First of all, 20% of Israel's population isn't Jewish.

Secondly, I think the Israeli culture, even if only focusing on Israeli Jewish culture, is different from, say, American Jewish culture or other Jewish cultures around the world.

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

someotherperson 2 days ago | root | parent |

An ethno-nationalist state becoming more secular and less extremist? I'm intrigued. Do you believe that the settlements would stop and that Palestinians would be given Israeli citizenship? Would the Palestinians forced out of Israel be allowed to return in this case?

Or is this secular, less extremist, conflict-free Israel predicated on Israel continuing to be majority Jewish and with a Jewish government?

Edit for your edit: no, nothing to do with Jews. South + North Korea, Taiwan, Ukraine, Singapore, the baltic countries (Estonia etc). Various Arab countries too. In Israel's case the population are made of diaspora which multiplies the effect.

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

someotherperson 2 days ago | root | parent |

So in this hypothetical scenario where everything is flowers and sunshine, the secular, peaceful Israel is still an ethnostate with a two-state outcome that keeps its ethnic cleansing-attained Jewish majority.

It’s wild to me that this is what you consider the best case scenario in a situation where Israel is experiencing complete peace. And then ending it with an unintentional “nur für Deutsche” reference. The Sweden reference is especially apt, given that’s what the Swedish Antisemitic Union also used as a slogan[0]

> but most of the places Palestinians left during the war they started on Israel 1947

You really can’t help yourself huh.

[0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedish_Antisemitic_Union

yoavm a day ago | root | parent |

I never said "only for" - you're putting words in my mouth. I said that the idea that Israel will still have a Jewish majority isn't crazy, and can be seen in pretty much any other country in the world, yet it's "wild" to you only when it's happening in Israel.

Unfortunately recent history showed that it's quite an essential need for protecting Jews from genocide. If you have a better idea for how we can be sure that our government will not try to kill us because we're Jewish, I'm sure many Jews would love to hear it.

someotherperson 19 hours ago | root | parent |

Well I'm glad we've gone full circle here. I started off with "the entire notion of Israel as a concept is predicated on it being under constant existential threats" and you seem to also accept that now.

If conflicts were to stop, so would Israel. So Israel has a perverse incentive to keep the conflicts going -- largely explaining why Israel can't stop bombing its neighbours or trying to lobby others to bomb them. And why things like settlements won't ever stop.

yoavm 18 hours ago | root | parent |

That's skewed logic. The fact that Israel was originally created because Jews needed a safe haven doesn't mean that when they won't need it anymore it will disappear.

Also, from Israel's declaration of independence: "we extend our hand to all neighboring states and their peoples in an offer of peace and good neighborliness, and appeal to them to establish bonds of cooperation and mutual help with the sovereign Jewish people settled in its own land. The State of Israel is prepared to do its share in a common effort for the advancement of the entire Middle East."

Kinda odd for someone with incentive to keep the war going to say that, not to mention to sign peace agreements with the two neighbors it is sharing the longest borders with, Egypt and Jordan.

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

pphysch 2 days ago | root | parent |

Sorry, I can't take you seriously when you equate a clearly defined military-political organization ("Hezbollah") with a broad ethnoreligious group ("Jews"). That's totally absurd and borders on Holocaust denial.

yoavm a day ago | root | parent |

This is the first time ever someone blames me for Holocaust denial [0], but I'll give you another example then. If someone breaks into your house and tries to kill you, you might want to kill them too, but it's a little funny to say that there's symmetry there because "both want to kill each other!".

[0] to remove any doubt, I am not. I'm not sure how you got there, but I would insane to deny an event the took the lives of many from my family.

pphysch 11 hours ago | root | parent |

> If someone breaks into your house and tries to kill you, you might want to kill them too, but it's a little funny to say that there's symmetry

Remind me, between Lebanon or Hezbollah and Israel, which entity is currently occupying significant territories outside its UN-mandated borders?

grumple a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It is straightforward. There was no conflict there for that past decade plus, Hezbollah started attacking Israel in October to join their Islamic brethren.

mupuff1234 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I think the answer is fairly straightforward if you limit it to the current round in the conflict

Not to mention that Israel is no longer in Lebanon and Hezbollah can just stop firing rockets and the situation will go back to relative peace.

So sure the history is complicated, but current events are fairly straightfoward, you had relatively peaceful status que until Hezbollah broke it.

nick_ 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I mean... yes... if you limit any context by excluding important elements of the context the takeaways will be different.

mupuff1234 2 days ago | root | parent |

So given the context, why is Hezbollah not responsible for the current escalation?

Hezbollah was founded to drive Israel out of Lebanon, and Israel is no longer in Lebanon, so not sure how that context makes any difference to who started and is to blame for the current round of escalation.

nick_ 15 hours ago | root | parent |

You are implying that the context that matters is equal to the context where Israel hasn't done anything wrong. If you don't know you're doing that, I don't know what to tell you. Maybe you're used to entertaining a much less observant audience on this topic.

mupuff1234 2 hours ago | root | parent |

It's pretty simple - tell me why you think it's justified for Lebanon to attack Israel?

You're dancing around the "context" but not actually saying why that context makes it legitimate for Lebanon to attack based on the pre Oct 7th status quo. Sure Lebanon and Israel have some territorial dispute, but it's like 20 sq km, not something you should start a war for.

Lots of neighboring countries have a bloody history, that doesn't mean starting a new war is legitimate, right? Can Poland start firing rockets at Germany because Germany invaded them in the past?

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> The question is who started shooting rockets at the territory of the other.

I think you can always go back further. A good overview is this article on the history of Hezbollah-Israel conflict, with links to the various flare-ups:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hezbollah–Israel_conflict

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

What makes sense is going back to the last durable cessation of hostilities, not tracing every event back to the Battle of Jericho.

ineedasername a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Per that wikipedia entry this current conflict began with an attack on Israel. Hezbollah attacked a much more powerful enemy so a statement that stops at "they've both been doing it" does not accurately capture the casus belli:

"Israel and <strikethrough>Lebanon</strikethrough> Hezbollah have been firing across the border since an October 8th strike against Israel in 2023..." etc.

That is a more complete & accurate description.

bufferoverflow 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Citing openly anti-israeli sources like BBC and Al-Jazeera is not a way to prove your point.

Are you saying that their numbers are incorrect? If so share another link you trust more.

bufferoverflow 2 days ago | root | parent |

Attacks or responses to attacks?

You seem to conflate them.

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Attacks or responses to attacks?

Oh come on. I didn't say one side was retaliation and the other aggression. You are saying that. I said there were attacks on both sides. Whether one attack is raw aggression or defensive retaliation is very much in the eye of the beholder.

yieldcrv 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

is it embarrassing when your peers are getting paid to post and you aren’t

I find that concept fascinating and wonder how genuine opinions are on these topics and how that feels to actually harbor opinions that rely on moral superiority, something that the rest of us don’t feel is a useful or relevant distinction for any sovereign in that region

smokracek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

If the BBC is an anti-Israeli source, it sounds like you'll only accept very pro-Israel sources as true.

bufferoverflow 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

No. BBC is quite far-left. And far-left is almost 100% anti-Israel.

If you don't think BBC is far-left, count the articles with right-wing perspectives and left-wing perspectives.

lxgr 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

> if the pager network was compromised, thus burns the compromised network

I wouldn't necessarily call this type of attack a network compromise. All it takes is knowing the target phone numbers and sending a specific message, which is a paging network working exactly as designed. Phone detonated bombs have been a thing for a long time too.

Calling it a hardware supply chain attack seems more accurate.

elendee a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

it does seem like a purely escalatory move. wounding but not killing 1000+ of your deepest adversaries, slow clap... I'm sure Hezbollah will give up now that their pagers are destroyed.

gojomo 2 days ago | prev | next |

And you thought "Key Escrow" or "Chat Control" was bad!

Future maximum-security states may just require every mobile phone to have an explosive charge pre-installed, with the detonation-codes only available to the authorities, of course.

Then when they detect a device in active use by a [terrorist|child-pornographer|subversive|tax-evader], ka-blewie! Problem solved at the press of a button.

See also: 'Black Mirror' s3e6, 'Hated in the Nation'

guerrilla 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I have a better idea. Every politician has a bomb collar tied to their approval rating. ;)

cryptonector 20 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Italo Calvino wrote a short story about politicians having to sacrifice parts of their bodies in order to hold positions of power, like you'd have to have a hand chopped off to serve one term, a leg to serve another, and so on.

torginus a day ago | prev | next |

Honestly just slept on the thing and the story seems even more surreal to me now.

How come they needed to replace their pagers AT ONCE recently? Has there been some great breakthrough in pager technology? I have a 5 year old phone and no desire to replace it for at least a couple years more.

How come everyone had the EXACT same model? Even if the Israelis didn't compromise it, even the most incompetent intelligence agency would notice somebody ordering thousands of an item with an usual order count of zero.

Anyone with a very basic knowledge of supply chain attacks knows you don't buy just one kind of item. If they bought fifty different kinds of pagers, this attack would've been impossible.

I'm sure even in benign cases, placing an order of thousands of items on some niche product causes a lead time of months/weeks. Never mind that the Israelis had to painstakingly modify every single one under the cloak of secrecy. Didn't that raise any flags?

And after they did order thousands of the same item, they didn't bother opening up even a single one?

Honestly I don't think incompetence could explain this, I'm 99% sure Hezbollah is compromised at a high level.

gamer191 a day ago | root | parent | next |

> How come they needed to replace their pagers AT ONCE recently?

Hezbollah recently switched to using only pagers for communication, because they were worried about Israel hacking their phones. It's likely they all bought pagers at the same time because of that, because I doubt any of them would have owned pagers already

timcambrant a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I agree with all of your questions. But covert organizations fall victims for this type of vulnerability all the time. Operation Trojan Shield and the ANOM network is one example. Operation Firewall and the ShadowCrew takedown was another. I believe LulzSec was taken down by bad opsec in the internal IRC channel as well. Bin Laden wasn't able to mix up his use of couriers and locations enough to stay hidden forever. It's easy for us to see the mistakes and point out that the criminals should have been more diligent or mixed up their operations more, but that would take more effort than anyone can consistently give over time.

Operational security is really hard and requires constant dedication which most organizations can't keep up over time. Eventually the most professional organizations will slip up and make some of the mistakes you point out above. It's very likely that someone has spies or informants inside organizations such as Hizbollah and Hamas. But this can also have been a lapse in standard operations that was finally detected and exploited by Mossad after actively watching for a long time.

gee_totes 2 days ago | prev | next |

Maybe a dumb question, but I wonder if this was a software attack or IL was able to modify the physical pagers that are issued during Hezbollah onboarding. If this was a pure software attack, are only pagers susceptible? Or are we unknowingly carrying around bombs in our pocket, waiting for the counterattack?

rtkwe 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

If the description of "exploding" and "tearing [a] bag to shreds" are accurate then it has to be a physical modification of the pagers, lithium ion batteries don't explode with a lot of force when they go up.

wing-_-nuts 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

There's no way the little battery in a pager has enough energy to do this. This is a 'supply chain attack' by the Israelis. An ingenious one at that.

dredmorbius 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

NB: that's probably backwards. Batteries contain a lot of energy, they just don't release it particularly quickly.

Most explosives have relatively low energy density, however the energy they have is released far faster than with conventional fuels. By unit mass, TNT (or other comparable explosives such as C4, RDX, etc.) have about 1/10th the energy as liquid petroleum fuels (petrol, diesel, kerosene).

Though again most battery technologies also have fairly low energy densities. But those are probably roughly comparable with most mainstream explosives.

TNT has an energy density of 4.184 MJ/kg.

A LiON battery: 0.36–0.875 MJ/kg.

Motorola pagers (a widely used type) seem to typically take a 3.5V 500mAh battery, which if I'm doing my conversions correctly (mAh * V * 3.6) works out to about 23 kilojoule. That would be the energy equivalent of ~5g TNT. A light charge, but one you wouldn't want going off on your hip.

(Note: I've corrected an off-by-an-order-of-1,000 error above, earlier read 23 MJ / 180g TNT. As I said, I'm not entirely certain of my calculations, which are using the Wikipedia energy densities noted and GNU Units.)

<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_density>

Again, batteries won't explode as footage of the presumed Israeli attack on Hezbolla members shows. But they do contain appreciable energy. It would more likely burn rapidly at worst case.

amluto 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Motorola pagers (a widely used type) seem to typically take a 3.5V 500mAh battery, which if I'm doing my conversions correctly (mAh * V * 3.6) works out to about 23 MJ.

Batteries should really quote energy, not charge, for this reason. The voltage is not a constant.

But something’s wrong with your math. Even assuming a constant 3.5V, that’s 1.75Wh, and 1Wh is 3600J, so that’s 6300J.

23MJ would drive a car a respectable distance :)

aitchnyu 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Why waste it on a clever show instead of stalking their owners silently?

hersko 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The "clever show" has caused a mass casualty event of Hezbollah fighters. I would say it was an extremely effective attack.

diggan 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

wing-_-nuts 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

diggan 2 days ago | root | parent |

Not sure if you've seen any of the videos that have circulated, but the created explosions was bigger than just getting a bruise on the waist from it. Seems it'd be enough to stand next to someone with one of those pagers to get hurt by it.

flutas 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I think the intent was to disable a bunch of fighters honestly.

Make the pager ring, they grab it, it explodes in their hand disabling them for life and making them useless for the soldier role.

lxgr 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The entire point of using one-way pagers (instead of phones or other two-way communication devices) is that they're effectively impossible to locate.

A supply chain attack could have probably added some sort of beacon, but that might show up on an RF sweep.

piva00 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Probably because they have been stalking for a while, and this escalation is a precursor to further action. Destroying lines of communication is usually done before military action.

jimbob45 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I think the "clever show" was the point. The physical damage may not actually justify the investment here. You need the resultant paranoia and suspicion from Hezbollah or it wasn't worth putting resources into.

mminer237 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

They 100% had a explosive added inside. Batteries cannot explode like that.

diggan 2 days ago | root | parent |

Assuming a lithium battery and control over the firmware+power draw, couldn't you theoretically make the battery output more charge than safe, leading to at least overheating and maybe more?

I also find it unlikely this was just a remote attack rather than supply chain, but with little to no details we can only assume for now.

AlbertCory a day ago | root | parent | prev |

If you put yourself in the position of Hezbollah's IT chief, you get a different picture than this question assumes.

Let's assume you're somewhat competent and aware of supply chain vulnerabilities.

Let's also assume that pagers are not that popular anymore, and you insist on a pager that's completely passive. It can't emit any signals at all, or the Mossad would track it.

So you probably find some supplier of gear to the Iranians and other non-Western countries, and give them your specifications. That supplier is reliable, you think. It probably listens to a signal that Hez and only Hez transmits. It's Security By Obscurity, the choice of naive buyers everywhere.

You certainly don't buy anything off the shelf. Well, we know what's wrong with Security By Obscurity: Mossad only has to decipher one secret.

andyjohnson0 2 days ago | prev | next |

> The affected pagers were from a new shipment that Hezbollah had received in recent days, according to sources familiar with the matter cited by the Wall Street Journal.

Presumably someone, likely Israel, intercepted them before they got to Hezbollah and added an explosive payload that could be remotely triggered.

Hard to see how a remote exploit could detonate the battery, which was my initial thought.

flutas 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Hard to see how a remote exploit could detonate the battery

Especially seeing as pagers typically use more stable NiMH batteries over lithium ones.

msq 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

> Hard to see how a remote exploit could detonate the battery

If that is the case - we have a problem...

vander_elst 2 days ago | prev | next |

From a legal perspective, are there any regulations on these kinds of attacks? Meaning, are they allowed? Are they considered a war crime or maybe this is still a gray area?

oytis 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

It's not that there is a list of approved ways to attack your enemy. Inventing new ways to take enemy by surprise is absolutely a part of warfare. What's important from legal perspective is the ratio between military effect and collateral damage. In this case so far it seems it was better than if conventional warfare was used.

ebcode a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

If the pagers had been equipped with lasers that caused blindness, there is a Geneva Convention protocol going back to 1995[0].

I would like to think that the spirit behind that protocol is that the intent to cause permanent blindness in your opponent should be considered a crime. And not that it's not a crime so long as you don't use a laser to do it.

So you can put me in the camp of "this should be considered a war crime", even if it's not in any books yet.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convention_on_Certain_Conventi...

hajile 21 hours ago | root | parent |

If the pager was sent a message that would encourage the soldier to bring the pager to their face, it would certainly fall under an intentionally blinding attack.

csomar 2 days ago | prev | next |

Can we have this thread back and make it strictly technical?

rsync 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

No.

The discussion should meander in any direction the votes and scoring allow it to.

If the voting supports it, it is on topic ipso facto.

robot_no_421 2 days ago | root | parent |

Not at all, that's why we have moderators. Hacker news is interesting because they stay focused on the right topics. If you let people just talk about whatever they want, you're just gonna get an inferior Reddit. Topic != "Whatever we want to talk about", the topic is very often the technical and technological aspects of a story or article. Talking about politics on HN is definitely "off topic".

dredmorbius 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Email mods at hn@ycombinator.com if you see a pervasive violation of HN's comment guidelines.

Flagging and voting also help, but for wildly out-of-control threads, direct contact is more reliable.

IG_Semmelweiss 2 days ago | prev | next |

One aspect here that is not commented on but has long-term security implications:

Assuming these were indeed Hezbollah devices, its likely every single Hezbollah operative now has an identifying wound, possibly a missing limb or wound at the hip level. The wound may be in fact, unmistakable.

What happens later with the lebanese armed forces and with IDF, when they see the ops in the open, its anyone's guess

repelsteeltje 2 days ago | root | parent |

I might be misinterpreting, but news coverage seems to say that Hezbollah fighters as well as medical personnel were injured. That might mean that the attack was aimed at pagers rather than Hezbollah pagers.

Such lack of precision would be what you'd expect in any kind of operation targeting so many devices.

lovelearning a day ago | root | parent |

Those medical personnel may also be members of Hezbollah. Doctors, nurses, and emergency responders can have ideological beliefs. For example, in my country, there are medical personnel with far-right and extremist views, some even holding leadership positions in such ideological organizations.

repelsteeltje a day ago | root | parent | prev |

It's surely possible and or even plausible ideology has infiltrated civic institutions. Still it's quite a stretch to assume any victim of what looks like a supply chain attack is guilty, simply because of the scale of the attack.

izwasm 2 days ago | prev | next |

8 year old girl was dead there, not only hezbollah members uses it, hospitals uses it too

wsc981 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

If it's a child sitting on the lap with her father, and her father is related to Hezbollah (and as such carrying a pager), this stuff could happen, I think.

All in all horrible to be honest ...

morkalork 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Apparently a message was sent to the pagers right before exploding. I saw in a couple videos where the victim looked down at their hip and angled it to see the screen. It makes sense as a trick to ensure the target is close by when it goes off, but a kid could just as easily pick it up off a table after hearing it buzz.

sys32768 2 days ago | prev | next |

Sounds like Israel added plastic explosives to pagers and managed to supply them to Hezbollah. Then, I assume, they triggered only those pagers belonging to known operatives. I'm guessing some did not explode and we'll get to see the device inside and possibly understand the mechanism.

pvaldes a day ago | prev | next |

Hmm. I have a couple of politic fiction questions. Lets would imagine that somebody takes a flight with a pager or a second-hand bought phone.

1) How could be sure that there is not a small amount of explosive hidden in their devices or batteries?.

Most devices are sealed. Would the phone smell like something in particular? Would be detected by dogs or x-rays? (I assume that a tiny amount of explosive can be put inside a battery or anything, enough to start a chain reaction with the whole battery while remains hidden to x-rays).

2) What would be the legal path on the defense of this person? just "I didn't knew" does not seem very convincing in a trial. If somebody manipulates a phone are the data stored somewhere?

kart23 2 days ago | prev | next |

someone in the US government is probably freaking out about all these iphones and macbooks made in china right now.

hollerith 7 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Actually, I trust Apple's hardware security enough that I think it is probably impossible for anyone in China (even though they have physical access to the devices) to alter an iPhone or Macbook so that its own electronics can be used to trigger any explosive the attacker might install in the device, so in addition to an explosive, the attacker would need to install his own radio receiver. And the attacker probably won't be able to use the device's electronics to eavesdrop on the device's user, so no ability to tell whether the user is in the group the attacker wants to target unless again the attacker installs his own electronics (including radio transmitter) to do the eavesdropping.

morwanger 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

underlipton 2 days ago | root | parent |

This is a little over-the-top, but I do agree that the clinical way some are handling this understates the horror of what's happening. These people were at home or running errands or at work, not pointing a gun at anyone at that particular moment.

talldayo 2 days ago | root | parent |

With fairness though, this is exactly the risk we run as an importer-state of electronics that cannot secure our own supply chains. We've been dealing with the digital risk of backdoored electronics for the better half of a decade; physical risks were only a matter of time.

There exists meaningful mitigation (eg. inspect imported electronics at random) but ultimately this risk is our just-deserts as Americans. If our smartphone and car manufacturers didn't take their jobs to other countries, then we'd be able to sleep a whole lot easier. Turns out, there is a bipartisan interest in making America hostile to manufacturing jobs.

ChrisArchitect 2 days ago | prev | next |

Was going to ask how common pagers were, but suppose still used by emergency services etc and especially in warzones of questionable cell network reliability

bewaretheirs 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah reportedly bans its members from carrying cell phones and has them carry pagers instead:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/pagers-drones-how-...

bluescrn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

That was a mistake. If they'd gone for the thinnest smartphone they could buy, there'd be no chance of anybody hiding a small bomb inside it.

rdl 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Assuming you aren't joking: Pagers are receive-only, which is why they'd use them in preference to cellphones, which transmit even when just idling to register on cells.

LinuxBender 2 days ago | root | parent |

Pagers are receive-only

This has not been true for some time. Pagers attach to a network in the same way a cell phone does. It is true they are more reliable in the receive only sense, as they can receive the broadcast message in the area they last attached to and the acknowledgment is not required to see the message but they do indeed transmit.

aenis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Thats an interesting attack vector on its own. Who does not regularly carry a phone with them these days?

bee_rider 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Although, if I was an intelligence agency or police force, I’d definitely give pagers a second look, right? Like they have uses but somebody picking a pager over a cellphone is doing something unusual—maybe something unusual and good, like running an emergency services organization, but still unusual enough to take a second look.

Bluescreenbuddy 2 days ago | prev | next |

So no one has a credible source on how and why the exploded? Because the mostly likely answer is they were intercepted and rigged with explosives

saintradon a day ago | prev | next |

This is why Chinese made electric cars are a bad idea in America.

But Kudos to Israel for pulling off a surgical strike the likes of which we've never seen before.

briandw 2 days ago | prev | next |

Let's assume that the battery in the pager is replaced with half C4 half battery. AA battery weighs about 20-25g, so 12.5g C4 total. 12.5g of C4 has roughly 84,000J of energy. For comparison, a 62 grain 5.56 NATO round has about 1,700 J of kinetic energy. The C4 is undirected, so the target is getting a fraction of the impact, but that much C4 detonating near your body is going to do some serious damage.

tmnvix 2 days ago | prev | next |

Aside from the death and injury, what concerns me about this is why now?

There is little doubt in my mind that the Prime Minister of Israel is highly motivated to engage in a wider war and drag the US along.

This mass bombing could well be in preparation for imminent further action - such as an invasion of Lebanon. Regardless, the escalation this represents is extremely concerning.

HL33tibCe7 a day ago | root | parent | next |

On the other hand, one could view this a show of force to try and scare Hezbollah away from further escalation

esjeon a day ago | root | parent |

UN Security Council Resolution 1566 outlines what is considered as terrorism:

"criminal acts, including against civilians, committed with the intent to cause death or serious bodily injury, or taking of hostages, with the purpose to provoke a state of terror in the general public or in a group of persons or particular persons, intimidate a population or compel a government or an international organization to do or to abstain from doing any act."

If their purpose was really about scaring Hezbollah away, this attack can be labelled as terrorism. I'm pretty sure politicians have different ideas there.

solidninja a day ago | root | parent |

Ah words hardly mean anything these days. It very clearly is terrorism but you won't ever hear any politician in the west calling it that.

esjeon 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Yeah, true. It's either terrorism or borderline-terrorism at least. But people still gotta talk if they're not willing to wage another war against each other. We clearly have too many wars going around, so politicians will have to forge up some bullshit excuses.

i2km 2 days ago | prev | next |

So, if the method was to substitute the batteries for ones containing explosives, then how were they triggered simultaneously?

Wouldn't this also require some additional HW/SW in the pagers to trigger the devices? Otherwise, if it was just battery terminals connecting to the battery, how would a remote signal trigger them?

Or maybe it's as simple as the adulterated batteries containing timers and thus not needing external triggering?

ridgeguy 2 days ago | prev | next |

These were detonations, not batteries gone wild. A few grams of common explosives like PETN could have been dabbed to look like a small component in a pager. An exploding bridge wire (EBW) detonator can be blown by a charge pumped array of small low voltage capacitors charged in parallel, then switched to discharge in series. No booster needed.

tamimio 2 days ago | prev | next |

I highly doubt that it’s a result of hacking the battery power management. Lithium batteries don’t explode the way I have seen these pagers do so far. They usually smoke or start catching fire before they explode due to overheating, which should’ve given enough time to dispose of them. But what happened is sudden and strong. Definitely, something extra was added and was activated remotely later.

c0rn3l1us 2 days ago | prev | next |

It's just a matter of knowing your battery's power management firmware. You can overload the power control circuits that pagers or smartphones by creating a massive surge (sending signals to the IGBT drivers) that will cause the battery to explode. If the battery is moderately charged, the explosion is devastating. Hacker teams from the notorious Israeli ShinBet know of many bugs of this type.

glenstein 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Other comments here are suggesting it was more likely a real explosive put in as part of a physical supply chain attack. Anyone able to say which is more plausible?

oldgradstudent 2 days ago | root | parent |

The WSJ report claims that:

> The official said some people felt the pagers heat up and disposed of them before they burst.

Sounds more like a battery explosion, but it's way too early to tell.

ensignavenger 2 days ago | root | parent |

It is possible that there was an explosive planted, plus some sort of thermal detonator that was triggered electronically, or even that the battery was used as a thermal detonator to detonate an explosive.

While the Note 7 exploded with quite a bit of force, they never caused injuries like these, and the Note 7 likely had much bigger battery than these pagers had.

We won't know for sure until the devices have been examined.

anonss 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

But how did just that specific software model explode and not the previous ones? Shouldn’t your case apply to all models then?

markus_zhang 2 days ago | prev | next |

A question for more knowledgeable users: What CPU does Apollo AP-900 Pager use? I tried to search the Internet but found nothing.

nntwozz 2 days ago | prev | next |

What a dystopian time to be alive.

Next thing we got Teslas driving off a cliff or AirPods exploding in peoples ears.

zelphirkalt 2 days ago | prev | next |

They must really be in desperate need for more conflict to keep their population at bay. For Netanyahu certainly conflicts come at a convenient time. First he tried to swing himself up to dictator like figure, taking away power from judiciary, tens of thousands of people go to protest. Then October 7 happens. Suddenly a war keeps him in power. Now that that has been going on, and hundreds of thousands are on the streets, they are doing many things to provoke another conflict/war. I think if they fail to keep Israel in a war-like state, his days will be over quickly. He knows that, so he tries to escalate. Not that Iran and their allies aren't provoking and escalating either, but for Netanyahu this is all very convenient.

CydeWeys 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

You're forgetting that tens of thousands of Israelis from the north of Israel have been homeless and internally displaced since shortly after October 7th when Hezbollah started indiscriminately targeting Israeli residential neighborhoods in North Israel with rockets, artillery, and ATGMs, killing several civilians. This is not a tenable state of affairs, not militarily, nor politically. Israel is going to address it one way or another, one day or another, and perhaps they're starting now.

So in one sense you're right that it's to keep their population at bay -- because their population is absolutely fed up with the situation in North Israel and how people have been homeless for nearly a year now and a huge swath of the northern part of the country, will billions of dollars in real estate in total, is uninhabitable. And if this government can't provide security for its citizens, which is the most important thing a government can do by the way, then it will be replaced with one that can.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The opposite is probably more true. By the admission of some of Netanyahu's own command staff, the only reason the IDF is still committed in Gaza is to keep Netanyahu in power; as soon as Gaza is resolved, he's likely to be ousted (and then to face criminal charges). Israel cannot stay fully engaged in Gaza and open up a conventional military front in southern Lebanon. If we're using this kind of logic --- message board logic, let's be clear --- today's action harms Netanyahu's immediate interests, by hastening the point at which the IDF will substantially withdraw from Gaza.

underdeserver 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I'm pretty sure that if the IDF is committed in Lebanon it's no different from Gaza, as far as the ousting process is concerned.

Do you have a source for that command staff admission?

There are still hostages in Gaza. Until they're either released or proven dead I would guess Gaza would still be counted as "unresolved".

esjeon a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Yup, Netanyahu is certainly taking advantage of the situation to secure his position, at the cost of innocent lives and the expense of the United States. As long as Israel remains committed to its purely-Jewish-state ideal, the conflict will continue, draining more money from US taxpayers.

spacephysics 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Like George Carlin said, “you don’t need a formal conspiracy when interests converge”

There are other governments who also benefit from war in the region that most likely have a hand in encouraging, directly or indirectly, for continued conflict.

bamboozled 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

anovick 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

ertian 2 days ago | root | parent |

Populations tend to unite when confronted with an immediate hostile threat. George Bush's popularity shot from 50% to 90% overnight after 9/11. There's always a sense that "we need to solve this before we get back to our infighting". I mean, that's an argument for why Hamas attacked in the first place (and tends to attack periodically): to keep the Palestinian population united behind them, if only out of fear of Israel.

I doubt the commenter meant it as an antisemitic attack.

shmatt 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Unfortunately Netanyahu has gained and lost the prime minister position multiple times without wars. He's just somewhat popular. Between his first government in 1995 and today, people forget there were prime ministers Sharon, Olmert, Barak, Lapid, Bennet, just 18 months before 10/07 his opposition was in power. Did they not have any part of ignoring the preperations?

Even if he would have lost his position if 10/07 never happened, history has shown he always ends up back in leadership due to a million+ voters for his own party, and millions of votes for other religious and right wing parties.

People can rightfully hate them all they want, but he has the votes, and Israel doesn't have a limit on the number of times you can be prime minister

This is only half joking but the only "solution" to the Netanyahu problem is to replace the voters

figassis a day ago | prev | next |

Gold Apollo, the company whose brand was on the devices says they did not manufacture them, they only licensed their brand to BAC, a Hungarian company. Well, I'm sure income from licensing fees in their accounting books say differently. You profit from it, you should pay for it. Any other way to see this will allow this type of vulnerability to spread and the buck will stop nowhere.

L0stLink a day ago | prev | next |

It is quite disturbing to read some of the comments on this post, there is so much opinion forming done to prop up Israel (an apartheid state) as a bastion of civility in an otherwise sea of "terrorism" that people have become blind to the 7.5 decades of state terrorism done by them. The dehumanization of the victims has reached disturbing proportions.

KaiserPro a day ago | root | parent | next |

I'm still not really sure why Isreal causes such polarised emotions.

However, one thing is certain, this level of polarisation is not going to help.

The "fixing" of Israel and its neighbours requires a change of attitude from many people, including us.

Currently, there are no "good guys" only future victims.

Its all to easy to see someone bomb civilians and say "well yeah its justified because they did it first." Ok, I understand, but how do you get to a state where that doesn't happen again?

There are other wars we can draw some parallels from that might help. Most notably is the irish civil war in the 6 counties (1919-200x). Britian went round shooting anyone that looked like the IRA, and the IRA went round shooting andbombing, the UDF et all also bombed and shot whomever they thought were wrong.

THe war intensified, but it was only when all the players started talking did something good happen (Ireland, UK, USA)

The problem here is that the number of parties that need to talk are quite high, and two of the main actors are currently run be recalcitrant pricks.

L0stLink a day ago | root | parent | next |

The reasons behind these polarized emotions will differ based on who you ask and are too many to list. Both sides feel entitled to the land, I personally don't care what the place is called, I just want everyone living in it to have equal rights and for justice to exist in the land. But that requires persecution and killing to end – which I don't see happening in the foreseeable future as tragic as that is.

Arkhaine_kupo a day ago | root | parent | prev |

> I'm still not really sure why Isreal causes such polarised emotions.

Not to state the obvious but the largeest distinction between israel and every other country its that its a mostly jewish country.

> THe war intensified, but it was only when all the players started talking did something good happen

The bigger issue here is that while talks have been attempted many times, there is a sense on both sides of bad faith negotiations. In Ireland, bad as it was, there was a feeling the other side "would get too much" but not that they were outright lying about their aims.

> The problem here is that the number of parties that need to talk are quite high

There is also the problem of little value to human life. Religious fanatism, afterlife promises and even goverment sponsored programs such as martyr funds have devalued human life to a point where here is little basis on what to use as foundational goal for peace.

hajile 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

My US tax dollars don't generally go to other groups of terrorists while everyone gives a standing ovation to a terrorist leader.

Arkhaine_kupo 2 hours ago | root | parent |

American funding to Saudi Arabia permitted tons of funding for terrorists groups in the region. Saudi has also bombed 400k people in Yemen with American missiles and planes. 9/11 had Saudi pilots. Pakistan an ally for the US helped hide Osama Bin Laden. Mujahadeen had CIA funding and just recently Trump invited the Taliban to Camp David where allies of the US are honoured.

If you somehow think that Israel funding is unique, specially in that region, you are not paying attention.

Which again begs the question, why is Israel singularly called out.

KaiserPro 16 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

> other country its that its a mostly jewish country.

I mean yeah that was a thing, but I would suggest that its less of a unique part as it once was.

> Religious fanatism, afterlife promises

I mean that's a strong motivator, but sectarianism isn't new or unique to this conflict. Moreover its only part of the story. People are fighting because someone they knew has been injured, killed or suffered from this war. Yes there are people who are also into making a new eden or some shit, but they are often only a small but tediously vocal minority.

Arkhaine_kupo an hour ago | root | parent |

> I would suggest that its less of a unique part as it once was.

I would argue its more relevant than ever. Anti semitism is on the rise globally. Multiple groups like Russia and Iran have made it the corner stone of some of its geopolitical strategy. The whole Soros is behind every disaster in the West is a russian psy op. Covid vaccines are jewish experiments on people is blood libel and also russian funded. Trans people and immigration waves are jewish plots to destabilise the west, another russian op. Half the right wing influencer peddle in antisemitism or related conspiracies left right and centre. Jordan peterson neo marxism, stephen miller (Trumps advisor) great replacement theory etc

With that amount of misinformation spreading without control in social media, a uniquely jewish country is a perfect target for the misdirected anger.

See a genocide in Sudan getting 0 attention while the first week after Oct 7th, before any large Israel counter offensive there were already groups organising anti war protests and marches.

> sectarianism isn't new or unique to this conflict

Sectarianism is less of a problem. Its the religious aspect. If I think there is no afterlife I would protect my children, if I believe death at war is the most holy thing there is you end up with figures like Mother of martyrs,Umm Nidal, who was the first woman elected in Gaza in the election Hamas won. She was a viral figure because of a video telling her 17 year old boy to go and kill jews and not come home, he went to a university and shot 5 people and injured 23 before being shot down during the second intifada.

No other conflict has mothers begging their underage kids to go kill civilians. You will not see videos in Ukraine of mother asking babies to fight. Because that is an insane thing to do and really makes political compromise really difficult when human life's value is rendered worthless.

There is also the issue of Israel not caring about Palestinian lives, that has less to do with religion but the constant state of threat the entire country is under has given the military a shoot first ask later approach that again really devalues life.

> People are fighting because someone they knew has been injured, killed or suffered from this war.

Revenge does not explain a conflict that has been going on for a century or more. There was unrest from the late 1800s in the region with the first waves of Jewish immigration. No one knew somoene injured back then.

From a current stand point, after losing in 1946,1947, 1956, 1967, 1983,2002 and 2014 you would at some point just concede, set peace terms and then use diplomacy for compromise post war talks. Kinda what Ireland did, they lost, gave up the terrorism and fought in the courts and internationally for rights and governance over the region. Northern ireland being part of Ireland was closer during brexit than at any point during the IRA.

Palestine really has no more fight and still rejects every 2 state solution due to disagreeing on terms. Which I get that losing parts of east jerusalmen and the settlement locations are insulting to them, but they had those in 1947 and still turned it down which makes it hard to know what they would actually agree to.

walrushunter 20 hours ago | root | parent | prev | next |

It's amazing how little empathy you can have for a country that had 1000+ of its civilians murdered just because it's a primarily Jewish country.

talldayo 15 hours ago | root | parent |

As long as nobody's forgetting the Qibya massacre I don't really think much empathy is lost. It's a dirty war fought by ideologically-motivated pundits on both sides. The current US administration can barely even show their support for Israel without being (rightfully) questioned on the morality of supporting things like the Hannibal directive and Dahiya doctrine.

If this was just about Israel being a primarily Jewish country, there would be no discussion. It is more broadly about the IDF pushing the boundary of war in ways that makes other first-world countries uncomfortable by association.

ksaj 2 days ago | prev | next |

The reason you are asked to prove your laptop can boot at airport security is that batteries and bombs have similar densities.

It would be pretty straight forward to rig a pager to run off of one battery while the other is an explosive charge made to look like the actual battery.

yonran 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

So how do you think that airport security will adjust to the widespread knowledge that you can hide an explosive alongside the battery?

ksaj 20 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Especially now that it is abundantly clear that a pager's batteries are large enough to be replaced by quite an effective bomb. And cell phones are a fair amount larger than pagers.

It seems the pager bombs only killed the users. But they also harmed a lot of people around them.

ben7799 19 hours ago | root | parent | prev |

They have other ways to detect explosives.

I've had my stuff tested for explosives, and it did not involve turning anything on.

Circlecrypto2 2 days ago | prev | next |

I'd love a technical write up on how this is possible. Is it RF based or the battery being exploited?

bluescrn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

"Intelligence agency intercepts batch of pagers and swaps out the internals" seems the most likely.

If the footage on Twitter is legit, there was something more explosive than a battery inside those pagers.

mminer237 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Israel infiltrated the supply chain and inserted a bomb into the device configured to be detonated 3 seconds after a specific message is received. Then they waited x months and sent the page.

siva7 2 days ago | prev | next |

Seems like the israeli knew who these devices were addressed for, intercepted them and added explosives.

tptacek 2 days ago | prev | next |

Well, James Mickens sure called this one.

jgrahamc 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Could you explain for the uninitiated?

gromgull 2 days ago | root | parent |

this is the funniest thing I've read in a long time. Everyone should go read it now!

pbronez 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

"""

In the real world, threat models are much simpler (see Figure 1). Basically, you’re either dealing with Mossad or not-Mossad. If your adversary is not-Mossad, then you’ll probably be fine if you pick a good pass-word and don’t respond to emails from ChEaPestPAiNPi11s@virus-basket.biz.ru. If your adversary is the Mossad, YOU’RE GONNA DIE AND THERE’S NOTHING THAT YOU CAN DO ABOUT IT. The Mossad is not intimidated by the fact that you employ https://. If the Mossad wants your data, they’re going to use a drone to replace your cellphone with a piece of uranium that’s shaped like a cellphone, and when you die of tumors filled with tumors, they’re going to hold a press conference and say “It wasn’t us” as they wear t-shirts that say “IT WAS DEFINITELY US,” and then they’re going to buy all of your stuff at your estate sale so that they can directly look at the photos of your vacation instead of reading your insipid emails about them.

"""

Pretty wild that this mentions a mobile device supply chain attack explicitly.

dadrian 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Nah, it's like how the existence of Star Trek influences future development of technology. Did Mickens call it, or did the Mossad get the idea from Mickens?

wiz21c a day ago | prev | next |

How do you intercept so many beepers ?

- you have to know they have been ordered

- you have to know when they are sent (from Europe)

- you have to intercept them (in which country ?)

- to modify them

- to put them back in the delivery (so you have ties with the shipping company)

- without nobody noticing

So Israel was likely not alone, or they have agents in many places...

dncornholio a day ago | root | parent |

I don't think they intercepted. Think they just bought the pagers, prepared them and sold them directly to Hezbollah in one big batch.

ajb 2 days ago | prev | next |

Tangentially related - Hezbollah used pagers because they could not trust mobiles. One reason is that mobile basebands are locked down: if they weren't, it's quite possible that by now someone would have implemented a baseband firmware which preserves opsec, that could be used on (rooted) phones . That is probably one of the reasons why governments are hostile to modifiable radio firmware.

runjake 2 days ago | prev | next |

I haven't seen images of the damage, but the difference in damage between an exploding lithium ion battery and 10-15 grams of RDX explosives is going to be "night and day", as they say.

Edit: OK, I've seen some videos. Looks like much less than 10-15g of RDX levels of explosions.

vincentpants a day ago | prev | next |

Weren't these people mostly emergency responders? Like doctors and EMTs? And yes, killed several, but also injured thousands? I'm a little concerned by the vocabulary used in the op title.

charbroiled a day ago | root | parent | next |

Hezbollah started encouraging its operatives to switch to pagers months ago, out of fear that Israel would compromise or had compromised their cell phones.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/pagers-drones-how-...

It seems likely that a significant number of the thousands injured were Hezbollah militants. How significant? We’ll have to wait for the numbers.

I haven’t seen any indication that the exploding pagers were held by emergency responders in a significant quantity. Do you have a source for that?

vincentpants a day ago | root | parent |

A lot of what I have been following is from here[1] and mentions: - "Today's attacks exposed many members at various levels. While the group says many of those injured are medical staff or administrative personnel and not fighters..." as well as - "Then we started seeing CCTV from inside shops and supermarkets of these small explosions targeting people doing their groceries or paying at the checkout.

Then for hours on end [we heard] the wail of sirens. The internal security forces were asking people to get off the streets because traffic was overwhelming the city."

And from my understanding of that region's geopolitics, isn't Hezbollah a political party? So this is like reading about a nation state blanket bombing targets that are of members of the Republican party right?

[1]: https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cwyl9048gx8t

vincentpants a day ago | root | parent | next |

I just noticed my use of 'mostly' which unintentionally is doing more heavy lifting than it should. I was incorrect to use that word, but the point remains.

js4ever a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Yeah if course it was all journalists kids pregnant doctors. Not Hezbollah members carrying Hezbollah pagers /s

gadders a day ago | prev | next |

There must be a bit of tradecraft involved.

How did Mossad ensure these particular pagers were bought? Who was the salesperson that (presumably) gave Hezbollah a good deal on them?

RIMR 2 days ago | prev | next |

The reports right now are that these were ordinary pagers and that some sort of software attack overloaded the batteries and caused them to explode.

But I work lithium batteries. I've overloaded lithium batteries before and let them explode for safety testing. The videos released of these things exploding on people doesn't look anything like what I would expect, especially not from something as small as a pager battery. You would need to seal lithium batteries in a metal tube or something to cause that kind of explosion.

I highly suspect that this was a supply chain attack, and that there's a high explosive charge hidden in these things, with some sort of radio backdoor that allows them to be detonated by whoever controls these things.

shartshooter a day ago | prev | next |

Would the explosives in these pagers have been caught by something like TSA? I could imagine that at please *some* of the owners had to have flown with them.

Were they caught? If not, why not?

creato a day ago | root | parent |

Hezbollah is considered a terrorist organization by most countries that also have airport security. I really doubt the people with these pagers would go anywhere near a TSA checkpoint.

ilikeitdark 2 days ago | prev | next |

Question: what's the possibility of doing this with non-tampered with modern mobile phones?

Many phones today have a 5000mah battery, which I'm assuming could be triggered to overheat via a malicious app or webpage. Imagine this being used on a grand scale.

cebu_blue 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

OK you just have to prevent it on OS level tbab. So the battery temperature doesn't go higher than a certain level.

moffkalast 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I seriously doubt there is any way at all for software to trigger a dead short, and even if you did, the path would burn out quickly and the hardware only BMS part would cut power due to the massive voltage drop.

talldayo 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

It's not easy. Lithium-ion batteries are designed to withstand heat without presenting an immediate or non-obvious threat to the user. The easiest way to cause a pyrotechnic discharge is to penetrate the battery itself, and even that isn't terribly explosive (here's a laptop battery "exploding": https://youtu.be/oieH2wwDGzo )

If someone did try heating up your phone to implement such an attack, you would feel it burning through your denim pockets long before it hits 210f. Futhermore, both phone SOCs and battery firmwares tend to implement emergency shutoff contingencies for when the phone overheats. Without prior tampering, nothing will really behave like it does in this attack. It is 100% a supply-chain threat.

9cb14c1ec0 a day ago | prev | next |

What's the probability that the pagers were also bugged to allow Mossad to listen in? Pretty high, I would guess.

lbeltrame 2 days ago | prev | next |

Question for those with more knowledge on these devices: how can they detonate? The batteries?

mapt 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

The batteries are the only major energy storage device there to breach.

Clearly Israel has found a software vulnerability that lets them overload some otherwise minimally used processor and overheat the batteries. Above ~140f lithium ion cells go into thermal runaway.

tiagod 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

How is it so clear to you?

mapt 5 hours ago | root | parent |

I was discounting the possibility that Mossad was in control of global supplychains with sufficient intensity and recklessness to hide semtex and a detonator in an entire brand of consumer electronics, in its urgency to provide retroactive justification for every antisemitic conspiracy theory out there and ignite war with the entire Middle East.

The only thing in a pager that SHOULD BE THERE with enough energy to 'explode' on demand, is a lithium ion battery. Which is evidently, given further reports, not what happened here.

mzmzmzm 2 days ago | prev | next |

Is there a pager model sophisticated enough to accept remote firmware updates (or whatever condition for a software exploit) but lacking a battery protection IC? Otherwise wouldn't sabotage elsewhere in the chain be more likely?

switch007 2 days ago | prev | next |

The title is egregiously bad

pilooch a day ago | prev | next |

They could have seen it while fixing a pager... Or those things work so well, never break...

kazinator 2 days ago | prev | next |

How do you go from "dozens" in the headline to "several" in the opening paragraph, while respecting yourself as journalistic writer?

bgschulman31 2 days ago | prev | next |

This is a pretty amazing exploit by the attackers. Either they had access to the pagers during shipment and installed malware or had access to RCE on the devices.

anonss 2 days ago | prev | next |

It was surprising tbh. Someone said on the news that they tried to control the short circuit and increase the voltage which made batteries explode??

phirgate a day ago | prev | next |

This is terrorism. Israel is not an island defending from terrorist, they are the ones spreading terror. What they did to their neighbouring countries could be happen to others. Can we stop praising this as clever and impressive attack and start holding Israel accountable!?

YZF a day ago | root | parent | next |

It's the very opposite.

It's the most precise targeting of enemy combatants ever. Hezbollah (and effectively Lebanon) started a war on Israel on Oct 8th in solidarity with Hamas' attacks on Israel (before Israel has even responded really) and has continued indiscriminate attacks against Israeli civilians since resulting in more than 100,000 internally displaced people in Israel. Many dead and injured. Most recently children in a soccer match.

Israel has repeatedly demanded Hezbollah stop attacking it and warned it of grave consequences. This is consequences.

The only "neighbouring countries" of other countries that have something to worry about are those that start wars against their neighbours.

esjeon a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I hope people discuss using more precise terms. UN Security Council Resolution 1566 outlines what is generally considered as terrorism:

"criminal acts, including against civilians, committed with the intent to cause death or serious bodily injury, or taking of hostages, with the purpose to provoke a state of terror in the general public or in a group of persons or particular persons, intimidate a population or compel a government or an international organization to do or to abstain from doing any act."

Physically the attack was likely well targeted. It was shipped very recently, so it's likely only few of those beepers made into the public market.

However, the attack happened right in the middle of general population far away from the theater of war. This obviously intimidates and mentally damages innocent people living their normal lives. So it can be considered as a form of terrorism.

No government, especially those of developed countries, should be allowed to inflict harms on individuals, living in peace, in any form, whether physical or mental.

TiredOfLife a day ago | root | parent |

>No government, especially those of developed countries, should be allowed to inflict harms on individuals, living in peace, in any form, whether physical or mental.

That's why they targeted members of Hezbollah (a terrorist organization) and not children playing football like Hezbollah does.

esjeon 21 hours ago | root | parent |

Yeah, but, again, it was a large scale attack right in the middle of general population. It wouldn't be problematic if this attack was targeting few key members, but thousands certainly intimidate normal people unnecessarily.

djohnston a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Their neighbouring country whose southern region is run by a designated terrorist organisation? The same org that has been indiscriminately launching rockets at civilians towns for a year straight? Oh yeah Israel is definitely the terrorist you’re right XD

hajile 21 hours ago | root | parent |

> Former Israeli officials have openly acknowledged Israel's role in providing funding and assistance to Hamas as a means of undermining secular Palestinian factions such as the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO). Brigadier General Yitzhak Segev, who served as the Israeli military governor in Gaza during the early 1980s, admitted to providing financial assistance to Mujama Al-Islamiya, the precursor of Hamas, on the instruction of the Israeli authorities.

> in 1998, it was revealed that Netanyahu suggested Turkey to support Hamas. Netanyahu said "Hamas also has bank accounts for aid in banks, we help them too, you [Turkey] can help too."

> In an interview with Politico in 2023, former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said that "In the last 15 years, Israel did everything to downgrade the Palestinian Authority and to boost Hamas." He continued saying "Gaza was on the brink of collapse because they had no resources, they had no money, and the PA refused to give Hamas any money. Bibi saved them. Bibi made a deal with Qatar and they started to move millions and millions of dollars to Gaza."

Israel is surprised that the terrorists they funded do terrorist things?

The obvious conclusion is that they WANTED Hamas to do those terrorist things.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_support_for_Hamas

317070 2 days ago | prev | next |

There will be better experts here, but it is correct that batteries cannot explode like this, right?

chgs 2 days ago | prev | next |

If this can happen then there no way the TSA and other groups would be able to detect it.

logicziller a day ago | prev | next |

Why were they even using pagers? Aren't all messages in cleartext?

atdt 21 hours ago | root | parent |

POCSAG is an ideal for broadcasting low-sensitivity push notifications, like "report to your local commanding officer by 15:00 today". These messages don't need encryption, just a reliable way to reach militants without revealing their location.

grahamj 2 days ago | prev | next |

Crazy. I wonder if they were used for tracking until they were found out, at which point BOOM

Havoc 21 hours ago | prev | next |

That’s a lot of injured and very angry very freshly motivated terrorists…and not a lot of dead ones.

Not convinced this is a net win for Israel

trallnag 21 hours ago | root | parent | next |

Israel loses if it kills it's enemies. That's your logic? Reminds me of Trudeau "if you kill your enemies, they win".

Havoc 18 hours ago | root | parent |

>Israel loses if it kills it's enemies. That's your logic?

huh? No not at all

Saying that those 2k+ injured Hammas are going to spend time recovering and when they're back they're going to be even more motivated to harm Israel.

Would have been better to do nothing. Or to kill them. But nothing in between.

fra 2 days ago | prev | next |

This may be the first widely reported deadly hack of a connected device. Wild times we live in.

JCharante a day ago | prev | next |

wow, if anyone suggested this supply chain attack as a possibility then everyone would brush it off

system2 2 days ago | prev | next |

"Israel managed to hack the portable pagers and cause them to explode" sounds like they uploaded firmware to make the device explode. In fact, it was a supply chain infiltration and they modified the devices with explosives inside. It's weird to call it hack.

Bluestein a day ago | prev | next |

Many questions remain, but, also, one: If Mossad had the capability to pull off such a complex supply chain fiesta here, could they not as certainly hack the firmware to intercept all traffic? (Now that Hezbollah is alledged to be using them to communicate?)

Maybe they did, and - at this point - decided that detonating them was preferable to having the asset - and whatever information it was yielding ...

... which is worrying.-

PS. There's talk of this being a "use it or lose it" kind of scenario, with the pagers being close to compromised.-

ckemere 2 days ago | prev | next |

The expected collateral damage here seems severe even for Israel. It makes me wonder if there was a coding error where a subset of the devices were supposed to explode but they all did by mistake…

devit 2 days ago | prev | next |

I wonder why they did this, thus revealing that they compromised a lot of devices and losing that capability, instead of quietly continuing to monitor them and using their location to perform attacks via other means if needed.

Maybe they hope the psychological effect is a big deterrent?

mrvenkman 2 days ago | prev | next |

Nothing in that particular report says anything about the pagers exploding individually. It may of been a box, labelled as containing pagers, delivered to a group of people and detonated in one location.

yieldcrv 2 days ago | root | parent |

There are videos on twitter and NY Times article explains more

Pagers people had on their pants exploded

tke248 2 days ago | prev | next |

My guess is they infiltrated the pager supply putting the bombs in all pagers and triggered them with Hezbollah's own encoded message system so only the guilty parties would be effected.

rdl 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Seems more likely their explosive implant used a separate RF trigger -- makes the whole thing much simpler for them, less detectable. They could run a plane or drone overhead to send the radio initiate message.

Looked like 5-10g (maybe up to 20g?) of explosive, NOT battery. I think you could fit the whole package inside an AA battery, along with an AAAA battery, so you could do something crazy there, or just replace a rechargeable battery pack with something of smaller battery capacity containing the explosive, some electronics, etc. Or just use spare volume inside the case and hope no one does gross physical inspection.

01100011 2 days ago | root | parent |

It's trivial to sniff a data line to the LCD and look for a specific message(I regrettably had to do this in the late 90's to fix a bug using an additional Z8 microcontroller). That said, it would be more work than inserting a separate module with its own message reception logic.

tptacek 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Market data suggests that Lebanon is completely saturated with smart phones, like everywhere else in the developed world, so it seems likely that there are only "guilty" pagers (certainly in this shipment, but more likely in the region).

MrLeap 2 days ago | root | parent |

Many doctors all over the world still use pagers.

kspacewalk2 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Though not ones supplied by a terror group, connected to their private network.

(This is an assumption, I'm neither a doctor nor a terrorist).

o999 2 days ago | prev | next |

Primary news suggests its an Israeli cyberattack

piva00 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I doubt it's just a cyberattack, the videos of the explosions indicate small explosives rather than batteries.

Don't think we'll know exactly what happened until Israel tells the world or an independent investigation concludes but so far my impression is there was a supply chain infiltration and thousands of pagers with explosives have been distributed to Hezbollah.

wg0 2 days ago | prev | next |

Do we really know that these were explosives or lithium ion batteries on their own can be this dangerous?

Waterluvian 2 days ago | prev | next |

As I'm trying to better understand the situation from a technology perspective, I'm curious: has anyone experienced a lithium battery catastrophically failing during use (not charging) and without plenty of warning (ie. gets warm, hot, scalding)?

My experience has been that at worst, they overheat over minutes to hours, and then hiss, smoke, pop, and catch fire.

I guess what I'm wondering is: is it at all plausible that this happened without the use of some amount of added explosives? (edit: I saw a few videos. I cannot imagine a mobile lithium battery is capable of such a sudden and violent explosion)

scohesc 2 days ago | prev | next |

The videos I've seen definitely look like it was more than a battery explosion - very high energy...

Wondering if the pagers were intercepted and implanted with heat-sensitive explosive?

The NSA has planted custom chips/firmware inside cisco routers after intercepting them - it's not a large jump to go to explosives inside pagers.

ajsnigrutin 2 days ago | prev | next |

This is going to be an interesting one... definitely someone (not a lot of guessing who) modified the pagers somewhere in the supply chain...

As with exploding drones, this will become a thing in other countries too, either as a part of organized crime or general terrorism.

anonu 2 days ago | root | parent |

Another working theory is that it could just be an opportunistic cyber attack - compromising lithium batteries. Though some of the videos coming out look like a bigger explosion that just a battery going off: https://www.reddit.com/r/lebanon/comments/1fizgag/ha_member_...

ajsnigrutin 2 days ago | root | parent |

Nah, batteries don't explode like that... heat, burst of fire somewhere, sure... full on explosion, no way. This was done somewhere in the supply chain, devices were replaced, explosives were added.

And israel will wonder why suddenly even more lebanonis want to fight them after.

EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

ajsnigrutin 2 days ago | root | parent |

Terrorist is relative... my country was liberated from the nazis by what would then be called "terrorists".

For many people down there, they're considered freedom fighters, and israel is considered to be commiting genocide in palestine... And the sentiment is spreading, not just in lebanon.

ajsnigrutin 2 days ago | root | parent |

To respond to person above, KLA was a terrorist organization recgnized by USA and many others too, then they became "valuable" in their geopolitical schemes, and US helped them, and many countries literally protected them in kosovo, including the president there, who was a member of KLA.

HarryHirsch 2 days ago | prev | next |

This hack is the best argument against network-connected electric vehicles that there is. Imagine the same, but with tens of thousands of Teslas.

LinuxBender 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I don't think it would be quite the same as in explosive ordinance put into a device but it is very similar in that a mass hack could use the navigation system to target pedestrians and calculate the speed required to plow through them without losing control to maximize victim count. All that would be required in another remote hack as has been demonstrated on live highways in the past [1] combined with some form of AI or gaming engine. A mitigating control could be more bollards near sidewalks and more hydraulic bollards on intersections that have a lot of foot traffic to confine the hacks to smaller blast zones. This won't protect the occupants but maybe drive by wire car manufacturers could start adding a "oh crap" manual handle to physically disengage power and apply some type of physical friction brake.

[1] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZVYTJarPFs [video][2 mins]

tavavex 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> maybe drive by wire car manufacturers could start adding a "oh crap" manual handle to physically disengage power and apply some type of physical friction brake

It depends on the manufacturer, but I think this is already the case with Tesla cars? The brake specifically isn't drive-by-wire, it's an electrically assisted hydraulic brake - so even if a malicious actor could get the car to not do the assist part anymore, you can still stop by pressing the pedal hard.

I feel like bollards and other form of separating roads from pedestrians are unviable on the large scale. I hope manufacturers start focusing more on sandboxing any internet-connected parts of their software and leaving the whole car-driving part inaccessible from any of that.

colechristensen 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

A parking garage full of electric vehicles properly compromised (at least some of them) would be very ... energetic. Burning lithium batteries aren't precisely explosive, but they are still very angry. It is plausible that you could destroy a building with a chain reaction of battery fires. That is one of the safety concerns I think might not yet be fully accounted for (what happens when a bunch of electric cars are in a full closed lot and one of them starts on fire).

hattmall 2 days ago | root | parent |

Any of the smart plugs or other devices plugged directly into the grid could be intentionally compromised to start a house fire. Millions of homes simultaneously catching fire would be catastrophic. Apartment buildings where a fire starts in 10%+ of the units.

HarryHirsch 8 hours ago | root | parent | next |

The greater concern is lithium batteries catching fire while they are being charged. NYC seems to have a problem with dubious e-bikes already. If a few hundred or thousand battery controllers become compromised and the battery pack is charged with too much current it's like the bat bomb on testosterone.

colechristensen 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

This is a strong statement that probably isn’t true. The power transformers in those devices usually aren’t controlled and the things which are controlled will only sometimes be able to start fires. No doubt that some “smart” devices will have vulnerabilities that could cause fire, but just because there’s an available controller does not mean there’s an avenue to set fire to a device.

In short, unless a device is profoundly poorly designed, there’s no way to blink an LED so incorrectly that it starts a fire. (And many smart devices really aren’t doing much more than that)

bell-cot 2 days ago | prev | next |

Obvious #1 Question - did Mossad manage to feed Hezbollah a huge number of weaponized pagers - or are there pagers which could be rooted in such a way that the stock hardware can "detonate"?

beardyw 2 days ago | root | parent |

For standard pager I can only imagine perhaps some way to short the battery, but that sounds unlikely even as I write it.

bell-cot 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yep. Though maybe with really-low-quality (safety-wise) batteries, and the description "detonate" being 99.9% journalistic hype...maybe?

ada1981 a day ago | prev | next |

This must clearly be a violation of international law.

Wild that the US media is reporting this as some mysterious, awe inspiring tactic.

botanical 21 hours ago | prev | next |

Apartheid Israel really are terrorists. This was representative of that, killing 2 children in the process. There could be 186,000 deaths since October in their current Genocide of the Palestinians. No wonder Hamas and Hezbollah exist, the same way uMkhonto we Sizwe existed in Apartheid South Africa. They need to be sanctioned and their leaders put in a court of the ICC.

elric 2 days ago | prev | next |

I read somewhere that these were likely Motorola devices. Does that mean they are complicit in adding explosives to their pagers (wtf?) or is Mossad conducting supply chain attacks on such a massive scale? How do they ensure only the right pagers explode? Or did they randomly blow up a bunch of innocent pager users?

matltc 2 days ago | prev | next |

Guessing they compromised the devices with a firmware backdoor, perhaps to remotely trigger an exploit that heats up the devices battery to dangerous levels once a signal is received. Paranoid about this happening with my vape mod with two 18650 cells

Sharlin 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

More likely this has nothing to do with the batteries and this batch of pagers was physically intercepted and rigged with actual explosives. A very concrete example of a supply chain attack.

matltc 2 days ago | root | parent |

Could be true but that requires a lot more steps. Need the materiel to be implanted, delivered to targets, then have a software payload execute, instead of just the last step. However, most battery packs for pagers im seeing are 650 mAh which isn't much energy at all. Two 18650s have almost ten times as much capacity, and they don't explode.

kwhitefoot 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

That's enough to vaporise about 100 g of water according my back of the envelope calculations. Overkill? Or is modified for an entirely different purpose?

nhggfu 2 days ago | prev | next |

any indication which brand(s) of pagers were in use?

senectus1 a day ago | prev | next |

How did they know who was using the modified pagers?

How did they know they were only Hezbollah people?

Are there inocent people walking around with modifed explosive devices strapped to their waists? To their kids waists?

This seems potentially extremely reckless.

FridayoLeary a day ago | prev | next |

>Hezbollah pager explosions kill several people in Lebanon

why is the title so bland? It fails spectacularly at communicating the scale of the event. They went with a dog bites man headline instead.

hettygreen a day ago | prev | next |

Imagine what they could do with the battery in an electric car..

thankfully the security on vehicles is so good that a hack like this would be impossible eh?

talldayo 11 hours ago | root | parent |

It's very easy to imagine what they'd do with the battery in an electric car. They would do the same thing they did to the pager: put a bomb in it. You cannot "detonate" a lithium ion battery with remote code execution unless you have tampered with the components surrounding it.

It's not so much about the security on vehicles and more about the practical limits. Thermal runaway is only going to happen if you manage to disable the battery's shutoff safeguard (which is usually replicated in hardware and firmware). Unlike phones, you can't really heat up the CPU and force the battery to take the heat. You would have to manipulate the drivetrain in a way that unnaturally damaged the hardware, something a driver would notice almost immediately.

Getting the conditions right for a software-based exploit is a circus act compared to installing a plastic explosive and remote detonator outside the battery stowage.

campuscodi 2 days ago | prev | next |

Looks like a hardware supply chain attack: https://goachronicle.com/hezbollah-members-pagers-exploded-i...

>>GoaChronicle through its intelligence network has learned that Israeli intelligence successfully intercepted a shipment of pager batteries that had been ordered from B&H Photo. The order was placed from Lebanon. Acting on a confirmed tip, the intelligence agency seized the shipment and covertly modified the batteries. Small, undetectable explosives known as Kiska 3 were inserted into the battery casings and connected to the battery wires via a discreet chip. The pager model was Rugged Pager AR924 IP67. The operation code word was ‘Below the Belt’.

bewaretheirs 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> B&H Photo

Okay, that pretty much guarantees that somebody at the Goa Chronicle fell hook, line, and sinker for a bit of internet satire.

EDIT:

It would also appear that the good folks at the Goa Chronicle failed to check a Yiddish-English dictionary.

tootie 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

B&H?!?! The giant store in Manhattan famously run by Orthodox Jews? If that's confirmed it's going to be protested into dust pretty soon.

EDIT: I see an addenda to the article that B&H are denying any involvement. We'll see how it plays out. True or not, the rumor will be flying.

tzs 2 days ago | root | parent |

If it is confirmed I'd expect it to actually boost B&H's business, as long as B&H didn't actually know of or participate in the tampering with the shipment.

As you note B&H is well known for being run by Orthodox Jews. So why the heck would Hezbollah, an organization that wants to destroy Israel, buy their batteries from B&H?

It suggests that B&H is a really great place to buy things, so much better than the alternatives that even if dealing with Jews goes against your fundamental beliefs it is worth it.

fredgrott 2 days ago | prev | next |

Part of the context is that they use a different communication network which is probably why they were targeted in that specific way...

Overcharging batteries would be the hack....not suggesting someone do this but said strategy works with both acid based and lithium batteries...

elintknower 2 days ago | prev | next |

I wonder if this is possible in devices that actually use a small asic to handle all aspects of battery control. They're even more complex than a BMS, for instance macbook batteries have had these for around 20 years [0]. They're even common in vapes and vape batteries. I have to wonder if these asics can be bypassed with malware?

Seems like the cells in these pagers were massively over-discharged and then allowed to be over charged? Potentially a capacitor used to drive the vibration motor was then used to cause the battery to catastrophically explode?

0 - https://squidgeefish.com/projects/a1175-battery-hacking/

bawolff 2 days ago | prev | next |

Cant help but be reminded of that james mickens article about the mossad vs not mossad threat model https://www.usenix.org/system/files/1401_08-12_mickens.pdf where he joking says that mossad will replace your cellphone with a blick of uranium (as a joke to imply you shouldnt worry about nation state actor type threats when building a stupid web app that nobody cares about, because its impossible)

itissid 2 days ago | prev | next |

How is this possible? Are they overclocking the MPUs and just heating the batteries to the point of explosion?

bluescrn 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

These appear to be actual explosions, not battery combustion (there's footage on Twitter of at least one of them going off, it's a detonation rather than intense burning)

Definitely some non-standard internals in those devices...

scandox 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Surely just supply chain infiltration and regular explosives no?

scttwk 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Agreed, the story mentions that the exploded models were all the latest ones purchased in recent months

lsllc 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Wouldn't this be too easy to detect -- for example tripping airport security (or other X-ray security systems, govt. buildings etc).

scandox 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Well if you have personnel who regularly carry weapons and/or explosives maybe those checks don't apply...but anyway this is mere speculation.

lvl155 2 days ago | prev | next |

We live in a world where iPhones get shipped directly from China. I know this is pretty much conspiratorial but if China wanted to hack a bunch of iPhones in the hands of government officials, there’s nothing to stop them. This episode made me realize how loose security is around supply chains.

JSDevOps 2 days ago | prev | next |

I find it hard to believe that people are seriously considering the cybersecurity angle in this situation. Yes, there may be some extremely rare and unlikely scenarios where you could hack into a device and cause the attached lithium-ion battery to overheat and combust. However, it’s important to understand that lithium-ion batteries don’t actually explode—they combust gradually over the span of a few seconds to minutes. Even if they did explode, which they don’t, we’re talking about something with the energy equivalent of a single AAA battery, not a large and powerful EV cell. Given these facts, it’s far more plausible that those pagers were intercepted and deliberately implanted with explosives, rather than being manipulated through hacking.

ein0p 2 days ago | prev | next |

Nuisance terror attack, nothing more. Completely ineffective and will have a rather severe blowback. Whoever came up with this didn’t think it through.

mrkeen 2 days ago | root | parent |

Maybe? Piss Lebanon off to engage in a public fight, and then defend yourself on the US's dime until you occupy their land.

ein0p 2 days ago | root | parent |

I don’t think the “US dime” will be coming as lavishly irrespective of the composition and allegiances of the Biden admin. This is a major election issue, and Harris is wobbly even without this.

CommanderData 2 days ago | prev | next |

Sucks to be them, why they even use pagers is laughable, unencrypted or encrypted. Cell infrastructure is easily traceable.

I just feel sorry for the innocent lives involved in all of this, no one deserves to be caught up in either side of the conflict.

mschuster91 2 days ago | root | parent |

> Sucks to be them, why they even use pagers is laughable, unencrypted or encrypted. Cell infrastructure is easily traceable.

That's the point why they're using pagers: pagers are passive only. A cellphone can guide a rocket to its target, a pager just listens and cannot be used to guide a rocket, to act as a listening bug or confirm someone's presence (or absence).

CommanderData 2 days ago | root | parent |

Interesting, never knew this. Do modern pagers transmit any RF at all?

toast0 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

There's two-way pagers which transmit, but receive only pagers can be broadcast reception only; there's no check-in / message acknowledgement, although messages may be rebroadcast to help ensure reception in case of bad signal conditions.

You'd probably get some small amount of RF emissions though, most receivers radiate something as a result of using superheterodyne signal processing.

misiti3780 2 days ago | prev | next |

here is how they did it (supposedly):

https://x.com/Osint613/status/1836111109742354507

dredmorbius a day ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

panarky a day ago | root | parent |

I don't know the density of PETN and I'd prefer not to fire up a VPN to run that search at the moment, but let's assume it's something like 1.5 g/cm³

So 20 grams of the stuff would occupy 13.3 cm³

Which is equivalent to the volume of about three and a half AAA batteries.

How big are these pagers, and how can there be that much empty space in one?

dredmorbius a day ago | root | parent |

Specs:

- Dimensions (mm): 73(L) x 50(W) x 27(H) (98.55 cm^3)

- Weight: 95g including battery

Presumably the majority of that weight is battery. And 13.3 cm^3 would occupy less than 1/6 the total available volume.

Battery is described as "Lithium battery, up to 85 days with 2.5 hours for full battery charge, USB-C charging."

From: <https://www.gapollo.com.tw/product/ar-924/>

Archive: <https://archive.is/Kw0Pg>

(For some reason the origin is unreachable presently.)

From comments and news stories elsewhere, it seems highly probable that the explosive was engineered into a battery form-factor, and replaced the original battery of the device.

aussieguy1234 a day ago | prev | next |

Honestly, at this point, I see absolutely zero difference, from a moral perspective, between the Israeli government and their enemies.

Both are as bad as each other and have been implicated in many war crimes and human rights abuses, however Israel has more firepower and can inflict much more damage (E.g. demolish an entire apartment block, killing hundreds of innocent people from the air).

The last thing any country should consider doing is arming or funding either side, that will be like throwing fuel on a fire. Taking sides in what is essentially a regional ethnic conflict between extremists on both sides is not a good idea.

Again, not condoning or justifying the actions of either side or taking any sides here - they are both as bad as each other.

raxxorraxor a day ago | root | parent | next |

I do and the latest war completely reaffirmed my perspective. The little spot that allegedly tries to genocide everyone around them while their enemies have that as the stated goals in their respective charters. It is the reason for the existence of Hezbollah even. Why not believe them?

The positions aren't equal, in fact they are worlds apart and Israel treats enemy civilians better than the terror regimes they do live under despite facing constant wars of aggression by said nations.

hajile 20 hours ago | root | parent |

If someone broke into your house, took over most of it and killed your family member while the police said it was perfectly fine, how would you respond? Just live and let live? Probably not.

raxxorraxor 20 hours ago | root | parent |

We can argue who killed more or was more justified to do it, but that isn't progress. The latest issue is the attack on Israel. There is no equivalence and no justification for that.

hajile 19 hours ago | root | parent |

The latest issue is an attack on Israel? Are you referring to Oct 7?

Oct 7 had a 71-72% civilian casualty. Project Lavender considered a 90-100% civilian casualty rate to be acceptable and the number of civilians killed vs number of Hama killed far exceeds the ratio on Oct 7.

Israel has systematically destroyed Gaza building by building ruining the lives of millions of people. That is the latest and continuing issue. Ethnic cleansing is a crime against humanity.

fsckboy a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

jmyeet a day ago | root | parent | next |

This is objectively false.

Israel is objectively an apartheid state [1][2], no different to apartheid South Africa. South Africa was also a "democracy" (for white people). You cannot be both a democracy and an apartheid state, by definition.

There are ~2M Palestinians in Gaza and ~3M in the West Bank, both areas that Israel lays claim to and are within its borders. These 5M people do not have the rights of the Jewish citizens of Israel. Even for the few who are Israeli Arabs, they don't have the same rights as Jewish Israeli citizens (eg [3]). Most settlements prohibit Israeli Arabs from living their under 2018 segregation laws [4].

Anyone with a passing knowledge of American history will immediately recognize Israel for what it is. Jim Crowe laws, sundown towns and so on.

And this segregation permeates every aspect of daily life. Checkpoints, residency permit segregation, Palestinians falling under military rather than civil jurisdiction, many Palestinians being held indefinitely without charge, water restrictions, building roads to divide up the West Bank and separate Palestinian communities, destroying Palestinian food sources, randomly bulldozing Palestinian homes, never premitting construction, settler terrorism, honestly the list goes on and on.

And in 11 months, ~75,000 tons of munitions have been dropped on an open air prison, also one of the most densely packed and most populous refugee camps in the world.

Democracy? I think not.

[1]: https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/campaigns/2022/02/israels-...

[2]: https://www.vox.com/23924319/israel-palestine-apartheid-mean...

[3]: https://www.hrw.org/news/2011/03/30/israel-new-laws-marginal...

[4]: https://www.vox.com/world/2018/7/31/17623978/israel-jewish-n...

aussieguy1234 a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Their current government is basically run by extremists, with government ministers openly calling for a second Nakba https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20231009-israel-mk-calls-f....

Calling for a second Nakba, in my opinion, is no different to the chants of "death to isreal" coming from the other side.

I would say they are about as democratic as the former south african apartheid government. Democratic yes, but only one group of people gets to vote.

dannyfreeman a day ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

fsckboy a day ago | root | parent |

I was equating terrorism and and virulent anti-semitism and violent suppression of women's rights, gay rights, free speech, and democracy with barbarism. Israeli Arabs are happy to live in Israel. If you have a better word, I'd be happy to use it. Barbarity?

RickJWagner a day ago | root | parent | prev |

I see a clear difference. One side still holds hostages, the other does not. One side perpetrated murder, rape and kidnapping, the other did not. Etc.

aussieguy1234 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Rape has been committed by both sides: https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/02/israelopt-un...

Are you seriously suggesting, in any way, that blowing up an entire apartment building and all of the innocent civilians inside is not murder?

Israel holds many innocent Palestinian civilians in its prison as its own hostages. These people are held without trial and subjected to rape and other abuses. The difference? Its a state doing it, so to alot of people this somehow makes it ok.

Again, not taking sides here, but both sides are as bad as each other.

diggan 2 days ago | prev | next |

Not sure why this was flagged, it's certainly a novel way of striking the enemy, regardless of the political undertones.

Reuters seems to have a bit more details, and is probably a bit less biased than current URL (timesofisrael.com): https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dozens-hezbollah-m...

mytailorisrich 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

What's definitely novel is the scale, perhaps not the tactic, which has been used many times before (speculative assumption being that the devices were tempered with)

__alexs 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

It's not especially novel, it's just a lot of similar weapons systems (e.g. cluster bombs, anti personnel landmines) are banned these days.

janmo 2 days ago | prev | next |

Intelligence agencies put their bugs within the hardware of electronic devices you order online.

If you believe being the target of an intelligence agency never order anything online. They will put the bug inside, especially if it is an electronic device such as a phone/laptop/TV/coffee machine.

Best solution is to go buy it from a random store and have a good home security system.

Also weigh your electronic devices laptop/phone to check if the weight differs from its original weight, it should not deviate.

diggan 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Also weigh your electronic devices laptop/phone to check if the weight differs from its original weight, it should not deviate.

What kind of errors are acceptable here? Or maybe better, how accurate are the measurements given from the manufacturer?

I have a iPhone 12 Mini for example, Apple says (https://support.apple.com/en-us/111877) it should weigh 135 grams. Measuring with a scale of 0.01g precision (which is also calibrated right before) I get 133.5g, so it's ~1.5g off.

Measuring a 50g weight gives me exactly 50g, so the scale is correct, so either the weight of my phone is off, or Apple doesn't give exact weight.

janmo 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I guess it is better to weigh it just after the purchase from a random store and from there the weight should never change.

dbtablesorrows 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Are you in hezbollah as well?

diggan 2 days ago | root | parent |

If so, I'd expect my phone to weigh too much rather than too little, because of the added explosives.

tzs 2 days ago | root | parent |

What if they replaced the battery with a physically smaller battery to make room for the explosives? If the explosives are less dense than the battery the rigged phone would weigh less than the original.

throwaway55479 2 days ago | prev | next |

At least Eight killed and 2,750 wounded (200 of those in a critical condition) [1]

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/17/middle-ea...

apienx 2 days ago | prev | next |

"These devices don't appear to be designed to be lethal.[..] They are, for the most part, low charge so not packing enough to actually kill somebody.[..] Let's not forget that this comes on the same day that Israel has extended its war aims to including expelling Hezbollah basically from the border." -- BBC's Security Correspondent Frank Gardner https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pNEb-dY3tRY

rany_ 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I'm not sure if I'm allowed to link to a gory video, but there is commonly circulating video of a pager detonating in a grocery store. There are a few people around the man but only the man appears to be impacted, all bystanders seem OK.

Media is reporting that most casualties are caused by the pager detonating while driving. Obviously because it would impact other drivers that happen to be around the now incapacitated driver.

chrisco255 2 days ago | prev | next |

While a clever attack it's also highly likely there was collateral damage to nonviolent or noninvolved bystanders.

bigbinary 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Already confirmed as there is one 8 year old girl reportedly in the fatalities. This attack will add to the stereotype that Israel attacks indiscriminately.

autoexec 2 days ago | root | parent |

Is "stereotype" the right word when it accurately describes what's been happening? Amnesty International, the UN, and even the president of the United States have described their attacks as "indiscriminate".

bigbinary 2 days ago | root | parent |

Tbh I only use the word stereotypes because speaking in absolutes here leads to really grimy political discussions with under the guise of semantic or technical discussions. Anyone with eyes can see that Israel acts with protection of the US military and has no reason to be specific with their targets, even while being scolded by that military

negativeonehalf a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Definitely sad when there is collateral damage. But I don't see how it is possible to fight a war with absolutely zero collateral damage - do you? Hezbollah started firing rockets at Israel on Oct 7 before they even responded.

It is better not to fight a war at all, but this is not always an option.

judah 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Watch some of the videos, they are remarkably targetted. One man is standing at a checkout line in a grocery store, 2 women near him. He looks at his pager before it explodes. The women around him are unharmed.

kamikazeturtles 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

If the man is unarmed, I don't think they can be considered a legitimate target. If that is the case, then you could argue all Israelis who have a military background are legitimate targets and that includes most of the population.

vlovich123 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The concept of legitimate targets is from the Geneva convention.

> A fundamental premise of the Geneva Conventions has been that to earn the right to protection as military fighters, soldiers must distinguish themselves from civilians by wearing uniforms and carrying their weapons openly

Hezbollah fighters clearly aren’t doing this and this is whether the fundamental argument around how Israel behaves comes from - what is a legitimate target and rules of engagement when the fighting force blends itself into the general populace? For all the criticism, Israel by some accounts does seem to do better than the US in similar circumstances when they were in Iraq and Afghanistan in terms of protecting civilian populations. And for all their criticism (some well deserved some not) they could certainly be even more indiscriminate in their targeting.

rany_ 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

> Hezbollah fighters clearly aren’t doing this

What do you mean? I am not in any way supporting Hezbollah but their soldiers are definitely "wearing uniforms and carrying their weapons openly." Hamas and Hezbollah are not the same. Hamas is more decentralized though so that doesn't happen as often in that case. Hezbollah soldiers are also salaried and more properly equipped by Iran/Syria.

The biggest difference between Hezbollah and Hamas is that in Hezbollah's case, their soldiers are more motivated by money rather than ideology. They treat it more like a "professional" job, work for promotions, and dress accordingly. It's a significantly more top-down structure too.

hackeraccount 19 hours ago | root | parent | next |

What's the country of Hezbollah? There's clearly not one. It's Lebanon. Hezbollah is a group inside a State not a State.

There are a bunch of very good reasons why groups doing that are outside the law.

vlovich123 a day ago | root | parent | prev |

Hezbollah has been accused of employing similar tactics of hiding among civilian populations and hiding military equipment in civilian buildings which makes sense both given that Iran is backing both these groups and from a strategic view if you’re fighting a significantly more advanced enemy.

As for ideology vs money, it’s hard to distinguish which motivates them more va Hamas given these movements started from seed money and personnel from the Iranian revolutionary guard.

But certainly hezbollah started indiscriminately shelling Israeli civilian targets and Israel is responding by targeting military personnel and infrastructure. It’s up to the Lebanese government to control Hezbollah (which they cant) and Hezbollah is responsible for collateral civilian casualties that stem from attacking them

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rjhi11ibu0

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2024/03/21/idf-hezbollah-stores...

timnetworks 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

To paraphrase a guy on the 'tube, intelligence officers are seldom armed with more than a ham sandwich but are still legitimate targets.

chrisco255 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

That's just the videos that have been published and the ones that happened to be captured by CCTV. If 1000 devices were indiscriminately detonated, even a 5% collateral damage rate would mean up to 50 innocent people harmed, maimed, or killed. At 15%, 150, and so forth.

ummonk 2 days ago | prev | next |

It's absurd that this was flagged and pushed off the front page. Either it was a supply chain attack with explosives installed, or this was a hack that caused battery explosion. Either way this is extremely relevant to Hacker News.

Neil44 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

This is true, however I can also accept that a thread on this is going to descend into a shit show.

toomuchtodo 2 days ago | root | parent |

Hopefully mods wake up soon, I want the technical gory details without the gory convo. If this is legit, it is going to be a fascinating post mortem.

talldayo 2 days ago | root | parent |

> I want the technical gory details without the gory convo.

One day soon I'll write a eulogy for Hacker News, and this is a great contender for the website's epitaph.

Garvi 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

talldayo 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

Garvi 2 days ago | root | parent |

The Dang is doing a great job at keeping the discussion "civil". As long as one doesn't count certain groups as people.

dang 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Civility is not a concept, nor a word, that we employ in HN moderation—we dropped it years ago.

All people are counted as people by HN moderators. If it seems otherwise to you, I imagine that this is a combination of you having (1) not many explicit data points from us and (2) strong priors on the topic.

talldayo 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Sucks for some of us with family in Lebanon but I doubt I'll be seen as human either. I won't name-and-shame, but I've worked at YC-sponsored startups that have asked me verbatim "How does it feel being a goyim, in [your] experience?"

That is not a joke, unfortunately. Thankfully I didn't think highly of YC in the first place so it wasn't horribly shocking.

xenospn 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

kobalsky 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

some minimal due diligence to check the electronics maybe.

in simple devices charging and protection circuits are usually logically isolated from the rest of the device, and you cannot draw enough power from them to damage the battery.

maybe they used a weird load pattern the screws with the BMS, but there should be fuses too.

I hope we get more info

cornercasechase 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

snird 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

dang a day ago | root | parent |

We've banned this account for egregiously breaking the site guidelines and for using HN primarily for political battle. Those things are not allowed here, even though I am sure that you have very legitimate reasons for feeling the way you do.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

p.s. I suppose I'd better add that yes, we treat accounts breaking the rules from the opposite site of the war in just the same way, and have moderated and banned many of those accounts as well.

bluefishinit 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

daedrdev 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

The ugly question is how much collateral is fine. Hezbollah confirmed the deaths of 3 people, two of its fighters and this girl. Of course, this will surely escalate the war between Israel and Hezbollah so its surely negative even if the collateral ends up being very low because Hezbollah received most of the pagers.

s5300 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

>> They set these off in public spaces and private residences. There are already reports that Israel murdered a 10 year old girl with this attack. Absolutely horrible.

People tend to do whatever they want when they’re raised since birth to believe everybody that is not one of their in-group is a quite literal subhuman not chosen by god

sergiotapia 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

hyggetrold 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

HN tries to really avoid this kind of discussion since it never goes anywhere productive. Folks who have really strong views on Israel/Gaza are not going to change their perspective because of a comment thread on Hacker News.

aguaviva 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

In this case, they were posting information what was apparently perfectly accurate (except as to the exact age of the girl who was killed in the attack) - per CNN:

   At least nine people, including an 8-year-old girl, have been killed by Tuesday’s pager explosions, Lebanon’s health minister Firass Abiad said in an interview with Al Jazeera. 
And indeed it was quite helpful that they did so, as this particular detail hasn't yet made it into the coverage of the event in major outlets such as the NYT, for some reason.

_blk 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

I have a strong view. But I won't let that keep me from enjoying a good technical discussion. Like stuxnet, this will strongly influence opsec in the coming decade.

hyggetrold 2 days ago | root | parent |

From my understanding of the HN guidelines, a technical discussion around the technology in this story is not an issue. Where things break down is when people starting talking about Israel vs Palestine, who is at fault, who should be punished, who is the true aggressor, etc.

hiddencost 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

[flagged]

hyggetrold 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I'm ready to believe you but the impression I have from your comment is that it would take quite a bit to convince you to take a step back from your personal beliefs and re-evaluate.

It doesn't even matter what you believe, based on what you wrote, my impression is that you are here to convince others that your viewpoint is correct, not necessarily to gain a new one.

hiddencost 2 days ago | root | parent |

The facts are pretty overwhelming.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...

This is important to me. How do we deal with more than 10% of the population of Gaza being killed?

hyggetrold 2 days ago | root | parent |

For what it's worth, I have family members who are Palestinian, so I am deeply sympathetic to the plight of the innocent people dying in Gaza and the West Bank. I am not of Palestinian ethnic background myself (complex family history).

I believe the Israeli government and members of the IDF have done terrible things that they should be held accountable for. But I can't condemn the average citizen of Israel since I have no idea if they are for or against the war. I have enough Jewish friends and Israeli colleagues to know that there is a spectrum of opinion.

I also believe that organizations such as Hamas should be held accountable for the way the spend the lives of Palestinians in service of their greater cause. Some of the political leaders for the Palestinian cause use strong rhetoric while living comfortably far away from where the bombs are falling. And just like with Israelis, I have no idea what the average Palestinian believes about Israel, Hamas, or Hezbollah. I imagine there is a spectrum of opinion there as well.

I guess what I am trying to say is that it is possible for multiple truths to be operative at once.

dunekid 17 hours ago | root | parent |

>I also believe that organizations such as Hamas should be held accountable for the way the spend the lives of Palestinians

And the ITF for bombing, torturing, murdering and mass-burying them?

>Some of the political leaders for the Palestinian cause use strong rhetoric while living comfortably far away from where the bombs are falling

Keep the Hasbara points updated please, in Lebanon and and in Iran, Hamas's most prominent are killed. Their families in Gaza too.

>But I can't condemn the average citizen of Israel since I have no idea if they are for or against the war.

You could read the surveys, the number of people still actively working for ITF. Their online bragging of cold blooded murder and destruction of Gaza. And it is the only democracy around that part, so the Government must be controlled by the average voters?

pbiggar 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

I imagine the flagging is to stop the conversation about the geneocide, especially since almost every conversation about Gaza gets flagged.

krunck 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

Because HN is about intellectual titillation, not about activism and geopolitics.

hermannj314 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

I am curious how would you conceal an explosive in an electronic device (like a pager) to make sure that it minimizes collateral damage when it goes off. That is a political question since you ultimately are making a human life vs military objective trade-off.

The international law standard seems to be proportionality to the military objective desired, so maybe no one (generally) cares how many civilians die if you know the targets will be high ranking.

alexose 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

Protostome 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

You do know that those Hezbollah members have been firing hundreds of rockets daily for a year into Israel, right? The fact that those rockets killed limited number of people is a matter of skill, not will.

snird 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

bluefishinit 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

xdennis 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

[flagged]

bluefishinit 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

dang 2 days ago | root | parent |

You've been using HN primarily to post about this topic. That sort of single-agenda account is not allowed here—see https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and https://hn.algolia.com/?sort=byDate&dateRange=all&type=comme... for why.

I've therefore banned this as well as what appears to be a different account you've been using to do the same thing. Please don't create accounts to break HN's rules with—it will eventually get your main account banned as well.

If you don't want to be banned, you're welcome to email hn@ycombinator.com and give us reason to believe that you'll follow the rules in the future. They're here: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html.

I suppose I need to add that this has nothing to do with your views on the underlying topic. Plenty of other HN users share your views while remaining within the site guidelines. It's when an account crosses into using HN primarily for this purpose that a moderation line is crossed.

wigster 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

bhouston 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

yonisto 2 days ago | root | parent |

[flagged]

bhouston 2 days ago | root | parent |

I am talking about people like current Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, not some random dude on Hacker News or Twitter:

"he gave a speech in Paris at a podium featuring a map that included Jordan and the occupied West Bank as part of Israel and said the Palestinian people were 'an invention.'"

https://www.axios.com/2023/03/20/bezalel-smotrich-jordan-gre...

I'm not predicting the future, I am reporting what some believe and advocate for. My reporting is sourced.

davedx 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

tharne 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

If you don't like a particular post or the comments on it, just don't read it. Sheesh, no need for the melodrama. Plenty of other great articles and posts on here.

1970-01-01 2 days ago | root | parent |

What is HN's reason for not allowing submissions to be downvoted? Downvote seems like the most appropriate solution.

dredmorbius a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

For anyone with this response to any given story: you can use HN's "Hide" feature.

If you have the spoons for it, flags / vouches (and mod emails) help, though on highly contentious topics, such as this one, there's a limit to what can be done.

arminiusreturns a day ago | root | parent | prev | next |

My problem is with the obvious compromised assets who continually pop up on threads like this always pushing certain narratives. Look for yourself who has the most posts.

mef51 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

yoavm 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

There's an on-going war between Hezbollah and Israel since Hezbollah attacked Israel on October 8th [0]. The pagers were to be used by Hezbollah members. Hezbollah is considered a terrorist organization by many countries, including Arab countries. Being a member of a terrorist organization isn't the best way to stay safe, especially not during a conflict that your organization initiated. I think that the fact that these explosions happened in public places isn't so relevant considering the size of the explosions.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hezbollah_confl...

office_drone 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

This was a bombing of military personnel by parties at war. That is, by definition, not terrorism. This action has been acceptable for as long as bombs have existed.

ericmcer 2 days ago | root | parent | prev | next |

Will be interesting to see the ratio of civilian to military injuries was and if this is better or worse than something like a bunch of drone strikes or rocket strikes.

daedrdev 2 days ago | root | parent |

There were probably a bunch of civilian casualties, but I imagine most Hezbollah operative wear their pagers since their main purpose is to always receive messages, so it was probably a low percentage.

ComputerGuru 2 days ago | prev | next |

[flagged]

tgv 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

2000? The article speaks of dozens at best, and no 9 year old girl.

ComputerGuru 2 days ago | root | parent |

Yes, hence the "there are now" part. I updated my comment with a source.

I mixed up "nine fatalities" with "eight year old girl" to get "nine year old girl". Mea culpa.

busterarm 2 days ago | prev | next |

Pager networks are 100% clear text. If you're stupid enough to be using them to coordinate operations in 2024, I feel like you kind of deserve whatever happens to you.

You're telling me nobody in Hezbollah watched The Wire?

wut42 2 days ago | root | parent |

You can use cyphertext inside the plaintext. Seems to be what they are doing.

busterarm 2 days ago | root | parent |

You still have the metadata of sender and receiver. Your whole network is exposed.

Also your message limits are 200 characters and likely highly susceptible to correlation attacks.

Aerbil313 2 days ago | root | parent | next |

Pagers are one-way, not bidirectional like cell networks. That's their whole point. Their HQ can broadcast a message and you won't find out who is the receiver, because pagers don't transmit, only listen.

busterarm 2 days ago | root | parent |

I never said they were two-way. I said you have the metadata of the sender and the receiver.

The page data contains the receiver/pager address, but remember this is RF. Triangulating source of transmission on a frequency you are actively monitoring is table stakes for nation states.

Once you flag receiver addresses there are techniques to work out who that party is, especially for a nation state sophisticated enough to intercept the supply chain in the first place. Correlating transaction data to people is tedious but doable. Even with receiver addresses only though you can work out how the network works and what cells there are and that's a ton of useful intelligence already.

Also if the "code" being used was in any way breached it could be used to trick receivers into self-identifying.

Israel just skipped all of that effort with "ring ring, boom" though.

wut42 2 days ago | root | parent | prev |

sure. But everything over cell network is anyway more or less already exposed on the metadata front so why not go "low tech" ?

And yeah it probably was more a "code" than cyphertext.

busterarm 2 days ago | root | parent |

Let's be fair. This is probably the communication channel for grunts that command doesn't give a shit about and they're using E2EE apps for command and this for grunts.

wut42 2 days ago | root | parent |

Oh yes most definitely. Pagers are usually used this way in all of the other uses anyway (to quickly contact and inform ground actions like in emergency services).

fsckboy a day ago | prev | next |

I'm getting tired of everybody saying "supply chain, supply chain":

first, you have no information.

second, it's so non-specific, it's less informative than "they inserted exploding batteries into the supply chain" vs "a container that was unloaded was not actually from the source" which I would say isn't even supply chain, like if I leave a box of dog poop at your door, I haven't tampered with your "supply chain"

maybe this hack started with hearing that they were going to upgrade devices. maybe it this hack started with convincing them to upgrade. maybe Turkey did it. maybe ISIS did it, they hate hezbollah.

it doesn't make you sound more informed to say "supply chain", it makes you sound less.

Maken 19 hours ago | root | parent | next |

>second, it's so non-specific, it's less informative than "they inserted exploding batteries into the supply chain" vs "a container that was unloaded was not actually from the source" which I would say isn't even supply chain, like if I leave a box of dog poop at your door, I haven't tampered with your "supply chain"

Almost all of the global commerce happens by contained carried by ship or plane. That someone can take a container full of electronics, tamper with them, and sell them without even the manufacturer noticing has very serious implications. Your phone and your laptop were also inside of a container, and were also handled by dozens of middleman companies. have you ever opened them and check every component? Can you assert you are not carrying a timed bomb in your pocket?

whoitwas a day ago | prev |

This is really sick and should result in major sanctions against Israel. USA should never give them another penny, take the nukes, and let them wither. They've become pure hate. This is a standard that can't be allowed and Israel must be punished.